Posts in At large

Fading fast

Posted on June 24th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Swell has really backed off overnight. Conditions otherwise are really pretty good. Wind is lightly offshore early and the ocean is smooth. As of 0500 the MHL buoy was picking up a metre of mainly SE swell with a period of around 12 seconds. At Northy it was delivering waist high rollers at the Alley, but nowhere else along the beach south from there. The biggest waves on the Longy to Dee Why stretch were in the No Mans to Pole zone. The point was keeping a few keen types entertained with the odd knee to waist high set. Tide hits a 1.5m high at 0815 and then drops back to a lowish 0.37 m at 2pm.
The Bureau has hoisted a strong wind warning for 15-25 kt SW wind this morning. It’s then supposed to fade back in the afternoon. The swell models generally predict small conditions but not flat across the front half of the week, then a lull Weds-Thurs-ish before a rather interesting sustained pulse for the weekend.
Here’s hoping!

How Saturday started

Boom!

Not exactly huge at the point as of 0645

Kiddies

No Mans

Out for a paddle at south Narrabeen

Northy at 0645


Weather Situation
A high pressure system over northeast New South Wales remains the dominant synoptic feature in the region, promoting light to moderate winds along most of the coast. A fairly weak cold front will arrive on the weekend as the the high decays, bringing a fresh west to southwesterly change. Following this, a new ridge is expected to extend across from the west at the start of next week, with winds again becoming light to moderate over New South Wales waters.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre later in the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore from late this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Sunday 25 June
Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 26 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.


Pics from Manly with a couple of DY too

Posted on June 21st, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
A few snaps taken between 0900 and 0930 Wednesday morning.
Wind 8-10 west, swell east 2 metres at 12 seconds, tide heading to low at 1120. By 0930 tide was getting too low for the point with these swell settings. Manly had a very high percentage of shutdowns, but some beautiful take offs to be had and a few that ran of course.
Turning southerly by midday and staying that way through tomorrow.

Will he get around it?

Open face ahead

South Steyne peak

Manly

Manly north Steyne

Manly

Manly

Manly

Manly

Set outside of the crowd at the Bower 0900

South Steyne pocket 0900

Weather Situation
A low pressure system lies well offshore over the central Tasman Sea while a large ridge of high pressure extends across southern New South Wales. The combination of these systems is directing southwest to southeasterly winds across New South Wales Waters. The high pressure ridge is expected to persist until the end of the week.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of light showers.
Thursday 22 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of light showers.
Friday 23 June
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.


Manly, Dee Why, Narrabeen piccies

Posted on June 20th, 2017 in At large.

A few snaps from this morning… the winner was mid-Steyne where sets were well overhead and the lefts were clean and powerful. There were even a few waves out at the Bower, but you’d be waiting around and low tide out there can be sketchy. Curly had no takers, which tells you all you need to know. Dee Why was slightly more do-able with half a dozen waiting around at the point for the every 10 minutes decent one to appear. Only two bods up toward the pole and they appeared to be in it for the exercise. Collaroy had a few knee high dribblers, but up the beach toward Gardens the swell was making itself felt with some solid and empty sets. A few bods were up at Northy where things looked interesting…

North Narrabeen 0915

Lines but no riders 0915

Swell hitting Little Narra and Northy

All the way in from the point

Swell only rarely producing a rideable one at the point 0900

Arcing mid Steyne

Manly producing

Another bomb at Manly

Foamy wall Manly

Power drive Manly

Flying

The odd set hitting the Bower

Sizable at Manly


Monday morning Manly to DY snaps

Posted on June 19th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
A pictorial wrap of conditions this morning… as you can see it was comparatively smooth and there were head high faces at Curly, but the short period meant waves were rather weak and a challenge to get into. At Manly the main activity was up at Queensie, at Curly there was just one person in the water and they could’ve been anywhere along the beach as it all looked samey and at Dee Why the point was silent but there were scrappy waist plus offerings from No Mans to about the Pole. Didn’t look like much of anything north of there.

Tucked in at No Mans, 0840

Scrappy conditions at No Mans 0840

Sole occupant at Curly scores an exciting drop

Curl Curl showing size, but quality… not so much

Queensie pocket 0830

Mid-Steyne 0825

Tiny line showing at the Bower but no takers

Queensie 0825


Rainy periods and small wavesmoments

Posted on June 18th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends
Bit of a late start today. Had to get friends to the airport, as you do. So, on the way home, had a look at the beach… as you do.
Manly was glassy and very small, maybe ankle to knee for the most part. Couldn’t find a park to go grab a pic, so headed on to Curly. Definitely bigger at Curly, probably in the waist to chest plus range on sets, but while wind wasn’t a factor, the waves were fat and soft for the most part. Plus it was quite busy. Over the hill at Dee Why, the average size was similar to Curly, particularly up toward the Pole. But it too was weak and floppy.
As of noon wind was SSW 13-23 kts at North Head. At 1000 the MHL buoy was recording 2 metres of 6-sec south wind bump. Tide was coming into a 1.5m high at 1510.
By tomorrow morning it looks like we’ll have a low roughly east of Coffs and if the models are right, we could be seeing some serious fun midweek…
Have a great Sunday!

DY set near the Pole

DY set no mans

No mans

The point tiny

Curl Curl curls

Curly crowds

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge through southern New South Wales and Victoria is directing generally south to southeasterly winds across the Waters. A low pressure trough off northern parts of the coast is expected to deepen into a low pressure system well offshore over the Tasman Sea today, resulting in strengthening winds for the northern half of the coast.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Monday 19 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then tending east to southeasterly by early evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Tuesday 20 June
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.


Posted on June 17th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
As dawn broke, wind was light from the SW and tide was dropping to the low at 0755. Skies were heavily overcast following some overnight rain. The MHL buoy was picking up close to 1.4 metres of 13-14 sec SE swell at 0500 – which is more than the Bureau was forecasting.
The Bureau’s modelling predicts the swell will fade slightly across the day but the wind should stick around at roughly the same velocity.
The only spot with a wave on the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch was up at the very north end where a small group of enthusiasts were skimming in on the knee high combers. Around at the Longy to DY stretch, the optimal location was a zone from around the pole northward where I spotted a few waist and a bit sets in the mix. There were a few bods at the point, but it was struggling to reach the knee high mark. Quality was not overly impressive, but the surface conditions were dead glassy.
Outlook for tomorrow and Monday is for southerlies in the 15-25 kts but I am liking the look of mid-week on the models. If they have it right, Sunday and Monday are meh, but Tuesday-Thursday currently are shaping to maybe even be classic offshore and solid fun size waves in the shoulder plus range.
Here’s hoping!

Main focus of the energy from about the pole north

Almost unsurfably tiny at the point at 0700

Tiny peak at Northy

Tiny shories at south Narrabeen.

Weather Situation
South to southeast winds are mainly affecting the waters with the prevalence of a high pressure ridge through southern New South Wales and Victoria. These winds are expected to generally strengthen along the coast over the weekend in response to the development of a low pressure system well offshore over the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 18 June
Winds
Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Monday 19 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


You need to be keen Saturday

Posted on June 10th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

10-15kts of S-SE wind and around 2 metres of 5-8 sec east wind swell hitting the beaches at first light this morning. Saw only three people in the water from North Narra to Dee Why. Two were bobbing around in the junk at Kiddies and one was duck diving little lumps over at the point. Water looked ordinary too. Beachwatch was warning of pollution being possible from Bungan south to Manly. There’s more rain in the forecast, so it’s not likely to improve much.
In case you’re wondering, tide hits a 1.4m high at 0845 and will be back to low at 1420.
The SE wind will blow all day.
Tomorrow should see the wind backing off a little and for the swell conditions to weaken slightly while still coming from the east at about 8 seconds. It’s set to be showery again, but there might possibly be a little window of opportunity in the afternoon.
Next week, according to the models, we’re likely to see weak and tiny conditions until around Friday when there currently seems to be some hope for a slight improvement at SE spots.
Aw well, we’re surfers, we know how it works. There’s always a fair amount of waiting for it to come together.
Go well with your Saturday everyone!

Messy and ‘orrible looking at the Pole 0655

Optimists looking for nuggets in the dross at Dee Why

South Narra no takers


Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system south of the Bight is extending a ridge to the eastern Tasman Sea while a deep low pressure trough lies off the New South Wales north coast. These two systems are directing south to southeasterly winds over the waters.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 11 June
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning north to northeasterly in the late morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 12 June
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then turning southerly by late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.


Manly for the win

Posted on June 9th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Did the Manly-DY run this am and can report that as of 0900 the best waves were along a stretch from North to Mid-Steyne in Manly. Curly had only a couple stalwarts chasing lumpy shutdowns at the south end, while out in front of the SLSC at Dee Why 30 or so people tried mightily to get into a waves in what was a rip-affected complex of left and right peaks. Wave faces at Manly were as the pics show in the chest to head and a bit range, while at Dee Why they were a bit smaller. Water looked pretty suss too and there’s more rain on the way. Surface conditions as you can see were pretty smooth although there was a fair amount of lump around too. Things weren’t being helped by the 1.4m high tide at 0805. It’s back to low at 1345.
Outlook, well, it is Friday, so the Goat should be along with a few thoughts soon..but wind is set to kick in from the SE soon, so if you’re going, you’d best be on your way.
Have a great day one and all!

Messy rip bowl conditions at Kiddies

The point. A second later it sectioned and faded!

South Steyne standing up ahead of a shutdown 0840

Nice looking peaks around mid-Steyne

Mid-Steyne

Glassy face at mid-Steyne

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system south of the Bight is extending a ridge to the eastern Tasman Sea while a deep low pressure trough lies off the New South Wales central and north coasts. The two systems are directing south to southeasterly winds.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Saturday 10 June
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 11 June
Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Having trouble accessing the forums?

Posted on June 8th, 2017 in At large.

Hi all,
Just a quick note to say that I’ve been working on tech stuff and as a consequence access to the forums took a hit earlier today. If you’re still unable to reach it, try following this direct link:


A morning to give it a pass

Posted on June 7th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Had a look at Manly, Curly and Dee Why this morning between 0720 and 0750 and can report that it was knee to waist and weak at Manly with about 10 people in the water from South Steyne to Queenscliff. Curly was waist and a bit but torn up and junky with no one in the water. Dee Why was knee to waist and a bit, but no one was in the water to tell for sure.
Tide hit a 1.4m high at 0645 and is dropping to the low at 1235.
Wind was SW along the breaches when I checked, but you could see the southerly out at sea. The Bureau tells us it’ll be 20-25 kts south going to 15-20 kts SE this afternoon. So, not exactly encouraging. The swell is staying well out to sea from the look of the beaches, and the Bureau tells us it’s going to fade. Plus we can expect rain on and off again all day.
Tomorrow the wind’s supposed to stay SE and swell seems unlikely to improve and the models are all sort of yawning about prospects for the weekend. Wind’s expected to stay southerly through Friday at least.
Not the greatest short term outlook and, according to the models, the long range prospects aren’t too red hot either. Could be a week to get caught up on other things…
Have a great Wednesday everyone!

Seen in DY Brush turkey coming back from a surf check?

The point not looking surfable at 0740

Nothing going on up the beach

Queensy hopefuls at 0720

Mid-Steyne surf action 0720

Weather Situation
A low pressure system is deepening offshore from the New South Wales coast. The low will remain near the coast today, resulting in continuing strong southerly winds over much of the coastal waters for most of the day. Winds will then ease from Thursday as the low weakens and moves away to the east and a high approaches from the west.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 4 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 8 June
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Easterly below 0.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres inshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning.
Friday 9 June
Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely.


 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin