Articles tagged with "S-1m-6s"

Quiet start to Tuesday

Posted by: on June 21st, 2016

Hello Friends,
Fair amount of high cloud across the sky as Tuesday kicked off in Sydney. Along the beaches, wind was around 10 kts from the NW. Swell was coming from the SE at a metre but it was just 6 seconds apart, so I’d say the micro conditions at Dee Why will be replicated across the city’s beaches. Throw in a high tide at 0850 and it adds up to not much of anything in the way of surf prospects – for now.
The wind’s forecast to build up to 20-230 kts from the west later and at the same time the swell should come up from the south and get into the 2 metre range. Given the wind though, I’ll be pleasantly surprised if anything surfable gets in given the predicted strength of the offshores.
For the last week or so many of the forecast models have been calling for small to flat between now and the weekend and this morning it looks as though there’s no major change in the outlook. The consensus still seems to be for a significant swell event around Sunday and then for waves to stick around for a few days.
Have yourself a top old Tuesday everyone and go well with your plans!

dy beach

Lots of little lines crowding in at 0730

All's quiet on the Dee Why front

All’s quiet on the Dee Why front

Weather Situation
A low pressure system near far eastern Victoria is forecast to move south-southeast today. Strong to gale force northwest to southwesterly winds will ease over New South Wales waters later this afternoon and during Wednesday as the low moves further away from New South Wales.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 22 June
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Thursday 23 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots becoming northwesterly about 10 knots during the morning then increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.

Southerly’s blown up some waves

Posted by: on November 2nd, 2012

Hello Friends,

Interesting. There are shoulder plus sets at Dee Why thanks to the stiff southerly, but the MHL buoy is reporting only a metre on average at 6 seconds. The seas are up toward the 3 metre mark, so I’d say the folks in the water are catching lumped up seas as much as anything else. That means the usual deal of not really knowing if you’ve got something catchable until you’re dropping down the face – and then it might disappear a few seconds later. Kinda like giant lake waves.

The southerly is expected to weaken toward the middle part of the day, but don’t expect it to glass off or anything! It just won’t be going quite as hard. So, it’ll be protected south corners only.

Outlook for tomorrow is for more – but lighter – onshores and, importantly, south swell of potentially okay size. Indeed we should get something out of the south on Sunday too – with NE winds.

Looking forward to seeing how it plays out!

Go well and have yourself a great Friday.

Tide is high at 0950 and low will be at 1630.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight is extending a ridge across New South Wales in the wake of a cold front, bringing a fresh to strong southerly airstream to the coast today. The high will move to the Tasman Sea during Saturday, and is then expected to remain slow-moving through the first half of next week, directing warmer northerly winds over New South Wales as a trough approaches from the west. The trough and an associated cold front currently appear likely reach the coast state mid-week.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday then decreasing to below 1 metre in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the afternoon and evening.
Saturday 3 November
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Sunday 4 November
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.
Weather

Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Sticky: Dee Why looked flat to me this morning

Posted by: on August 17th, 2012

Hello Friends,

The forecast calls for a shower or two clearing this afternoon, but there wasn’t a cloud in the sky at 0700. Nor, sadly was there a wave on the beach at Dee Why. Swell seems to have faded away to nothing – as the forecast said it would. Looks like a day for a paddle if you’re desperate to get wet.

Looks to me from the latest swell modelling as though we might get a brief little window of surfability around Sunday and then it could be very small to flat for at least a week.

Oh well, only thing to do is keep on smilin’ as we wait for the next low pressure system to come our way…

TIDES: H @0750, L @1340

Weather Situation
A strong cold front will cross NSW today, with northwesterly winds strengthening over most coastal waters during the afternoon then tending more westerly. A low pressure system is expected to develop east of Bass Strait tonight, then move only slowly to the east on Saturday with strong southwest winds over southern and central waters. Winds will ease Sunday as the low moves southeast and a high moves over the state.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre tending easterly 0.5 metres this afternoon and evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore from the late morning until evening.
Saturday 18 August
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 metres.
Sunday 19 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Flat old Saturday morning

Posted by: on June 23rd, 2012


Hello Friends,

No sign of a surfable bump at the Dee Why end of the beach when I checked around 0700. Tide and wind were both favourable but Huey was only sending in about a metre of south wind swell (average period was 6 seconds). No one was in the water (hardly a surprise).

Outlook for the rest of the day isn’t too exciting. We might see an increase toward dark though as the Eden buoy is showing a couple metres at 9 seconds apart. Given the transit time though, I’d be pleasantly surprised if that stuff turned up before dark.

Right now it looks to me as though the peak of this little pulse will happen overnight and that by tomorrow we’re likely to find a scene not dissimilar from today.

I’d say it was a shaping up to be a good weekend for being seen by family and friends during daylight hours.

This morning’s run of the forecast models are reinforcing the predictions of the last few days for a brief but interesting looking mid-week south pulse. Depending upon who’s riffing on the basic data, it seems that we could have a few little bumps on Monday and then around Tuesday afternoon a couple metres of 10-12 sec south swell begins to fill in. With luck, it sticks around right through to lunch time on Thursday.

Have yourself a top old Saturday!

TIDES: H @1045 L @1620

Weather Situation
A cold front associated with a low approaching New Zealand from the west is moving over the southwestern Tasman Sea bringing west to southwest winds to coastal waters in the south extending to the north coast during this morning. A high pressure system in the west end of the Bight extends a strengthening ridge across NSW behind the front.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 20 to 30 knots offshore at times, then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres from the late morning.
Sunday 24 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.
Monday 25 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.

Sticky: Puny morning at Dee Why

Posted by: on November 15th, 2011

 

Hello Friends,

Well, back from the Surfrider conference in Margaret River to dear old Sydney and things seem to be much as I left them on Friday – namely weak and tiny. The MHL buoy is showing a metre of 6sec period south swell out at sea. In on the beach at Dee Why there’s a bit of froth on along the rocks at the point and the odd sub knee high scraps of dribble along the beach.

The wind is set to be out of the south early and then to swing to the SE later. Not a good thing where our beaches are concerned. But worse, the swell outlook is currently for no significant change. This morning’s run of the wave models does not a happy picture make. Energy is coming across from the southern ocean, but it’s just staying away from our swell window. And sadly, these conditions look like lasting for at least another week.

Pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year I guess. So, what can you do, but keep the powder dry and wait for the magic days to return. Go well!

Weather Situation
A persistent high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea. A weakening cold front will bring a southerly change to the Mid North Coast today, but is not expected to reach the Queensland border. Northeasterly winds will become reestablished along the coast under the influence of the high, before another south to southeasterly change develops along the southern half of the coast during Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 15 knots around midday then becoming east to northeasterly during the afternoon and increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres tending southerly 0.5 metres late this evening.
Wednesday 16 November
Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots ahead of a south to southwesterly change up to 25 knots during the morning then tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending easterly about 1 metre from the morning.
Weather
The chance of

thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
Thursday 17 November
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeasterly up to 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Are you super keen?

Posted by: on June 22nd, 2011

Hello Friends,

Lookin’ pretty small, but not utterly and absolutely flat at Dee Why beach as the Wednesday opened. The morning light had a funny slightly dusty look to it too. Sets at the few functioning low tide peaks were hitting the waist high mark. A cold and stiff westerly was encouraging the keeping of hands in pockets and hoods up. But a clutch of hardy types were not deterred at Dee Why.

The wind is supposed to back off gradually today and the swell is supposed to maintain at around the current weak level for another day. That said, some interpretations of the models are showing a small uptick in energy levels for late Thursday and Friday. We aren’t talking anything too dramatic but there might be the odd shoulder high set at spots with good exposure to the south. But thereafter… well, you probably don’t want to hear about what those models say…

Have yourself a great Wednesday one and all!

 

TIDES: L @0650, H @1310

Weather Situation
A vigorous westerly airstream following the passage of a strong cold front on Tuesday. Winds are expected ease gradually during Wednesday as the front moves towards New Zealand and a high pressure system over Western Australia extends a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots by early evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre.
Thursday 23 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre.
Friday 24 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.

Sticky: We’re waiting… in your own time Huey…

Posted by: on September 11th, 2010

Afternoon update:
Well, the models were right… I couldn’t see it this morning, but a pulse did fill in (along with an onshore, sadly) and when I went by Curly mid-arvo there were a few okay size sets. However, the onshore was making it quite junky, there were long waits for catchable ones, and they seemed kinda weak.

Here’s a shot I grabbed…

(this morning I wrote)
Hello Friends,

Looking very small at Dee Why this morning. There’s only a metre of short period south windswell showing on the MHL buoy off Sydney at the moment. And given the data from the other buoys up and down the coast, I’m not hopeful of any immediate improvement. The models are suggesting a slight improvement around lunchtime, but I can’t see where it’d come from myself.

Outlook for the next couple days is for continued flatness, so put in a few unexpected appearances if you can. With luck those karma points will come in handy later in the week.

Latest run of the wave prediction models continues to show a steady upward ramp in our possibilities from Tuesday. If they’re right, we could see some waist high stuff from the east for Tuesday afternoon and then on Wednesday we could be seeing some head high plus south swell. But, if we’re lucky, that will just be prelude to some serious juice come next weekend. There is some serious fetch showing on the models for Fri-Sat… sure hope those predictions play out because if they do, there could be some sizable, long period south swell lighting up the joint…

Go well with your Saturday!

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds: Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Winds becoming light later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre tending southerly about 1.5 metres from the late morning.
Forecast for Sunday

Winds: West to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly around midday then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending westerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending west to northwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly 1 metre tending northeasterly from midday.

Beautiful morning, shame about the surf

Posted by: on August 24th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Microscopic again this morning where Dee Why’s concerned, and given the swell settings (a metre from the south at 6 seconds), you’d have to guess the story is the same all across our region. But it’s a beautiful morning out there, so that has to be a good thing.

With no surf prospects today, a surfer’s thoughts (and mouse) turn to the forecast… and the latest run of data is looking, shall we say, heartening.

The latest run of the models, and the numerous prediction riffs run thereon, show a nice big fetch pointing our way late in the week. If it happens, Huey could pull the lever in a pretty good way and send us some solid overhead south swell from as early as late Friday. What’s more, from my reading of the charts, it really looks as though we could have pumping conditions right through the weekend and into Monday. And just to gladden my photographer’s heart, the call is for sunny weather too. Really looking forward to getting a few more pictures of you all!

Have yourself a top old Tuesday, may it all go well for you.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning.
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots around midday then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds up to 25 knots by early evening then increasing to 20 to 30 knots later in the evening.Sea: Up to 3 metres decreasing below 2 metres around midday then increasing to 3 metres later in the evening.Swell: Northeasterly 0.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots around dawn then increasing to 20 to 30 knots by early evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres by early evening.Swell: Southerly 0.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: Westerly 25 to 30 knots.

Sticky: Still micro folks

Posted by: on August 20th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Election eve and it’s micro. Worse, the models continue to call for minor to flat conditions for the next week – at least.

Has spring sprung on us a little early?

There are still big low pressure systems in the southern ocean but they’re being resolutely bounced away from us by the persistent high pressure systems that dominate our weather this time of year.

The latest data from the MHL buoy off Sydney is showing about a metre of 6 second period south windswell. If you can find some way to extract a wave or two from such a paltry offering, my hat’s off to you!

An inspection of the WAMs shows there is a slight chance of a just barely surfable south bump around lunchtime on Sunday. But right now, that’s pretty much it for the Sydney region (and the rest of the east coast) as far as I can tell.

Have yourself a top old Friday and get up to some good where you can!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Friday until midnight: Wind: Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots around midday then increasing to 20 to 30 knots later in the evening.Sea: Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.Swell: Easterly 0.5 metres tending southeasterly from midday.
Saturday: Wind: Westerly 20 to 25 knots.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: Southerly 0.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: Westerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending northeast to northwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.

Sticky: Another quiet one

Posted by: on December 30th, 2009

WRL pic

 

WRL pic

 

Hello Friends

Seems as that we have another day of microness in Sydney. The MHL buoy is showing about a metre from the south at around 6 seconds apart – much the same as it’s been for the last few days. So another day of nothing much in the way of wave options. Go for a fitness paddle or a swim or snorkle eh? Should be fine, sunny and 25 so it’ll be a good day to get outdoors even if surfing’s not happening.

From the leatest run of the models, it looks as though there might possibly be a little something around from the NE on New Year’s Day, but I think if there is, it’ll be marginal waist high stuff for the most part. At the outer limit of the prediction range, some interpretations of the data are showing a small south pulse around Sunday. The most optimistic of these reckons shoulder high is a possibility for south spots. We can hope I guess!

Anyway, enjoy the day and go well with your plans.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 10/15 knots tending E/NE in the afternoon.Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: E/SE about 1.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: N/NE 10/15 knots freshening to 15/20 knots in the afternoon and reaching 20/25 knots later. Sea: about 1 metre rising to 1.5 to 2 metres in the afternoon. Swell: E about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: NW/NE 10/20 knots.

 

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