Archive for December 2020

Are you really keen?

Posted on December 31st, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Out for a walk and coming back through Dee Why at low tide, got a picture of the impressive quantity of seaweed on the beach in the south corner. No surf btw. 2020 ends with a whimper.

10 kts of SSE wind keeping the tiny 7-second 1 metre SSE wind bump junky and unappetizing. There were a few people bobbing around at Kiddies, but it was maybe knee high on the gutless sets, so eminently missable.

The Goat should roll out his New Year forecast later today, so I’m hoping he’ll see something a little more attractive than I am.

Helluva year everybody. Here’s hoping ’21 will have lots of memorable surf sessions and that things will improve rapidly on the virus front. Stay safe, take care and mask up!

Tiny, junky and grey. Lovely.

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough along the northern New South Wales coast is weakening, while a weak high lies over the southern Tasman Sea. This high is expected to decay during Wednesday, although another high should extend a ridge across from the west in its wake. Little change to this pattern is expected for the following days, with northeast to southeasterly winds remaining dominant along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Friday 1 January
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Saturday 2 January
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


Another junky, tiny and grey day at the beach

Posted on December 30th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Not my idea of surfable this morning at Dee Why, but several hardy types disagreed. As the pictures show, the 15-20kt ESE wind is smashing the surface conditions. This morning’s showers are set to ease off as the day goes along, but the Bureau tells us the showery weather will continue for the next 7 days. Just for the record, as I was typing this up, swell at sea was 1.6 metres at 6 seconds from 132°. Unsurprisingly water quality has gone downhill with most beaches on our side of the harbour showing as ‘pollution likely’. So in addition to the waves being really bad, you could also pick up an unfriendly microbe.
Outlook surf wise is for the weak and junky stuff to be our reality well into January. The waves will return, so stay safe, mask up and let’s make the best of it.

A few people in the water for some reason

Blergh

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough along the northern New South Wales coast is weakening, while a weak high lies over the southern Tasman Sea. This high is expected to decay during Wednesday, although another high should extend a ridge across from the west in its wake. Little change to this pattern is expected for the following days, with northeast to southeasterly winds remaining dominant along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Thursday 31 December
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots before dawn.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Friday 1 January
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.


Smooth early

Posted on December 29th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

 

Raining to start this morning with light winds and smooth seas. The waverider buoy was detecting 1.4 metres of 7 second SE wind bump which was translating into knee to knee and a bit at the magnets. Tide was high at 0835 and will bottom out again at 1515. It’s going to be a mild 22C with showers a good chance all day, and in fact, it seems we’ll have La Nina showery weather for the next week. Water is rated as ‘pollution unlikely’ and ocean temperature is up to 22C.

Surf outlook hasn’t changed on this morning’s run of the swell models. We’re facing short period (6-8 seconds) metre, to metre and a bit wind bump from the eastern quarters.

 
Weather Situation
A trough along the Mid North Coast will continue to weaken and stall during the day today. Meanwhile a high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the southern Queensland coast. Little change to this set up is expected for the coming days with northeast to southeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.

Wednesday 30 December
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.

Thursday 31 December
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.


Change but no swell

Posted on December 28th, 2020 in Surf Reports.
Butterbox

Out for a walk and surf check. Blasting onshore wind and no sign of swell. Lots of folk out walking though!


Minor on Monday

Posted on December 28th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A warm beginning to the day with light SW wind under stormy looking skies. There were people in the water at Dee Why where waves looked to be in the ankle to knee high range. The offshore buoys were showing 1.4 metres of 7 second east wind bump. The Bureau tells us  a southerly will rattle through the place this morning,. We’ll see the wind getting into the 20-30 kts and some south wind bump following it in. Weather could see a few showers developing and maybe thunder and lightning later.

The swell models don’t have much to offer us this morning. It looks as though we’re in for sub 10-second wind swell for the next week. So probably not absolutely flat, but not all that inspiring either.

Have a good one and keep the mask handy for when you’re around others in public places.

SUPing about

Hopefuls bobbing in the knee high bumps at 0900

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the Queensland coast. A cold front currently over southwestern NSW has a strong and gusty southerly change currently on the south coast and forecast to reach central parts of the coast today. A trough will linger near the Mid North Coast on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots this morning, then gradually easing to be 10 to 15 knots at night.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres developing by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday 29 December
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots before dawn.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Wednesday 30 December
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Last sunny Sunday in 2020

Posted on December 27th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Nice to have a sunny start to the final Sunday of 2020. There are tiny waves at Dee Why, but it’s looking inconsistent, busy and not offering much above the knee high mark. As of 0900 there was a light WNW breeze to go with the 1.2 metre 6-sec east wind bump. High tide was at 0715 so we’re currently headed to the low at 1400. By then the wind should be around to the NE and pushing along at a summery 15-25 kts along with the possibility of a thunderstorm late this afternoon. Temp is due to reach 28C along the beaches and water is still on  21C.

It looks as though the rest of the week will be cloudy and showery on and off. Surf outlook is pretty ho-hum with no significant swell showing in the forecast models until (maybe) next week. Expect more of what we’re seeing this morning through to next weekend.

Go well with your Sunday and stay home unless it’s urgent or your going for exercise. And mask up. If everyone wore masks, infection rates would be dramatically reduced because it’s a lot harder for sick person to spread virus if they’re masked.

 

Tiddlers on tap for Kiddies krowd

Lot of waiting around this morning, but it’s nice and sunny

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the Queensland coast. A cold front is forecast to move across the state’s south later today which will bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on Monday. A trough will linger near the Mid North Coast on Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots offshore. Winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots throughout in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.

Monday 28 December
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday 29 December
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Glassy, mostly weak and tiny early

Posted on December 26th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

As the day got started under lowering dark grey skies, the wind was light and the tiny ENE bumps were glassy smooth but offering little energy. Couldn’t see anyone in the water along the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch where waves looked to be maybe knee to waist on the biggest ones. It was pretty much the same around at Dee Why, although there were a few Boxing Day early risers making what they could of the soft bumps. Out at sea the buoy was seeing 1.2 metres of 9-second energy from 112°. High tide was just topping out at 1.5 metres and is now dropping to the 0.6 m low at 1310. Water’s 21C.

Tomorrow should be mostly sunny and warm but it looks as though the already marginal surf conditions will be even less attractive as the models show it going close to flat. It may perk up a tiny bit into the just catchable range midweek, but overall it currently promises to be extremely underwhelming until Thursday at least. Summer time.

Mask up and take care everybody!

 

Wave of the morning, 0630 DY

Unpopulated tiny and clean at Surfrider Gardens

No takers for tiny north Collaroy

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is extending a ridge up the New South Wales Coast. A cold front is forecast to skim across the state’s south later Sunday, with an associated trough bringing a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon, reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 27 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 28 December
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Nice day to be missing it

Posted on December 25th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Enjoying Christmas morning, but wondering about the beach? Don’t. You’re missing only turgid waist high onshore junk. Along with heavy overcast, there’s also 12-17 kts of SSE wind. So make the most of the social opportunities while being COVID-19 safe.

Xmas morning at Dee Why

Wretchedly awful surf conditions


Weather Situation

A high pressure system south of the continent is pushing a southerly change northwards along the New South Wales coast. This trough will stall and decay on the northern New South Wales coast during Friday, as the high drifts slowly east. By Saturday the high is expected to be over the Tasman Sea, bringing a return to northerly winds in most coastal areas through the weekend. A cold front is forecast to skim across the state’s south Sunday, with an associated trough bringing a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots early in the morning then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Saturday 26 December
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 27 December
Winds

North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre developing.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on December 24th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast and Christmas Message

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 December 2020:  Seven day outlook for Sydney

Hey it’s Christmas Eve, so short and sweet…

TG’s Christmas Message from Australia’s Covid Epicentre

You know what it is….

Stay Safe. Stay Well. Stay Home. Get some exercise. Use Common Sense. Follow Official Health Advice. Stay Positive…. but not in the Covid sense. Have Fun. Be Happy.

And have a Merry Christmas!!  🙂

TG

Surf Outlook

Small and mostly onshorish, but there could be some nice little waves from time to time when the wind is light~~~~~~~~~~~~

Friday – Thursday: pretty much similar.. mostly lowish end or in the 1-1+ metre range South East /East.

Relax..     Chill out….

TG

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower at night. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, locally reaching 35 km/h near the coast. A southerly change 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Friday 25 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 22
Light shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of light showers, most likely in the morning. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, reaching 35 km/h near the coast.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Light shower or two. Sydney 18 22
Light shower or two. Penrith 17 23
Light shower or two. Liverpool 17 22
Light shower or two. Terrey Hills 17 21
Light shower or two. Richmond 17 21
Light shower or two. Parramatta 17 22
Light shower or two. Campbelltown 16 22
Light shower or two. Bondi 18 21

Saturday 26 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the west during the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 27 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon, reaching 35 km/h near the coast.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 28 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then tending south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 29 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 30 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 31 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


Surf for the morning sesh

Posted on December 24th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Light NNE breeze just before 0900 and there’s close to 2 metres of 9 second period dead south swell delivering chest plus sets for a Christmas week crowd in the 21C water. Tide is low at 1115 and by the time it’s back to high the Bureau tells us to expect NE wind and fading swell.
The Goat should be along later today with his Christmas and surf week to come forecast. Looks to me as though you won’t be particularly tempted to slope off to the beach for a wave tomorrow, but we’ll see what the maestro reckons.
Stay safe and mask up to protect others and yourself.

Kiddies peak

Set looks promising, but this one shut down.

Weather Situation
A low pressure system has developed well off the southern coast, and is currently moving quickly away to the east across the southern Tasman Sea. Onshore winds will continue across the coastline, tending from the south. A surge of stronger southerly winds will track up the coast on Friday as a high pressure ridge stretches to the northern coast, before shifting back to east to northeasterlies by the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly about 10 knots becoming 10 to 15 knots in the morning then tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 25 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southeasterly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Saturday 26 December
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.