Articles tagged with "SE-1m-7s"

Grey, smooth and just about flat

Posted by: on December 4th, 2016
dy

Only a faint line at Dee Why around 0720

dy beach

Tiny hint of a wave face at No Mans

Hello Friends,

Only a metre of 7-sec SE wind bump to work with this morning in Sydney. Tide was low at 0520 and at report time the wind was a barely-there westerly zephyr under hazy grey skies. Another morning for getting some exercise on the SUP or going for a swim etc because you’re unlikely to find anything much above the knee high range.
As the day warms up (we’re due to reach 28), the NE seabreeze will kick up into the 10-15 kt range. But there’s not much prospect for improvement to the surf conditions today, or even across the next few days. So, if you find something to mess about on, enjoy and plan to get back there again tomorrow.
Longer term, the models seem to be settling on a positive change toward the end of the week with some pointing toward to (potentially) shoulder plus south swell with periods in the low teens.
Your correspondent is off to Manly shortly to help out on the Surfrider stall at Ocean Care Day. Stop by and say hi and maybe buy a ticket in the Ultimate Quiver raffle ($5 for a shot at 7 grand’s worth of boards!).
Have a top old Sunday!

Weather Situation
A slow moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the Queensland coast. This system will promote freshening north to northeasterly winds today ahead of a trough approaching from the west. This trough is forecast bring a southerly change to the south coast on Monday afternoon, with the change moving through central parts of the coast late Monday and weakening along the mid north coast during Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable below 10 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening. Winds tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 5 December
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting southerly in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 6 December
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming easterly about 10 knots around midday.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters

Dramatic drop but not flat- yet

Posted by: on September 11th, 2016

dy beach

Still the odd little set at kiddies as of 0815


no mans wave

No Mans knee plusses but not much more

Hello Friends,

Swell’s faded overnight but there are still waves to be had at magnets. Sets at Dee Why look to be knee plus this morning, but not too frequent. The point’s not doing anything though. According to the MHL buoy, there was about a metre of mainly SE 7-sec wind swell. Tide was low at 0905, wind should be light and it ought to be sunny all day.
This morning’s run of the forecast models contains little joy. The midweek bump that’s been in the forecasts for awhile seems to no longer be a prospect according to most of them. I get to shed my arm cast on Friday and right now it looks like being flat thereafter. Typical!
Went shooting yesterday evening at south Narrabeen, so I’ll have a gallery up later. Conditions were pretty good too…

sth narrabeen

Yesterday evening at south Narrabeen (full lgallery up later)

Have a great Sunday everyone!

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure is extending across New South Wales in the wake of a cold front, promoting a return to light winds over most coastal waters today. A trough is expected to bring a weak southerly change to southern and central parts during Monday, with the next significant cold front due in the second half of the week.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 12 September
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 13 September
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning west to southwesterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 30% chance of rain.

Plan B day at Dee Why

Posted by: on September 8th, 2016
sth narrabeen wrl

Nothing rideable at south Narrabeen (WRL cam)

no mans dy

Tiny bumps for the super keen at 0745

dy point

Only a trickle at the point

Hello Friends,

High clouds made for a grey morning along the beaches. Winds were light from the NW and swell was around a metre from the south at 9 seconds. This was producing ankle to knee high bumps at Dee Why, although I’d say from looking at the cams, you could find a knee to waistish wave at an optimally angled stretch. There’s some long period stuff showing on the latest MHL data, so it’s not impossible for interesting sneaker sets to turn up.
Tide was low at 0605 and by the time it’s back to high at 1240, the Bureau tells us the wind will be building into the 15-20 kt range from the NE.
The Goat should be along later with a forecast and I’ll be interested to see what he thinks of Saturday in particular. I reckon NE spots could be a possibility…
Have a great Thursday everybody!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred over the Tasman Sea is moving slowly east, and will bring a return to northerly winds in most coastal areas. Winds will strengthen during Thursday south from the Hunter as the next cold front approaches, strengthening further on Friday before the front brings a gusty westerly change. Conditions should ease again on the weekend as a new high drifts across from the west.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Friday 9 September
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. 60% chance of showers at night.
Saturday 10 September
Winds
North to northeasterly 25 to 35 knots tending west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending west to southwesterly during the evening.
Seas
2 to 4 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of rain.

Rain and tiny for this morning in Sydney

Posted by: on July 20th, 2016

Hello Friends,
At 0400 there was a fair amount of precipitation west of Sydney, heading east. Wind was lightly offshore and the MHL buoy’s 0200 report showed 0.8 metre from the SE at 10 seconds. Tide will be high at 0825.
Sounds like a great morning to skip the dawn patrol and to get on with the non-surfing dimension of your life.
From this morning’s forecast models, it’s still shaping up to be micro to near flat until Sunday when there could be another fun size south pulse which could last into Monday-ish.
No postcards yet, but maybe later!
Have a great day one and all.

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough extends from the northwest of the state to central parts of the coast. The trough is forecast to move north up the New South Wales Coast, bringing southerly winds in its wake, before gradually weakening about the far north coast tomorrow. On Friday, winds throughout will turn north to northwesterly and increase as the next front approaches from the west. Winds are expected to shift west to southwesterly on Saturday in the wake of the front.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 20 knots, tending northwesterly about 10 knots offshore in the early morning. Winds tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots throughout in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain.
Thursday 21 July
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots, becoming variable about 10 knots by the afternoon, then becoming north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Friday 22 July
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 30% chance of a shower.

Very small and no takers early

Posted by: on June 1st, 2016

Hello Friends,

Cloudy with a 90% prospect of more rain later as the day got started. Dee Why point was empty and I couldn’t see anyone in the water along the bits of the beach I can see from the crowsnest. Wind was light and from the west and a metre or so of swell was coming from the SE with a wind swelly 7 second period. Tide was high at 0420 and is heading to the low at 1040. I reckon you might find a waist high little bump at a better exposed location, but it’s likely to be pretty gutless thanks to that short period. Plus, the Bureau’s calling for it to decrease across the morning before coming up a bit again overnight into tomorrow.
Most of the swell models are pointing toward an improvement in the period setting along with the uptick in size from around tomorrow afternoon. Friday looks ho-hum on most of the predictions and Saturday morning is similar, but from Saturday afternoon all the predictions are indicating a dramatic rise in the swell. It’s supposed to be rainy Saturday but on Sunday as the swell is predicted to go into the nutty range (3-4 metres), the weather should improve and the wind should play nice too. On current reckoning, Monday could be the peak day, but it could be pumping all next week at south spots. Wind predictions look good too… basically lots of winter offshores.
Will try to add another pic or two later, so in the meantime, have yourself a productive and happy day!

dy point wave

Nobody in the water at the point as of 0715

dy beach

Tiny wave at Kiddies

.
.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near Tasmania extends a ridge into New South Wales while a trough lies over the coast. The high is expected to move slowly east across the Tasman Sea during the next few days. Winds are likely turn northeasterly and increase during Saturday as the trough deepens, with winds shifting westerly later in the weekend when the trough becomes mobile moves east over the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots easing to about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 2 June
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then decreasing below 1 metre later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Friday 3 June
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the evening.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers

Grey, rainy, glassy – and some waves

Posted by: on March 2nd, 2014

Hello Friends,
Around 0845 when I grabbed the first pictures of the day, it was looking glassy and waist plus on the sets along the beach at Dee Why. A surprisingly healthy turn-out too, especially given the gloomy, showery and generally unlovely weather.
Swell’s showing as coming from the SE, but a glance at the 0500 spectra data from MHL indicates that we have short period wind swell coming from almost the NE around to the south. South of us at Port Kembla and Eden, the swell is more distinctly SSE and although the same size as Sydney (about a metre on average at sea), the average period is a healthy 12 seconds or so (as compared to the 7-8 offshore of Sydney).
Tide was high at 0810 and is dropping to a lowish low at 1445.
Wind should come up soon from the SE and be into the 10-15 kt range. Showers should ease off later.
Outlook is for the swell to stay around the current levels through the day (the models aren’t showing that longer period stuff reaching this far north). The week ahead isn’t looking all that interesting according to the aforementioned models. There might be a brief south pulse around midweek, but the general outlook is for marginal, barely waist high but not utterly flat conditions.
Have yourself a fun old Sunday!

This one ran a reasonable distance (0845)

This one ran a reasonable distance (0845)

Lots of folk undeterred by the rain.

Lots of folk undeterred by the rain.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving from the west towards Tasmania extending a ridge to the east. This high will move over the southwestern Tasman Sea on Monday strengthening the ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front is expected to bring a brief southerly change to the south coast during Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Monday 3 March
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Tuesday 4 March
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.

Small, no, really tiny, Sunday

Posted by: on March 24th, 2013

Thumping set

Hello Friends,

If you couldn’t surf today, what would you do? Well, do that. 🙂

We have a faint 7 second period SE wind swell lapping feebly into the beaches of Sydney on this warm autumn morning. Tide was high at about 10 to 7 and will be dropping to low at 1320 or so. Not that it matters too much. Wind will get around to the NE by lunch, but it’s not likely to kick up much in the way of extra energy for us.

This morning’s run of the swell forecast interpretations points to another week at least of marginal to flat conditions for the entire east coast. We should have some tiny east wind swell in the mornings, but really, I think we’ll be getting in the water for the paddling exercise as much as anything.

C’mon autumn, let’s get going already!

Have yourself a great Sunday one and all.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is maintaining a ridge to the northwest Tasman Sea, while a low pressure trough lies over northeast New South Wales. The trough is expected to weaken over the northern coast during Sunday as another high pressure system approaches from the west. As this high shifts to the Tasman Sea early in the new week, northerly winds will increase along the coast ahead of the next cold front and southerly change, expected during Thursday and Friday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning.
Monday 25 March
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then shifting easterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Tuesday 26 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.

Sticky: Still going sideways this morning

Posted by: on November 21st, 2011

Hello Friends,

Not looking too interesting this morning. We don’t seem to have the fog of the last couple days (not warm enough over the land), and the winds were light early. Swell is a barely-there  metre or so from the SE with a 7 second period. Just not happening. Gotta run some errands, so gotta jam.

Have a great Monday!

Weather Situation

A high is in the Tasman Sea and another to the west of WA. A trough is between these highs. A weak southerly change is expected to stall on the far north coast today. Another southerly change will affect most of the coast on Tuesday and Wednesday with winds strengthening on Thursday as the trough deepens off the north coast and the high pushes eastwards into Bass Strait.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northeast to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southerly during the evening.

Tuesday 22 November

Winds
Northeasterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times ahead of a southerly change 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre tending easterly 0.5 metres in the afternoon and evening.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms in the morning.

Wednesday 23 November

Winds

South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southerly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon then increasing to up to 25 knots during the evening.

Seas

Below 1 metre increasing up to 2 metres during the evening.

Swell

Northeasterly about 1 metre.

Another warm and very hazy morning

Posted by: on November 20th, 2011

Hello Friends,

At 0900 the visibility along the northern beaches was only about 1km and therefore it was too gloomy to take a picture for this report. From what I could see though, the energy levels are still very feeble. The MHL buoy was indicating a primary swell direction from the SE. Average size is up a touch to around the metre mark, but the average period is only 7 seconds.  As a consequence I’d be expecting maximum wave heights at exposed spots to be struggling to reach waist high.

Tide was low at around 0910 and it’ll go up about a metre to the high around 1520.

The hazy conditions should gradually dissipate as the day goes along, but the Bureau says we can expect skies to cloud over, northeast to southeast winds accelerate and thunderstorms start popping out of the saturated atmosphere. In fact, this morning’s forecast is calling for a 90% chance of showers developing.

From this morning’s forecast models, it would appear that we’re probably in for another week of minor conditions. Some of the interpretations are showing a little activity spinning up for us late in the week as a potentially head high plus east swell pulses in late Thursday, early Friday.

Have yourself a top old Sunday!

Weather Situation

A high is in the Tasman Sea and another to the west of WA. A trough between these highs will move through NSW with a southerly change reaching the northern parts of the coast by the end of the day. Another southerly change will affect the southern coast on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southwesterly during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore late this evening.

Monday 21 November

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres tending southerly about 2 metres in the afternoon and evening.

Tuesday 22 November

Winds

Northeasterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times, tending northwesterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending south to southwesterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Seas

Up to 1.5 metres.

Swell

Southeasterly about 1.5 metres tending northeasterly 0.5 metres during the evening.

Small but not utterly flat

Posted by: on August 15th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Heavy cloud lurking off to the south when I grabbed a snap of Dee Why beach this morning a little before 0730. The MHL buoy off Sydney is still not reporting in, so my guess is that the swell is out of the SE at around a metre with an average period somewhere in the 7-8 second range. The Eden and Batemans Bay buoys are showing an uptick in the average period to around 10 seconds. If that gets up to us, there could be a small improvement in size as the day goes along. Unfortunately the wind’s supposed to swing from SW this morning to SE this afternoon.

Tide is high at 0910 and low @1455.

From the shape of this morning’s swell forecast interpretations, it would appear that we’re in for a smallness through tomorrow before we get a bit of a SE pulse on Wednesday. That could be an interesting one because the wind is set to be pretty strongly out of the NE along the Sydney coast. According to the predictions, we’re looking at 12-14 sec periods too, and that should mean there are some interesting goings-on in a few of the north corners. Later in the week looks as though it’ll be smaller but not flat thanks to a combo of SE swell direction and reasonable periods.

For what it’s worth, the very long range call is for some real size at SE spots on Sunday through to Tuesday. Could be so-so winds with it, so although 4 metres of SE might happen, conditions may not be all that clean.

Have yourself a top old Monday!

Weather Situation
A strengthening high pressure system to the southeast of Tasmania extends a ridge into eastern New South Wales. The high is expected to move slowly over the southern Tasman Sea during the next day or two. An active cold front is forecast to cross much of the state during Wednesday, reaching the coast early Thursday. A low is then likely to form over the western Tasman Sea as an upper level trough moves across the region, although it’s precise position is currently uncertain.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Tuesday 16 August
Winds
Light winds tending northeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Wednesday 17 August
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the morning then becoming northerly 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.

 

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