Hello Friends,
The first wave I set eyes on this morning was a glassy chest high thing winding unridden along Dee Why point. The MHL buoy was picking up a metre of 14-second SE swell, so as that single wave set proves, there will be the very occasional worthy one in what are generally small and marginal conditions.
Wind should be light this morning before gradually becoming a NE sea breeze later.
Next tide is a high at 1240.
Wind is set to be more of a factor for tomorrow and Friday. Swell is expected to be puny again tomorrow and then to come up a little on Friday, but it’s shaping to just be wind bump with a very short period.
Things are brewing up in the Coral Sea though and this morning’s models are pointing at a quick and dramatic ramp up in average period late Sunday arvo. Some are projecting initial periods of 18 seconds. Although the average height at sea is projected to be an unspectacular 1.5 metres or so, such long periods can deliver wave faces that are solidly overhead. Again, if the models have picked it, on Monday the high energy stuff could be matched with light winds and sunny skies for the early.
And, the pulse could last for 2-3 days!
So, on that hopeful note, allow me to wish you a top old day!
From earlier this morning
Weather Situation
A trough extends from northern New South Wales to the southeast inland, straddled between two weak high pressure systems. A high should become established over the Tasman Sea bringing the return of an east to northeasterly airstream, ahead of a front on Thursday bringing another southerly change to the coast.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
- Winds
- Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre.
- Swell
- Easterly below 1 metre.
- Weather
- 30% chance of a shower this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Thursday 12 March
- Winds
- North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
- Swell
- Easterly below 1 metre.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Friday 13 March
- Winds
- South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Swell
- Southerly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
