Posts in At large

Clean but small at Crescent this am

Posted on April 28th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Windy but offshore at Crescent Head this morning under grey skies. Tide was high for the early session but set waves were into the chest high range. Mostly however waves were in the knee to waist range and very few were running even half way down the point. Only a dozen people in the water when I checked.
Outlook is for the waves to drop away pretty quickly on this stretch of coast by this afternoon. Same deal applies in Sydney, but there at least you have more options with this particular swell than we do on the north coast.
Outlook for the next week? That’s a good question for the Goat
Have a great Friday!

Trimming on a little one at 0730

Swell too south but big enough to be catchable

Crescent set wave


You’re not missing anything

Posted on April 27th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Lots more activity in Sydney than up here at Crescent Head. Swell is way too south for us and is staying well out to sea. Right on sunset last night it briefly touched the point and there were overhead wave faces. This morning though, as you can see, it’s near flat but for the very occasional knee plus set.
Beautiful and cool with light offshores though.
Will try to come back again later with more thoughts… for now though, I’d be staying in Sydney if I wanted a wave.
Have a great day!

Waiting for a knee high beachy peak

Bomb set hits (note the horizon bump!)

La vida surfing

In between the rare sets at Crescent Head this morning


Glassy little bumps for the keen

Posted on April 22nd, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Light NNW wind before 0700 under high overcast skies. Waist and a bit high glassy bumps at magnet peaks from Dee Why to Longy and from south Narrabeen to Northy. Windswell 1.3 metres and coming mainly from the SE with a choppy and gutless period of about 6 seconds. As a consequence waves were pretty slow for the most part. Tide was high at 0430 and will be low at 1110. By then the forecast says we can expect the NEr to have kicked in – which will reduce surf options substantially.
The marginal to tiny settings look likely to persist until around Wednesday when some of the models show us getting a pulse of metre plus 10-11 sec east. Thursday and Friday are again looking hopeful with a 2-3 metre straight south coming together (in the most hopeful scenarios) with cool but nice weather and SW wind. If the predictions come to pass, we could see solid south to SSE swell through to next Monday. Whoo hoo!
So get out there for a stay in shape paddle over the next few days, ’cause it just might be interesting later

Longy brief peak

Whiterock chaotic looking

Dee Why at 0645

Lugga excitement

Near the pole

Northy had a little peak or two

Far north Collaroy empty

Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast: Broken Bay to Port Hacking
No warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Saturday 22 April 2017.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. The high is expected to remain slow-moving over the Tasman Sea for the next several days, directing generally east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A brief and weak southerly change is expected along the southern half of the coast on Sunday, after which winds will return to northeasterly on Monday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning and early afternoon. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon, then decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Sunday 23 April
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere.
Monday 24 April
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending northerly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters

This forecast is also available via scheduled broadcasts on marine radio.
Latest Coastal Observations
Tide Predictions
The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EST Saturday.
Product I


Far North Collaroy gallery coming

Posted on April 14th, 2017 in At large.

Just uploading about 100 pics from this morning at Mactier Street. 99% heavy shutdowns, but if you were in the right spot there were a few highly photogenic seconds between you and getting smashed again. Images will be online tomorrow… but for now a wee taste…

Driving into the pit on a lightning bolt

Very rare makeable one

Wish you were there


Clean and fun looking little waves this morning

Posted on April 8th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Numerous wave options this morning along the Northern Beaches. It’s not big, but the magnets are producing chest plus wave faces on the sets and there were several peak complexes both along the Collaroy-Narrabeen and Dee Why-Long Reef stretches. Conditions before 0700 were clean and skies were mostly clear. Looks like a corker of a Saturday morning for the weekend warriors.
As of 0715, winds were very light and from the west. Tide was dropping from a 1.7m high an hour earlier and it’ll be low at 1240. By lunch time the wind should be around to the NE. As of 0500 the MHL buoy was showing 1.4 metres of 9-sec SE swell. With luck the waves should stick around at about the current intensity for most of the day.
According to the Bureau and many of the modellers, we can expect the waves to weaken away to barely there for tomorrow as both the average size and average period decrease. The small, short period stuff looks like persisting into Monday but then on Tuesday a solid (as in 3 metres at 10 sec) south pulse arrives – along with rain and strong SSW wind. The rain continues and the swell dials back a tiny bit on Wednesday. Wind is more southerly too. With luck Thursday and Friday will see light offshores early and 2.5 metres of 10+ sec SSE swell!
All and all an interesting week coming up I’d say. Have a good one!

Mal bumps at the point but bigger along the beach

Near the pole a peak attracts riders

Caught behind on a pearler at far north Collaroy

Not exceptionally busy up at Northy with waist plusses.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system in the Tasman Sea is maintaining across ridge to New South Wales. Today the high will move east as a cold front approaches from the southwest. Northerly winds will increase ahead of the front, which will bring a west to southwesterly change to the southern half of the coast later Sunday, extending to the northern border on Monday. Following this, a low pressure system is forecast to deepen in the Tasman Sea during Monday, with a vigorous southerly flow developing over the New South Wales Waters as a result. The low moves east during Tuesday, with winds easing during the afternoon and evening.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere.
Sunday 9 April
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting west to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 80% chance of rain, and the chance of a storm, in the late afternoon and evening.
Monday 10 April
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Collaroy-Narrabeen this morning

Posted on April 5th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Stopped for a look at the Collaroy-Narra stretch around 0800. Nothing much of interest between the two ends of the stretch, but the ends had something. At Collaroy it was knee to maybe waist, bumpy and disorganised and best for mals. Northy was a touch bigger but just as junky – if not more so.

Long boardable lumps at Collaroy 0800

Catchable bumps at Northy

Nothing much between Collaroy and Narrabeen.


The odd bump for Saturday morning

Posted on April 1st, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Saturday kicked off with partly cloudy skies, light offshores and an incoming tide following the low at 0630. The MHL buoy was picking up 1.3 metres of 8-sec SSE wind swell along with some small NE component.

Definitely a few little waves about this morning. The combo swell seems to be focussing the energy at particular places. The Dee Why end of the beach was seemingly getting the best of it compared to Longy (which was very small). There was another distinct focal zone near the Collaroy surf club. I’d expect this pattern to be playing out at lots of beaches today.

Wind’s expected to go SE by this afternoon, so this morning is definitely the go. From the shape of the forecasts the wind’ll be doing the southerly thing until mid to late in the coming week. Oh and water quality wasn’t too fabulous yesterday according to beachwatch.

Right now the end of the week is looking the most promising on the models. If they’re right Thursday and Friday mornings could be offshore and head and a bit. Roll on autumn!

Saturday getting started at Long Reef

No takers for no waves at Longy 0710

Nice peak at Dee Why 0710

Long boardable at the point

Empty left

Far north Collaroy focussing it

Weather Situation
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Debbie is well offshore and has become very slow-moving, but will continue to direct fresh to strong winds over the northern New South Wales coast during the next few days. A high pressure system south of the Bight extends a ridge across the state’s south this morning. A weak cold front will move along southern and central parts of the coast late today or early Sunday, with the high gradually drifting eastwards in its wake. This pattern is expected to maintain generally southerly winds over most waters until mid-week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Sunday 2 April
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Monday 3 April
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


So-so ahead of the southerly

Posted on March 30th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Had a proper look at it from Manly to Collaroy-Narrabeen around 0800 and can report that ahead of the southerly conditions were slightly choppy, fat, lumpy and fairly gutless short period NE wind bump – but there were waves. The best spots I saw (mid-Steyne and Northy) were producing stuff into the chest plus range.
Rain’s just started as I tap out these words and it looks like the southerly is down near the Shire right now. The latest MHL data shows ENE 1.8 m at 9 seconds apart. Tide’s heading to the 1.7m high at 1050.
The Bureau’s hoisted a warning for large and powerful surf conditions late in the day. Of course by then the southerly should be hammering in too. And tomorrow the call is for more blasting south wind. Bah.
The Goat should be along with a forecast later today, so I’ll confine my thoughts to saying that problem across the coming week isn’t likely to be the want of swell, but the abundance of the wind…
Have yourself a great Thursday!

Northy picking it up as well as anywhere

DY point a non-event at 0820

Flabby little things up toward Long Reef

Short period NE wind bump at Curly

Not exactly firing up at North Curly

Mid-Steyne getting the best of the energy at 0750

South Steyne pretty dribbly but rideable with the right gear

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, directing generally northerly winds along the most of the coast. A strong cold front will bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast today, continuing north during Friday and intensifying as it meets with a low pressure system near the Queensland border. Winds will ease and shift southeasterly over most coastal waters during the weekend as the low pressure system moves southeast towards New Zealand and a new high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge to the coast.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots during the morning. Winds increasing to 30 to 40 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
North to northeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. Rain possibly heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 31 March
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 25 to 35 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the middle of the day then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the early morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 1 April
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Just about flat, but not quite there

Posted on March 22nd, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Wave energy has cogged down another notch and the surf options have decreased from yesterday’s paltry options. The MHL buoy was showing 1.2 metres of 6-second east wind bump at 0500. At 0700 wind was light from the NW. The next tide is a low at 1110.

Looking around at Dee Why and the Collaroy Narrabeen stretch revealed glassy but very small and weak conditions everywhere. Take your floatiest surf option and a heap of patience I’d say. Biggest wave face I saw was (briefly) chest high. But mostly it was more like ankle to knee – and not consistent.

Outlook is for a southerly to kick in overnight and tomorrow morning it’s supposed to be 15-25 kts as the swell starts to come up. At least a couple of the fine-grained wind forecasts are showing the possibility of early morning offshores… so might be worth setting the alarm on the offchance…

Have a great day everyone!

The view from Collaroy Plateau this morning at 0800

Soft bumps at Northy

Momentary wave face near Gardens

Extracting a little energy at Kiddies this morning

Waiting for another knee high set at Kiddies

Heaps of seaweed at Dee Why this morning

Catching a little bump at Long Reef

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is extending a ridge to the northwest directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front is expected to bring a southerly change along the south coast later today, extending to Sydney Waters Thursday morning before weakening on the north coast in the evening.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Thursday 23 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Friday 24 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


Not a nice morning for Sydney

Posted on March 17th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Pretty much un-delightful in Sydney this morning. 20-30 kts of southerly is smashing up 2 and a bit metres of straight south junk. The weather radar is showing a heap of rain offshore and some showers along the beaches as I write this. And that’s in line with the forecast which puts the chance of more rain at 95%.
I very much doubt that anywhere has a worthy wave. And with around 25mm of the wet stuff in just the last 24 hours, I reckon the water will be vile.
The forecast has the baleful conditions last through the weekend. By the time the wind backs off (around Tuesday) the wave energy seems likely to have faded significantly as well. Sigh.

C-street sliders if you have a SUP or a really long longboard


This is the last full day for me in SoCal then it’s time to wave g’bye to sunny flatness and head to windy, rainy Sydney…

Grim morning surfwise today

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough lies off the central and northern New South Wales coast, with a small low pressure centre within the trough off the central coast. Meanwhile, a high pressure system over Tasmania is slowly moving east over the southern Tasman Sea, while a cold front slips to the south. This front has brought a strong to gale force south to southwesterly change to coastal waters. Winds will ease and tend southeast to northeasterly during the weekend as the low pressure trough off the northern coast deepens.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots, possibly reaching 40 knots at times this morning and early afternoon. Winds turning south to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres in the middle of the day.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers, heavy at times offshore in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions during the afternoon and evening for beaches exposed to the south are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 18 March
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times inshore in the morning.
Sunday 19 March
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


 

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