I was hoping there’d at least be a tiny line showing in Dee Why this morning, but once I’d climbed aloft and scanned the situation from the RealSurf crows nest, it was sadly apparent that we were in for another day of microness.
There is a little twitch showing on the buoy data from down south, so maybe we’ll see just a hint of something later this afternoon in the north corners. By then we’re set to have a light NE’r, so who knows … grasping at straws I guess!
Nothing much of interest on the swell models for us this morning either. Some are showing the possibility of a perk into surfable size toward the end of the week. High degree of uncertainty being so far out forecast wise, so we shall see what we see…
Have a top old Monday one and all.
TIDES: L @1010 H @1645
Weather Situation A high pressure ridge dominates most of New South Wales, with the high pressure centre expected to lie over New South Wales until early Tuesday. The ridge will be weakening and moving to the east from Tuesday as another change is forecast move through the state on Wednesday/Thursday. Forecast for Monday until midnight Winds Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly about 1.5 metres. Tuesday 28 August Winds North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots later in the evening, then easing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell Southerly about 1 metre. Wednesday 29 August Winds Northerly 15 to 25 knots. Seas 1 to 2 metres. Swell Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending easterly from midday.
Not your most dramatically wonderful morning for surf at Dee Why. The swell has faded to just under a metre from the SE at about 8 seconds apart. There is still some longer period component in the mix – which is probably why there’s at least the odd knee to waist high set wandering in. But it ain’t exactly consistent. So, your best shot is your longest, floatiest wave catching device and your most chilled out attitude. We’re talking Mellow with a big fancy capital M.
Oh, and just to ensure things are nice and fat and slow, the tide is coming in to a high at 1020 (low at 1615) and the wind will be picking up into the 20-25 kt range from the w-nw later. That ought to do an excellent job of pushing the (feeble) wave energy away from us.
Outlook is for the near flatness to last through tomorrow, but then on Tuesday it seems from the swell models as though we just might get ourselves a healthy, albeit very brief, 2-3 metre south pulse.
It’s a beautiful sunny day, so get out amongst it and enjoy.
Weather Situation A weakening low pressure system located over the eastern Tasman Sea is moving slowly away to the east. A ridge of high pressure lies over northern New South Wales and is expected to remain in place during the next few days as a series of cold fronts pass to the south, with predominantly westerly winds across the coastal waters. Strong winds are expected to impact the Illawarra, Batemans and Eden waters on Sunday as the first of these fronts approach NSW. Forecast for Sunday until midnight Winds West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell Southeasterly about 1 metre. Monday 6 August Winds Westerly 20 to 25 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon. Seas 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell Southeasterly about 1 metre tending southerly about 2 metres in the afternoon and evening. Tuesday 7 August Winds West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to west to northwesterly about 10 knots during the morning then increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly 2 metres.
No waves to speak of at Dee Why this morning. And such a pretty (if chilly) day too. There were a couple bods in the water, so maybe I wasn’t patient enough to wait for a set to turn up for the picture.
There isn’t anything of interest showing in the buoy data at the moment and the forecasts aren’t encouraging for the rest of today and through to lunchtime tomorrow.
We should see a south pulse tomorrow afternoon, but the wind’s not looking too favourable and there’ll be showers about. Wednesday morning on the other hand is distinctly more promising. We could have a long period south swell and light winds…
Have yourself a top old Monday. Oh, and I have a question about cars. What’s the smallest car you’ve been able to get a mal into? I can put the seats down and get one into my creaky old Subaru Liberty, but it really needs to be replaced after 20 years…
Weather Situation A strong high pressure system over South Australia is moving slowly to the east and extends a ridge across northern and central parts of NSW. A cold front near Tasmania is expected to reach the far south coast this afternoon, extending through central coasts tonight, and the remainder on Tuesday. The high will move into the Tasman Sea on Wednesday. Forecast for Monday until midnight Winds West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly in the afternoon then south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots early evening. Seas Below 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell Southerly about 1.5 metres. Tuesday 26 June Winds Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening. Swell Southerly 1.5 to 3 metres. Weather Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the afternoon and evening. Wednesday 27 June Winds Variable below 10 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Light offshores and a small to tiny SE wind swell of about a metre at 8 seconds apart was lighting up the odd low tide peak this morning along the Dee Why to Longy stretch. And, I should imagine, various other SE spots around the Sydney region will be producing similar results. The Bureau tells us that the light and variable winds early will gradually yield to seabreezes of 10-15 kts later.
Outlook for the rest of the week remains marginal but not quite into write-it-off territory – as long as you don’t mind playing in knee to waist high conditions.
We’re set to have more NE conditions through to Thursday, but it looks as though the wind swell will stick around at about the current level.
Could be worse!
Have yourself a top old day.
TIDES: L @0605 H @1200
Weather Situation A high pressure system centred to the west of Bass Strait is moving east, while another high over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast. This second high will be one of the dominant features in the region during the next few days as it drifts slowly towards New Zealand. Between these systems is a trough on the southern coast, which is expected to weaken later today. Another trough is expected to affect the southern coast during Thursday. Forecast for Tuesday until midnight Winds Light and variable inshore at first, otherwise east to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres. Wednesday 28 March Winds Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southeasterly 1.5 metres. Thursday 29 March Winds Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to below 10 knots during the evening. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 1 metre.
Already warm as the sun came over the horizon this morning. Heading to 36 along the coast and 41 inland, so there will be lots of folks jockeying for parking spots at the beach today. Doesn’t look as though there will be anything much in the waves department though. Sets at North Narrabeen and at Dee Why centre were struggling to make much above the knee high mark. We are talking tiny as it gets before you have to admit that it’s f-l-a-t.
According to the MHL buoy, the day started off in Sydney with about a metre of 8 second period SE windswell. The wind is north to NW and will push around to the north about lunch time before getting around to the NE for the afternoon. When that happens we might get a slight pick up in wave energy – but I’m guessing it’ll go from knee to waist to maybe waist to chest at exposed spots – if we’re really lucky.
Tomorrow a south change is expected around about midday and the models are predicting a small upward bump in the energy levels, but again, I’m not expecting much, because the power levels are expected to be marginal.
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is moving to the southeast maintaining a weak ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front will bring southerly to the far south coast this evening extending to the central coast Sunday afternoon an to the far north coast overnight. Behind the front another high pressure system is expected to move south of the Bight extending a ridge to the north coast.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northerly 15 to 25 knots around midday then tending north to northeasterly up to 30 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.
Forecast for Sunday Winds: West to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning ahead of a southerly change 10 to 20 knots around midday. Winds tending south to southeasterly and increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 3 metres by early evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon.
Forecast for Monday Winds: Southeasterly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
The swell’s gone a bit more to the SE in the last 24 hours, so there just might be a few more small offerings around the place this morning. We have a low tide around 1300 today, so tide’s running out all morning. According to the MHL data for Sydney, the average heights are around the one metre mark out at sea and the dominant period is about 8 seconds. This should translate into waist high plus sets at the best exposed spots.
Wind’s set to be light through the morning, but gradually picking up from the NE and getting up to a fairly typical afternoon setting of 15-20 kts.
That’s the good news.
The latest run of the models it has to be said is looking pretty bleak for waves. According to some of the predictions it will be small to flat for at least another week. There are some estimates of okay (to chest high) around Sunday. Sure hope the optimistic reckonings are the right ones!
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to New South Wales north coast.The high will move slowly towards New Zealand during Friday and Saturday, maintaining north to northeast winds along much of the coast. On Saturday a cold front is expected to move over the southwestern Tasman Sea bringing a southerly change along the southern half of the coast.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 1 metre. Forecast for Friday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre. Forecast for Saturday
Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots ahead of a southerly change up to 30 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon then increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms from midday.
We woke up to the sound of rain on the roof and the swish of tyres on wet streets this morning. And surfers woke up to an ocean of calmness. From the look of Dee Why this morning, it’s going to be a challenge to catch much of anything there at all. The MHL buoy shows swell out of the SE but with only a metre and just 8 seconds average period to work with, Huey’s not likely to serve up anything very exciting – or even rideable.
There wasn’t much wind to start with, but the forecast is for a moderate southerly to get going this morning. Some of the models suggest that this might lead to a small pulse for south facing stretches tomorrow morning. But overall, the outlook according to the latest wave height forecast is for marginal to flat conditions across the next three days. The prospect of another good size pulse on Saturday has disappeared from the long range estimates.
Oh well… Huey will get over this slackness sooner or later….
Have yourself a top old day!
TIDES: H @1140, L @1710 Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Tuesday until midnight: Wind: Southerly 10 to 15 knots reaching 15 to 20 knots at times in the afternoon and evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres. Wednesday: Wind: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres. Thursday: Wind: Southeast to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending southerly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
A gallery of 130 shots taken this morning at mid-Curly. I was there from around 1030 to 1110, so if you were in the water then, check ’em out! As usual, if you want a high res version of any of these without the copyright watermark, they are for sale.
Swell energy has dropped back quite a bit since this time yesterday. Swell is currently around the metre mark with an average period of 8 seconds. On the plus side, it’s moved a touch more to the SSE, so that may help slightly. There was a smallish crew waiting at Dee Why point for the very occasional waist high set wave to peel along the rocks. The shorey was bigger, but for the most part shutting down heavily on those keen enough to jump into them.
Outlook is for the surf options to stay about the same in Sydney today. My hunch is that the best time to go wave hunting mid morning as the tide comes in. Just don’t expect to be catching much of anything above the waist to chest high mark. Wind is set to be mainly w to sw in the morning, before weakening into light seabreeze conditions this arvo in Sydney.
Looking ahead, current indications are that the waves will kinda hang around this level through mid next week… and then the models just go stupid. Depending on which riff on the data you favour, the call is currently for anywhere from 6 to 8(!) metres of south swell slamming into us Thursday-ish. Not surprisingly there’s also expected to be powering southerlies with the giant swell. I’ll be charging up my batteries for a bit of shooting, that’s for sure.
Go well with your day!
TIDES: L @0930, H @1545 Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Friday until midnight: Wind: West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, inshore afternoon seabreezes less than 10 knots.Sea: to 1 metre. Swell: East to southeasterly about 1 metre. Saturday: Wind: South to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending southeasterly during the afternoon.Sea: to 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres. Sunday: Wind: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to northeasterly during the afternoon.
Folks aplenty chasing waves at Dee Why beach on Sun morning.
Sunday started in fine form. Light winds and a little SE windswell greeted the early risers. At Dee Why what appears to be the sole peak was well occupied. Folks were catching waves with faces into the chest high range. I’d guess those bigger ones were the 10 sec period sets.
According to the models, the trend is likely to be downward through the day, so your best shot is to get out early I’d say. Given the SE direction, there ought to be little waves to be had at most beaches in Sydney this morning.
It’s looking like we’re in for a week of tiny to flat conditions, so you might want to add that factor to your calculations as well…
Have yourself a great Sunday!
Tides- H: 0900, L: 1511
Synoptic Situation A weak front will move northwards along the southern coast today, and another is expected tonight. These will briefly increase the winds from the south, but northeast winds are expected to become established again on both days in the afternoon. A strong front is expected through New South Wales on Tuesday/Wednesday. Along the coast, northerly winds will strengthen from late Monday onwards ahead of the front, and winds are likely to increase to gale force behind the change on Wednesday.
Sydney Coastal Waters,Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Sunday until midnight: Wind: W’ly 5/10 knots turning SE/NE 8/13 knots, then NW/SW late evening.Sea: to about 1 metre. Swell: SE about 1 metre. Chance afternoon thunderstorms. Monday: Wind: SW 18/23 knots easing to SE 5/10 knots during the morning, then turning NE and increasing to 15/20 knots in the evening.Sea: Mostly about 1 metre, but 1.5 to 2.5 metres early and late afternoon and evening. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Tuesday: Wind: N/NW 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots later. Forecast for Sunday Mostly sunny morning with some smoke haze and fog patches. The chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm more likely in the west. Light to moderate westerly winds and afternoon seabreezes.