Posts in Goat’s Forecast

TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 19th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

TG’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 September 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Still some size there today, though a bit ordinary in places.  Size is easing back today and should be fun size tomorrow morning, then build a little through the day with the Noreaster behind it. Lots of runoff in the ocean from the rains.  Could be a few more showers from time to time over the next few days ~~~~~~

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East North East at first, then building a little through the day with the wind pushing it along

Saturday: around 2 metres or so from the East North East

Sunday: 1-2 metre range North East

Monday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range North East

Tuesday: similar size from the East South East

Wednesday: around 1 metre or so at dead South spots

Thursday: less than 1 metre dead South

TG is back on deck!

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 19 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 19 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18ish

image

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 20 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning, chiefly in the west. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing to 25 to 35 km/h near the coast in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 15 23
Partly cloudy. Penrith 13 27
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 13 25
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 14 21
Partly cloudy. Richmond 11 26
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 12 24
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 12 24
Partly cloudy. Bondi 16 21

Saturday 21 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon or evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Sunday 22 September

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 23 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 24 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 25 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 26 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 29th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 29 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Surfing ??!! You’re joking!!  It’s freezing. the air is cold the water’s cold. Even the schoolkids and backpackers weren’t out today. It’ll be up at places open to dead South tomorrow but with wind too so do you really care?? Take a short break till it warms up.

Friday:  say a messy 2-3 metres or more at dead South spots

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East with S/SE wind

Sunday: 1-2 metre range East

Monday: 1-2 metres East and starting to get a few sets

Tuesday: 1-2 metres South East, coming up briefly from dead South

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range dead South easing back

Thursday: ditto easing back more, relaxing into a 28 degree day! But with an occasional set from South East to wake you up.

Have fun

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 29 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 29 07:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.069,150.815,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is 17-18

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Friday 30 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 15
Rain.
Possible rainfall: 20 to 60 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Heavy falls possible at times in the east. Winds south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Rain. Sydney 11 15
Rain. Penrith 8 15
Rain. Liverpool 8 15
Rain. Terrey Hills 10 13
Rain. Richmond 7 14
Rain. Parramatta 9 15
Rain. Campbelltown 8 15
Rain. Bondi 12 14

Saturday 31 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 1 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Monday 2 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h tending southwesterly during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Tuesday 3 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 4 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 5 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 22nd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Big waves today…

The offshore MHL buoy late today was showing 6 metres to off-the-scale-for-max-height (9+m), at 8-12 seconds. The S wind was blowing 50-60kph and the wind chill brought the temp down to 4 degrees.

The swell is from dead South (186 degrees – what’s dead South kids??), which means it’s “only” the side ripples that are coming onto Sydney beaches in sets.. But they are still large enough. I’d say 3-3+ metres on the sets…closing out across the bay in some big wave locations. At other places it might have looked ok for a challenge after school at first sight…

But kids.. Trust Uncle TG… Surf like this, in these conditions, is not to be messed around with.

If you’re caught out there on your own and an accident happens (and they do).. you are literally on your own.  Unlike the Big Wave contests you see on whatever you watch, there is no rescue service just hanging around waiting to go and get you if you get into trouble.

Think about it….

Anyhoo… Tomorrow should be bigger than today, then easing back gradually as the Low moves further away to NZ, with a few ups and downs till later in the week when it looks like coming up again…

Friday: let’s call it 4 metres, easing back to 3-4 metres at places that can get swell from dead South

Saturday: say around 2 metres on the sets at dead South spots

Sunday: around 1-1+ metres dead South at first then coming up briefly

Monday: then back down again in the 1-2 metre range South

Tuesday: around 1 metre or so South

Wednesday: let’s say Ditto

Thursday: looks like coming up again, around 2-3 metres at dead South places.

Stay safe.

TG

I’ll be going away for a little while but will try to post from time to time. Miss you already… 🙂

Up in the Air

The Low is moving away pretty quickly~~~~~~~~~~~~

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 22 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

How artistic is that brush stroke eh>>>

… “Mother Nature is a natural artist!” (c with circle, TG 2019…haha)

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 22 06:30:00 2019

Winds

Yes…but easing off and changing direction, again and again

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is starting to get chilly at around 17

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds southerly 35 to 50 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Friday 23 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 7 19
Sunny. Penrith 2 21
Sunny. Liverpool 2 20
Sunny. Terrey Hills 6 17
Sunny. Richmond 0 21
Sunny. Parramatta 3 19
Sunny. Campbelltown 0 20
Mostly sunny. Bondi 9 17

Saturday 24 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Light winds becoming northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 25 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 26 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 27 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 28 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 29 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 16th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Friday 16 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

After a week of waves for those in their prime, it’s going down to levels more suitable for other punters… provided that’s at the right place, right tide, etc.

Saturday: around 1 metre or so dead South, with maybe occasional little sets from South East

Sunday: less than 1 metre or maybe 1 metre from North East

Monday: hmm let’s say around 1 metre or so at places open to North East

Tuesday: maybe similar…maybe not…a lot of waves headed out to sea

Wednesday: a bit more SSW so let’s say maybe 1 metre or in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Thursday: looking bigger tat the moment but things could change… at the moment the crystal ball is saying 2-3 metrish at dead South places…. but we’ll see about that.  Mother Nature might change her mind!

TG

Up in the Sky

A variety of more westerlies a comin’>>>>>>>>>>>

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Aug 16 07:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Fri Aug 16 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216/waves?waves,2019-08-20-18,-34.296,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18-19

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment due to elevated particle pollution in Sydney today, Friday 16 August.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Saturday 17 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwest to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 12 20
Sunny. Penrith 6 22
Sunny. Liverpool 7 21
Sunny. Terrey Hills 10 18
Sunny. Richmond 4 21
Sunny. Parramatta 8 21
Sunny. Campbelltown 5 21
Sunny. Bondi 13 18

Sunday 18 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower at night. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 19 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Tuesday 20 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Wednesday 21 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Thursday 22 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Friday 23 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending west to northwesterly during the morning.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 8th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued 8 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The weekend outlook is for:

quite a bit of wind from the west – more than enough to blow off your toupee so watch out,

quite a bit of cold – more than you’ll want having tasted a touch of Spring today,  and

quite flat surf.

It might start to come up from the south later on Sunday, but most of the SW swell will be travelling parallel to the coastline, and with the strong offshore wind pushing it back out to sea it doesn’t look like much of it should hit the shoreline.

But if the the swell beats the strong offshore wind, because of its increasing swell period  – ie the Swell wins the Battle of the Winds and Waves – the surf should be somewhere in the 1-2 metre range, and coming up at dead South places later in the day.

Monday will be a different story…. still with strong westerly winds trying to push back increasing swell.  It’ll be interesting to see who wins out – from for example the comfort of a warm car.

Friday – Saturday: flattish

Sunday: flat or as described above

Monday: say around 2-3 metres at dead South places, with sets

Tuesday: easing back, 2- 2+ metres at dead South spots, with sets

Wednesday: easing back more, into the 1-2 metre range dead South with solid sets

Thursday: down more in the 1-2 metre range dead South, with sets.

Stay Warm, Stay Cool, Stay Safe.

TG

Up in the Air

Blue sky…

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug  8 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug  8 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19…still pleasant enough

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 22
Windy. Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning westerly 35 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day then decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Windy. Mostly sunny. Sydney 22
Mostly sunny. Penrith 21
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Liverpool 21
Windy. Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 20
Mostly sunny. Richmond 21
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Parramatta 22
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 20
Windy. Mostly sunny. Bondi 20

Friday 9 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Windy. Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west. Winds northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning westerly 35 to 50 km/h early in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Saturday 10 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 11 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 11:40 am to 12:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 12 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Tuesday 13 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost in the west. Light winds.

Wednesday 14 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 1st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 1 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Happy August!  A bit of swell around today for those that are young and fit. Much as I’d like to think that’s me, a quick look in the mirror tells me otherwise… Oh well we can only do our best.

Currently offshore it’s 1.8 – 2.9 metres from SSE.  Although the size is moderating a little late this arvo according to the MHL buoy, the period for the sets is a whopping 14-15, which is why the BoM has a warning up for tomorrow… “Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.”  Caution may be warranted at places that attract dead South swell if that doesn’t suit your age and skill set.  Some swell might even get into protected corners tomorrow.  And then there’s the banks… sigh.

Swell should be up a little tomorrow but the direction looks like being more SSW.. so while it will be a size at dead South spots, hard to say whether the size or direction will be the bigger influence in more protected locations

The higher period sets should stick around most of the week to keep you on your toes.  Should ease back around Thursday.

More sunny days with light winds ahead, so the general scene isn’t all that bad.

So

Friday: say around 2 ish or more metres at places that get dead South swell, smaller elsewhere but we’ll see if sets get in.

Saturday: down a bit into the 1-2 metre range, but still with a hefty period for the sets

Sunday: then up again, say 3-3+ metres at dead South places, with sets

Monday: 1-2, 2+ metres dead South, and sets

Tuesday:  say 1-2 metre range dead South, with sets

Wednesday:  down a bit in the 1-2 metre range dead South spots, still with sets

Thursday: easing back to around 1 – 1+ metres South East

Stay safe.

TG.

Up in the Air

Not a cloud to be seen>>>

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug  1 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug  1 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19ish

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 20
Mostly sunny. Penrith 20
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 20
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 18
Mostly sunny. Richmond 20
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 20
Sunny. Campbelltown 20
Mostly sunny. Bondi 18

Friday 2 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of early fog in the west. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 3 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 12:00 pm to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 4 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 5 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 6 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 7 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 25th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 July 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

After today’s brief uptick, it’ll be back to smallness again for several days.

When the swell starts to pick up a little later in the week from the South that will be accompanied by showers, cold temps, and SW/S wind – so I’d guess it’ll probably be a “who cares what size it is?” situation – before things might start to ease back a bit on Friday … A bit early to tell but we’ll see.

Friday: back to 1 metre or less South East, but rideable

Saturday: similar

Sunday: maybe around 1 metre at places open to due South

Monday: 1 metre or less South East

Tuesday: ditto at dead South places, the rest nothing, or just nothing.

Wednesday: let’s say somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots, could be more but I don’t think you’ll care

Thursday: dittoish – but easing back during the day

Friday: hmm let’s say somewhere ’round the middle of the 1-2 metre range South East. Let’s see how things are travelling next week

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 25 07:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 25 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18-19

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

I love the cover of the 2019-20 Tide Chart… ” I kept the channel marker to port, and here I am.  I can’t understand what’s gone wrong”…

Weather from the Bureau

Friday 26 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Patches of morning fog in the outer west. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 8 20
Partly cloudy. Penrith 3 20
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 3 20
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 7 18
Morning fog. Partly cloudy. Richmond 1 20
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 4 19
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 1 19
Partly cloudy. Bondi 10 19

Saturday 27 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the west in the early morning. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 28 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 29 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Becoming cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Tuesday 30 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 31 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 1 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 19th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Friday 19 July 2109: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
After whipping itself into a frenzy for most of the week, the ocean is about to have a little rest.
Very small through to about Thursday when there might be a little and brief uptick at south facing beaches, but then small again.
Saturday: down considerably from Friday, but still rideable on a longboard, say about 1 metre or so at places open to the South
Sunday: about 1 metre or less at South facing beaches
Monday: 1 metre or less South East
Tuesday: ditto East South East
Wednesday: ditto due South
Thursday: up a little at south facing beaches, maybe 1-1+ metres
Friday:about 1 metre or so due South
Have a good one
TG
Up in the Air
MSLP Analysis for Fri Jul 19 00:00:00 2019 AUTC
Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul 19 05:30:00 2019
Winds
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 18-19
image
Tides
Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly 10 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 12:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 20
Sunny. Penrith 20
Sunny. Liverpool 20
Sunny. Terrey Hills 18
Sunny. Richmond 20
Sunny. Parramatta 20
Sunny. Campbelltown 20
Sunny. Bondi 18

Saturday 20 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the west. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 12:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 21 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 22 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 23 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 24 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.

Thursday 25 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 11th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Saturday Surf Report

Hey Don – Simon ran out of time to talk this morning on 702! First time that’s happened.

Anyway everyone – here’s the Saturday surf report 🙂 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

It’s flat as a tack..barely a ripple.

Some blue sky and occasional bright sunshine breaking through the clouds… couple of drops of water.

Wind is West at  around 50kph and while the air temp is 12 the wind chill is keeping the apparent temp down to 2!

Flat, cold, windy… back to bed!

The last few days have been really pretty to look at – blue skies, nice lines on the ocean suggesting swell, but the waves have been a bit deceptive at times – they’ve looked like they’ll break, but don’t. Or they look like you need to take a couple of extra paddles to make sure you’re on, but next thing you’ve fallen over the front of the board down the wave…unless you’re young, fit and agile and you can handle anything, and you don’t have to worry about the wind blowing your wig off.  It has been a bit windy!

The banks are pretty straight across a lot of beaches at the moment so that doesn’t create much of a rideable wave at low or high tide. This has meant frustration, so a lot of people simply haven’t bothered to go in the water, despite it being school holidays.

Today  the Bureau of Meteorology’s Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast has a Gale warning (NW/W/SW), with Seas of 2 to 3 metres, Swell Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.

But the Gale force NW/W/SW wind looks like keeping the bigger swell out of the coast, and the due South swell direction means it will go straight past Sydney. The later South West direction will push it out into the Tasman… so I’m expecting the surf to stay flat or less than 1 metre

But there are always other things you can do at the beach on a sunny day if you want to burn off some energy, like take a run or a brisk walk or a paddle in the breeze or a swim… And the BoM says, despite the sunny day, “Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]”… Isn’t that interesting.

If you just want a surf, you might want to stay in bed and plan something else today.

For tomorrow, the BoM forecast is for “Seas of 2 to 3 metres. Swell Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. “
Hmm…TG thinks most of that will stay offshore.
Depending on the battle between the wind and the swell, the surf on Sunday might start to come up into the 1-2 metre range at places open to due South, … some might even get into protected spots… but my guess is the wind is more likely to push it back.

For the week ahead…

Westerly type winds are expected all through the week….

Westerlies initially flatten the surf on the East Coast, until swell that has built up coming over many thousands of kilometres across the Great Australian Bight and the southern ocean refracts to the left around Victoria, and starts either coming up the NSW coast, or heads off in a south westerly direction into the Tasman.

It’s always hard to say but it looks like the alternating W/NW/SW winds across the country will push most of the bigger swell out into the Tasman, or it will go right on up the coast past Sydney … which is fine for the average punter, as there’ll be fun leftover surf from that.

So, while it will be big offshore, right in close to the coast the South swell should be more moderately sized.

It might start to come up possibly Sunday or more likely Monday, and that should last all week.

And with the expected offshore winds there should be some fun times ahead for surfers…depending on the banks… and we’re not talking about the Big 4.

Monday: say in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots, but there’ll be a lot of SW in the swell; despite the reasonable wave period there’ll be a battle between the wave pulse and the wind, with the wind most likely keeping the swell down

Tuesday:  bigger, southerly swell with a period bigger than 10 seconds could see surf around maybe 2 or 2+ metres at places open to the South, and some getting into other beaches

Wednesday: easing back in the upper 1-2 metre range, still due South

Thursday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range, as the direction turns more South West

Friday: up again 2-3 metres at due South places.

A couple of wind chill days ahead, so stay warm.  Water’s pleasant enough at around 18-19.

TG

 

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 11 July 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Last few days have been really pretty to look at, though waves have been a bit deceptive – look like they’ll break but don’t …look like you need to take a couple of extra strokes, but you’re falling off the front…unless you’re young fit and agile and you handle anything, and you don’t have to worry about the wind blowing your wig off.  The banks are pretty straight at a lot of beaches and could do with some improvement.

Westerly type winds are expected all through next week. Westerlies initially flatten the surf on the East coast, until swell coming across the Great Australian Bight refracts left around Victoria, and comes either up the coast or heads off in a south westerly direction into the Tasman, depending on the wind pushing it along.

It looks to TG that the alternating W/NW/SW winds will push most of the bigger stuff out into the Tasman or it will go right on up the coast past Sydney, which is fine for the average punter.

So big offshore, but right in close to the coast some moderately sized South swell should start to come up from possibly Sunday or more likely Monday, that should last all week. And with the  expected offshore winds there should be some fun times ahead…depending on the banks.

Friday: less than 1 metre or flat

Saturday: less than 1 metre or flat

Sunday: could start to come up into the 1-2 metre range at places open to due South; some might get into protected spots but my guess is the wind is more likely to push it back

Monday: say in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots, but there’ll be a lot of SW in the swell; despite the reasonable wave period there’ll be a battle between the wave pulse and the wind, most likely keeping it down

Tuesday:  bigger more southerly swell with a pulse could see it around maybe 2 or 2+ metres at places open to the South, with more getting into other places

Wednesday: easing back in the upper 1-2 metre range still due South

Thursday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range as the direction turns more South West

Friday: up again 2-3 metres at due South places.

A couple of wind chill days ahead too so stay warm.  Water’s pleasant enough.

Stay safe

TG

————-~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Up in the Air

Blue skies and more blue skies

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 11 06:30:00 2019

Lots of lines close together from the West ————What can it mean…??

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 11 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

You’ve got

Wind

blowing offshore >>>> and lots of it

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp

The MHL Sydney buoy temperature reader is off the air at the moment, but the last recording was 19.5 on 8 July, and I’d say from the feel of it, it’s about that.

image

Tides

^v^v^v^v

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending north to northwesterly in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 12 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Becoming windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Becoming windy. Partly cloudy. Sydney 10 21
Partly cloudy. Penrith 6 20
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 7 20
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 9 18
Partly cloudy. Richmond 6 20
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 7 20
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 4 20
Becoming windy. Partly cloudy. Bondi 11 19

Saturday 13 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 16
Windy. Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning then increasing to 35 to 55 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 14 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 16
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 15 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning west to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 16 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.

Wednesday 17 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Thursday 18 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 5th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Friday 5 July 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The solid Easterly swell that’s been around all week was still pushing in at some places, although was getting somewhat smaller …
The onshore wind of the last couple of days looks like continuing for a little while yet, .so surf quality might be messy and bumpy.
However it might not be too bad early on  if there’s a light offshore early on before the onshore starts up again.
But whatever the quality,  with the school holidays just starting, you can bet there’ll be lots of energetic kids and desperate people out there taking advantage of whatever wave there is available…
The Easterly swell and surf should continue over the weekend then get smaller until about Wednesday when a new southerly swell should start to come up at places open to due South.  Thursday it looks like being around head high and more East South East so will get into more places but size should diminish somewhat by Friday.
Saturday:  should be in the 1-2 metre range from the East… still with some sets at the upper end of the range

Sunday: should be going down more, say around 1.5 metres from the East, but still with sets
Monday: 1-2 metre range going down to around 1 1+ metres East
Tuesday: around 1 metre East
Wednesday:coming up at dead south places in the 1-2 metre range
Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East with sets
Friday: around 1ish metres.
Have fun
TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul  5 06:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

image

Water Temp is around 19

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
A few showers.
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 6 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Shower or two. Sydney 12 20
Shower or two. Penrith 9 20
Shower or two. Liverpool 9 19
Shower or two. Terrey Hills 11 18
Shower or two. Richmond 7 19
Shower or two. Parramatta 9 19
Shower or two. Campbelltown 8 19
Shower or two. Bondi 14 19

Sunday 7 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the west. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 8 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the morning and afternoon, then clearing. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 9 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 10 July

Summary
Min 6
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Thursday 11 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Friday 12 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.