Posts in At large

Blown flat

Posted on January 27th, 2021 in At large.

Hello Friends,

20-25 kts of SSW wind to kick off a cloudy Wednesday morning. Swell at sea is 2 metres from 190° (so it’s headed away from us) at only 5 seconds apart, hence the flatness.

So, no surf today, and probably nothing to speak of before Saturday at the earliest. Water’s 24C though!

SUPing tiny ripples mid-Steyne

Manly excitement

Near flat at Manly



Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast. A trough moving up the South Coast is expected to stall over the Mid North Coast tomorrow, before weakening on Thursday. In its wake another slow-moving high pressure system will become established in the southern Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending easterly in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Friday 29 January

Winds
Easterly 20 to 30 knots turning northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Heaps of NE windswell for the early crowd

Posted on January 26th, 2021 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Lotsa people in the water for the holiday Tuesday thanks to a peaky chest high NE wind bump. Crowds were substantial from North Narrabeen to Surfrider Gardens and from Longy to Kiddies, so I assume this is the case across most Sydney beaches with NE exposure. Being that the bump is only 6-7 seconds apart, actually catching anything is something of a lottery and despite the plentiful numbers of people and wind bumps, I only saw the occasional one being caught. Still, it was a beautiful summer morning before 0800 when the wind was only faintly NE, skies were sunny and the air soft and warm. By midday, the wind is expected to be into the 25-35 kt range and the temp will be heading toward a high of 36C. Ocean is on 24C, so it looks like a real beach day.
Tide was high at 0730 and is now dropping to the low at 1415.
Tomorrow will be windy again, but from the south. It looks as though the stiff onshore conditions will stick around until the weekend. Swell should go around to the east and stay at about the current size.
Have a great day, maintain safe distance and take the mask.

Long Reef

Kiddies, Dee Why

North Collaroy

Surfrider Gardens

Northy

Surfrider Gardens

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New south Wales coast. The high will weaken today and allow a stronger trough to move through southern and central waters.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southerly early in the morning then tending southeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.

Thursday 28 January
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 metres, tending southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.


Big morning

Posted on January 21st, 2021 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Solid swell, went to take pictures and discovered it was busy with only sporadic worthy sections. 30 people at Dee Why point and close to 40 at Collaroy (with another dozen at the Kick). Sets were maxing out Dee Why point and it was a challenge to make them even on the cleanest ones. Size at Dee Why saw 3-4 metre faces on bombs and 1.5 2 m on the rest, while at Collaroy bombs had around 2.5 m faces but mostly was in the 1-1.5 metre range. Swell at sea was around 3 metres at 14 seconds from the SSE.
A few pics…

Right board for the inside waves at Collaroy

Bomb set at The Kick

Kneelo, The Kick

Arcing on the fattening shoulder

No takers

Dee Why green

Bombie, bombing

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is centred near Tasmania, while a deep low pressure system has crossed the southern Tasman Sea. The winds between these systems has developed a powerful southerly swell along the New South Wales coast. By Thursday evening, the high pressure system will reach the Tasman Sea where it will remain slow moving and cause winds to shift northeasterly for the coming days. A weak trough may bring a brief southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Friday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, reaching up to 4 metres offshore in the early morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 22 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 23 January
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the early morning. Winds shifting northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
.


Swell for Sunday

Posted on January 17th, 2021 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Brilliant Sunday morning with nice lines coming in and light offshore wind under cloudless blue skies. Set wave faces at the best exposures look to be in the shoulder plus range, so be prepared to wear the odd bomb set. Swell at sea was 1.7 metres at 9 seconds from the SSE.
Lots of people in the water everywhere so you’ll need to pack some patience along with your board. The waves were really pretty, but as I watched, it became apparent that they were shutting down a high percentage of the time. Jagging a makeable one will be down to luck as much as anything else so my hunch is that the average person probably won’t be running up a big wave count from their Sunday session. That said, if you aren’t in the water, you’re guaranteed to have a wave count of zero. And speaking of the water, I jumped in for a quick trial of the pranged shoulder and can report it is beautiful in (shoulder went well too!).
We can expect the wind to swing onshore from the SE this morning, so getting in early will reap the rewards.
Tide was low at 0540 and will be back to a swampy 1.7 metre high a little after noon. We should see a high of 26 today and beachwatch says the ocean’s 23C and pretty much clean everywhere apart from maybe lagoon entrances.
Swell outlook for the coming week is interesting. Tomorrow should see the swell continue at around the current intensity with light wind for the early but going NE in the arvo. Tuesday may have something for the early along the same lines as Monday, but by afternoon the southerly should be hitting hard and the swell will start ramping into the serious range (well overhead). Wednesday looks big and windblowh but Thursday potentially could be big and clean early. Friday could see swell subsiding steadily, but offering more fun for the early crew…
Go well, take the mask, and stay safe!

No Mans

No Mans

North Kiddies

Busy morning at the point

Lotsa pretty shutdowns at Surfrider Gardens

North Collaroy cruncher

A few bods in the water at Northy

Surfrider Gardens rare makeable section

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near the Bight extends a ridge through New South Wales, and is working with a strong low near New Zealand to produce strong winds over southern New South Wales waters. Another, weaker high lies off the northeast coast of New South Wales. A cold front will bring a gusty south to southwesterly change extending north everywhere along the coast Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending southeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 18 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 19 January
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.


Beautiful but small for Saturday morning

Posted on January 16th, 2021 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Another sparkling Sydney morning for Saturday. The Bureau says the swell should come up and that the wind should stay offshore while it’s sunny all day. As the morning got started the waves were in the knee to waist plus range on sets at magnets – everywhere else was smaller. Tide was low at 0500 and will be back to highish 1.83 m at 1125. Ocean is on 23C. Swell was 1.7 metres at 8 seconds from the SSE.
Have a great Saturday!

Longy

No Mans

North Collaroy

Northy

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the eastern Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the Queensland coast. A strong southerly change located near the Mid North Coast will move northwards into Queensland in the middle of the day.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds shifting east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres around midday, then decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly below 0.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 17 January
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending southeasterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 18 January
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Bumpy Saturday

Posted on January 9th, 2021 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Not a great morning for a surf really. There are some scrappy waist plusses thanks to nearly 2 metres of 8 second ESE windswell, but quality is poor thanks to a weak period and 10 kts of SE wind. Water should be ok anywhere away from lagoon entrances and the temperature is around 21C.

Outlook is not too fabulous. Today isn’t likely to improve and tomorrow looks like it may be smaller, but with lighter wind for the early. Out beyond that I’m not too excited by prospects for our corner of the coast. If the models have it right, we’re in for a week of micro to flat conditions. Hope they’re wrong!

Have a good one and take that mask for enclosed spaces!

 

North Collaroy shutdowns

Nothing doing at Northy

Windblown, junky and week

 

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. The high will drift slowly east during the next few days, and this movement will be accompanied by a gradual shift to east to northeasterly winds in most coastal areas through the weekend. A trough may bring a brief southerly change to the southern coast early next week, with a more substantial change likely during the second half of the week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming easterly below 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending southerly below 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 10 January
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then tending northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 11 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Smooth and small but there were waves early

Posted on January 2nd, 2021 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Glassy start to Saturday morning along the beaches. Skies were overcast and swell at sea was out of the NE at 7 seconds with an average height of a metre. As the pictures show, waves were in the knee to waist high range. Wind should come up from the SE later this morning and there’s a 70% chance of showers. First tide of the daylight hours is a swampy 1.8m high at 1115.

Outlook is for conditions to be similar tomorrow morning, although the wind may get into it earlier.

Have a good one and mask up!

Water looking dodgy at Northy

North Collaroy

No Mans

Near the Pole

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is moving east whilst a trough of low pressure along the northern coast is weakening, maintaining easterly winds across the state. Another trough of low pressure, currently over the western New South Wales, is forecast to move east from Sunday and deepens to a low pressure system off the far southern coast by Monday, bringing a southerly wind change across the coastal waters early new week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Sunday 3 January
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 4 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southwesterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Glassy, mostly weak and tiny early

Posted on December 26th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

As the day got started under lowering dark grey skies, the wind was light and the tiny ENE bumps were glassy smooth but offering little energy. Couldn’t see anyone in the water along the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch where waves looked to be maybe knee to waist on the biggest ones. It was pretty much the same around at Dee Why, although there were a few Boxing Day early risers making what they could of the soft bumps. Out at sea the buoy was seeing 1.2 metres of 9-second energy from 112°. High tide was just topping out at 1.5 metres and is now dropping to the 0.6 m low at 1310. Water’s 21C.

Tomorrow should be mostly sunny and warm but it looks as though the already marginal surf conditions will be even less attractive as the models show it going close to flat. It may perk up a tiny bit into the just catchable range midweek, but overall it currently promises to be extremely underwhelming until Thursday at least. Summer time.

Mask up and take care everybody!

 

Wave of the morning, 0630 DY

Unpopulated tiny and clean at Surfrider Gardens

No takers for tiny north Collaroy

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is extending a ridge up the New South Wales Coast. A cold front is forecast to skim across the state’s south later Sunday, with an associated trough bringing a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon, reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 27 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 28 December
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Misty and foggy early with lumpy bumpy seas

Posted on December 16th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Visibility at RealSurf HQ was down to 100m as of 0700 thanks to thick and drippy fog. Down at North Head the wind was coming from the ENE at 12-17 kts, while out at sea the buoy was seeing a touch over 2 metres of 10-11 sec ENE swell. Tide was coming in to a 2 metre high at 1015. Weather is set to be showery all day as we go to a high of 27C with a 90% chance of rain (accumulations from 15-25mm).
So, on the numbers alone, you know it’s not going to be anything special at the beach.
Outlook for tomorrow isn’t exactly red hot either. The wind should be more norherly and maybe not too strong for the dawn patrollers, but it’s still going to be cloudy and showery. The ENE swell looks like fading back a bit from today’s levels both in terms of average height and period. At this stage it looks as though the rainy stuff will reintensify Friday afternoon while the swell settings remain more or less the same. With luck Friday morning will see the odd sunny break.

Fur seal having a rest at Dee Why this morning

Kiddies

Manly grim


Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system sits over the southern Tasman Sea while a low pressure trough lies near the northern New South Wales coast. This pattern is generating northeasterly winds but a second trough is forecast to bring a short-lived southerly wind change to the southern coastal waters on Wednesday. Following this, a more substantial southerly change is then expected to move north along the coast during Friday and Saturday, and then stall in the far north.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Thursday 17 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Friday 18 December
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 metres.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Energy increasing, quality not so much

Posted on December 14th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Rugged conditions, even in the corners. Occasional size but 10-15 kts of ENE wind is just making a mess of it. Plus the swell looked kinda soft and weak. Out at sea it was 2 metres from the east at 6-8 seconds, so no wonder it seemed gutless. Gutless, onshore junk to sum it up.
We can expect the swell to build over the next day or so, but it’ll continue straight onshore until maybe Wednesday morning for the early, then spots that cope with NW wind (lots) should be the go as the swell begins to fade back from the Tuesday peak. Oh, and I hope you like rain and showers.
Have a good one!

Up the beach, a little ramp

Crumblefest at Kiddies

Where to go out?

Dee Why point empty

South Steyne surfin’

Stormy looking South Steyne

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge northwards. This high will gradually drift east over the coming days, directing generally southeast to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Winds and waves are increasing along the northern half of the coast as the low moves onshore about the southeast Queensland coast. This system is expected to drift south and weaken on Tuesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Tuesday 15 December
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 3 metres inshore, increasing to 3 to 4 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 16 December
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm