TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on June 30th, 2016

 

 

Updated surf forecast..issued Monday 4 July 2016…

  • Just to show everyone that Mother Nature won’t be told what to do…she currently looks like developing an East Coast Low in the next few days…Depending on how she decides to proceed with the ECL the surf outlook for those days may be quite different to last Thursday’s forecast… Current indications…subject to how the ECL moves over the land and ocean, are:

Tuesday: about 1 metre or so give or take

Wednesday: coming in from the South East 1-2 2-3 metres

Thursday: 4 – 6 metres or more South East

Friday: 3 – 4 or more metres South East

Saturday: 3- 4 metres South East

Will see how she goes..?

ECLs are difficult to predict..

 

Surf forecast issued Thursday 30 June 2016: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

How cold has it been, first thing in the morning !!?  Some mornings, the Bureau’s apparent temp for Sydney Airport (which is exposed on the coast) has been zero or less, even if the temperature might have said 7 or 8!  (http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/observations/sydney.shtml?ref=hdr)….Too cool for this little duck.

With more Westerly type winds expected there’ll probably be a few cool mornings in the coming week (maybe not as bad as last, and despite me telling a mate in Mudgee to stop sending cold air down here), but the low air temps don’t make getting wet particularly attractive for most people, even if the water is just under 20.

Surf: Varying from almost nothing, to moderate, to small, to almost nothing, to small…

But there will be waves in offshore conditions on several days for the hardy ones

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Friday: 1 metre or less at first, starting to come up later (into the night) at places open to dead South swell

Saturday: 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South swell, without much oomph…smaller elsewhere

Sunday: 1 metre or less

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places..probably nothing elsewhere

Wednesday: around 1 metre dead South

Thursday: 1-1+ metres North East

Friday: about 1 metre or so North East.

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I’ve seen a few whales this week heading up the coast to warmer climes………… latest sightings here:

http://www.wildaboutwhales.com.au/whale-watching

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In the Air:

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 30 06:00:00 2016 AUTC

Wind:

https://www.windyty.com/?-33.881,151.180,6

In the Ocean:

Water temp is

 

image

Tide:

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2015-16.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Cloud decreasing. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Friday 1 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 16
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 20 to 35 km/h turning west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

No UV Alert, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 2 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 10 to 25 km/h.

Sunday 3 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Light winds.

Monday 4 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Light winds.

Tuesday 5 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Wednesday 6 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Thursday 7 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

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