Articles tagged with "SE-2m-9/11s"

Sticky:

Posted by: on October 9th, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

Light southerly breeze, clearing showers and a fading SE swell this morning. Surface conditions are junky and only a few extra keen folk in the water at Dee Why point. No one having a go around at the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch because it’s dropped to unsurfable at the south end and blown out at the north.

Not the best news if you’ve got time for a surf, but for those of us on deadline at least we won’t have missing-it butterflies.

Annoyingly the bright prospects for a big weekend seem to have vaporised from the forecast models overnight. Bah. Oh well, that’s surfin’.

Have yourself a top old Tuesday one and all.

Tides: L @0810 H @`1440

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge over the western Tasman Sea is weakening as a cold front approaches Tasmania. During Wednesday the front will bring southerly change along New South Wales southern half of the coast. In a wake of the front a low will develop off the central coast by Thursday. The low is expected to deepen early Friday before moving rapidly east-southeast .
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
Wednesday 10 October
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then turning east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Thursday 11 October
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots turning southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 3 metres.

SE all day every day…

Posted by: on December 31st, 2011

Hello Friends,

Could the endless SE’r be giving it up soon? According to this morning’s marine forecast for the Sydney region, it should go around to the NE this afternoon. Meanwhile, at 0500 the swell was 2m from the SE with an average period pushing up toward 10 seconds. Not a bad set of numbers that. Those SE spots will be busy again I bet. But maybe this arvo after the 1240 high tide and with the breeze coming around to the NE, there’ll be a few fun options around the place.

***

Meanwhile in southern California, we’re still waiting for the energy levels to perk up again.

This morning’s postcard is once again from California Street in Ventura (about 50 kms south of where I am in Santa Barbara).

There’s heaps of swell up north for places such as Santa Cruz, but down this way it’s another day of knee to waist high mal waves at places that are picking up the swell. The forecast models show a couple biggish pulses lining up though. With luck we’ll get into the head high plus range mid-next week…

Go well!

Sticky: More energy

Posted by: on October 27th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Swell power levels have bumped up this morning. The dominant direction was SE, the average height at sea was 2 metres and the average period was about 9 seconds. There was also some 11 second component so every now and then a quite distinct set would show in the generally sloppy conditions. A high tide (0800) was swamping it and the wind was out of the (baleful) ESE at 10-15 kts.

The weather is set to clear to partly cloudy later but the E-SE wind is set to stick around all day. However it may weaken as we get into the afternoon hours, so perhaps surface conditions will get a little less sloppy… we live in hope!

Outlook for tomorrow is back to smaller but with lighter onshores.

Go well with your Thursday and keep on smilin’

Weather Situation
A high centred near Tasmania is ridging along NSW coast and directing an onshore airstream. A trough lies in the Tasman Sea off the far northern coast. A frontal system and associated trough are likely to enter southwest NSW later on Friday before moving across the state over the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Friday 28 October
Winds
East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds increasing to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres tending easterly from the morning.
Saturday 29 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Sunday morning happening

Posted by: on May 8th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Huey’s feeling generous this morning kids. Swell angle is perfect for most of Sydney, coming as it does from the SE at a couple metres at 9 seconds (with the odd 11 second bomb). Dee Why is about as populated as you’d expect it to be on a cool and sunny autumn Sunday morning. There was some breeze about, but the automated weather stations along our stretch of coast are were showing in coming mainly from the WNW. Once again, ideal for the swell direction. Oh, and just to cap it all off, we have an incoming tide to a moderate midday high, so this morning should be very fun. Did I mention sunny all day?

Get out there if you can because the swell is expected to gradually fade from the current shoulder to head high sets to maybe waist to chest by the end of the day.

The coming week is shaping to be partly cloudy with generally westerly to SW winds. Tomorrow may not be too flash, but from there on we should get waves of some sort or other. The long range models are currently suggesting we might get a nice solid pulse next weekend. Ah, autumn, we love ya!

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge over NSW is weakening as a cold front and weak trough approach from the south and west. The trough will affect the southern half of the coast Sunday and the front will reach the far south Sunday evening. On Monday the low pressure trough will deepen off the NSW north coast with a low developing during Tuesday increasing south to southwesterly winds along the coast.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: West to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending southeast to southwesterly during the afternoon then tending south to southwesterly at 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southerly 15 to 25 knots around dawn. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around dawn then increasing to 2 metres during the morning. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Sticky: Late mail: junky but fun size

Posted by: on April 17th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Sorry about that. The server decided to stop serving at early this morning and it took me some time to figure out what needed doing. There are waves to be had, but they’ve been very junky thus far today. After peaking late last night, the SE swell is pushing in at around 2 metres with an average period of 9 seconds (and the odd 11 second bomb). Wind is SE at around 10-15kts which is in line with the forecast for decreasing strength. As the wind backs off, the swell is set to do the same. Given how it looks and the forecast, I’d say it’ll continue very messy and junky, but be surfable for the rest of today and that there might still be a little something left for the early risers tomorrow.

Low tide’s at around 1320 today, so this afternoon could get some benefit from the incoming tide.

Outlook for the rest of the week is not too flash it has to be said. The models are pretty bleak for the east coast. Looks as though there’ll be some energy down at Bells as the week goes along and next weekend could be pretty punchy…

Have yourself a great Sunday!

 

 

Weather Situation
A cold front is crossing the southern Tasman Sea and a high pressure system is slowly moving towards the Bass Strait extending a ridge behind the front. The high is expected to move over the Tasman Sea from Monday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: South to southeasterly15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening. Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: East to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly during the morning then increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 10 knots during the morning then tending northeasterly during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.

Sticky: A Saturday with waves…whadya know

Posted by: on July 24th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Since I have Canon’s schmick 5D MkII and a 100-400mm lens to test (good being a photo mag editor!) at the moment, I wandered around looking for waves to take pictures of. Found some at Cooks Tce where a small group were basically risking board and limb to get into some very crunchy sections. Shutdown percentage was very high, so even after 45 minutes, I didn’t have all that many snaps to show for my efforts. The light went flat and the shutdowns seemed to be around the 9 out of 10 mark, so I came back to the office to process the results. Here’s a sample from what will eventually be a gallery…

EARLIER I WROTE:
If you were up for the early this morning, you were in with an excellent chance of scoring something at your favourite SE spot. Basically if you got waves there yesterday, go back again because Huey’s pretty much left the settings unchanged since yesterday. At Dee Why that means somewhat setty conditions but the big ones are getting into the shoulder high range at least. And while there was a shower headed toward it while I looked, the wind wasn’t a factor.

As the Goat’s forecast noted, we should see the swell gradually run out of puff over the next 24 hours. Go now if you can because it currently looks as though we’ve got a week of marginal conditions coming up.

Have yourself a good one!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: South to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: Southeast to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending northwest to southwesterly around midday then becoming southwesterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon then tending west to northwesterly during the evening.

Sticky: Smaller, but far from flat

Posted by: on June 8th, 2010

Hello Friends,

With a wave of its magic wand, the Bureau has banished the rain forecast and we now learn we’re in for a run of fine weather. This morning there’s still cloud about and the swell has dropped markedly. Happily it’s nothing like flat. Indeed, as one of my pictures shows, there are still head high plus moments to be had thanks to two metres of 9 sec SE swell.

The Bureau confirms yesterday’s call by the models for a steady decline in wave energy through to about Wednesday lunchtime… and then a new pulse of south energy is set to fill in by late in the day. Thursday morning currently looks pretty interesting – potentially offshore and 1.5-2x overhead at south swell spots if the models have it right.

Looking out to next weekend, the models are, shall we say, extremely hopeful. Or perhaps, hopeful of extremes! They are currently projecting a very long period and large south pulse (3-4 metres @ up to 16 sec). Since this is right out at the limit of the forecast, I’d treat it with a great deal of caution. It could happen, but long experience has shown that such predictions typically attenuate as we get closer to the day in question. Still, it’s never a bad thing to see massive swell and offshore winds in prospect!

Have yourself a top old day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: South to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending north to northwesterly up to 10 knots by early evening. Winds 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly 3 metres decreasing to about 2 metres from midday.
Wednesday: Wind: Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending west to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots around midday. Winds westerly 30 to 35 knots later in the evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday then increasing to 3 to 4 metres later in the evening.Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Thursday: Wind: West to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots becoming southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the evening.

Sticky: There you have it: Sunday done

Posted by: on April 4th, 2010

Hello Friends,

As we ran out of light, I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crow’s nest and grabbed a snap of the situation. I thought it looked a bit bigger and more consistent than around midday when I’d gone in for a wave. And sure enough, the MHL data shows that right about then the average period was pushing (briefly it seems) into the 9 second range. Plus the 2m swell was more to the SE than this morning.

You can see from the pics that the wind was making it pretty messy at dusk. The wind did back off a little when I was out but it came back up with more east in it by around 1330.

From the shape of the forecast it seems that we should have another day of waves and SE’ly wind tomorrow. I hope it backs off overnight and gives us a little cleanness for the early risers. But we shall see what we see…

I got a few snaps from the water, so I’ve created a gallery for them which I’ll post separately in news.

Here are a couple samples:

 

 

 

 

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 15/20 knots, easing to 10/15 knots later. Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: SE 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: S/SE 10/15 knots.Sea: less than 1 metre. Swell: SE 1 to 2 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: NE/SE 5/10 knots, becoming NE 10/20 knots in the afternoon.
Wednesday: Wind: NW/NE winds 10/15 knots.

Sticky: A few waves around

Posted by: on February 9th, 2010


Hello Friends,

Looks as though we have a little ESE windswell this morning with the odd longer period set mixed in. Winds were light at 0700 and the outlook is for them to move around to the NE as we head toward noon. As the pic shows, there are at least occasional chest to shoulder high waves.

From the look of the latest forecast data, the swell energy will continue to fade toward a flat weekend. If you can get out this morning, I’d do it. That said, there should be waist high stuff through the week, so don’t feel too desperate!

Might get out and about for a look around if I can this morning. Naturally I’ll update if I do.

Go well with your day!

Tides: H @0600, L @1300
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: NE/NW 10/15 knots, becoming NE 13/18 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: E 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots early, becoming NE 13/18 knots. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E/NE 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: N/NE increasing to 15/25 knots.
Forecast for Tuesday
Chance of a shower or two, chiefly morning. Sunny periods. Light
winds early, tending moderate east to northeasterly, fresh at times
near the coast in the afternoon.

Cleaned up, looking fun

Posted by: on December 3rd, 2009

Hello Friends,

Well, as I’d hoped, the swell’s cleaning up as it fades and this morning’s dawn patrol has turned out to be a good thing at spots like Dee Why. Both the point and the beach are seeing some solid head high to a little overhead sets. Not surprisingly the combo of swell, blue skies and almost no wind is being reflected in the numbers in the water.

Let me see if I can go find you some more pics to look at later…

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: Variable 5/10 knots at first, tending E/NE 13/18 knots during the afternoon and N/NE 18/23 knots in the evening. Sea: less than 1 metre, rising to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon/evening. Swell: S/SE 1 to 2 metres, decreasing.
Friday: Wind: NW 10/15 knots inshore and 15/20 knots offshore ahead of a S/SE change 20/25 knots in the morning, easing to SE 15/20 knots later.Sea: 1 to 2 metres, rising to 2 to 3 metres for a period during the day. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Possible thunderstorms.
Saturday: Wind: E/SE 10/20 knots.

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They're getting less frequent, but the bombs are still impressive.

They're getting less frequent, but the bombs are still impressive.

Solid size sets to be had inside as well.

Solid size sets to be had inside as well.

 

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