Hello Friends,
Glorious morning, but the Bureau and the models were too hopeful. There are some small south lines about the place but they were being swamped by the 0745 high tide when I first checked. The low will be along at 1430, so surf conditions ought to improve a little, but from what I was seeing, this morning around 0700, I wouldn’t be overly hopeful of amazingness. Sets at the more exposed spots were around the waist to chest high mark, so once the tide runs out, there should be the odd fun one about. However, the Bureau’s call for south swell into the 2.5 metre range seems unsupported by the evidence. (Can’t give you the precise swell data as the MHL data stalled late last night and hasn’t updated since).
Like everyone else, I’m pretty keen, so I’ll be wandering around looking for something worth the effort too. Of course if I come up with any more pics, youy’ll find them right here later today. With luck the swell will push up closer to the predictions before the wind swings around to the easterly quarters this afternoon.
The longer range outlook is for the energy to gradually fade back to near flatness by Thursday afternoon in Sydney. Thereafter, the models suggest that we’ll bump along in small to flat conditions into next week.
Go forth and enjoy your day and stay happy one and all.
Weather Situation
A deep low pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is moving steadily southeast, while a high south of the Bight extends a weak ridge into New South Wales. Coastal winds are easing as this ridge becomes dominant, with onshore winds developing again by Wednesday. A cold front passing to the south will bring a southerly change to the southern and central coasts during Thursday, while a trough develops off the northern coast. Another southerly change is likely to develop later on the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds: Westerly 15 to 25 knots tending southeast to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the afternoon. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening. Swell: Southerly around 2 metres, reaching 3 metres offshore at first, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres later.
Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: Southeasterly 5 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly around midday then becoming northeasterly 10 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre late in the evening.
Forecast for Thursday
Winds: Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending easterly during the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.
