The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 9 February 2023: Seven day outlook for Sydney
“It’s Official!” TG yelled out earlier. “She’s got a name now..’TC Gabrielle’, and the forecast has her down as ‘Severe TC Gabrielle’ from tomorrow”.
TG had his eye on a developing TC way up north for a coupla days, and now the BoM has called it, and TG got himself excited. Why? Who knows… He finds pleasure in the simplest of things, as he’s a simple boy.
TG has digested everything available, like a normal goat, and has arrived at his gut feeling below>>>..
NB This is all based on what Mother Nature is currently expected to do with TC Gabrielle’s forecast direction, location and direction of swells on given days… but that’s all subject to change if she feels like it. “Not my fault if she changes her mind” TG said.
Friday: easing back a bit from today (Thursday), and somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East South East
Saturday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East, then some early sets from North East with some power behind them later, because they are coming from a long ways
Sunday: still somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East early, with sets, but a forecast southerly wind change will just make it messy later
Monday: up more into say 3 – 3+ metres Eastish, but the expected southerly wind will make it just big and messy
Tuesday: say 2 – 2+ metres Eastish still with power
Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range East, with some power in the sets
Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East/ North East, with power
None of the above conditions make the surf outlook suitable for beginners or average players or beachgoers at places open to those expected swell directions.
Stay safe. Know your own surfing limitations. Swim at patrolled beaches at the red and yellow flag area. The swell doesn’t have to be big to produce dangerous rips.
TG.
Here’s the current forecast track map for TC Gabrielle>>>
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
SLSNSW latest>>
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-02-09/nsw-lifeguards-talk-with-national-parks-to-extend-beach-patrols/101952174
Up in the Air
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml
Winds
https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.368,151.221,8,m:cIKaknd
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 23-24
Tides
https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2022-06/NSW-tide-tables-2022-2023-Pdf.pdf
Weather from the Bureau
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Shower or two. Possible storm.
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, becoming less likely later tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm with possible heavy falls. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.
Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]
Friday 10 February
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 29
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the outer west in the early morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.
Fire Danger – No Rating
Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]
Saturday 11 February
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 31
- Mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 5%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day.
Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]
Sunday 12 February
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 29
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Sunny morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.
Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]
Monday 13 February
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 27
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 60%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h.
Tuesday 14 February
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 26
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.
Wednesday 15 February
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 27
- Partly cloudy.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower during the morning. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly later in the day.
Thursday 16 February
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 31
- Sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 5%
Sydney area
Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.
