Archive for March 2017

Curly pics at midday

Posted on March 31st, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Wind going hard but if you wwre keen there might be the odd chest plus
section in the stiff sideshores…


Dee Why chest plus on sets

Posted on March 31st, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Relatively clean with waist to chest plus waves at Dee Why point and the
beach. Point not really firing but the dozen or so on the peak in front of
the slsc were seeing consistent lefts.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 30th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 30 March 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Southerlies and coolness, as ex TC Debbie moves off into the Tasman as a Low, expected to head southward … with delightful weather as well.

If it tracks as expected, surf:

Friday: around 2 metres at dead South places, windblown and short period

Saturday: about 2-3 metres South East, windblown and short period

Sunday: say 2 metres at dead South places, oh and windblown and short period

Monday: in the upper end of the 1-2 metre range South East, and you know…

Tuesday: in the 2-3 metre range East South East, southwindy but longer period

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East, light winds, bigger with longer period sets

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East, light winds, short period

TG’s suggestions for exercise: Swim in the pool, take a bikeride to the north and drive back, go for a walk with an umbrella… see there’s heaps of things you can do…

TG đŸ™‚

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 30 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Wind wind wind

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.867,151.183,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22, 23

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Rain, possibly heavy. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 100%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain, becoming less likely later tonight. Rain heavy at times early this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west early this evening. Winds southerly 35 to 55 km/h tending south to southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h in the late evening. Winds along the coastal fringe up to 65 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 31 March

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Morning shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the early morning, mainly near the coast. Winds southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h turning southerly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the early morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

 

Saturday 1 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 2 April

Summary
Min 17
Max 22
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 3:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 3 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 21
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Tuesday 4 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 5 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds.

Thursday 6 April

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

 

 


Warriewood Warning 1505 Thr

Posted on March 30th, 2017 in Top stories.

Probably an idea to give Warriewood and surrounds a miss atm…

From Sydney Water: “Partially treated discharge at Warriewood at 1505 hrs, 30th March. Flows receiving wet weather treatment.”


So-so ahead of the southerly

Posted on March 30th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Had a proper look at it from Manly to Collaroy-Narrabeen around 0800 and can report that ahead of the southerly conditions were slightly choppy, fat, lumpy and fairly gutless short period NE wind bump – but there were waves. The best spots I saw (mid-Steyne and Northy) were producing stuff into the chest plus range.
Rain’s just started as I tap out these words and it looks like the southerly is down near the Shire right now. The latest MHL data shows ENE 1.8 m at 9 seconds apart. Tide’s heading to the 1.7m high at 1050.
The Bureau’s hoisted a warning for large and powerful surf conditions late in the day. Of course by then the southerly should be hammering in too. And tomorrow the call is for more blasting south wind. Bah.
The Goat should be along with a forecast later today, so I’ll confine my thoughts to saying that problem across the coming week isn’t likely to be the want of swell, but the abundance of the wind…
Have yourself a great Thursday!

Northy picking it up as well as anywhere

DY point a non-event at 0820

Flabby little things up toward Long Reef

Short period NE wind bump at Curly

Not exactly firing up at North Curly

Mid-Steyne getting the best of the energy at 0750

South Steyne pretty dribbly but rideable with the right gear

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, directing generally northerly winds along the most of the coast. A strong cold front will bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast today, continuing north during Friday and intensifying as it meets with a low pressure system near the Queensland border. Winds will ease and shift southeasterly over most coastal waters during the weekend as the low pressure system moves southeast towards New Zealand and a new high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge to the coast.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots during the morning. Winds increasing to 30 to 40 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
North to northeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. Rain possibly heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 31 March
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 25 to 35 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the middle of the day then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the early morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 1 April
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Surf report

Posted on March 29th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Lovely conditons but rather ordinary. Have a great day ☺


Murky, grey and tiny on Wednesday morning

Posted on March 29th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Only a faint northerly breeze wafting in this morning before 0800. Tide was running into the 1.8m 1000 high and skies were murky grey. At 0500 the MHL buoy was detecting only half a metre of 9-sec east wind bump and by the time I grabbed the pic it definitely hadn’t picked up. I’d call Dee Why ankle to maybe knee on the biggest ones.
The wind’s going to pick up soon and be 15-20 kts by around lunch time The murk should gradually burn off by this afternoon as the temp goes up to 29.
While there’s no real prospect of an improvement to surf conditions today in Sydney, tomorrow could be quite a contrast. There’s a gale warning posted on the BoM site for a vigorous south change. Swell will ramp right up but I’m not expecting much in the way of surf options. Plus there’s a 90% chance of up to 20-45mm of rain.
The southerly could vary to the SW in the morning Friday and then stay out of that direction into next week. It looks like being cloudy and showery across the period but maybe there’ll be waves into the surfable range for south swell, sw wind favoring spots…here’s hoping!
Go well with your Wednesday everyone

No sign of a surfable wave at DY as of 0740

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, directing generally northerly winds along the entire coast during Wednesday. A strong cold front will bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on Thursday, continuing north during Friday and intensifying as it meets with a low pressure system near the Queensland border.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 30 March
Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots during the morning and increasing to 30 to 40 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
1st Swell
North to northeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain. Rain heavy at times in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 31 March
Winds
Southerly 25 to 35 knots turning southeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.


Surf report

Posted on March 28th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

And it’s worse than this now

High IQs


Back to grey and tiny

Posted on March 28th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
At 0730 wind was SSW 10-15kts, skies were grey once again and the latest MHL data was showing 1.4 metres of 5-sec SSE bump dribbling into our coastline. Tide was still building to a 1.8 m high at 0915.
More thoughts in a bit, but obviously not about surf prospects for today!

Hight tide and south wind bump only at 0730


A wave or two but smaller than yesterday

Posted on March 27th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another sunny morning for Sydney and it looks as though we have little waves too. The MHL buoy was showing about a metre of 8-sec SE wind swell at 0500. When I checked it at 0700 it looked bigger than I’d expect given those numbers and the 1.8m high tide at 0830. So, I submit the pictures, but I’m aware they may possibly belie the tininess. I reckon you’re looking at mostly knee and maybe a bit with the very occasional waist high set.
This morning’s forecast models are telling us to expect the energy to fade away to near flat today and tomorrow before beginning to step up again from the NE late Wednesday and peaking Thursday as a stiff southerly pushes through. At this stage some of the models are predicting that there might be a little window of opportunity on Thursday morning as the wind goes from the northerly quarters around to the south and the rain kicks in heavily.
Have yourself a great Monday everyone!

Empty waist high wave at No Mans 0700

One taker paddles out as a surfable looking one-wave set arrives

Foggy start today the day for the city


 

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