Hello Friends,

Swell has dropped noticeably since yesterday morning. Not that it matters too much because the wind is set to be S-SE through this morning before moving around to a possibly more favourable S-SW this afternoon. Conditions as the day got started were strictly ordinary. No one in the woofy looking waters of Dee Why, more rain showers blowing through and of course the relentless wind.

Tomorrow the wind should be around to the SW and the swell should still be near the two metre mark at east spots, so I’m cautiously hopeful. Throw in a prediction of sunny weather and it could be quite a different look from this morning’s gloomy mess.

This morning’s run of the models show some energy sticking around through the weekend, but it might as the Goat says, be down a bit on Saturday and up a bit on Sunday… that’d be good for the Long Reef International Surf Day beach clean up being hosted by the Save Long Reef crew.

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system off the New South Wales north coast and northern Tasman Sea in conjunction with a strengthening high pressure ridge over the southern Tasman is producing a strong southeasterly airflow over northeastern parts of the state. The low pressure area is expected to move slowly to the south before moving to the east/northeast away from the coast later on Thursday. A cold front is expected to cross southern and central parts of the state during Friday with a westerly airstream becoming established over the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Friday 17 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots then increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 3 metres.
Saturday 18 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres tending southerly 2 metres from midday.