The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on November 30th, 2017

Surf forecast issued Thursday 30 November 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

First of all… I said to Waz I had to do a forecast tonight… He said, So you just cut and paste?…

Cut and Paste??!!

The surf forecasts are all TG’s original, ir-responsible, work.

Hours of detailed analysis of lots of complicated stuff go into putting together the surf forecast.  TG constantly strives for precision and perfection . The typing alone takes forever, using two fingers.

Waz, Read this>>>>The Goat FAQs… FYI>>>>

The Goat FAQ

Now, the Surf Forecast for the first week of Summer

There should be some fun, rideable waves at the right tides (generally lower tides), at the right places, most of the coming week…

Don’t expect too much and you won’t be disappointed…

Friday: should be a little bigger than it was today –say around the mid point of the 1-2 metre range East North East

Saturday: dittoish

Sunday: same again, but maybe a tad bigger

Monday: down into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: ditto East

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: and again, East North East

See if you can find where that was cut and paste from.

Any cut and paste bits are from the sources identified below….

Enjoy!

TG

The Sky is Blue

How fascinating is that 1004 isobar below, tracking along the northern coastline, where the land meets the sea.

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 30 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 30 08:30:00 2017

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.156,5

The Sea is too

Water temp is still bouncing around from day to day as the East Coast Current swirls down the coast and gets disturbed by days and days of Noreasters and the occasional short Southerly spell. So tomorrow, the next day or the next, might be 18 …or might be 22. You’ll just have to stick your big toe in the water to find out each day.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Friday 1 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Possible afternoon shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 2 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Rain at times.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of rain, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before turning northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 3 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending west to northwesterly during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 4 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 5 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending east to southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 6 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.

Thursday 7 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.

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