Spring time bouncing down rather than up this morning. Oh well. Dee Why was barely breaking, however swell is out of the SE at about a metre and 8 seconds apart, so there could be some little things at the best exposed beaches.
However, you need to get on it, because a southerly is due through the joint in the next few hours.
Tomorrow should see an onshore morning as the southerly persists, but by afternoon the Bureau says the winds will be lighter and variable, so there may be some chance of a wave.
Longer term the models aren’t showing too much of interest it has to be said. Plan on marginal to flat for the next week I’d say.
Stay keen says I, Huey will return…
Increasing northerly winds ahead of a cold front expected to reach Ulladulla early Thursday morning, then reaching Metropolitan around the midday and the far north coast in the evening. Winds will become light toward the weekend as a high pressure system centred near the Bight extends a ridge over most of the state.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
North to northwesterly 20 to 25 knots shifting southerly up to 30 knots around midday then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon or early evening.
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres around midday then decreasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Easterly 1.5 metres.
The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
Friday 14 September
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn then decreasing to variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Easterly 2 metres tending southeasterly about 2 metres from the morning.
Saturday 15 September
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southeast to southwesterly during the morning then decreasing to variable about 10 knots during the day.
Below 1 metre.
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Not much of interest going on at Dee Why this morning. The primary swell direction has gone around to the SE. It’s about a metre on average out at sea and averaging 8 seconds apart. High tide at 1030 isn’t contributing anything to the surf prospects. Wind was light early, but the Bureau tells us that it will gradually build up from the south and be going pretty hard tomorrow morning.
All that southerly activity should push up some wind swell tomorrow, but I’d be astounded if there was a quality wave anywhere. Might be a prospect on Tuesday morning though because the forecast says the wind should weaken from around midday on Monday. I’m also liking the look of some of the longer range predictions for late in the week when we just might get a long period south pulse. Might be an idea to tentatively secure a Friday morning surf slot in your schedule…
Have yourself a great Sunday!
A cold front will move through the northeast of the state today as a strong, slow-moving high pressure system moves south of the Bight extending a ridge towards NSW.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
South to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots then tending south to southeasterly around midday. Winds becoming southerly 10 to 20 knots by early evening. .
Below 1 metre.
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Isolated thunderstorms offshore from the late morning until late afternoon.
Monday 31 October
Southerly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 20 knots around midday then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening.
Up to 2 metres.
Easterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres tending southerly 1.5 metres late in the evening.
Tuesday 1 November
Light southwest to southeasterly winds tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Well, there may be a metre of SSE swell out at sea, but with an average period of around 8 seconds, there’s nothing much showing. No bods were in the water at Dee Why that I could see when I checked it out this morning. There were some people at North Narrabeen for some reason that wasn’t instantly obvious. I’d say the biggest sets were struggling to get into the waist high range.
Latest run of the models is less than inspiring. Basically it looks like small, short period mainly south swell across the next week for the Sydney region. Indeed, it seems that the whole east coast faces this baleful regime of smallness. I hope this doesn’t mean that spring is arriving early…
There are still some big systems in the southern ocean, but they just aren’t getting to us. You’d have a better chance across the Tasman. Mahia looks good Wed-Thr…
Oh well, keep on smilin’!
Sydney Closed Waters, Pittwater, Port Jackson and Botany Bay:
Monday until midnight: Wind:West to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending south to southwesterly during the morning then tending south to southeasterly around midday. Winds light later in the evening. Waters:Smooth.
Tuesday: Wind:Light winds tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots later in the evening. Waters:Smooth.
Wednesday: Wind: Light winds tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.
Our little SE swell was on the fade and the wind was going around to the south when I rocked up around 1100 with the Canon 5D MkII and 100-400mm. There were plenty of folks in the water despite the fairly ordinary conditions. If you were in the water in the middle part of the beach, have a look through, I might have caught your immortal moves!
I’d hoped for better this morning. But it was not to be. The forecast last night was calling for light NW breezes to begin with, but instead we have a junk-inducing NE’r. Swell, as expected, has further weakened overnight and is now around the metre mark out at sea with an average period of 8 seconds. However, it’s coming from the SE and there is still some 12 sec component showing in the mix, so you just might see the odd waist high plus set at perfectly exposed stretches.
Dee Why, as the picture below illustrates, is junky and struggling to produce anything much above knee high for the hardy crew in the water at Kiddies.
The not so great news is that we’re heading into a pretty ordinary run of conditions across the next week. The models are all showing very small, short period generally easterly windswell conditions through about Tuesday. Then the swell direction swings southerly but the periods are generally in the sub 8 sec range (possible little long period pulse late Tues afternoon) through about Thursday, when the long range forecast calls for us to see a return to short period E-NE windswell.
The WAMs are showing a reasonable level of activity out in the Tasman toward the end of the week, but the fetch is pointed away from us. Could be fun over in NZ…
Not the most exciting conditions at Dee Why to start the day.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: NE 10/15 knots, increasing to 15/20 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres, rising to 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots, increasing to 20/25 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres, rising to 2 to 2.5 metres. Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: SE/NE 5/15 knots.