Hello Friends,
Misting and low grey skies before 0800 this morning. There were weak, very small waves around thanks to some 6-second wind bump from the E-NE. Better exposures are seeing the odd waist to chest high moments, but mostly it’s gutless and knee high or less. Wind was 9-15kts from the SW at 0700, but the forecast is calling for southerly at 15-25 kts. There’s an 80% chance of showers too. First tide of the daylight hours is a 1.9m high at 1215.
So, not much of a surf day so far.
The more hopeful swell models were showing a gradual increase in swell intensity, starting with a slight lift from the SE late Thursday and potentially being in the 2m, 10 second range from the south on Friday. By Saturday it could be in the 3 metre range with side to offshore wind.
Weather Situation
A southerly change moving north along the central coast this morning is likely to stall on the Mid North Coast tonight. A low pressure system then looks likely to form somewhere along the southern or central coast during Thursday, driving strong south to southeasterly winds to the south of its centre and north to northeasterly winds to its north. The low may then persist over the Tasman Sea for several days, maintaining a general southeasterly flow along the coast.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots inshore during the morning. Winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
- Seas
- 1 to 2 metres.
- 1st Swell
- Northeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
- 2nd Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm early this morning.
Thursday 9 December
- Winds
- South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly in the middle of the day then tending northwest to northeasterly in the evening.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre.
- Swell
- East to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending southerly 2 metres during the afternoon.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 10 December
- Winds
- South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly during the morning then tending southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
- Swell
- Northeast to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 metres during the evening.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
