"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Back into the holding pattern

Not quite catchable
Hello Friends,

There were a few bods bobbing hopefully up the beach from the Dee Why SLSC this morning. It was distinctly chilly, but the skies were clear and the lazy breeze was offshore. Unfortunately the primary swell direction is showing as SSW on the MHL buoy. It’s around the metre mark at sea and the average period is just shy of 8 seconds.

The Bureau is talking about swell out of the east at 1-1.5 metres today, so not sure how to explain the disparity between the MHL data and the forecast. There is a bit of short period stuff coming from that direction according to the spectral data, but the people in the water at Dee Why weren’t seeing anything much above the knee to waist range.

Tide was low at 0545 and will hit a modest high around 1145.

Outlook is for the swell to stay out of the east for the next couple days according to the Bureau. Friday they expect it to swing more south and to pick up. So will the S-SW wind.

This morning’s swell modelling shows the south picking up at magnet spots around the middle of the day on Saturday and then pulsing into the overhead range for 48-72 hours – with a fair amount of SW wind.

All very interesting.

Have a great Wednesday!
ps: had a look at south Narrabeen around 0815 and there were little knee to waist things coming in. Not exactly powerful, but cute looking on the better ones. Here’s a piccie:

South Narra 0815

Weather Situation
A low pressure system over western Bass Strait is expected to deepen and move slowly east during the next few days, resulting in increasing westerly winds over the southern and central NSW coasts today and Thursday, reaching strong to gale along the South Coast. Winds will turn southwesterly during Friday as the low moves into the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.


Thursday 16 May
Winds
Westerly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.


Friday 17 May
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending south to southeasterly 1 to 2 metres during the morning.