"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Snooze and you still don’t lose

0720: two paddleboarders seeking but not finding at Dee Why
0720: two paddleboarders seeking but not finding at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

Well, what can I say? Huey’s wandered off to some other corner of the planet and left our swell machine sputtering to a stop. The Sydney MHL buoy is showing about a metre of 7 sec NE windchop. And from the look of the other buoy data along the east coast, it’s pretty much the same everywhere else.

So, the obvious question for east coasters, is when will it change?

Wind is set to be out of the NW at 8-13 kts this morning, but it should swing to the NE and get up to 20-25 kts. We had a similar pattern yesterday and it didn’t seem to result in anything surfable in the way of windswell waves. I’m not overly hopeful that it will be different today either.

Tomorrow the call is for a strongish S-SE change of 20-30 kts, but from what the models show, it doesn’t seem too likely that we’ll get much of anything in the way of waves as a consequence. There could be a small uptick around Wednesday simply because the S-SE wind should still be going along at around the same speed as Tuesday. So, little junky onshore waves – if we’re lucky.

And beyond that… well, those models continue to show all the swell energy being deflected away from the east coast toward the west coast of NZ. It looks like a pretty stable pattern, so my guess is we’re in for a wait for any improvement…

Go well with your day and keep on smilin’!