Hello Friends,
Utterly flat at Dee Why this morning, but the Bureau says we can expect a south pulse into the 2.5 metre range over the next few hours. The Eden buoy spiked into the 3 metre range yesterday evening. It looks to have stayed over two metres for about 12 hours. Batemans Bay bumped up about 6 hours later but seems to have only reached the two metre mark. No sign of the energy reaching Port Kembla as of 0600, so my guess is that whatever we’re going to get won’t be here until about lunchtime. Tide’s low at 1040, so if the swell does get into our beaches, it’ll be on the back of a rising tide. Not getting too hopeful as average periods are around the 8 second mark down south, so that says to me that the swell isn’t likely to do much when it does get here.
Naturally I’ll be keeping an eye on it and will update if anything interesting starts to happen.
Outlook is for small to flat for the rest of the work week, but at least a few models are showing a nice looking south pulse mid to late Friday…
Have a great Monday everyone!
.
Weather Situation
A weak southerly change is moving along New South Wales central coast and weakening further as a high pressure ridge strengthen over the Tasman Sea. The next southerly change is expected to develop in the south Tuesday afternoon or evening.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeast to southeasterly in the morning then tending northwest to northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Tuesday 17 May
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning west to northwesterly early in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 18 May
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon then becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
