Hello Friends,
Sorry about the delay this morning. Not missing much if you can’t get to the beach as the south swell has lost more power over night. It’s still around a metre at sea, but the average period is down to 8 seconds, and were it not for the occasional rogue 12 second set, it’d probably be getting close to flat. Tide’s low at around 1110, so this morning is the time to be chasing ’em I’d say.
Outlook is for a stretch of showery and southerly weather from tomorrow through the weekend. The Bureau says it’s a complex picture where the lows are concerned, but right now they say we should see the wind turn southerly by tomorrow afternoon. When that happens, the swell ought to come up a bit and the call is still for it to peak on Friday under showery skies and to the accompaniment of a 30kt southerly. Various of the swell prediction models are showing SE swell peaking on Friday into the 3 metre range. The period is forecast to be around 9-10 sec, so semi-protected spots should have something – albeit messy.
Have yourself a top old Wednesday!
Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system over waters southeast of the state is expected to move slowly to the east-northeast on Thursday before moving away towards New Zealand during Friday. The exact position of the low remains uncertain, though strong southwest to southeasterly winds are likely to extend gradually northward along the coast Thursday and Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 15 knots during the morning then tending northwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon with local inshore sea breezes.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 11 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times, increasing to 15 to 25 knots around dawn then increasing to 20 to 30 knots around midday. Winds tending south to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around dawn then increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Friday 12 August
Winds
Southerly about 30 knots decreasing below 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
