"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Blasting southerly but no swell

Roaring southerly

Hello Friends,

Not often you see 30-40 kts of southerly but no swell. The Bureau says it should pick up a bit as the day goes along and the wind swings more SE (yeah, great). Swell, such as it is, was coming from the ENE at about 6 seconds apart and maybe a metre or so at sea at 0400. As you can see from the picture, this meant essentially no waves at Dee Why for the early.

The wind should back off a little later on this evening, but since it’ll be SE, who cares? Tomorrow the Bureau tells us it’ll still be SE in the morning, but we should at least have a couple metres of south swell, so there might possibly be some sketchy opportunity in a protected corner. Today however looks like a write-off.

Assuming the south sticks around, Tuesday morning early could be a possibility thanks to a more favourable forecast N-NE breeze.

The longer range outlook shows some prospect of a reasonable south swell late in the coming week. And beyond that, the very long range speculations are kinda interesting (after weeks of nothing) in that they suggest we might possibly get a stretch of long period and biggish east. However, I wouldn’t be making any plans just yet. 🙂

Best wishes for a top old Sunday!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Sunday 29 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A vigorous southerly change will move up the New South Wales coast today reaching Sydney Waters early this morning and extending to the far north coast by this evening. Southerly winds are expected to ease Monday morning as a high in a wake of the trough extends a ridge along the coast. Weak onshore airstream is expected to develop under the high pressure ridge from next Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southerly 25 to 35 knots early in the morning then tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeast to southwesterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, increasing to 2 metres offshore by early evening.
Monday 30 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Tuesday 31 December
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.