Articles tagged with "SSE-1.5m-7s"

In search of Huey

Posted by: on November 17th, 2012

Hello Friends,

The dull situation remains largely unchanged from yesterday. We have a weak SSE wind swell of maybe 1.5 metres with an average period of around 7 seconds. That means feeble little knee to waist high things scudding softly into the sands of Dee Why. Tide’s coming in to a high at 1030 and the 10-15kts of south to SE wind is a predicted to go more around to the east later. Yeah, great.

The swell modelling for this morning points toward a day of not much, followed by a Sunday of maybe even less. There does seem to be a possibility of some energy coming our way late Monday through to Wednesday, but the models are also predicting a steady supply of wind out of the south to south east quarters. Still, I’d rather blown out something than blown out nothing.

Looking way ahead, there seems to be some potential for late next weekend… way too early to call it of course, but hopeful eyes will be on the models as we get closer.

Have yourself a great Saturday and stay happy!

Weather Situation
A cold front in the Tasman Sea extends a trough through the far northeast parts of the coast. A second trough lies through inland New South Wales, with a weakening upper trough aloft. This second trough is expected to move slowly to the northeast of the state on Saturday before the troughs in the northeast combine and deepen on Sunday. A low pressure system is expected to develop off the coast by Monday within this trough and may deepen on Tuesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly in the late morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southerly about 1.5 metres from the late morning.
Sunday 18 November
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Monday 19 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres tending southeasterly from midday.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms early in the morning.

Sticky: Surprised by cleanness this morning

Posted by: on July 20th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Cold enough for you this morning? At least the blasting southerly of yesterday evening is not in evidence as Friday gets started. Plus, there’s actually a little bit of SSE wind swell showing at Dee Why, so methinks there will be a few more places offering something similar. Sets look to be in the chest high range. The MHL data is showing SSE at 7 seconds apart with an average height at sea of about 1.5 metres.

The southerly should start to pick up soon though and it’s expected to be hammering in at 20-25 kts by this afternoon. And it won’t really let up for a couple days. In fact tomorrow it’s set to be SE, so while the swell’s going to push up, the surf options are going to push down.

We may have to wait until Tuesday-Wednesday for the winds to relent so we can get at some cleaner conditions.

Have yourself a top old Friday!

TIDES: H @0900, L @1440

Weather Situation
A low is situated over the central Tasman Sea and a high pressure system over central Australia is extending a ridge to southwestern Tasman Sea. During Friday and Saturday the low will deepen further and move very slowly east to southeast while the high strengthens the ridge across the southwestern Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 to 2 metres.
Saturday 21 July
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the middle of the day then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres tending southerly late in the evening.
Sunday 22 July
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 3 metres.

Sticky: Take a pass

Posted by: on September 8th, 2011


Hello Friends,
Nothing really going on at Dee Why this morning. The wind swell is out of the SSE at 1.5 metres with an average period of about 7 seconds. Too gutless and small to attract any interest at Dee Why under the lowering skies that promise rain later.

It’s quiet now, but Huey’s winding up. To quote from the Bureau’s forecast (see below), ‘The pressure difference between these systems is expected to generate strong to gale force winds along parts of the coast Friday and Saturday.’

Sadly this morning’s run of the forecast models have lost the lustre of yesterday’s predictions. They’re still calling for punchy swell, but not as big as they formerly thought. And the wind outlook is problematic too. Some reckon it’ll be more strongly south that strongly SW. At any rate, I’d say protected south corners are going to be the best shot. Peak day is still looking like Sunday lunch time. We shall see!

Gotta fly, have yourself a great day!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving trough on the northern New South Wales coast is expected to weaken during Thursday. During this time, however, another trough is expected to deepen over the state’s west, and will move across the coast in association with a cold front during Friday, bringing a southwesterly change. A low is then expected to develop over the Tasman Sea as a strong high approaches from the west. The pressure difference between these systems is expected to generate strong to gale force winds along parts of the coast Friday and Saturday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Friday 9 September
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming westerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending southwesterly 20 to 30 knots around midday. Winds increasing to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday then increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Saturday 10 September
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 35 knots.
Seas
Up to 4 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 2 metres tending southerly 2 metres during the evening.

Sticky: Clean but small under cloudy skies

Posted by: on March 17th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Just a tiny line showing at Dee Why this morning. Swell direction has moved a touch and is now out of the SSE. It’s around the 1.5 metre mark on average with a period of 7 seconds. Windswell in a word. There were a few bods at Dee Why centre catching little things in the knee to waist high range. Given the period and swell direction, I’d say most places in the Sydney region will be a similar size or smaller.

The light winds of this morning are set to be 15-20 kts s-se by the end of the day. As they push up, the average size of the waves at exposed spots should increase a bit. Unfortunately, I can’t see any reason to think that the protected corners will benefit – the average period is just too short.

Now for the good news.

This morning’s run of the swell prediction models are more hopeful than they’ve been for awhile. The weekend is still showing a long period pulse for Saturday. Be interesting to see what the Goat says, but my guess is that we’ll get waist to chest with the odd bigger one – but many of us probably won’t bother because it looks as though it’ll be grey and south easterly. However, if the models are to be believed, from Saturday onward the swell will be in a steady upward trend to a peak around the middle of the week. If it plays out as at least a couple different interpretations suggest, Wednesday could be pretty interesting (anyone for offshores and double overhead sets?). No guarantees, but might be a plan to pencil it in just in case.

Have yourself a top old day and stay happy!

TIDES: H @0650, L @1330

Weather Situation
A trough is expected to move slowly along the north coast today before reaching the far north coast on Friday. A high south of the Bight will move slowly east over the next few days and should be over the southern Tasman Sea by the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: Southeast to southerly 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly during the evening.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Grey, glassy and small …but surfable

Posted by: on February 13th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Another morning of gloomy skies (the Bureau says there’s an 80 percent chance of rain). The wind was light early, so that meant glassy knee to waist high plus sets at Dee Why from the small, short period SSE windswell. The wind is expected to push up into the 10-20 kt range by lunchtime, so the plan pretty obviously is to get out the door asap.

Outlook for the week ahead is lining up with the Goat’s forecast . Some of the models are calling for a little east pulse around Wednesday. But at this stage it doesn’t look like being much more than shoulder high at best – and there’ll be easterly wind with it.

Go well with your Sunday!

TIDES: L @1120, H @1700

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure extends across the northern Tasman Sea to the Queensland coast, while a trough stretches over the central Tasman Sea into northeast New South Wales. Meanwhile, another high south of Western Australia is moving slowly eastwards and will push a strengthening ridge along the New South Wales coast later today as a cold front passes to the south. This high is expected to reach the Tasman Sea on Monday, and should maintain generally easterly winds along the coast until late in the week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: South to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots around midday. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: Easterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

 

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