Hello Friends,
No lack of energy this morning, but Dee Why’s a complete mess and it didn’t look like anyone was in the water. The MHL’s directional spectrum graphic for 0400 was showing 3 metres of 11 sec from dead north plus a lot of stuff from the SSE (154°) – a perfect recipe for the chaotic conditions captured in the pictures. Not surprisingly given the rain, the water also looks foul (Beachwatch had pollution possible warnings at most beaches yesterday and there’s a 90% chance of more showers today).
The wind was 6-7 kts from the NE at 0700 but looking at the clouds scudding overhead, the prediction of it ramping up to 15-20 kts is entirely plausible. And the NE’r is going to keep hammering us through Thursday. Friday should see it go more NW-NE in the morning before again going NE in the afternoon.
Most of the models show the swell heights gradually drifting down as we get into the weekend and next week looks small but not unsurfably so.
Have a great day everyone!
Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will remain near stationary for the coming days, generating southeast to northeasterly winds. Meanwhile, a deep coastal trough along the southern Queensland and northern New South Wales coast is generating strong winds in the far north. This coastal trough is expected move further offshore today while the high pressure system remains over the Tasman Sea. Strong northeast winds area expected to develop about the far south today as another trough moves over central New South Wales.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
- Winds
- Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots in the late evening.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2 metres.
- Swell
- Northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 17 October
- Winds
- Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots early in the morning and again in the evening.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
- 2nd Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Thursday 18 October
- Winds
- Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
- 2nd Swell
- South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
