Fading to minimal

Posted by: on April 8th, 2012



Hello Friends,

Sunday kicked off with an approaching high tide, a steady NE’r and a couple metres of short period (8 seconds) SE wind swell. That’s not the best combo for the Dee Why end of the beach and so yesterday’s busy conditions were replaced by, well, a situation with considerably more elbow room.

Set wave faces were struggling to get to waist high and the surface was – naturally enough – chopped up.

You’ll want to be checking the north ends I’d say.

According to this morning’s run of the swell models, conditions could be marginal to near flat through Tuesday morning. There’s a bit of a split in the forecasts at that point, with some pointing at a south change pulse (with lots of wind) and some saying not much will happen. I’m going for a messy, brief south pulse with a fair amount of wind.

After Wednesday it looks as though we might be in for an extended period of marginal conditions.

Here’s hoping the modelling is wrong. 🙂

Enjoy your Sunday!

Tides: H @0915 L @1510

Weather Situation
A trough weakened on the Mid North Coast last night and a ridge is expected to redevelop through the far north coast today. Another trough will enter the far south coast this afternoon or evening before stalling on the North Coast on Monday afternoon. Following this a cold front and stronger southerly change are due to enter the South Coast on Monday afternoon, reaching central parts of the coast overnight Monday night. A high pressure ridge extends across the state on Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
East to northeasterly below 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday 9 April
Early southwesterly change 15 to 25 knots.
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Easterly 1 metre.
Isolated thunderstorms offshore early in the morning.
Tuesday 10 April
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning.
2 to 3 metres.
Easterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres tending southerly 2 metres from the morning.

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