"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The hot and the not so hot

Hello Friends,

Only a trickle of east swell to work with this morning. Throw in nearly 2 metres of tide at around 1030, and the look is very fat and full. But it isn’t totally flat, so if you are extra keen – or if you just need any excuse to cool off (it was 30 at 0900 on Collaroy Plateau), there’s reason enough to get in. There’s no obvious sign of a likely change in swell energy levels for today, so I’d guess that this afternoon will probably not be much good anywhere.

Monday doesn’t look particularly interesting at this point, indeed if the models have it right, it’ll be smaller than today. The pulse we model watchers were hoping for midweek is fading away from the forecasts. This morning’s computer dreaming is showing a peak in size on Tuesday. That matches up with the Bureau’s current call for brisk SE wind all day. Blergh.

Here’s hoping those models are being unduly pessimistic…

Have yourself a great Sunday!

Winds are set to remain light this morning, but then to swing SE around lunchtime.

TIDES: H @1030, L @1550

Weather Situation
A high near New Zealand extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, and to the south of Tasmania while a broad low pressure trough lies over the west of the state with a low southeast of Tasmania. The trough will move eastwards today with the low likely to move further southeast followed by a vigorous cold front expected to arrive on the South Coast later on Sunday and to extend to the far north coast by Monday afternoon.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: Northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending southwesterly and light during the morning then tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots around midday. Winds tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres. The chance of afternoon thunderstorms.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: South to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times, tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots around dawn. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres around dawn. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres tending southerly 2 metres in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.