Articles tagged with "SSE-2m-8s"

Rainy and not interesting yet

Posted by: on August 24th, 2016

dy point

Study in grey at 0715


Hello Friends,
Managed to grab a pic of the point between showers and as you can see it wasn’t looking too red hot. Wind is SSE at 15 kts as I tap this out t 0740. The most recent MHL data shows a touch under 2 metres of 8-sec SSE wind swell. Not a day for surfing sadly, but it’s in line with expectations.
Speaking of expectations, the models are showing the swell intensity peaking overnightinto the 3 metre range – but it’ll be short-period junk basically. And, while it was looking plausible for Friday in earlier forecasts, the latest outlook’s not too terrific. Basically swell’s shaping to be pretty much like today – ie a couple metres of short-period south to se wind swell.
I’m keen to see what the Goat thinks about next weeks prospects because the long range models are looking very interesting for Tues-Weds…
Have yourself a safe and dry day everyone!

Offshore and waves Sunday morning

Posted by: on April 5th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Well, we had a break in the weather along with offshores for the early risers. Set wave faces at 0830 were in the chest plus range along the beach and at the point. Crowds were not too bad either. As of 0600, the MHL buoy was showing 2 metres at 8 seconds from the S-SSE. Tide’s coming up to high at 0845, so it did look a bit fat and full. Plus, the short period was making them appear to be on the weak side.

After all that rain, water quality is pretty ordinary. Beachwatch isn’t showing a single spot on the northern beaches as “pollution unlikely”. They’re saying it’s likely at Newport, Warriewood, Northy, Collaroy, Curly, Freshy and the Manly stretch.

Wind was W-WSW at 10 odd knots as the day got going. It’s supposed to come around to the S-SW soon though, so north corners are going to get less interesting. Swell energy is expected to fade steadily through the day, but with luck it should be surfable all day.

Outlook for the remainder of the week seems to be a bit better than it looked even yesterday. Tomorrow and Tuesday mornings should be maybe a touch smaller, but still in the surfable range at magnet spots. The models are still showing a ramp up in energy levels from the south from about Wednesday afternoon through Thursday with swell heights predicted to be around the 2-2.5 metre range with average periods around 10 seconds. Wind call is for around 10 kts from the south to SSW with sunny conditions, going more SSE from Friday.

And, with any luck, it should stay surfable into Saturday.

So have yourself a happy old Sunday and a great holiday weekend!

dy point

Point wave Sunday morning

Beachy wall looking fun at  0730

Beachy wall looking fun at 0730

Weather Situation
A low off the New South Wales coast is expected to deepen as it moves to the southeast today, pushing generally south to southwesterly winds along the coast in its wake. A weak pressure pattern should return on Monday as the next high approaches from the west, but will be short-lived as another deep low looks set to to form off the southern coast during Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Monday 6 April
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots shifting east to northeasterly in the afternoon, reaching 20 knots inshore in the early evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. Possible late storm.
Tuesday 7 April
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending westerly 25 to 35 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Waiting for a friendly wave

Posted by: on July 9th, 2013

Dropped a lot
Hello Friends,

A little shower had just passed when I climbed aloft to scan the scene down at Dee Why. Swell has, as expected, dropped back from yesterday. Quite a bit actually. Although the swell’s still around the two metre mark and coming more or less from the SSE, the average period has come back to around the 8 second mark. A tiny set wave appeared in time for me to take a picture, but thereafter it went quiet again. Based on that and the forecasts, I reckon you might get the odd waist plus set at exposed spots, but it’ll be inconsistent and near flat less optimal locations.

From this morning’s swell models, it seems we’re heading into an extended period of marginal conditions. Tomorrow might be a bit better than today at south spots and with luck we’ll have something or other wave-wise until about Friday. After that though it’s not looking too red hot.

Keep on smilin’ and have a top old day!

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over southeast Australia is moving slowly east. A slow moving offshore trough will bring increasing southerly winds and showers to the coast during Tuesday, easing again on Wednesday as the high shifts to the Tasman Sea. Generally light to moderate winds are then expected to dominate during the second half of the week as a high pressure ridge remains the main synoptic feature of the region.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.
Wednesday 10 July
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres before dawn.
Thursday 11 July
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Windy again? Yup. East this time.

Posted by: on March 4th, 2013


Looks familiar, sadly

Hello Friends,

East early, going east southeast later. SE wind swell of a touch under two metres at 8 seconds apart is making its way in, but the junky surface conditions have made it too unattractive to lure any punters. Tide is low around 0815, so if it weren’t for that wind, it’d be pretty fun. It was as sunny as its been for awhile as I wrote this, but the Bureau says we can expect another shower or two today – and right through to Thursday.

Outlook continues to be for more onshores right through to next weekend. There seems to be some hope of it at least backing off a little at daybreak from around mid-week. My fingers are crossed!

Have a good one!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred near Tasmania extends a broad ridge over New South Wales. The high will remain slow moving in the southern Tasman Sea over the following few days, maintaining a humid onshore airstream across most of the state.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday 5 March
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Wednesday 6 March
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.

Sticky: Little more on offer this morning

Posted by: on February 9th, 2011

1400: wind dropping, swell south at two metres with an average period of 12 seconds. I might go have another look in that case…

Hello Friends,

A number of folk in the water at Dee Why before 0700 this morning to chase the waist to chest high SSE swell. According to the MHL buoy it’s around the two metre mark at about 8 seconds apart. For close to a week the swell prediction has been calling for this uptick, but it had also been showing a longer period. So I had a look at the MHL buoy from down at Eden and sure enough, a long period pulse arrived around midday. It’s still showing and it’s around the 14 second mark. And when I jumped back to check the MHL Sydney buoy, whadya know, it just hit in the last hour or so. All of which suggests to me that there is at least the chance of the odd rogue set turning up in the mix today.

There wasn’t much in the way of wind to start, but it should go south during the morning and swing more onshore later. The Bureau says there’s a 40% chance of rain too.

BTW, I have a couple pairs of tix to give away to the surf movies at the Diggers on Friday and at Palmy RSL on Saturday evening. Use the feedback link top right of our main page to let me know if you’re interested. I’ll need your name, your guest’s name and a contact mobile to confirm back.

Have a good one!

Tide is high at 1245 or so and the next low will be along t 1900.

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system will move to the east of Tasmania today maintaining a ridge northwards along the New South Wales coast. The high is forecast to move over New Zealand by Friday. The next cold front is expected to approach from the southwest, .and is expected to bring the next southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly around midday. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly 1 metre tending easterly during the evening.

Sticky: More waves but getting a little smaller

Posted by: on July 8th, 2010

Hello Friends,
Running a bit late this morning, apologies. S-SSW winds are staying clear of Dee Why this morning and the gradually fading south to SSE swell is hanging in there at around the two metre mark with an average period of about 8 seconds. There seems to be some longer period stuff in the mix though because the waist high conditions are punctuated from time to time with something more like shoulder high.

Wind is set to go more SE as the day goes along, but it’s also supposed to back off as well. We have a late morning low tide, so I reckon the best time to go will be before lunch if you can.

The outlook is for the swell to drop overnight but with luck to still be in the surfable range for tomorrow. But after that things currently look distinctly ordinary through the middle of next week. The WAMs show us bumping along in a state of flatness from about Saturday to Weds – at least. If you’re on the east coast and want waves next week, the nearest sizable ones look like being in Western Vic!

Ah well, enjoy what we have and hope for Huey’s beneficence later next week…

TIDES: L @1040, H @1720
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly during the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Sticky: Grey, gloomy but surf to be had

Posted by: on May 23rd, 2010

Hello Friends,

Steady drizzle this morning but the swell has stayed around the 2 metre range since midday yesterday, but the direction has moved to a more favourable SE setting and the period has increased to about the 8 second mark. It’s a combination that delivers chest high and the odd bigger one to Dee Why, so naturally enough there were a reasonable number of takers on a Sunday morning.

The Bureau says the weather should lighten up later. At the same time the current light offshore conditions may get more around to onshore across the middle of the day, but the Bureau says it’s not going to go too hard.

Latest outlook is for the swell prospects to bump along at around the current levels through the coming week. There seems to be a prospect for a small pulse around Wednesday and, if we can believe the long range estimates, there could be some solid swell out of the SE around about Thr late to Friday early.

Go well with your Sunday!

 

 

TIDES: L @1015, H @1640
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly late morning/early afternoon then decreasing to east to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots during the late afternoon/early evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, abating to below 1 metre.
Monday: Wind: Light and variable winds tending northeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.Sea: below about 1 metre.Swell: South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: Northeast to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Forecast for Sunday
Coastal showers during the morning otherwise fine. Partly cloudy.
Light southwest to southeasterly winds.

Precis: Mostly fine.

City: Max: 21 Parramatta: Max: 21
Terrey Hills: Max: 19 Penrith: Max: 21
Liverpool Max: 21 Richmond: Max: 20

Might find one if you look around

Posted by: on July 18th, 2009

Not thunderous for the early risers, but not without interest either.

Not thunderous for the early risers, but not without interest either.


Hello Friends,

Quick version: there were waves at first light.

Nothing spectacular because the two metre SSE swell has an average period of 8 seconds. There are some 10 sec period sets in the mix and it is probably those that are providing the occasional chest high take off for the hardy crew who were out watching the sun come over the horizon at Dee Why.

The swell direction’s a good one for much of Sydney, so I reckon there’ll be lots of folks out snagging the odd waist to chest high bump at their fave spots.

Outlook is for the little swell to stick around through today but to fade overnight and therefore be pretty small tomorrow. With luck it’ll still be surfable. Come Monday, the models are showing the swell as smaller again but they show a long period pulse coming in from the south. If it develops as they anticipate, we could have some more chest to head high sets at exposed spots for the first day of the new working week.

After that it basically looks as though we’re in for a week of small to flat conditions. Oh well. Can’t complain, it’s been a winter and a half for waves.

Low tide’s set down for 0957 and high tide is due at 1646.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: SW 5/10 knots, tending N/NW 10/15 knots.Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: S/SE 1 to 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: W/NW 10/15 knots.Sea: about 1 metre. Swell: S 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: NW 10/20 knots.

Cold and wet stuff falling from sky

Posted by: on July 7th, 2009

Hello Friends,

Cold and showery start to proceedings today. Worse, Huey’s dialled the power setting down overnight from 10 to 8 seconds. Otherwise he’s left the other controls in place – ie swell coming from the SSE at an average height of 2 metres.

At the beachy the waves are in the waist to shoulder high range for the most part. However, there are still a few bigger ones in the mix to keep things interesting for the hardy early crew. The point is much less consistent and smaller as well, but it’s not so small you can’t catch ’em.

The fly in the ointment will be the wind. The day started off with 10-15kts of SSW’ly but the Bureau says we’re going S/SE soon…

Hight tide was at 0816 and low will arrive at 1341.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots offshore in the morning. Easing to 10/15 knots later.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore in the morning.Swell: S 2 to 3 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: E/SE 10/15 knots reaching 15/20 knots at times. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: S about 2 metres.
Thursday: Wind: SE/NE 10/20 knots.

Much less consistent, smaller but relatively sparsely populated.

Much less consistent, smaller but relatively sparsely populated.

Cold and showery but patience can be rewarded

Cold and showery but patience can be rewarded

Southerly

Posted by: on April 18th, 2009

Hello Friends,

At first light, the wind was light and out of the WNW along the northern beaches. But it won’t stay that way for long. We have a strong wind warning for southerlies later (see details below).

The latest swell data from the MHL buoy is showing a couple metres of 8 second period SSE swell.

Next tide is a low at 0923.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning.
Saturday until midnight: Wind: S’ly 15/20 knots strengthening to 20/30 knots later in the day, chiefly offshore.Sea: rising to 2 to 3 metres. Swell: E/SE increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: S/SE 25/33 knots.Sea: 2 to 3 metres.Swell: SE increasing to 3 to 4 metres. Dangerous surf conditions developing
Monday: Wind: S/SE 15/25 knots.

Patience required, but definitely rideable at 0630

Patience required, but definitely rideable at 0630

Fun looking little peak up the beach from the SLSC

Fun looking little peak up the beach from the SLSC

 

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