Archive for June 2020

Cool, grey, drizzly and tiny – but not flat

Posted on June 21st, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Winter solstice saw a cloudy and chilly start to the year’s shortest day in Sydney. Wind was out of the WNW at 6-12 kts and out at sea the ESE swell at 1.4m was a bit bigger than yesterday and the average period has stretched out to 12 seconds. I’d expect to see a little more action at Dee Why but when I took the pictures at around 0800, the only rideable thing I saw was a glassy little waist high bump at Kiddies. There were folks floating around at the point, but nothing came through while I watched. From where they’re sitting, I’d guess there might be the occasional waist plus set. Another issue is likely the fact that high tide was at 0815.

The wind should be out of the N-NW today, so maybe as the tide drops, a few of those sets will start looking more interesting.

The coming week is looking reasonable for surfing. The next few days look likely to bumble along in the waist high and a bit range on favourable tides. From around midweek the picture is currently looking, how should we say, more energetic. It all depends on what happens when the next low pressure system crosses into the southern Tasman. Will it just hurtle across to NZ, or slow down and bomb…

Take care everyone and don’t slack off on your handwashing and distance keeping.

 

Hanging out at the point in hopes of a bump

Bomb set pops up just off the beach at 0800

 

Weather Situation
Northerly winds are increasing ahead of a cold front which will bring a west to southwesterly change to coastal waters today. This front is expected to form a low offshore over the Tasman Sea early in the new week, leading to south to southwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast for much of the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, increasing up to 25 knots offshore in the evening ahead of a late westerly change.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible hail this afternoon and evening.
Monday 22 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers offshore, 50% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Tuesday 23 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Posted on June 20th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At daybreak the buoy data showed 0.9 metres of 9-second swell from the ESE. There was a faint 2-3 kt north breeze and skies were mostly clear. Tide was just about at the 0730 high and the ocean was 19C. Waves were in the ankle to knee high range at spots that were doing anything with the low energy bump. Take your longest, floatiest surf toy and your most kick-backed attitude and you’ll be good.

Outlook is for conditions to be about the same as they are now through to about midweek when we might have a change to some blowy but a bit bigger south conditions…

Go well!

Sinking out at No Mans 0700

Kiddies action

Had it to himself at Gardens

Northy crew getting knee high bumps at daybreak

Winter morning sky

Low power Longy

Weather Situation
A weakening high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales north coast, directing a generally northerly airstream over the coastal waters. This ridge will weaken further over the weekend as a cold front crosses the mainland. The front will bring a west to southwesterly change to coastal areas on Sunday, tending more southerly early in the new week as a low pressure system develops offshore.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 21 June
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Possible hail in the late afternoon and evening.
Monday 22 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Small to tiny at Dee Why this morning

Posted on June 19th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another morning with ankle to knee and a bit waves for the keen at Dee Why. Wind was light west early under partly cloudy skies. Out at sea the buoys were seeing a metre of 9-11 second bump from the SSE. First tide of the day was a high at 0650 and we’re now dropping to a low at 1230.

As usual the Mighty Goat has rolled out a fresh set of predictions for the coming week and as always, I commend his surf wisdom to you all.

Have a great Friday and may it all be going well for you and yours!

Rock-runners at the point

Kiddies momentary peak

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. This ridge will remain the dominant feature until Saturday, when it will weaken as a cold front approaches from the west. The front will bring a west to southwesterly change to coastal areas during Sunday, tending more southerly early in the new week as a low pressure system develops offshore.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 20 June
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 21 June
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 18th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 18 June 2020: Seven
day outlook for Sydney:
Been warm, cold, cool, warm, cool… TG doesn’t know where he is.
The ocean has started to come alive with more whales headed up the coast. They’re mostly out wide and are traveling in groups, but if you see one spout you’ll see more.  If they start to come closer inshore, keep an eye out for their camp followers.
There should still be some waves around of varying quality, depending on the winds, in the coming week.
Friday:  somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East
Saturday: ditto
Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range East
Monday: around 1 metre South East
Tuesday: heey ditto
Wednesday: starting to come up say 2. 2+ metres at dead South spots
Thursday: somewhere in the 2-3 metre range based on the current outlook (but that can always change over a week)
You’re all doing very well. Keep up the good work!…so TG might be able to go somewhere it’s more consistently warmer!!
Keep smiling and stay happy. 🙂
TG.
Up in the Air
MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 18 06:00:00 2020 AUTC
Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 18 11:30:00 2020
Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 19 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Areas of fog mainly in the west in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 10 19
Mostly sunny. Penrith 7 20
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 7 19
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 9 17
Early fog then mostly sunny. Richmond 6 19
Early fog then mostly sunny. Parramatta 8 19
Early fog then mostly sunny. Campbelltown 6 19
Partly cloudy. Bondi 12 19

Saturday 20 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Patchy fog in the morning, mainly in the west. Medium (40%) chance of showers at night. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 21 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Showers easing.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 22 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Tuesday 23 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 24 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Shower or two. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h.

Thursday 25 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


Grey skies and choppy seas

Posted on June 18th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Thursday started out with the sun peeping over horizon under a high overcast sky. Wind was coming lightly from the SE and as the pictures show, that meant a textured surface for the small crew of keen types hunting about for a knee high bump at Dee Why. Tide was high at 0600 and will be back to low just before noon. The cloudiness is set to be a feature of Thursday as we head to a high of 18C.  The light onshore conditions should stick around all day. Swell at sea was 1.6 m at 11 seconds from the south. Water temp is still on 20C.
I’m not seeing any immediate improvement to our surf prospects, but the Goat will be along later today with his expert take, so I’m hoping he’ll see something interesting for the week ahead.
Have a great day everybody!

Hoping for a little bump around 0715

One person chasing little ones along the rocks at the point

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. This ridge will remain the dominant feature until Saturday, when it will weaken as a cold front approaches from the west. A west to southwesterly change will accompany the passage of the front during Sunday, tending more southerly early in the new week as a low pressure system develops offshore.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 19 June
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 20 June
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Wednesday morning still tiny

Posted on June 17th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not much happening on the surf front at Dee Why this morning. There were a few people on SUPs poking around in the ankle to knee high bumps, but catching anything looked to be a challenge. The wave buoy tells us the swell has ticked up a few cm’s since this time yesterday and the average period has increased a touch to 9-10 seconds. It’s still coming from the east too. But it was close to flat yesterday and right now it looks about the same again. The Bureau tells us to expect swell to start coming up from the south as the day goes along. Unfortunately it’s going to be accompanied by SE wind. So, I’m not over hopeful about better prospects later. Maybe tomorrow when the SE’r dies down…

Go well with your Wednesday everyone!

 

Hopefuls messing about in the tiny lines at 0730

t Morning light on Dee Why

Weather Situation
A surge in southerly winds is moving up the New South Wales coast today, as a cold front slips away to the south and a high pressure system over central Australia moves east. This high will be centred over the Tasman Sea by Thursday where it will linger, causing winds to gradually tend northerly by the weekend, ahead of an approaching cold front.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres developing in the afternoon.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Thursday 18 June
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 19 June
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Forecast for the rest of Wednesday

Summary
Max 17
A few showers.
Possible rainfall: 0.2 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the west early this morning. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]


On hold surfers

Posted on June 16th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful and cold morning along the beaches without any real sign of waves. Out at sea the swell is around a metre at 8 seconds from the east. It looks like we could see a little bump in energy levels tomorrow afternoon, but the wind and rainy periods will likely work against the stoke level. Maybe Thursday or Friday…
Have a top old Tuesday everyone!

Paddlers eyeing the point 0730 Tuesday morning

Getting some exercise

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over central Australia extends a ridge across New South Wales, with a cold front expected to slip to the south today. Winds are forecast to turn southerly over the waters from Wednesday, as the front slips away south and the high pressure system slowly moves east to be positioned over the Tasman Sea by Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots this morning then tending southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 17 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 18 June
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Calm and sunny start to Monday

Posted on June 15th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A beautiful morning but no sign of waves at Dee Why. Out at sea there’s about a metre of 8 second east wind bump, but along the beach it’s ankle to knee high. I’m not seeing much of interest in the way of surf prospects for the remainder of the week. There might be a pulse around mid next week, but the models aren’t unanimous on that point, so, as always, we shall see…
Have yourself a top old Monday everyone!

No surfers in sight at 0730

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is drifting across from the west while a couple of fronts slips to the south. The west to southwesterly winds in the wake of the past front will gradually become southerly as the high pressure system moves across the southeastern parts of the state by mid-week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 16 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 17 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Grey and tiny early for Sunday

Posted on June 14th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looked like a good morning to sleep in. The fun size waves of yesterday have faded out to just about nothing. There were some keen types in the water at the point and Kiddies, but you’re talking about ankle to knee high at best. The buoy data showed less than a metre at about 8 seconds from the east as of 0900 – which is pretty much what you’d expect.

Pretty ho-hum looking prospects on the swell models this morning, sad to say. Basically the outlook is for more of the current dribble through Wednesday, then around Thursday there could be a little uptick into the fun range (waist to chest).

Go well with your Sunday!

Very small to near flat at Kiddies

A few hopefuls at the point

Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front will brings a fresh to strong west to southwesterly wind change today. Behind the change, a new high is forecast to drift across from the west during the first half of next week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning west to southwesterly in the late morning or around midday.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
80% chance of rain this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore early this morning. Sunny afternoon.
Monday 15 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 16 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.


Surf options aplenty

Posted on June 13th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Looks like a great morning for a surf if you have the time. Waves are a fun waist to chest high and there are lots of places you could get into your share. Surface conditions were smooth and skies were mostly clear with only a light westerly breeze. First tide of the day is the low at 0825. It’ll be back to high at 1440. Swell at sea was around 1.35 metres at 11-12 seconds from the ESE. Water is sitting on 19C and wind should be variable across the day.

Waves should stick around all day and be with us at similar intensity again tomorrow.

Have a good one!

Sunrise over Whiterock

Longy

No Man’s

North Collaroy

Surfrider gardens

North Narrabeen options aplenty

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough off the New South Wales coast is decaying today as a high strengthens over the Tasman Sea. This will direct increasing northerly winds over New South Wales waters, before a cold front brings a west to southwesterly change on Sunday. Behind the change, a new high is forecast to drift across from the west during the first half of next week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 14 June
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore during the morning, shifting west to southwesterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of rain in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
Monday 15 June
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 0.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.
Weather
Sunny.