Archive for January 2019

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 31st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 31 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The kids are back at school, mums and dads are back at work, the weather’s been pretty good, conditions should be ideal… But then

Nothing’s been happening…and that’ll be it for the week given all the wind changes forecast.

Hot now … 39 on the coast around 4pm…but a cool change is on the way…passed through Jervis Bay around 3pm doing around 40kph with gusts around 60-70 kph.  You work out when it’ll get here 🙂 something to do in the heat.

And here’s something else for you.  I haven’t given you a singalong surf forecast for a while … close your eyes and listen.  Close your eyes I said!  Hahaha.

To stay Cool as Mungo:

Sit in the shade

Drink lots of cool liquids

Wear a hat – to dive in and out of the water.

Friday: somewhere around the upper end of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South waves..but will have S wind with it

Saturday: down slightly South East with onshores

Sunday: ditto again within 1-2 metre range but more East, with NE wind

Monday: ditto to that

Tuesday: ditto to that, but with a S wind change expected by the BOM from late Monday

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East

Thursday: And ditto.

Who knows.. you might be able to catch some waves you can ride if you’re not too fussy.

Have a good one!

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 31 04:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 31 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp’s about 23ish

image

Tides

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 40
Hot. Late cool change.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Hot. A mix of sun and cloud. Medium (40%) chance of showers late this afternoon and evening, with the risk of a thunderstorm, chiefly in the west. North to northwesterly winds 25 to 35 km/h in the morning, tending northeasterly near the coastal fringe this afternoon. A gusty southerly change 30 to 45 km/h in the late afternoon and early evening, possibly reaching 65 km/h near the coast.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Hot. Late cool change. Sydney 40
Hot. Late cool change. Penrith 40
Hot. Late cool change. Liverpool 40
Late gusty cool change. Terrey Hills 37
Hot. Late cool change. Richmond 40
Hot. Late cool change. Parramatta 40
Hot. Late cool change. Campbelltown 39
Late gusty cool change. Bondi 35

Friday 1 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then turning southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 2 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 3 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 4 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 5 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 6 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


High cloud but not high waves

Posted on January 31st, 2019 in Dee Why.

0730 and tiny at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

Was hoping to see a little more energy this morning, but as of 0730 Dee Why was seeing 9-11 kts of NNE breeze and no real sign of anything surfable. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.5 m of 7-sec bump from the NE as well as some equally weak stuff from the SE.

The wind will pick up from the north and get into the 15-25 kt range before a 20-39 kt south change late in the afternoon.  Unfortunately it doesn’t look as though we’ll get any significant improvement to the surf intensity until after dark. Tomorrow should see more south swell out at sea, but period’s predicted to be around the 8 second mark, so we probably won’t see anything much away from the south magnets. And even there, the biggest spots are going to be smashed by onshores too.

It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat says later today….

We’re going to 38 along the coast today and UV will be extreme from 0900 to 1720. So protect your skin, take care and stay hydrated.

 

 

 

Weather Situation

A weakening high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, while a trough extends diagonally from the state’s northwest to southeast. This trough will become mobile today as a cold front passes to the south, bringing a gusty southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast. The trough is expected to stall and weaken on the northern coast during Friday as a new high shifts from the Bight to the Tasman Sea, resulting in a gradual return to northeasterly winds along most of the coast during the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore at first. A gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon and evening.

Friday 1 February

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending east to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching 30 knots early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon and evening.

Saturday 2 February

Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon.

Like yesterday only warmer

Posted on January 30th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Another weak start to a hot summer day

Hello Friends,
Yet another hazy warm morning ahead of a very warm day (going to 30 along the coast) but with no waves for Dee Why surfing interests. As the picture shows, there was only the slightest hint of a little wind bump this morning around 0830. Last night I had dinner in Manly and there seemed to be some very junky waist to chest high things coming in at South Steyne, so I thought there might be a few leftovers this morning. Instead, Dee Why is maybe knee high, weak, junky and being roughed up gradually by a light NE wind. By this afternoon it’ll be pushing along at a summer standard 15-25 kts, so who knows, maybe at a NE magnet spot…

Swell such as it is, is currently wafting in mainly from the NE at a metre or so with a gutless 6 second period.

Tomorrow is shaping to be a hotter version of today with maybe slightly more in the say of bumps for the extra keen dawn patrol

A south change overnight Thursday is still on the cards. And the models continue to show a boost in swell height with it. Should go into the 2-3 metre range as it fills in, but periods are a set to stay around the 8 second mark. Friday should be cooler but southerly all day under cloudy skies with junky waist to chest plusses at standout south spots…maybe!

Have a fine old day everyone!

Weather Situation

North to northeasterly winds have become established over the waters with a ridge extending to the northern coast from a high near New Zealand. Winds will freshen in the southern half today ahead of the next southerly change, expected over southern Waters during Thursday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots at times.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 31 January

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots at times, ahead of a south to southeasterly change 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening.

Friday 1 February

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots turning easterly 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Sunny start but minimal wave activity

Posted on January 29th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Nobody in the water at 0750 


 
Hello Friends,
A nice looking morning at Dee Why, but there didn’t appear to be anything in the way of surf as of 0750. Wind was coming lightly from the ENE at 5-7 kts, but it should pick up steadily this morning and by this afternoon the Bureau says we can expect 20-25 kts out of the NE. As of 0500 swell was out of the ENE at 7 seconds apart and slightly more than a metre in height. Tide was high at 0410 and is currently dropping to the 0.63 m low at 1100. It’s back to a 1.25 m high at 1630. Speaking of highs, we’re told to expect 30C along the coast today. Ocean has warmed up to 23C and Beachwatch says apart from perennial offenders Birdwood Park and Queenscliff, the water is clean.
Surf outlook is less than wonderous for the next couple of days – and then we’re due to cop a south change that should push up something on Friday while giving us a respite from the heat.
Have a top old Tuesday everybody!

 

Not a hint of a wave at No Mans

Weather Situation
North to northeasterly winds are expected over the waters today with a ridge extending to the northern coast from a high over the Tasman Sea. Winds will freshen in the southern half on Wednesday ahead of the next southerly change, expected over southern Waters during Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 25 knots tending northeasterly in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 30 January
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 31 January
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Gloomy morning at Dee Why and really small too

Posted on January 28th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hopefuls at the point 0940

Hello Friends,

Late start for you correspondent. But it seems I’ve not missed alerting you to great surf opportunities in a timely manner. The overnight showers and lightning show have disappeared, leaving us with murky grey skies, light winds and not much of anything in the way of waves. There were a few bods flopping about at the point and along the beach, but size looked to be in the sub-knee high range.

The curious thing is that the wave energy out at sea looks a touch better than yesterday. At 0700 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.4 m at 10 sec from the SSE – so there should be the odd dumpy chest high thing somewhere…

Tide’s just come off the 0920 low and is now gradually filling into the modest 1.36 high at 1520. Wind should get itself organised later, but for now it’s 7-9 kts from the south. By this afternoon we should be looking at 15-20 kts or so. Water quality is okay at Dee Why, but south of there Beachwatch has hoisted the “pollution possible” warning for most spots.

There still seems to be some hope of more wave energy at the end of the week, but depending on the model, if it does pick up, there’ll be heaps of onshore wind with it – and showery skies too. Roll on autumn!

Have a great Monday everyone.

Between bouts of drizzle, a placid sea

Weather Situation

A trough along the Hunter coast is directing southerly winds over southern and central coastal areas and is expected to dissipate later today. This will allow a ridge over northern parts of the coast to stretch throughout by tonight, with north to northeasterly winds forecast to extend across the waters by early Tuesday. Winds freshen in the southern half on Wednesday ahead of the next southerly change, expected over southern Waters during Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Inshore winds southerly 15 to 20 knots until the evening. Otherwise winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres inshore.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. Possible drizzle patches, mostly inshore, with the chance of reduced visibility.

Tuesday 29 January

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 30 January

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Small stuff, so not flat for Sunday

Posted on January 27th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Lots of folk keeping cool at the beach this morning

Hello Friends,

Another “I don’t care, I’m getting wet” day along the beaches. Although wave quality is in the 1-star range, there should be the odd chest high face amongst the knee to knee and a bit bumps at magnet spots this morning. Don’t expect it to be uncrowded. Even at Dee Why with it’s less than optimal orientation, there were a fair number in.

Wind was offshore for the early session, but the Bureau says it’ll track around to the north at 15-25 kt ahead of a mid-day south change. The directional spectrum chart from the Sydney buoy shows the bulk of the energy coming out of the south. It’s 1.4 metres out at sea and 7 seconds apart.  There looks to be some longer period stuff in the mix, so you may see the odd sneaker set…

Tide was low at 0810 and is currently coming into the 1.5m high at 1415. Coastal temps are predicted to peak at 32 and UV is an extreme 13 until 1720 – so look after your skin!

The short period wind swell looks like hanging in there all week, but the models show it gradually getting bigger and peaking in the 2+ metre range toward Friday. Unfortunately the wind call is for blasting southerlies from the get-go on Friday morning.

So, not a hopeless outlook for the week ahead. Go well!

Tiny one gets caught at the point 0835

Hopefuls up toward No Mans 0830

Weather Situation

A persistent ridge over the northwestern Tasman Sea is maintaining north to northeasterly winds along the north coast. A southerly change over the far south coast this morning will extend northwards to central parts of the coast during the day today. The trough is then forecast to dissipate later on Monday, with north northeasterly winds expected to extend throughout during Tuesday under the influence of the ridge.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, tending southerly 10 to 15 knots inshore at first. Winds shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm inshore late this afternoon and evening.

Monday 28 January

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting north to northeasterly in the evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 29 January

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending northeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday morning surf

Posted on January 26th, 2019 in At large.

Lots of folk in the water at Northy 0630

Hello Friends,
As of 0630 it was hazy along the beaches, but there were waves at places that like NE wind swell. Northy was well populated with folk chasing the gentle looking waist to chest high little waves but South Narrabeen was empty, even though it sort of looked surfable. Around the corner at the Longy to Dee Why stretch the best options seemed to be between No Mans and the Pole. Size was a touch smaller than Northy and, if anything, it also appeared to be even weaker.
Despite the NE look to the line, the MHL buoy was reporting a metre at close to 12 seconds from the SE (128 to 148°).
Although it was pretty glassy when I grabbed the pics, half an hour later at 0700 North Head was seeing 8-11 kts of NNE wind. We can expect that to dial up some more ahead of a south change this afternoon.
Tide was low at 0710 and will be back to a 1.7m high at 1320.
Beachwatch says the water should be fine pretty much everywhere and averaging 21C. We’re due to reach a high along the coast of 33 C and there’s a poor air quality alert for elevated ozone pollution. UV is a fierce 13 and sun protection is a must from 0900 to 1730.
If the forecast models have it right, tomorrow will play out much like today, but there might be a touch bigger as we get a mix of NE and south energy. The morning looks the best shot too.
The rest of the week is shaping to be roughly the same as far as waves go (although waves will be more east), but wind will be a factor in the afternoons (nothing unusual in that).
Have a top old Australia Day everyone.

No takers at south Narrabeen 0630

Soft and small at Kiddies

No Mans peak promises but fades to mush a second later

The Runner

Weather Situation
A trough over the southern waters will extend to central parts of the coast during the day today, with an associated weak southerly change. A second southerly change is likely to move through the southern half of the coast on Sunday, before stalling along the Hunter coast later Sunday and weakening by Monday evening. A ridge remains firm over the northern parts of the coast for the next several days, and is forecast to extend across the entire coast on Tuesday, generating north to northeast winds.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore early in the morning, turning southerly in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 27 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 28 January
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.


A hint of activity early

Posted on January 25th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Tiny lines at the point and at the beach 0630

Hello Friends,
Looks like a few waves around at the magnets this morning. Dee Why was seeing the occasional waist to maybe chest high line at 0630. Sets were frequent enough to lure a few bods to the point, although I didn’t see anyone catch a wave when I took the pics. Checking a few cams, it seems that there are interesting looking lines getting into places like Curly and Av.
The 0400 MHL data showed 1.6 metres of 9-second energy from the SSE (158°). Wind was coming lightly from the ENE. It should be into the 15-25 kt range from the NE by early afternoon. Tide was low at 0610 and is currently running into a 1.85 m high at 1230. It should be sunny all day as we head to a high of 29.

The Goat’s rolled out his predictions for the week ahead, so scroll down for a read of his deep wisdom.

Have a great Friday one and all!

Tiny in the corner at 0630

Weather Situation

A high pressure system in the Tasman sea will continue strengthening today resulting in onshore winds for the New South Wales coast. A weak trough looks set to bring a brief southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Saturday, followed by another on Sunday. Neither of these is likely to reach the northern coast, due to the presence of the high over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloud clearing. Possible morning fog inshore with reduced visibility.

Saturday 26 January

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 2 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 27 January

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 24th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 January 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Nothing too exciting happening, now or through the week ahead.

Today there’s about 1 metre or so of sort of waves from the South East that are getting into places that are open to it, but it’s messy with the wind behind it.

Friday: something similar, though with a light Noreaster..could be ok for the kids at the right tide

Saturday: ever so slightly bigger say 1-1+ metres North East, but with SE wind

Sunday: much the same

Monday: about the same but with light winds

Tuesday: similar, wind turning NE

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: and again.

Looks like it’ll be pot luck if you find a suitable wave at the right place, right tide.

Have a good one and have a Happy Australia Day Long Weekend!

TG

Look, Up in the Sky

Clouds?

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 24 04:30:00 2019

Lines on maps, all over the place

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 24 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds…will keep on blowin’

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure

Deep Down in the Sea

Water temp, on top is currently 22ish…

PS The water isn’t really red and orangey colours

image

Tide… like Time, waits for no man

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
Morning showers/drizzle
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of light showers or drizzle, mainly in the morning. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Morning showers/drizzle Sydney 26
Possible morning shower. Penrith 31
Morning showers/drizzle Liverpool 29
Morning showers/drizzle Terrey Hills 26
Morning showers/drizzle Richmond 30
Morning showers/drizzle Parramatta 28
Morning showers/drizzle Campbelltown 29
Morning showers/drizzle Bondi 23

Friday 25 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 26 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 33
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 27 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 31
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 28 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds.

Tuesday 29 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 30 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


Grey sky morning and no surf to speak of

Posted on January 24th, 2019 in Dee Why.

No activity at the point

Hello Friends,

Thick overcast at 0800 this morning. Wind was coming from the SW at 9-12 kts. The 0600 data from the MHL buoy was showing 1.3 metres of 10-sec south swell. As the pics show, it may be 1.3 metres offshore, but along the beaches it’s close to flat – again.

I’m not too excited about the outlook after scanning the forecast models, so I’m hoping when the Goat drops his week-ahead outlook later today that he’ll see some glimmer that I’ve missed.

In the meantime, have a top old Thursday and go well with your plans for the day.

Not a hint of activity at No Mans 0820 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, while a trough stretches from central Australia through western New South Wales. This pattern has established northerly winds over the northern half of the coastal waters while a trough has brought about a fresh to strong southerly change to the southern and central waters. This trough will weaken on Thursday as the Tasman high asserts its dominance and winds will tend to the north again during Friday. Another trough and associated southerly change will briefly enter the southern coastal waters early Saturday morning and will extend to central waters during the day. With a more dominant southerly change moving up the coast on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore around midday.
Weather
Cloudy.

Friday 25 January

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 26 January

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.