Articles tagged with "SE-2m-8/9s"

Clean and chest high sets for the early

Posted by: on April 12th, 2012

 

 

 

Hello Friends,

Not quite as chilly this morning. Dominant swell direction is SE and size at sea is about two metres at 8 to 9 seconds. Wind was WSW at around 10 kts.

I’ve run late this morning due to a flat tyre. Always fun, especially when you haven’t got round to cleaning out the boot in awhile and the jack looks like something retrieved from the Titanic. Life in the first world… it’s so tough. Anyway, the tyre diversion lead to my coming home via Curly and Dee Why at around 0900, so I grabbed a few pictures for you.

As they show, the surface conditions were really quite clean thanks to a light SW breeze and there were definitely a few little waves to be had. The grey skies and cool air temps seem to have reduced the crowds as well. Certainly I’d have expected waist to chest high plus surf to have a few more takers for the first week of school hols.

The ol’ swell models aren’t looking too swell this morning. It would appear much of the east coast will be getting smaller over the next day or so and then we could be in for near flat conditions through to Monday.

After that, we may get a perk to size, but the wind could be an issue across mid week.

Ah well, the juice will return, so in the meantime, get out there and enjoy if you can.

TIDES: L @0710 H @1310

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system south of Adelaide extends a ridge over southern and western NSW and directs a fresh to strong southerly airflow over central and northern parts of the coast. The high will move slowly east over the next few days and be the dominant weather system affecting NSW, with winds moderating on Thursday then tending mostly moderate northeasterly for Friday and the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Friday 13 April
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Saturday 14 April
Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 metres.

Fading to minimal

Posted by: on April 8th, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

Sunday kicked off with an approaching high tide, a steady NE’r and a couple metres of short period (8 seconds) SE wind swell. That’s not the best combo for the Dee Why end of the beach and so yesterday’s busy conditions were replaced by, well, a situation with considerably more elbow room.

Set wave faces were struggling to get to waist high and the surface was – naturally enough – chopped up.

You’ll want to be checking the north ends I’d say.

According to this morning’s run of the swell models, conditions could be marginal to near flat through Tuesday morning. There’s a bit of a split in the forecasts at that point, with some pointing at a south change pulse (with lots of wind) and some saying not much will happen. I’m going for a messy, brief south pulse with a fair amount of wind.

After Wednesday it looks as though we might be in for an extended period of marginal conditions.

Here’s hoping the modelling is wrong. 🙂

Enjoy your Sunday!

Tides: H @0915 L @1510

Weather Situation
A trough weakened on the Mid North Coast last night and a ridge is expected to redevelop through the far north coast today. Another trough will enter the far south coast this afternoon or evening before stalling on the North Coast on Monday afternoon. Following this a cold front and stronger southerly change are due to enter the South Coast on Monday afternoon, reaching central parts of the coast overnight Monday night. A high pressure ridge extends across the state on Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly below 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday 9 April
Winds
Early southwesterly change 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore early in the morning.
Tuesday 10 April
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres tending southerly 2 metres from the morning.

Sticky: Best early

Posted by: on January 24th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Big high tide at 0850 was looming over the surf prospects this morning. Winds were relatively light for the early, but the ocean still looked grey and lumpy for the hardy crew on it. The SE swell is around the 2 metre mark and the period is about 8 seconds. Pretty typical wind swell in other words. Skies continue mostly cloudy and the BoM tells us that once again there’s a 75% chance of a shower or two.

At Dee Why there were a few bods in the beach break scoring the odd waist to chest high set. Although it was bumpy and messy, I saw a couple folk pick up reasonably long rides. There were people at the point as well, but they were doing a lot of waiting compared to the beachy.

The long range forecasts this morning all agree that we’re in for more easterly wind swell and steady onshores through to the weekend. Size looks to stay around the 1.5-2 metre range, and periods will continue bumping up and down around the 8 second mark.

From Saturday some of the modelling is showing a pulse developing from the NE. It could be into the 3 metre range for Sunday morning, but it’s highly likely to be accompanied by stiff NE winds.

At least it’s not flat eh?

Have yourself a top old Tuesday!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is directing a moist easterly airstream onto the New South Wales coast. This high is expected to move over New Zealand on Thursday as a weak cold front passes to the south. Another high is then forecast to move from the bight to the Tasman Sea, maintaining an onshore flow through to the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the evening.
Wednesday 25 January
Winds
East to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the morning.
Thursday 26 January
Winds
East to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 m

Sticky: Fun all day

Posted by: on February 16th, 2011

Hello Friends

Okay, it wasn’t perfect or anything, but at least there was SE windswell all day and the wind didn’t get too out of hand. I got a few waves at Dee Why point, but given the swell direction, it was far from the only place with something worth the effort. Mostly it was in the waist to chest high range, but every now and then something closer to head high turned up to keep things interesting.

The SE windswell didn’t vary much through the day. Basically it stayed around the two metre mark out at sea with an average period of about 8-9sec. Outlook si for the energy levels to weaken a little overnight, but with luck tomorrow will still offer a few options for the keen. First tide of the day will a high at about 0720, the wind should be out of the NE and once again we have a high likelihood of showers at some point during the day.

Go well!

Weather Situation

A high near New Zealand extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. A low pressure trough lies over the NSW inland and a high is in the western Bight. These systems are moving eastwards. The high is expected to move to the southeast of Tasmania by late Friday. This will bring a weak southerly change along the New South southern and central coasts Thursday through Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 2 metres.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly about 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, ahead of an early southerly change of up to 20 knots. Winds tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the morning then decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening. Swell: Easterly 1 to 2 metres.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Bit of a perk evident

Posted by: on February 16th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Another la nina morning in Sydney, ie grey skies and 90% chance of a shower. As foretold by the models, the swell has bumped up a bit and as Wednesday got started it was a couple metres at sea from the SE with an average period of around 8 seconds. I needed to wait awhile to get this morning’s snap of Dee Why point because the set waves were pretty few and far between. It looks to me like one of those mornings when you hang around for one to two wave sets. Still, at least there’s a little something going on.

It was glassy for the early, but the tide was right on high when I checked it out for the first time. The Bureau says the wind will work around to the NE later and get into the 15-20 kt range. Look to the north corners…

The swell should stick around at more or less the current energy levels this morning before maybe fading a touch toward dark. The good news is that it shouldn’t drop into the realms of utter hopelessness across the next few days. As well, the long range models this morning are showing a reasonably intense system coming around Tasmania and pushing up the east coast early next week. At this stage it looks like maybe slinging us some windy, short period but potentially interesting size swell Tue-Wed. However, as we model watchers know, these forecasts have a way of fading in the straight, so I’m not whooping about it just yet.

Have yourself a great day!

TIDES: H @0720, L @1400

Weather Situation

A high east of Tasmania is moving slowly east, extending a ridge along the New South Wales coast. The approach of a cold front from the Southern Ocean is likely to bring a southerly change to much of the coast on Thursday through Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly up to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly 2 metres.
Forecast for Thursday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly about 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms until evening.
Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending northwest to southwesterly up to 15 knots during the morning then tending southeasterly during the afternoon. Winds tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 to 2 metres.

Sticky: Sunday wrap

Posted by: on May 23rd, 2010

Hello Friends,

There were waves around today at lots of places and the water is still warm. But weirdly the places I checked were all unusually lightly crowded for a Sunday. Maybe it was the cloudy skies and cool air temps… dunno, particularly considering how under much less nice conditions yesterday there were a lot more people in the water.

Go figure.

The settings haven’t changed much over the daylight hours, but there is a distinctive downward tilt to the trends and the call for tomorrow on the models is for a slight decrease. So it might be a little smaller tomorrow, but if you found something today, first stop tomorrow should probably be there again.

Judging from the latest forecast, the water should stay unseasonably warm for another week.

Latest run of the models is still showing good prospects for Thr-Sat. So that’s a good thing!

 

 

Monday tides: H @1015, L @1640
Forecast for Monday
Cloud increasing and light rain developing later. Light to moderate
northwest to northeast winds.
Precis: A little rain later.

City: Min: 12 Max: 19 Parramatta: Min: 9 Max: 19
Terrey Hills: Min: 11 Max: 17

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: South to southeasterly decreasing to 5 to 10 knots late afternoon or early evening.Sea: less than 1 metre. Swell: south to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: Light and variable winds tending northeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.Sea: below about 1 metre.Swell: South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: Northeast to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Wednesday: Wind: West to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots during the morning ahead of a southeasterly change 20 to 30 knots late afternoon.

 

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