Turned up at the beach around 0630 for a surf with a few mates. Contemplation of the conditions immediately resulted in a decision – to get coffee. 15-20 kts of ESE wind overnight turned the ocean into a choppy mess. The average period is only about 7 seconds, so you have to time it just right to get a steep enough face for a take off. If the ocean was audio, it’d be pink noise.
After getting the coffee on board and sorting out the big questions of the day with the boys, it was time to head off northward for a quick squizz on your behalf. As the pictures show, the situation was only very slightly better at Northy and Mona Vale. The former looked like an awful lot of paddling for some pretty marginal payoffs. The pic is pretty typical of the sets. At Mona it looked to be less consistent but otherwise similar to the situation down south.
The forecast models remain quite hopeful where swell size is concerned. The current reckoning is for the average heights at sea to bump up a bit toward dark tomorrow and then to power up with a 10 sec plus period that night. Come Thursday morning spots that like an east swell could be firing along pretty nicely. The big question is what the wind’ll be doing. Right now the Bureau’s calling for E-NE, so I guess we can hope that it’ll be comparatively light in the morning…
On the latest run of the models, it appears that Thr-Fri will be the peak, but there should still be something fun left over for the weekend warriors.
Go well with your day!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots at times. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E 1.5 to 2 metres increasing.
Wednesday: Wind: E’ly 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots at times offshore. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E/SE 2 to 2.5 metres decreasing.
Thursday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.