Articles tagged with "SSE-2m-7s"

Rainy morning

Posted by: on April 27th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Waiting for the rain to let up to grab a picture for you. From what I could see though, there isn’t going to be much to share. At 0700, the MHL Sydney buoy was showing 2 metres of 7-sec S-SSE wind swell. Wind is SSE at about 10-15 kts. Going by the forecast, it would seem we’re a little ahead of schedule where both wind and waves are concerned. We’re supposed to see 1.5 metres of southerly swell around midday, with wind turning SE at 10-15 kts at the same time. Not an appetizing mix.

Tomorrow the wind’s set to go NE in the morning and the southerly swell should increase to a couple metres and hold at that level for about 24 hours before dropping again. The model interpretations are not in complete agreement this morning. Some are showing okay conditions across that swell event for south magnet spots and others are showing it staying really small. And even further out, the calculations for late in the week through early next week are ranging from dreck to potentially quite good. So, we’re in with a chance then!

Have a top old Sunday (the pics will be up as soon as it stops pouring at RealSurf HQ).
Pictures taken around 1000 at Dee Why beach

Riding the chop at Dee Why

Riding the chop at Dee Why


Tides: H @0725, L @1245

Weather Situation
A southerly change is moving along the New South Wales coast. This change will reach the north coast coast this morning and weaken as a high pressure system moves towards Tasmania, extending a ridge behind the front. During Monday and Tuesday the high will move east maintaining the ridge to the northeast. The next southerly change is expected to develop on the south coast Tuesday night.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending southerly 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore early this morning.
Monday 28 April
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Tuesday 29 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.

Sticky: SSE wind friendly spots only

Posted by: on February 23rd, 2014

Hello Friends,

Steady 10-15 kts of SSE wind was working over the surface conditions at Dee Why beach when I checked for the first time this morning at about 0815. Quite a crew in trying to make something of the very choppy and messy chest to chest plus sets.
Tide was heading toward low and that didn’t seem to be a good thing where the banks were concerned. People would take off and usually get only one or two turns before it all shut down on ’em.
I’d say it’ll be a challenge to find interesting options today because the wind is set to go from the present south-SE around to the east. Swell is out of the SSE at a couple of metres but the average period’s only 7 seconds or so.
As you head south of Sydney, the average period and swell height look to be bigger. Eden was showing 2.3 metres at 10 seconds. It’s southerly down that way as well, but there could be a few spots out of the wind that are playing nice with the swell energy.
The swell models are still more or less in agreement that the energy should peak across the next 24 hours. Tomorrow morning’s wind call is for light e-ne, so it could come together at various places on the incoming tide around mid-morning.
Week ahead looks to generally be more active than last week. Nothing too amazing looking in the long range forecasts this morning.
Have yourself a great Sunday!
TIDES: L @0935, H @1530

Heaps of takers but quality pretty iffy.

Heaps of takers but quality pretty iffy.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight is slowly moving east, extending a ridge along the New South Wale coast. A second high centre is expected to develop over the western Tasman Sea during Sunday, then move slowly east during the early part of the new week.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Monday 24 February
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Tuesday 25 February
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.

Small and lumpy looking

Posted by: on July 31st, 2013

Dribbler at the point Bob-bob-bobbing along
Unusually good peak
Hello Friends,

We have a little, sloppy SSE wind swell washing in this morning. Looking at the Sydney directional spectra, the dominant energy is coming from the S-SE at about 7 seconds apart. It’s a couple of metres out at sea, but the biggest sets I saw at Dee Why were struggling to make the chest high mark. Around at south Narrabeen the mix of swells was creating the occasional focused chest plus peak. Nobody seemed to be in the water up at Northy.

Wind was around 10kts from the SW as the day kicked off, so relatively clean at some stretches, but definitely choppy elsewhere. The Bureau says it’ll go southerly and get up to 15-20kts though. And, we’re looking at those southerlies persisting through tomorrow.

Tides: L @0845, H @1530

At this stage, Friday morning looks potentially interesting as we’re supposed to see the average period stretch out over the next 24 hours so that we could be over the 10 second mark by tomorrow. From this morning’s run of the swell prediction models, it looks as though the waves will tail off over the weekend and that next week will be microscopic. Are the spring doldrums arriving early?

Actually, it very well could be an early spring given the following from the folks who also provide the sophisticated swell prediction models we all rely on these days…

June was one of the hottest such months on record globally, based on newly released data from NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The month extended the unbroken string of warmer-than-average months to 340, or a stretch of more than 28 years. That means that no one under the age of 28 has ever experienced a month in which global average temperatures were cooler than average (based on the 20th century average). link

Go well and get up to some good where you can!

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure extends across southern New South Wales in the wake of a cold front, while a low intensifies over the Coral Sea. The combination of these systems will maintain southerly winds along much of the coast during the next day or two. The ridge is expected to weaken during Thursday as the next cold front approaches from the west. This front is expected to cross the state during Friday and Saturday, bringing a west to southwesterly change. Another weaker front is forecast to follow on Sunday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Thursday 1 August
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Friday 2 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.

Southerly early and small too

Posted by: on November 10th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Blergh. Hard to be enthusiastic about surfin’ this morning when the wind is anywhere from 10 to 20 kts plus at 0630 and the ripped up two metre SSE wind swell has an average period of maybe 7 seconds.The wind’s set to keep at it all day and through most of tomorrow when it’s set to go NE in the afternoon.’

If the swell comes more around to the east as some models predict, there could be the odd fun little wave tomorrow arvo after the wind changes. But other than that, the models bring us no joy on the longer term outlook.

There’s activity in the deep southern ocean, but by the time the systems get past Tassie and into our swell window, it looks like persistent high pressure systems will bounce them off toward NZ, thereby keeping the energy away from us. So, not much of a surf week coming up from what I can tell this morning.

Somebody must be expecting to pick up a new board… 😉

Go well with your Saturday adventures one and all!

Weather Situation
A cold front and associated southerly change that affected southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast yesterday will continue to the northern border today. In the wake of this change a high pressure system to the west is extending a ridge over the region, with southerly winds expected to ease as the high drifts eastwards during Sunday. A weaker southerly change is forecast for the southern and central coasts late Monday or Tuesday, with winds then turning northeasterly again ahead of a more significant frontal system at the end of the week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres tending southeasterly about 2 metres this afternoon and evening.
Sunday 11 November
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.
Monday 12 November
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Sticky: A very blerghy Christmas Eve

Posted by: on December 24th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Grey skies, 10 kts of SE wind and a couple metres of short period SE wind swell do not the prettiest of pictures make. Unless you are super, ultra, extra keen, I’d say attending to various holiday chores and associated hilarity would be the plan for today. Yes, if you really want to, you can find the odd grovel pretty much anywhere. As the pics show, it is extremely messy, weak and disorganised along the Northy to Collaroy stretch and just as ordinary from Longy to Dee Why.

Outlook for the rest of the day is for a steady supply of SE junkiness.

At least tomorrow the weather should be a bit nicer and the winds will be around to the north and NE. So, while the swell won’t exactly be pumping, at least it should be less junky and horrid looking for Christmas. It’s set to be pretty small though, so don’t get the hopes up too much.

Boxing Day should start out okay, but then get stormy and showery later as winds go around from NW to SW. With luck, we’ll have a little easterly wind swell to go with it.

Tide is high at 1000 today and low at 1645. Tomorrow it’ll be 1100 for the high and around 1730 for the high.

Have a top old day!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system will move east of Tasmania during today extending a ridge to New South Wales north coast. The high will rapidly move towards New Zealand during Saturday and a cold front is expected to bring a southerly change along the coast on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly during the morning then increasing to up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times, tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending northerly up to 25 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending south to southwesterly up to 30 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon. Swell: Southeasterly 1.5 metres tending easterly 1 metre from the morning. Isolated thunderstorms from midday.

Posted by: on October 16th, 2010

Hello Friends,

At the chaotic end of my trip, hence lack of peeps from me. Looks like a pretty ordinary sort of conditions in Sydey this morning with only short period wind swell from the south. With luck though it will be sort of doing something to lure the super keen… tomorrow afternoon looks a touch more promising though. Looks as though my arrival back in the new work week will be to somewhat less than special conditions. Go well one and all!

Weather Situation

A vigorous cold front has brought a west to southwesterly change to the New South Wales coast overnight, reaching gale force about southern and central parts. Winds will gradually ease late in the day as the front moves further away across the Tasman Sea. Conditions will ease further on Sunday as the next high pressure ridge moves across from the west, but may remain a little gusty near the Victorian border as a weak cold front passes to the south. This high will remain the dominant feature through most of the new week, maintaining generally favourable conditions.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds: Westerly 25 to 35 knots decreasing to 25 to 30 knots during the afternoon then tending west to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots by early evening. Seas: Up to 4 metres decreasing to 3 metres during the afternoon and 2 metres later in the evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Forecast for Sunday

Winds: West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then decreasing below 15 knots around midday. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.
Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly up to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.

Postcard from California: Big Sur

Very little swell energy as we drove north along the spectacular highway one through Big Sur. It was foggy much of the way, but just south of Big Sur proper, we broke out of the mist briefly and I managed to get a snapshot or two. Water is probably around the 14-15 mark and the swell looked to be about two metres. Didn’t see anyone surfing though!

Sticky: Grey, messy, small, but you might be able to jag one

Posted by: on November 24th, 2009
Super dedicated types going for a dig.

Super dedicated types going for a dig.

Hello Friends,

Looks like another good day for the office or school. There are some messy little waves trying to get into Dee Why. I’m still waiting for the light to improve a bit before grabbing a snap, but I can tell you there were a few folks in the water having a go in the very marginal conditions.

The biggest ones looked to be in the chest high range (briefly) but the 10-15 kts of SE wind that’s occasionally delivering those sets is also really working over the surface conditions. I’m filled with admiration for the obvious stoke levels that got this morning’s participants into the water. Inspiring stuff!

According to the Bureau, the wind will swing around to the NE this afternoon, so just maybe the situation will improve in the north corners a bit. Fingers crossed for that one.

Outlook for the remainder of the week is, sadly, not terribly good for the east coast. The overall trend on the models is toward flatness and onshores. There may possibly a little pulse of low, long period south swell at directly south facing stretches around about Thursday. I wouldn’t be marking it in my diary though. A real long shot for Sydney from the look of the data.

Have yourself a great day!

[starratingmulti id=1 tpl=12]

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 15/20 knots at first, becoming E/NE 10/15 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres, abating to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the day. Swell: SE 1 to 2 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: NE/NW 5/10 knots at first, tending NE 10/15 knots during the afternoon and increasing to 15/20 knots later.Sea: to 1 metre, rising to 1 to 2 metres later. Swell: E/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: NW/NE 10/15 knots, strengthening to NE 20/30 knots.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin