Posts in Goat’s Forecast

TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 22nd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

TC Oma is up north but is affecting the weather and surf outlook depending on where she decides to go and the interaction with a High and a Low down south. At the moment she’s tracking here

  1. She can always change her mind but based on the present situation the surf outlook for here (it’ll be bigger and messier up north, but could get nasty in  a lot of places) … The weather here has that tropical feel to it but Note the direction of the main swell for us in Sydney.. mainly from the south/east south east than coming down from Oma up north. Interesting days ahead:

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places and starting to come up from the south during the day

Saturday: 1-2 metres, 2ish metres and increasing through the day East South East

Sunday: 2-3, 3-4 metres at dead South places

Note the BoM warning: Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing. Surf Life Saving NSW recommends only swimming at patrolled beaches and between the red and yellow flags. (That’s if they’re up!)

Monday: 3-4 metres East South East

Tuesday: 2-3 metres East South East

Wednesday: 2-3 metres East North East, with sets

Thursday: 2-2+ metres East North East

ALL SUBJECT TO CHANGE as the spinning tops move around

Take care. Stay safe.

TG

Up in the Sky

Latest Colour Mean Sea-Level Pressure Analysis and Infrared Greyscale Satellite

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.444,151.327,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22

image

Tides: Highs are high with that full moon and if we get a storm surge it’ll be worse

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 21 February 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Showers.
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 22 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Saturday 23 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southeast to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming southeasterly 30 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day then tending southerly 30 to 45 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 24 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing. Surf Life Saving NSW recommends only swimming at patrolled beaches and between the red and yellow flags.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 25 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 26 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 27 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 28 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 14th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

While you’ve been enjoying? warm weather in Sydney I’ve been enduring cold winds coming up from Antarctica. To make matters worse the winds didn’t even bring up any surf where I’ve been.

Between the cold air, the cold water, and the .. surf… I haven’t seen any reason to take my board off the car, so far.  Maybe tomorrow?

But you don’t care about that do you?

And hey… In Victoria I’ve seen so many Goat’s Cheese this, Goat’s Cafe that, Goat’s Meat !!??!!… thank goodness I’m back in NSW !(?)

So in Sydney, I don’t think I’ve missed much surf from what I’ve been told.

Friday: easing back into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Saturday:around 1 metre or so or possibly less South East

Sunday: 1 metre or so East

Monday:coming up a little in the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Tuesday: coming up at places open the dead South after a change, say in the 1-2 metre range at those places

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: down to around 1 metre or so East South East.

Have a good one!

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 14 10:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 14 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.369,150.538,5,i:pressure,m:cNpakoE

Down in the Sea

Water temp in Sydney is around say 22ish.

Where I’ve been… mostly greenish.. see below… which just isn’t right for Summertime surfing…not that I’ve seen any surf.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast updated at 8:16 pm EDT on Thursday 14 February 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 15 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 16 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 17 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 18 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 19 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 20 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 21 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 31st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 31 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The kids are back at school, mums and dads are back at work, the weather’s been pretty good, conditions should be ideal… But then

Nothing’s been happening…and that’ll be it for the week given all the wind changes forecast.

Hot now … 39 on the coast around 4pm…but a cool change is on the way…passed through Jervis Bay around 3pm doing around 40kph with gusts around 60-70 kph.  You work out when it’ll get here 🙂 something to do in the heat.

And here’s something else for you.  I haven’t given you a singalong surf forecast for a while … close your eyes and listen.  Close your eyes I said!  Hahaha.

To stay Cool as Mungo:

Sit in the shade

Drink lots of cool liquids

Wear a hat – to dive in and out of the water.

Friday: somewhere around the upper end of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South waves..but will have S wind with it

Saturday: down slightly South East with onshores

Sunday: ditto again within 1-2 metre range but more East, with NE wind

Monday: ditto to that

Tuesday: ditto to that, but with a S wind change expected by the BOM from late Monday

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East

Thursday: And ditto.

Who knows.. you might be able to catch some waves you can ride if you’re not too fussy.

Have a good one!

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 31 04:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 31 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp’s about 23ish

image

Tides

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 40
Hot. Late cool change.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Hot. A mix of sun and cloud. Medium (40%) chance of showers late this afternoon and evening, with the risk of a thunderstorm, chiefly in the west. North to northwesterly winds 25 to 35 km/h in the morning, tending northeasterly near the coastal fringe this afternoon. A gusty southerly change 30 to 45 km/h in the late afternoon and early evening, possibly reaching 65 km/h near the coast.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Hot. Late cool change.Sydney40
Hot. Late cool change.Penrith40
Hot. Late cool change.Liverpool40
Late gusty cool change.Terrey Hills37
Hot. Late cool change.Richmond40
Hot. Late cool change.Parramatta40
Hot. Late cool change.Campbelltown39
Late gusty cool change.Bondi35

Friday 1 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then turning southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 2 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 3 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 4 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 5 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 6 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 24th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 January 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Nothing too exciting happening, now or through the week ahead.

Today there’s about 1 metre or so of sort of waves from the South East that are getting into places that are open to it, but it’s messy with the wind behind it.

Friday: something similar, though with a light Noreaster..could be ok for the kids at the right tide

Saturday: ever so slightly bigger say 1-1+ metres North East, but with SE wind

Sunday: much the same

Monday: about the same but with light winds

Tuesday: similar, wind turning NE

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: and again.

Looks like it’ll be pot luck if you find a suitable wave at the right place, right tide.

Have a good one and have a Happy Australia Day Long Weekend!

TG

Look, Up in the Sky

Clouds?

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 24 04:30:00 2019

Lines on maps, all over the place

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 24 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds…will keep on blowin’

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure

Deep Down in the Sea

Water temp, on top is currently 22ish…

PS The water isn’t really red and orangey colours

image

Tide… like Time, waits for no man

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
Morning showers/drizzle
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of light showers or drizzle, mainly in the morning. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Morning showers/drizzleSydney26
Possible morning shower.Penrith31
Morning showers/drizzleLiverpool29
Morning showers/drizzleTerrey Hills26
Morning showers/drizzleRichmond30
Morning showers/drizzleParramatta28
Morning showers/drizzleCampbelltown29
Morning showers/drizzleBondi23

Friday 25 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 26 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 33
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 27 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 31
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 28 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds.

Tuesday 29 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 30 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 17th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

360 degree view…not a cloud in the deep blue sky. The sea is sparkling. The sun is shining. Pretty as a picture. A great day for the beach today..except for.. well, you know… waves~~~

Now you might say the surf hasn’t been great, and you might be right.

But I couldn’t help but notice – because there’s 10 of ’em right in your face whenever you go in the water – that the kids are having a ball!

They think it’s great!!

And believe it or not, there are occasional waves that you’re happy to catch, among the rubbish, if you fluke being in the right spot at the right tide and are patient. If you’re not, cool down with a swim.

For the coming week… stay cool…some more hot days are forecast. If you’re lucky enough to be able to get wet, then just getting wet is likely to be the most excitement you can expect at the beach.  Or, you could just be lucky enough to fluke that occasional freak wave – ie, one that’s rideable.

Watch out for blueys… there were a few biggies floating around today.

Stay happy!

TG

Friday: continuing North East windswell, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range depending on where you are along the beach

Saturday: an early morning southerly change – starting out at 25-40 kph according to the BoM – will knock that down and chop it up and generally make it unpleasant on the beach (kids, and visitors, and anyone else)

Sunday: small end of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South windblown waves, and onshore

Monday: 1 metre or less at dead South places

Tuesday: 1 metre or less East South East

Wednesday: 1 metre or less North East, then another Southerly wind change to chop that up

Thursday: back to NE wind and small waves

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 17 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 17 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22ish.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Friday 18 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 33
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Very hot and mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon.

A Poor Air Quality Forecast is issued by the Office of Environment and Heritage due to elevated OZONE pollution in Sydney for Friday 18 January 2019.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 19 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 29
Wind easing. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h turning southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 20 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 21 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 23 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 34
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 24 January

Summary
Min 24
Max 34
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 10th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

All that huffing and puffing today won’t bring up much surf, but there should be waves of varying sorts all week for those still on holiday.  A few wind changes, but some more warm weather ahead to.

I can sympathise with those who had to go back to work this week. Last night I had a terrible dream. I was driving round and around and couldn’t find a damn parking spot in Manly to catch the ferry to work.

Proving that things always look better in the morning… when I woke up I remembered that I’m retired!  Haha.

Surf outlook:

Friday 11/1: in the 1-2 metre range South East/East, easing back through the day

Saturday: as a Noreaster picks up so will the surf, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East… might be some little sets from Eastish

Sunday: change in direction again with the wind .. somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East, with maybe occasional sets from the East

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places..not much elsewhere

Tuesday:  1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range Eastish

Thursday: 1-2 metre range East North East.

Enjoy, if you’re on holidays.

If you’ve gotta go to work… earn some money for your next holiday :

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 10 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 10 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is currently pleasant…CURRENTly haha.. Get it? at around 21.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Light shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of light showers or drizzle. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 11 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the east, grading to a high (70%) chance in the west, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of afternoon thunderstorms, chiefly in the west. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 12 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the west during the afternoon or early evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 13 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 14 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 15 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 16 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 35
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly later.

Thursday 17 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds

 


The Goat’s First Surf Forecast for 2019

Posted on January 3rd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s First Surf Forecast for 2019:

22nd year of TG’s Forecasts:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Some variations in wind direction ahead for the coming week to give you a little variety, and hopefully some small to medium rideable waves.

But this arvo, (an Aussie word whose meaning is unknown to all those foreign visitors, so use it at will just to confuse ’em), a gentle onshore breeze, warm sun and background music of cicadas provided the perfect opportunity to kick back in the shade, chill out and recuperate from days of surfing or paddling, and nights of refreshments and socialising.

It’s been congested in the ocean – one more area to add to the list – but hey kids, I think I just heard mum say you should take a few days off out of the sun now.

I will give those thousands of visitors a helpful tip (as apparently they aren’t aware)…

Barrenjoey Road to Palm Beach is a Dead End Road. It’s not a Through Road… It’s a Cul de Sac.

And there’s nowhere for thousands of visitors to park… anywhere..

Just so you know why you’ve been stopped or crawling in traffic from Mona Vale.

A Community Service Announcement by TG.

Water temp has been bouncing around from nice to freezing with consistent Noreasters dragging cold water up, to ? It should improve when the next southerly comes by.

Waves:

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East.. biggest at southern ends of beaches

Saturday: ditto

Sunday: ditto

Monday: around 1 metre or so Eastish

Tuesday: ditto to that

Wednesday: around 1 – 1+metres North East

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range North East/ South East

Hope 2019 is good to us all!

TG.

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan  3 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan  3 04:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.881,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp offshore is around 22.  Variable inshore.

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the outer west, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Partly cloudy.Sydney28
Possible shower.Penrith34
Partly cloudy.Liverpool32
Partly cloudy.Terrey Hills28
Partly cloudy.Richmond33
Partly cloudy.Parramatta31
Partly cloudy.Campbelltown31
Partly cloudy.Bondi25

Friday 4 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Saturday 5 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 33
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending west to northwesterly during the day then shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 6 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 7 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly during the morning.

Tuesday 8 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Morning shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 9 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.


The Goats Surf Forecast and New Year Message

Posted on December 27th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 27 December 2018:

Seven day outlook into 2019:

Warm days continuing into 2019. Surf pretty much as it’s been. Continuing short period North East windswell.  Bigger at southern ends of beaches, where the wind will be heading but there are some light wind periods forecast by the Bureau.

If you can get in the water count yourself lucky.

If you can catch a wave count yourself lucky.

Hey.. You’re Here and it’s Summertime.. count yourself lucky.

Remember to keep an eye on the weather – couple of possible Thunderstorms are forecast.

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range North North East

Saturday: Ditto

Sunday: Ditto, North East

Monday: New Year’s Eve… Ditto

Tuesday: New Year’s Day… Ditto, East North East

Wednesday:  Ditto, East

Thursday: around 1ish metres East.

Stay safe ..stay cool.. stay hot.. stay well.  Have Fun.

Happy New Year from TG!

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 27 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 27 07:30:00 2018

Winds

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Down in the Sea

Water temp is very pleasant around 22

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing 25 to 35 km/h near the coast this evening.

An Air Quality Forecast alert of POOR for the Sydney region has been issued as ozone levels are forecast to exceed national air quality standards today. The alert has been posted on the NSW OEH web site (http//www.environment.nsw.gov.au/aqms/aqiforecast.htm)

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 28 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 29 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 30 December

Summary
Min 23
Max 34
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 31 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm, mostly in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Tuesday 1 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 2 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 3 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds


The Goat’s Christmas Surf Forecast and Christmas Message

Posted on December 20th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 20 December 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

How about that.. Rain, Hail And Shine all in less than an hour … And now dark clouds are coming over again and I hear the rumble of thunder again. I wonder if Mother Nature enjoyed that so much she wants to do it all over again??  By George By Jingo By Jove I think she is …and she’s sharing it around a few other places as well this time by the look of it… with some gusty wind. Oh how Tropical of her…

Most people have been busy finishing up work or school for the year and haven’t had much time for a surf. If that’s you, you haven’t been missing an awful lot… unless you were lucky enough to get it at the right tide, before a wind change, before it got crowded, or you didn’t really care anyway.

And the outlook is for an up and down week ahead with mixed blessings (oh TG can be so verbally apt)

So, just take it as it comes…relax.. it’s holiday time, chill out, get wet and have fun when you can.

Friday: up from the South East, could be 2 metres or so.. with S/SE wind

Saturday: around 2 metres or so at dead South places and with S wind

Sunday: easing back into the 1-2 metre range South East (S/SW/SE wind)

Monday: down around 1 metre or so East South East

Tuesday: Chrissy Day – around 1 metre or so of Easterly surf for you and the kids or you and mum and dad or you and your matesto try out the new surf toys in.

Wednesday: Boxing Day – up ever so slightly say 1- 1 + metres  from persistent Noreast wind… which btw looks like giving the Sydney Hobart yachts a slowish run up the Harbour, and then a nice tailwind for the early part of the race at least

Thursday: around 1 metre or so East at first, then coming up a little later.

Merry Christmas to everyone. Stay safe in the surf and out of it.  Not a plug but if you’re heading away I do like this ad for its road safety message.  We all need reminders at times.

Have Fun!

TG.

 

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Summary
Showers. Possible storm.
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Thunderstorm likely, possibly severe. Winds east to southeasterly 20 to 25 km/h turning southerly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 21 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h tending southeasterly in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 22 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 23 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 24 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.

Tuesday 25 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 26 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 27 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 30
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on December 13th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 13 December 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Sydney’s about to cop a heap of rain as I put hoof to keyboard and there’s thunder and lightning coming too..  Don’t run around like a headless chook..get your washing in! Don’t play tennis.  Get inside and stay inside for about half an hour or so. Don’t go out if there’s Thunder about.

Nasty Severe TC Owen way up north but the Bureau expects it to be Ex TC Owen by late Saturday and make a lot of rain up north.

Outlook for the weekend looks like good rainfall here, and for the surf? well

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: ditto East North East

Sunday: up a bit into the 2, 2+ maybe 3 metre area East North East

Monday: down into the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: down again to around 1 metre or so North East

Wednesday: coming up into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East

RIP Scott Dillon.. passed away at 90.  Bought a few boards off him in my younger days.  Once watched him and Dave Jackman go out at North Steyne to ride the Queenscliff Bombie.  No one else in the water.  I gave them no chance of even getting out through the monster surf. The sea seemed to make a gentle winding passageway as they casually paddled between giant waves.  You couldn’t see them the waves were so big and I was expecting to see their gun boards washed end over end to shore. Then Scott caught a monster all the way to shore and just strolled up the beach  It was absolutely amazing to watch the whole thing It was like it was stage managed for them.

Pretty to watch.

TG.

Nice story on him here

https://www.pacificlongboarder.com/news/RIP-Scott-Dillon/?siteregion=AU

Up in the Sky

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 13 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 13 07:30:00 2018

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Friday 14 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Rain increasing.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Patchy fog in the early morning. High (80%) chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly in the evening then tending east to northeasterly in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 15 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 16 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 17 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 18 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 19 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 20 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly later.


 

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