"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 11 April 2024: Seven day outlook for Sydney

Looks like a nice weekend ahead, with some sunshine and light winds forecast.

Top marks to the BoM yesterday for their first Dangerous surf warning indicating swell direction (“large and powerful surf conditions along south facing coasts…”), but no dangerous surf warning at all today..

Conditions today were large and powerful at most places because of the high interval primary swell (above 10 second period) from South, meaning it refracted into corners normally protected from the South, and another one from the East. Definitely not a day for beginner surfers or for rock fishing etc and Messrs Wild and Wooley were out at most places. Flags were up at sheltered places for people who wanted to get their ankles wet, but no one ventured out the back with 2m  whompers dredging sand off shallow banks.

(The BoM’s general “large and powerful surf conditions…” warning would have been ok, maybe with the helpful addition of wave period.. “large and powerful (high interval, primary swell 10-11 seconds from South) surf conditions …”, on the same basis that people work out for themselves what a forecast 20 k wind means for them.

Tomorrow, the peak wave period is expected to slip back under the magical 10 seconds, so the surf should be more manageable for a few days, Surf should look something like this~~~~~~~

Friday: around 2-2+ metres from South/South East

Saturday: easing back a little, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South

Sunday:  around 1-1+ metres South

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: around 1 metre or so

Wednesday: up a bit with wind , 1-1+ metres South East

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range South East, with wind

Stay safe . Know your limitations and surfing experience.

Have fun!

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Apr 11 06:00:00 2024 AUTC

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Latest Colour Mean Sea-Level Pressure Analysis and Infrared Greyscale Satellite

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Apr 11 07:30:00 2024

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.364,151.221,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23, 24 at the waverider buoy 10 ks out, but around 21,22 closer inshore>>> Have a go at those huge warm Eddies (that’s water movements, not blokes)  from the East Coast current swirling around as it starts to retreat North for the Winter>>>

image

Tides

https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2023-06/nsw_tides_2023%E2%80%932024.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EST on Thursday 11 April 2024.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 12 April

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds.

Fire Danger – No Rating

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Saturday 13 April
Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the west. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Sunday 14 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the west. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Monday 15 April

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Tuesday 16 April

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 17 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 18 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day