"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 May 2014: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

A grab bag of interesting info for you all below…Enjoy 🙂

Not much tomorrow and Saturday but starting to get a little bit from the South after that.

Friday, Saturday: still pretty flattish

Sunday: starting to see something at dead South places 1-2 metre range

Monday: 1-2 metre range dead South places

Tuesday: ditto going down

Wednesday:less than 1 metre

Thursday, Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at places that like dead South swell.

Water temp’s around 22.. should start gradually getting cooler soon, as the warmer currents are slowly starting to retreat up the coast:

http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/forecasts/idyoc14.shtml?region=14&forecast=1

Tide tables here:

http://www.maritime.nsw.gov.au/docs/Tide_Tables.pdf

First whale heading north sighted off Av last weekend.

Weather from the Bureau for the week ahead is below:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to northwesterly and light.

UV Alert from 11:10 am to 12:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Around Sydney

 

Friday 23 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 26
Partly cloudy.

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds west to northwesterly and light.

Saturday 24 May

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Partly cloudy.

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h tending southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the early evening.

Sunday 25 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 23
Possible shower.

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of showers until evening. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Monday 26 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Partly cloudy.

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds west to southwesterly and light becoming north to northeasterly during the morning.

Tuesday 27 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 26
Mostly sunny.

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h tending northwesterly later.

Wednesday 28 May

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Partly cloudy.

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

El Nino winter likely – less rain expected here…

Looking further ahead the Bureau says:

El Niño likely in 2014

Based on the assessment on 20 May 2014, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Tracker status remains at El Niño ALERT level, meaning that there is at least a 70% chance of an El Niño occurring in 2014. Current observations and model guidance indicate an El Niño is likely to develop by spring, with some models indicating a transition to El Niño as early as July.

El Niño conditions generally result in below average winter/spring rainfall over southern and inland eastern Australia, while southern Australia typically experiences warmer days.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/tracker/

A new range of purple people eaters ??

http://www.abc.net.au/local/photos/2014/05/21/4008837.htm