Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on December 3rd, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 3 December 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The surf outlook is .. hmm how to put it.. Disappointing… If you’e easily disappointed.

Others will see a little Adventure Trek Challenge ahead… Searching to find a wave!

Lots of wind direction changes, and windy as well!

Warmish to average temps.

And lots of Small Waves with direction changes as a result of the windy wind changes not giving the ocean much of a chance to get a head of steam in one direction or other.

But, all week there should be little waves… at the right tide, at the right place… for the right gear…

You’ll just have to have a sense of adventure and seek them out, using the following Intel gleaned from TG’s guts>>>>

Friday: about 1 metre or so ish at dead South places only

Saturday: Ditto

Sunday: about 1 metre or so ish Eastish

Monday: about 1 metre or so ish North East

Tuesday: about 1 metre or so ish at dead South places only

Wednesday: Ditto

Thursday: And down joost a little bit more.

Stay Positive… But NOT in a Covid way!  It ain’t gone away in the world.

And remember, even small surf can produce rips that inexperienced swimmers can drown in.. so help out whenever you can…

If you’re inexperienced, swim where the red and yellow flags are… If there are no flags…no swim.

https://www.surflifesaving.com.au/news/drowning-schoolie-saved-brave-rescue

TG

Up in the Air

Latest Colour Mean Sea-Level Pressure Analysis and Infrared Greyscale Satellite

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.764/150.924?-34.283,150.924,8,m:cISakmH

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20, 21

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 4 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Early cloud clearing to a mostly sunny day. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 19 28
Mostly sunny. Penrith 16 35
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 17 33
Cloud clearing. Terrey Hills 17 28
Mostly sunny. Richmond 16 34
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 16 32
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 15 34
Mostly sunny. Bondi 19 24

Saturday 5 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening, with the risk of a thunderstorm. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h shifting north to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 6 December

Summary
Min 23
Max 32
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 7 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then tending southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 8 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 9 December

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 10 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 27th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Friday 27 November 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney

You’re going to want to get wet this weekend cause it’ll be warm.

Will there be waves, you ask. Yes small to medium. But it could be crowded.

Outlook is for Noreast windwaves followed by waves from the South. Looks like it’ll be windy to boot.  Stay alert for opportunities.

Saturday: 1 – 1.5 metres Noreast

Sunday: ditto

Monday: coming up from dead South at places open to that, say 1-2 metre range, then easing later

Tuesday:1-1.5 metres South East

Wednesday: up again with the wind behind it, say 2ish metres dead South places only

Thursday: 1-1.5 metres dead South.

And check here to bid for a surf experience session with Tommy Carroll.. tell him TG sent you.. taught him all he knows 🙂

https://www.32auctions.com/ABSLSCSilentAuction2020

Have Fun!

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Fri Nov 27 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Nov 27 06:30:00 2020

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 28 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 36
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 20 36
Hot. Penrith 19 41
Hot. Liverpool 18 41
Sunny. Terrey Hills 18 37
Hot. Richmond 19 41
Hot. Parramatta 18 39
Hot. Campbelltown 17 40
Sunny. Bondi 20 32

Sunday 29 November

Summary
Min 24
Max 39
Hot.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds north to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 45 km/h before shifting south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 30 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 24
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly cloudy. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then shifting east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Tuesday 1 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 2 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 3 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Friday 4 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 19th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 November 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Another quick one from TBG (The Bionic Goat), cause he’s tired, worn out, needs a rest, and he says there’s not much to get too excited about anyway…

But who doesn’t like variety in their weather conditions, wind directions, wave directions, and general lives, hey??

Surf outlook is for mostly small to medium conditions for the weekend and week ahead.

But for those who want to get wet there should be waves from time to time, if you’ve got the right gear, and the right attitude. You might just have to look for them.

Friday: around 1-1+ metres of Noreast windswell

Saturday: leftovers from the above and chopped and whipped into submission by S/SE winds

Sunday: 1 metre or less at places open to dead South… lesser elsewhere

Monday: Ditto but North Eastish

Tuesday: up a little into the low end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Wednesday: down a little and more East

Thursday: Dittoish

Keep your eyes peeled for Opportunities.

TBG says he’ll be good as new very soon, once the battery recharges.

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 19 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 19 07:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp has at last started to get get human-friendly. Currently around 20ish off Sydney

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 20 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. The chance of fog in the west in the early morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeasterly 20 to 35 km/h in the afternoon then shifting southeasterly 20 to 35 km/h in the late evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 17 29
Hot. Possible afternoon storm. Penrith 16 38
Possible afternoon shower. Liverpool 16 36
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 16 29
Hot. Possible afternoon storm. Richmond 16 37
Possible afternoon shower. Parramatta 15 35
Possible afternoon storm. Campbelltown 14 36
Mostly sunny. Bondi 18 25

Saturday 21 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h tending southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 22 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 29
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 23 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly during the evening.

Tuesday 24 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely during the morning. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 25 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 26 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 12th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 12 November 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

We’ll keep it Fast and Simple… which is what TG is anyway.

The Energiser Bunny??           WE have the Energiser Goat!

The outlook for the weekend and the week ahead is predominantly Noreast winds and Noreast waves, with the occasional brief southerly setting for variety.

Surf

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: down slightly in the 1-2 metre range North East

Sunday: down more, 1 metre or less North East

Monday: up slightly, 1-1+ metres North East, ahead of a southerly change later

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East, with S/SE wind to chop it up

Wednesday: down, 1-1+ metres and more dead South, so missing some places

Thursday: 1-1+metres due South.

Stay well and Have Fun.

TG.

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 12 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 12 06:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.699,150.878,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18-19ish and could get cooler after a few days of Noreasters

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 12 November 2020.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, more likely in the evening, and the risk of a thunderstorm. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h near the coast.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 13 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending westerly in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Showers. Possible storm. Sydney 18 27
Showers. Possible storm. Penrith 18 31
Showers. Possible storm. Liverpool 18 29
Showers. Possible storm. Terrey Hills 17 26
Showers. Possible storm. Richmond 18 30
Showers. Possible storm. Parramatta 17 29
Showers. Possible storm. Campbelltown 16 29
Showers. Possible storm. Bondi 19 25

Saturday 14 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 15 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then tending northerly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 16 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 33
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Hot. Mostly sunny day. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h tending northwesterly during the afternoon. A cooler southerly change 15 to 25 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 17 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 21
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 18 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 19 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 29th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 29 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Been a pretty ordinary week of weather and wave conditions most of the time. It even felt like it was winter again. But there were opportunities at times for the keen and fit enthusiasts…

The more sensitive souls with a few years of experience of such conditions behind them, chose not to play.

The outlook for the week ahead looks like more variable weather, winds and surf quality, but there will be waves of sorts.

Keen players should be ready to pounce on possibilities as they arise>>>

Friday: easing back from Thursday, in the 1-2 metre range East South East…

Saturday: …before kicking up a notch in the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Sunday: coming up more into the 2-3 metre range East North East, with southerly type winds later

Monday: easing back in the 1-2 metre range Eastish, with southerly winds

Tuesday: in the lower end of the 1-2 metre range East

Wednesday: ditto, with freshening NE winds

Thursday: ditto for the surf.

Keep smiling 🙂

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 29 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 29 06:30:00 2020

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18 ish. Still cool water off Sydney

image

 

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible shower.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. High(70%) chance of showers, most likely in the west, clearing later this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west early this evening. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 30 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Late shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning, mainly in the west. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Late shower or two. Sydney 13 22
Late showers. Possible storm. Penrith 11 26
Early fog. Late shower or two. Liverpool 11 24
Late shower or two. Terrey Hills 12 21
Late showers. Possible storm. Richmond 10 25
Early fog. Late shower or two. Parramatta 11 24
Early fog. Late shower or two. Campbelltown 9 24
Late shower or two. Bondi 15 20

Saturday 31 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 25 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 1 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Showers. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending southerly 30 to 45 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Monday 2 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 3 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Wednesday 4 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 5 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 22nd, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lovely weather right now.

Waves have been smallish and wind affected this week, but I did see some people taking advantage of the right tides occasionally.

The outlook for the weekend and week ahead is for some rain and showers according to BoM, which might dampen the enthusiasm of some, and there will be wind as well. But if you’re keen, you’re going to get wet anyway…

Friday: around 1 metre or less North East

Saturday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at Southern wind blown ends of beaches, smaller in NE sheltered corners

Sunday: coming up with Southerly wind say around 2 – 2+ metres at places that get dead South swell

Monday: similar but more South East and still with Southerly wind to mess it up

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: coming up say 2 metres East South East

Stay well and look out for each other.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 22 05:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 22 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is appraently around 20 according to MHL…

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the west. Winds easterly 15 to 25 km/h turning northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 23 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 16 26
Partly cloudy. Penrith 15 31
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 15 29
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 15 25
Partly cloudy. Richmond 14 30
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 14 29
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 13 29
Partly cloudy. Bondi 18 23

Saturday 24 October

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds becoming northerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending northwesterly in the evening ahead of a southerly change overnight.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 25 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 19
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 26 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 19
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h.

Tuesday 27 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 21
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of thunderstorms in the outer west later in the day. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 28 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 29 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 15th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 15 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Today the weather was beautiful, but the surf when I saw it was very windy and ordinary with few takers.

The surf outlook is for small to medium surf over the weekend and into next week, while the weather outlook according to the BoM is for lots of wind changes and a mixed bag of showers and partly cloudiness.

Which means there could be some OK waves at times, but quality will likely  depend on the fickleness of the winds, so stay alert for your opportunities..

Friday: down a little from Thursday, say around 1- 1+ metres East then coming up a little with southerly winds, say in the 1-2 metre range at places open to the South

Saturday: down in the 1-2 metre range South East, then up a bit later in the 1-2 metre range South East

Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East North East, down at first, then up

Monday: around 1ish – 1+ metres East South East

Tuesday: around 1ish metres or less East South East

Wednesday: ditto South East

Thursday: ditto East, then starting to come up later.

Stay cool… Chillax… Be kind to others, in and out of the water.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 15 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 15 06:30:00 2020

Winds

Down in the Sea

Water temp… When is this cold water going away! It’s a PITB and is making the wind at the beach cold too. Inshore it’s still around 18… out a bit it’s 19-20. Maybe the current will swirl some of the warm water inshore soon.

image

Tides

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northwest in the afternoon and early evening. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming north to northeasterly and light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 16 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 22
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then turning south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Possible shower. Sydney 17 22
Shower or two. Penrith 16 24
Possible shower. Liverpool 15 22
Cloudy. Terrey Hills 17 21
Possible shower. Richmond 15 24
Cloudy. Parramatta 15 22
Shower or two. Campbelltown 13 22
Possible shower. Bondi 18 20

Saturday 17 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Late shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Areas of fog in the west in the early morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the evening. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h turning west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 18 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 19 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h tending southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 20 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Wednesday 21 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 22 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 8th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 8 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

There were a few waves around today with the keen out there having a go. But the quality wasn’t enough to tempt many people away from going to work, or even entice the more experienced (read ‘older’) participants with more available leisure time into the chilly water.

Instead people coming to do a surf check chose to have a quick chat to their mates about all manner of topics de jour, with well informed and sensible objective commentary, but today we’ll just stick to the

Surf Outlook

Waves all week…. for you to pick and choose your days>>>

Friday: down from Thursday into the 1-2 metre range East

Saturday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East /South East

Sunday: around 1 ish or less South/East

Monday: up a bit into the 1-2 metre range East

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: ditto

Stay well stay safe…

TG

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct  8 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct  8 07:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18ish

image

 

 

Tides

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (20%) chance of a shower late this afternoon or early this evening. Winds northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 9 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 13 25
Mostly sunny. Penrith 10 24
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 11 23
Sunny. Terrey Hills 13 23
Mostly sunny. Richmond 10 24
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 11 24
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 9 23
Sunny. Bondi 15 24

Saturday 10 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly in the early afternoon then tending north to northeasterly in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 11 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 12 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 13 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 14 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 15 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 1st, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 1 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Hey hey looks like a long weekend coming up that will actually feel like a nice start to Summer, But… there’s always Buts… Sigh you say.. TG say C’est la vie, and he knows how to butt heads with the best of ’em.

First But… you might want to take advantage of the nice weekend weather, because it’ll change again after that..

Second But… you may feel like you want to dive in the ocean on one of the warm days, but if you haven’t been in before this and you don’t want an ice cream headache/heart attack etc because of the difference between the air and water temps, you might want to hold off a bit longer yet.

Heey you’ve all been so patient this year, you know how to handle it…

In fact TG has decided to name 2020 The Year of everyone being patient… (better than being the year of being a patient!).. or, The Year of Patience for short… and you know that patience is a virtue… (too much??)

Third But…the surf is also heading into a Summer surf situation, with Nor East winds predominating (that’s a big word) on some days

Fourth But.. you’ll have a good time anyway 🙂

Surf outlook

Friday: going down from today through the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots

Saturday: around 1 metre or less North East at first then increasing in size with the wind behind it during the day

Sunday: around 1 metre or less North East at first, then around 1 ish or so metres East North East

Monday: around 1 ish metres East North East

Tuesday: around 1 ish metres Eastish direction

Wednesday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range East (But, of course, with onshore wind)

Thursday: ditto with the surf, maybe up a bit later.

Have a good one. Stay safe and Enjoy yourself in and out of the water, and don’t get a surprise when you look at the time on Monday morning if you went to bed late.

TG 🙂

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct  1 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct  1 06:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.764/150.924?-34.283,150.924,8,m:cISakmH

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 17, 18 depending on the currents

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Surf conditions in the afternoon and evening may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing and swimming.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 2 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Fog in the early morning, mostly in the west. Sunny day. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 12 25
Early fog then sunny. Penrith 8 29
Early fog then sunny. Liverpool 9 28
Sunny. Terrey Hills 11 24
Early fog then sunny. Richmond 8 29
Early fog then sunny. Parramatta 10 28
Early fog then sunny. Campbelltown 7 28
Sunny. Bondi 14 23

Saturday 3 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. The chance of fog in the west in the early morning. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 4 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 5 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day, but increasing cloud in the evening. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 6 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Wednesday 7 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 8 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds north to northeasterly 20


The Goat’s Surf Forecast and More

Posted on September 24th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast and More

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 September 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Surf outlook

We’ve had a lot of westerly winds lately….pretty much unrelenting..

And the short term outlook is…

Yes.. pretty much more of the same for the next coupla days, but then there might be a little surf when the westerlies ease off.

Some lines were starting to show at places open to the South, today.

Friday: might be a little something, say around 1ish metres at the right tide, at places open to dead South… and not much elsewhere

Saturday: not expecting much at first, maybe 1ish at dead South spots later

Sunday: starting to come up gradually in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places with wind behind it

Monday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto South East

Thursday: ditto more Eastish.

But wait, there’s more

This weekend is the start of the school holidays, and the start of the “swimming season”.. ie the flags go up to show the safe areas to swim.

With people’s thoughts turning more to the beach, and with families and others taking holidays, there’ll be plenty of opportunities to spread the virus (you know the one) around Sydney, the rest of the State and elsewhere… unless people follow the official health advice… Which of course you already know, unless you’re a Complete Boofhead.

Sick of hearing about it?  Hey… Guess what!!!!  We’re doing great here right now, but the point is, it only takes one person.  You’ve got the examples of Europe and the US and Victoria, of what can happen when people relax their guard a little too much.  It hasn’t gone away, and there’s no excuse for ignorance at the beach or elsewhere. There’s this thing called the internet… You’re on it right now!

To help us all stay safe over Summer,  local governments have calculated in advance, the maximum Covid safe beach crowds for individual Sydney beaches… you know, for them to decide if a beach needs to be closed for public health reasons.

Northern Beaches Council info, with crowd numbers they’ve calculated for individual beaches, is here…

https://www.northernbeaches.nsw.gov.au/covid-19/general-information/summer-action-plan-outdoor-public-spaces

Go to “Helpful Documents” (could be even more helpful if it were easier to find!)

Surf lifesavers will not be enforcing public health regulations.

That will be the job Council Rangers and the Police if necessary.

But hey, let’s not make any of it necessary…

TG’s Simple Tips for everyone this summer

  1. If you’re driving to the beach and you’re in a line of traffic… then turn around and go somewhere else!
  2. If you get to the beach and it looks crowded… then go somewhere else!
  3. Relax.. Stay Safe… and Have Fun!!

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 24 05:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 24 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.859,151.200,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19..might still feel a bit fresh if you want a swim without having a heart attack

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 21
Sunny. Penrith 22
Sunny. Liverpool 22
Sunny. Terrey Hills 20
Sunny. Richmond 21
Sunny. Parramatta 22
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 21
Sunny. Bondi 20

Friday 25 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 24
Shower or two. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning west to northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Saturday 26 September

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming westerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Sunday 27 September

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 28 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Tuesday 29 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 30 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.