Hello Friends,
No surfin’ for Sydneysiders today I’d say. Yesterday’s marginal to near flat conditions look were positively pumping compared to this morning’s paltry offering. The MHL buoy is almost still. It’s like a lake out there. Chop is only 0.5 metre at 5 seconds apart. It’s getting down toward the limit of the buoy’s ability to record movement. And that’s not something we see too often (fortunately!).
This should be the bottom of the flat spell I hope. Looking at the data from south of us, there is evidence of a some energy down at Eden. Eden is around the 9 second mark and the average height of the swell is around 1.5 metres. Nothing amazing, but if that was happening here, we’d have waist to chest plus at spots open to the swell direction. So… I suppose there is a small chance that something will get up to Sydney toward late afternoon. But I’m not counting on it.
Howver, by tomorrow we might be in a little better shape as by then any south swell headed our way should have begun to fill in.
Again, I’m not expecting great things, but if the swell models are anything to do with reality, we could have anywhere from knee to chest on sets tomorrow and maybe a touch bigger on Thursday. Wednesday’s winds look more favourable though, because right now the Bureau is telling us that Thursday is going to be s-se (albeit light for the early).
Have yourself a top old Tuesday one and all!
Weather Situation
A broad low pressure trough lies over the western Tasman Sea. The trough will move to the north during Tuesday and weaken as a vigorous southerly change associated with a cold front crossing the southern Tasman Sea develops on New South Wales far south coast in the morning and moves north along the coast in the afternoon and evening. Southerly winds are expected to ease on Thursday as a high pressure system moves towards the Bight extending a ridge over the western Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 20 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore this morning.
Wednesday 5 December
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn then turning southerly 15 to 20 knots in the evening. Inshore sea breezes.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Thursday 6 December
Winds
South to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
