Not too exciting at the Dee Why end of the beach this morning, but there should be knee to waist plusses to be found at north ends. As the pictures show, it was glassy before 0800. Skies were mostly overcast. Air temp was around 20. The MHL buoy 0500 report showed 1.3 metres of 8-second swell from the SSE (156-164°). Water temp is on 24C according to Beachwatch. Next tide is a 1.57m high at 1130.
The Bureau tells us to expect the wind to be variable this morning before settling around to the NE as the day warms to 30.
Outlook is for the little swell to fade as the day goes along and then it looks as though we’ll have to wait until midweek when the models are currently projecting a SE change to bump up the energy levels into the 2 metre range – but only 8-9 seconds apart, so not too exciting looking from here.
For what it’s worth, the long range forecast for week after next currently looks somewhat hopeful in terms of wave energy (wind not so much). That’s a long way out, so I wouldn’t be making any plans just yet.
Have yourself a top old Sunday everyone!
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, and is directing east to northeasterly winds along most of the northern half of the coast. Over the central parts, a trough has established a southerly flow and a weak low has developed offshore within this trough. This setup will extend the southerly change through the central parts of the coast before dissipating today. The next significant cold front looks set to arrive in the middle of the coming week.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
- Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
- Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore later tonight.
Monday 11 March
- Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending east to northeast in the 10 to 15 knots early afternoon.
- 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Southerly below 1 metre.
- Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 12 March
- Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending northwest to northeasterly during the afternoon then tending southerly 15 to 25 knots during the evening.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
- East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
- Partly cloudy.