Articles tagged with "SE-2m-10s"

Swell and north wind for Sydney

Posted by: on July 11th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Swell’s only backed off a touch. As of 0400 it was 2 metres and coming from the SE at 10 seconds apart. Wind was north 7-10 kts at 0540. The Bureau expects it to pick up though and be 15-25kts later, so you can probably write off anything in the southern corners once that happens. North ends though could be a possibility. Tide’s low at 0715, so there should be a little extra push from that. However, the swell energy levels are expected to decrease through the day and by tomorrow it could be pretty small, if not flat.
Outlook from what I can see is for at least a couple of days of short period smallness and then maybe a return to waist to chest at south magnets for the end of the week…
We’re seeing slightly bigger but still soft and short period dribble in southern SB and northern Ventura counties. Another notch or so bigger if you get south of LA and into Orange county. Herewith a pair of postcards…

C-street

Sunny Sunday and uncrowded tiny dribblers at California Street

Huntington Beach surfline pic

Southside Huntington Pier looking amazingly unbusy Sunday lunchtime with weak but up to chest high wave faces.

Fun looking but not super consistent

Posted by: on July 20th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Swell has faded overnight and is weakening steadily. As of 0800 it was a touch under 2 metres and coming from the SE at about 10 seconds apart. Wind was light and the air, well it was chilly.
Not too many in the water chasing some clean but mostly shutting down chest plus sets from North Steyne to Queenscliff. Only one person in the water at Curly where it looked like a fair amount of work. Dee Why point had a small population waiting around to jag some surprisingly soft looking shoulder high sets at the point. About the same size up toward No Mans, but it was really inconsistent while I was watching. Again, nice and clean looking and not at all busy.
Tide was low a little before 0500 and will be back to high at 1100.
The models are calling for the swell to drop away to pretty much nothing in the next day or so. Next pulse currently looks like arriving mid next week.
Have yourself a great Monday!

bodysurfing

Body surfer nails a good one at Queenscliff about 0815

surfer north steyne

Stepping into a shutdown at North Steyne

manly surfing

Eyening the possibilities at north Steyne

manly surfer

Sc runching shutdown at North Steyne

dy point bodysurfrer

Handy positioning DY point

dy point surfer

You can go in, but you can’t come out again

no mans wave

Rare set near No Man’s


.

Smaller, but not small

Posted by: on February 1st, 2015

Hello Friends,

Light SW wind and a high tide at 0730 combine with the slowly fading swell to deliver chest to head plus conditions at Dee Why this morning. Swell’s SE and around the two metre mark at sea with an average period of about 10 seconds. There were waves at the point and along the beach too. The banks situation doesn’t looked too flash – more shutdowns than makeable ones.

The Bureau tells us the southerly will pick up during the day and be a moderate 10-15kts this afternoon as we head toward low tide at 1415. The southerly regime looks to be in place one way or another right through to next weekend. So, morning’s will be the best shot. Swell should stay in the surfable range (figure knee to waist, with chest plus at standouts) though. We’re gradually leaving the summer doldrums behind.

Have yourself a great Sunday!

waves at dy point

0745 set

no mans surfing

Shoulder to head sets still

dy beach

Looking shutty-downy at 0745

Weather Situation

A deep low pressure system lies over the southwestern Tasman Sea and is expected to move further east and weaken today as a high pressure system moves south of the Bight extending a ridge to New South Wales north coast. Winds are expected to gradually turn southeasterly during Monday and Tuesday as the coastal ridge strengthens.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.

Monday 2 February

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 2 metres, tending east to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon and evening.

Tuesday 3 February

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.

Swell early but wind the problem

Posted by: on October 4th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Hey! I thought it’d be bigger this morning, especially since last night the Eden buoy was showing 5 metres on peaks. What we had off Sydney as of 0500 was 2 metres of 10-sec period SE on average with peak heights of 3 metres. Unfortunately, the NE’r was into it from the get-go, so surf options are pretty limited. Longy was the best of the bunch from Northy to Dee Why at 0630. Unsurprisingly given the holiday weekend and lack of other surf options, it was ferociously mobbed.

The Northy to Collaroy stretch was a write-off, and Dee Why would need lots of keenness to get in the water. That said, there were a few bods messing about in the waist to chest plus conditions. Meanwhile, up at Longy, the better ones were solidly head and a bit.

Next tide is a low at 1000, so at least we don’t have the complication of high tide first up.

All indications are that the swell will stick around at about the current size for the rest of the day. Sunday should be noticeably smaller (waist to chest plus at magnet spots) and Monday could see us back to marginal (knee to waist) but not flat.

I’m heading out with the camera soon, so maybe seeya around!

South Narra

South Narra

dee why point wave

Wind kinda doing it in

dee why point wave

Not too crowded either

butterbox

In the box!

long reef surfing

Long Reef the best of nearby options at 0630

Long Reef surfing

Throwin’ the mal around inside at Longy

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will gradually move east during the next few days. A cold front is expected to affect the southern half of the coast on Sunday. A stronger cold front is expected to bring a southerly change later Tuesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 5 October

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.

Monday 6 October

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning then shifting north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.

Saturday’s for surfin’

Posted by: on September 20th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Get out early or get skunked. Super clean and shoulder plus at 0630 under sunny skies thanks to a combo of light SW breeze and two metres of 10-sec SE swell. Weirdly, there were only two people at the point and just a few others scattered up the beach. Did everyone else tie one on last night or something?

Outlook is for the wind to turn southerly 15-20 kts this morning, so you really don’t want to leave it too late. High tide was at 0545 and will be low at 1130.

Swell looks like sticking around into Monday morning, but tomorrow the Bureau’s call is for southerlies early, turning variable late. Swell should still be around the same size though, so not without prospects.

Monday should still see some swell activity and with luck the south wind will be relatively light for the dawn patrol. Tuesday could see it fading right away, but possibly being surfable, and then things look to be into the marginal range for quite a stretch if the models are to be believed.

So get out, catch a few and have yourself a brilliant Saturday!

dee why point waves

Clean and fun looking set

surfing at dee why beach

Rights and lefts and clean at 0630

Weather Situation

A complex low pressure system is centred to the south of New Zealand, while a high is centred over western Victoria. This high will be the dominant feature in the region during the next few days as it drifts slowly east, maintaining a southwest to southeasterly wind flow along most of the New South Wales coast through to Sunday. Early in the new week the high is expected to reach the Tasman Sea, bringing a more northeasterly wind shift to southern and central parts of the coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.

Sunday 21 September

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.

Monday 22 September

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon then becoming east to northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

Not entirely hopeless, call it 4 out of 10

Posted by: on May 31st, 2014

Hello Friends,

The Bureau tells us the NE’r should start to make itself felt this morning, but for early risers, surface conditions were glassy, if somewhat sloppy. Swell is showing as mainly out of the SE at close to 2 metres with an average period of around 10 seconds. It looked like the shorter period stuff was dominating as the day got started. Waves were waist to chest plus and kind of wobbly.
Tide was low at 0400 and will hit high at 1000 before dropping back to low at 1530.
Outlook is for a few showers today and rain tomorrow. Swell is supposed to be around again tomorrow but much reduced by a decreasing period. The models say it’ll drop into the 6-8 sec range, so exposed spots might be around the waist high mark for the early.
Outlook for the week ahead is for mostly ordinary and marginal with the first few days offering the best hope of a wave before we get into some pretty dire looking conditions (ie flatness).
Have yourself a top Saturday everyone.

Kinda sloppy but not hopeless

Kinda sloppy but not hopeless

Messy and wobbly on the high tide.

Messy and wobbly on the high tide.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge into central New South Wales. Northerly winds will develop during Saturday as the high strengthens and a broad trough of low pressure moves into western New South Wales. This trough is forecast to cross the coast early Monday, bringing a westerly wind shift to most areas. Following this, the next high pressure system is expected to move across from the west, resulting in a return to lighter winds early in the new week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around dawn, then tending south to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Sunday 1 June
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the afternoon. Winds turning northerly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre later in the evening.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore around midday.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the late morning.
Monday 2 June
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Combo mix making it messy early

Posted by: on September 28th, 2013

Mess around waves

Bowl o'fun

Hello Friends,

If I was just looking at the MHL data this morning, I’d be urging you to get out there at once because it’s showing close to 2 metres of 10 sec period SE swell. However, the directional spectra reveals that we have a lot of NE-E chop from yesterday’s blow coming in as well. At Dee Why things get more chopped up and messy the further north along the beach you go. From kiddies up to the surf club is about the best of the lot. There were some chest high bowls here and there – when the two swells momentarily combined. Basically, the data notwithstanding, it looks like kinda sloppy wind swell conditions with the odd interesting little section randomly appearing.
Fluffy unoccupied Northy

Windswell pocket
The Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch was about 1/3 the size of Dee Why. There were a few bods chasing lumps and sections south of Marquesas, but I didn’t really see anyone from there up to Northy.

The Bureau tells us that the south swell is going to fade out today, so the plan is to hit it early if you can. Tide’s low at 0820 and will come in by less than a metre to the high at 1450 – by which time we should have a gusty SW’r.

The week ahead looks pretty paltry on the swell models. There might be a little bumpy stuff again tomorrow morning as we’re due to have another brief uptick in energy. Spots that like SW will be the best bet. Thereafter I’d say we’re facing another round of mostly marginal dribble before a fresh straight south pulse fills in around Friday.

Here’s an idea, why not get your pledge toward the RealSurf crowdfunding effort taken care of today? We’re within sight of the 70% mark on our target and if we can get 6 more folks on board, we’ll have a nice round 100 pledgers to invite to Don’s Surf Party on Weds 23 October at Deck Bar.

Have yourself a great Saturday!

Forecast updated at 5:40 am EST on Saturday 28 September 2013.
Weather Situation
A high is centred off the North Coast as a cold front moves over the west. This front is expected to move through southeastern districts during Saturday morning, continuing to the northeast later in the day. This will generate strong and gusty winds along much of the coast. Behind this system, winds will ease as the next high drifts across from the west during Sunday, before another cold front early in the new week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Sunday 29 September
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Monday 30 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.

Rainy start and smaller again too

Posted by: on June 29th, 2013

0700: Rainy, smaller
Hello Friends,

Not the most enticing conditions for an early morning surf at Dee Why. There were some little waves (probably around the chest high range on sets) but given the on-again, off-again rain and the somewhat bumpy and floppy looking swell, there were no takers as of 0700.

The Bureau tells us that the early light and variable winds will wander around to the SE before long, and that the swell will weaken. I guess it had to sooner or later. After all, it’s been head high or bigger for most of June.

As a glance at the weather radar confirms, the forecast for rainy periods all day is looking entirely plausible.

So, the already foul looking water won’t be cleaning up anytime soon.

The lumpy, bumpy marginal and generally showery conditions look set to last through to mid-week. According to this morning’s run of the swell forecast models, for the next week our stretch of the east coast looks like being mostly in the waist to chest range – depending obviously on the details of swell direction, beach and tide. Wind is expected to be mainly SE over the next three days, so early morning will be the best shot for slightly cleaner conditions.

Tides: L @0705 [email protected]

Keep on smilin’ one and all, we still have a fair amount of the winter surf season in front of us!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Saturday 29 June 2013.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near the Bight extends a ridge across the southern Tasman Sea and a low pressure lies trough off New South Wales north. During Sunday the trough will deepen with a low forming within the trough on Monday before moving away from the coast during Tuesday and Wednesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Southeast to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms, becoming more likely in the morning. The chance of thunderstorms tonight.

Sunday 30 June

Winds
Southeasterly below 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.

Monday 1 July

Winds

Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.

Seas

1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.

Swell

Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.

Sticky: Yo, ho, ho me hearties

Posted by: on May 6th, 2013

Dee Why fun
Hello Friends,

Now that’s more like it. SE swell of a couple metres at 10 seconds apart on the primary swell direction. Throw in westerly wind and a dropping tide (low at noon-ish) and it’s coming together nicely. Sets are into the head high range and the crowd is, well, it’s not that crowded a crowd if you ask me.

So the plan is to hit it immediately because the wind is supposed to be south and then going SE later.

I might just take off on a mini-safari…

Go well one and all!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near Tasmania will move slowly east during the next few days, maintaining a ridge over eastern New South Wales. This pattern will promote generally light to moderate winds along most of the coast this week.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly around 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Tuesday 7 May
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Wednesday 8 May
Winds
East to northeasterly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

SW’ly Sunday morning

Posted by: on March 17th, 2013

Smaller by quite a bit

Hello Friends,

Wind was SSW 15-25 kts inshore this morning. The Bureau says we can expect it to go southerly later. Swell is mainly out of the ESE to SE at around 2.3 metres on average with a period of a touch over 10 seconds. This was delivering a somewhat setty and choppy shoulder plus surf experience to the first shift at Dee Why. Most of the action that I saw was happening along the beach, but there were a number of folks bobbing around off the point, so I assume there must be the odd set out there.

Although we have swell, that wind will confine the surf options pretty severely I’d say. Find a corner and enjoy!

This morning’s swell modelling foretells a marginal weak ahead. With luck it won’t actually get to flat, but from the look of it, the wind supply will be pretty steady…

Should have some fresh galleries up for you later today as I shot at Gardens, North Narra and Mona Vale yesterday.

Go well!

Weather Situation
A vigorous southerly change associate with a cold front crossing the southern Tasman Sea is moving along New South Wales central coast. The change will extend to the far north coast Sunday afternoon as a strong high pressure system moves south of the Bight extending a ridge behind the front. This high is expected to move over the southwestern Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots tending southwesterly 25 to 35 knots in the morning then tending southerly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
3 metres increasing to 4 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly up to 3 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Monday 18 March
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Tuesday 19 March
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, then becoming east to southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.

 

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