Posts in At large

Misty Saturday morning

Posted on October 24th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Gloomy drizzly skies and 10-15 kts of NNE wind from daybreak on Saturday morning. As the pictures show, there are little NE wind swell waves at the better exposures, but quality isn’t great. Out at sea it was 1.4 metres at 6-7 seconds from the NE, so not a lot of energy in the mix. Tide’s low at 0910 and it’ll be back to high at 1545. The Bureau says we can expect a humid high of 26 later with 5-15mm of showers.
Better get used to the showery weather, because the Bureau says we’re going to have it for the next week – plus it’s going to be southerly the whole time.
Surf will build under the southerly, so, water quality willing, there may be the odd wave option in the protected corners, but from here it does not look as though the quality will be terribly spectacular.
We’ll all be spending more time inside this week, so keep the masks handy – we don’t want to see anything like what folk are enduring in the northern hemisphere right now.
Go well!

Surfboat training at Dee Why

Not sure what these folks doing at the point

Surfrider Gardens

Gloomy little bumps at North Narrabeen

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is extending a ridge towards the Queensland coast, directing increasing northerly winds along most of the coast today. A cold front is forecast to bring a gusty southerly change to southern waters today before continuing to the north coast on Sunday. Following this, a new high is expected to strengthen near Tasmania and extend a ridge along the New South Wales coast, maintaining south to southeasterly winds along the coast for the remainder of the forecast period.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots, then a gusty southerly change 25 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres in the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe.
Sunday 25 October
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Monday 26 October
Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres, tending southerly 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.


Grey, glassy and small early

Posted on October 17th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Surprisingly surfable looking little knee to waist-plus glassy peaks all over the place this morning. The incoming tide was beginning to swamp them and the short period nature of the swell means there’s not a lot of power, so you’ll want to take your floatiest surf tool to get the most out of the conditions.

Swell at sea was around the 1.3 metre mark at 6-7 seconds from the SE and the breeze was coming lightly from the NW at 2-3 kts as of 0630. Tide was on the way in to a swampy 1.8 metre high at 0915. Skies were solidly overcast and there’s a 50% chance of a shower later. The day is set to warm up to 26C. Water is on 19C and Beachwatch says quality is good everywhere along Sydney’s beaches.

Longy crew chasing bumps

Soft set at Longy

Near the pole

Knee to waist at Northy

Little peaks at Surfrider Gardens

Far north Collaroy peak

Weather Situation
Northerly winds are forecast to increase today ahead of the passage of a trough that will bring a southerly change to southern parts of the coast late this evening. This southerly change will then continue north, reaching the northern coast on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Winds may briefly turn south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm later tonight.
Sunday 18 October
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots before dawn then shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 19 October
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Super keen are we?

Posted on October 12th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Only tiny wind bumped wind bump on offer this morning. Lower your expectations if you’re getting in no matter what. Still, it is another absolutely beautiful day out there!

We’re heading to a high of 24 along the coast today with onshores from the SE-NE in the morning and a NE’r this afternoon. First tide of the daylight hours is the low at 1050. The 1.58m high arrives at 1720. As of 0730, the swell out at sea was a touch over a metre from the SE at 9 seconds. Water has come up a tick to 19C according to Beachwatch.
Surf outlook for the next 3-4 days is currently pretty dire. Maybe not totally flat, but mostly below waist high at the better spots is the outlook until Thr-Fri.
Have a good one, and keep the mask handy!

Little bumps up at Northy

Surfrider Gardens junky shutdowns 0815

Weather Situation
A trough, which brought a south to southeasterly change to southern and central waters overnight, is weakening as a high pressure system strengthens over the Tasman Sea today. On Tuesday a trough is forecast to bring a southerly change to the southern coast and then weaken as it moves north, to reach central parts on Wednesday. After this, northerly winds are expected to increase as the high again becomes the dominant feature in the region.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northeast to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to .15 metres in the evening.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. Possible thunderstorms offshore this morning.
Tuesday 13 October
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 14 October
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the morning then tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Pretty day and pretty tiny too

Posted on October 10th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful morning with clear skies, light offshores and tiny waves. Sets were in the thigh to waist plus range on the better spots making the most of the fading swell. The offshores should last through the morning hours. Tide hits low at 0820 and will be back to a 1.48 m high at 1500. We should see a high of 25 today. Water’s still on 18C and out at sea swell was 1.1 metres at 10-11 seconds from the east.

This morning’s swell modeling isn’t offering much in the way of encouragement for the coming week’s surf prospects. Basically it’s looking pretty tiny through the middle of the week – at least. But, with luck there should be mal-able options at east magnets.

Go well with your Saturday, and take the mask for when you go into crowded spaces. The virus is still around.

Northy showing a few little bumps

Dee Why

Marquesas

Surfrider Gardens

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over central Australia is extending a ridge into western New South Wales. This ridge is forecast to remain in the region for a number of days, although a low pressure trough looks set to briefly affect southern and central parts of the coast on Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon then tending north to northeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 11 October

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 12 October

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Micro to flat but otherwise beautiful

Posted on October 3rd, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
The occasional waist to chest high set of yesterday has turned into the occasional ankle to knee high set this morning. Although the offshore buoys are still seeing some longer period stuff, there was no evidence of it anywhere I checked this morning as I prepped for the usual Saturday morning surf chat with Simon Marnie on ABC 702’s Weekend Show. As the picture indicates, the waves were not only tiny, they were utterly gutless as well. You’ll need to be very patient and very keen today.
Depending on how hard and how late it blows tonight, there might possibly be a little short period waist high wind bump at NE magnets for the early on Sunday – but I’m not overly hopeful on that front. Periods will be in the 7-8 second range according to the models through to Tuesday. Next hope of decent swell is a mid-week east pulse – but there could be a lot of straight onshore wind and cloudy skies with it…
Surface conditions were smooth under sunny skies, but there’s a strong wind warning for summer-force NE’rly wind this afternoon.
Swell at sea was 1.4 metres at 13-14 seconds from the SE (143°) and wind at 0630 was 3 kts from the north. First tide of the day will be the 1.56m high at 0900 (the 0.41 low’s at 1500). Weather should be sunny all day, with a high of 25C. Current water temperature along the Sydney coast is 17C.
Go well with your day everyone!

Surfrider Gardens

The Pole

Longy


 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is strengthening while maintaining a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast. This pattern will see northerly winds increasing in most coastal areas during the weekend, before a low pressure trough brings a southerly change over the southern and central parts of the coast early in the new week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 4 October
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 5 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning. Winds shifting south to southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Zippo Saturday morning

Posted on September 26th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

No surfing for you this morning. Conditions were otherwise nearly perfect with sunny skies and chilly (and accelerating) offshore winds. Out at sea the buoys were seeing 0.74 metres of 9 second SE wind swell. Ocean temperature is still 18C and we’re heading to a high of 18C along the beaches.
There is a slim hope of a little improvement in wave size toward dusk, but I very much doubt you’ll be going for a surf. Tomorrow could see knee to waist plus waves at the better south exposures, but the good news is that it looks from the forecast models as though we can expect a steady increase in both period and swell heights. Monday should have waves and Tuesday could be overhead at south magnets. In fact, right now the models are telling us we could have waves all week.
Have yourself a great Saturday, stay safe and take the mask for times when you can’t maintain distance.

 

Micro Longy shorey

Porpoising up for a look at the humans in their boat

Millpond at Dee Why

Lake Pacific at Narrabeen


 
Weather Situation
A strong cold front which crossed the state on Friday has brought a vigorous westerly change to the New South Wales coast, with conditions expected to remain windy during Saturday. In the wake of this front, a high pressure system is forecast to move across southeast Australia during Sunday and Monday, while a deep low develops over the southern Tasman Sea. This high looks set to be the dominant feature in the region until the next change mid-week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 27 September
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning southerly in the late morning and early afternoon. Winds may reach up to 30 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 28 September
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


So pretty, so flat

Posted on September 24th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Sorry kids. No surfin’ for you this gorgeous spring morning in Sydney. The ocean is a lake. Best thing about the conditions are that they can only improve from here. The Bureau says it might bump up a touch at south magnets this afternoon, but I wouldn’t be expecting much above ankle to thigh at the best exposures.
The Goat will roll out his weekend and week ahead forecast thoughts later this afternoon, so here’s hoping he’ll spot something in the way of an improvement during the weekend…
Go well and take the mask for enclosed spaces – remember, the pandemic started with a single case.

Lazy morning at Manly

Lake Queenscliff

Weather Situation
Mostly fresh west to southwesterly winds are expected across the Waters today with a complex low pressure system lingering near Tasmania. Winds are expected to tend north to northwesterly Friday ahead of a cold front that will bring a strong to gale southwesterly change at the start of the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Friday 25 September
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming northerly 20 to 30 knots in the morning then turning westerly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. 50% chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening.
Saturday 26 September
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Soft and small but not hopeless

Posted on September 21st, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Going to a high of 30 today. It’s sunny this morning, but there’s a 60% chance of showers later. There is some bump about thanks to 1.3 metres of 8-9 second NE wind swell. Best exposures should be seeing waist high sets with the odd chest plus bomb. Tides heading into a fairly swampy 1.75m high at 1105. Wind before 0730 was out of the north at around 10kts. That should build soon because the forecast says it’ll be 15-20 kts later. Water’s still on 18C.

Onshore but rideable at Manly before 0900

Manly

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea while a cold front is crossing the southern and western parts of the state today, bringing a brief southwesterly change to southern parts of the coast late this evening and continue to northern parts on Tuesday. Following this, winds will tend west to southwesterly.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny day. 50% chance of showers this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm this evening.

Tuesday 22 September

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning west to southwesterly during the morning. Winds may briefly tend northeasterly during the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Sunny afternoon.

Wednesday 23 September

Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots. Winds may briefly tend north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Clean and soft little lines

Posted on September 19th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Smooth and glassy under foggy skies as Saturday got started. There were a fair number of folks scattered along the north Collaroy to Narrabeen stretch and similar numbers south of there at Dee Why to Longy. Sets at the best peaks were into the waist high range, but mostly it was knee high or smaller. Swell at sea is 1.3 metres at 9 seconds from the SE and our next tide is a swampy 1.7 m high at 0930. Wind will gradually pick up from the eastern quarters as it builds to 15-25 kts for the afternoon. Water is 18C.
Tomorrow’s swell looks like being smaller and more east as the cloudy conditions continue and the NE wind gets stronger across the daylight and early evening hours. Summer NE windswell spots will be the go. The current forecasts show the surf prospects fading across midweek before (hopefully) coming back up a little as we head into next weekend.

Take care and take the mask. The virus hasn’t gone away and everyone you love can catch it, so let’s keep each other safe.

Kiddies long waits for knee high sets

Longy

Touch better at the Long Reef end of the beach

North Collaroy pearler

Narrabeen stretch offering a few little peaks

Weather Situation
A high pressure system will strengthen over the central Tasman Sea today, and remain in the region through the weekend, with northerly winds strengthening as a low pressure trough approaches from the west.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 20 September
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Monday 21 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.


Grey skied Friday

Posted on September 18th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Wind was out of the SSW at 6-8 kts by 0800, but it should turn NE later. Swell at sea was 1.7 metres at 7 seconds from the SE and water temp was 18C according to Beachwatch. Weather outlook is for a high of 19 and a possible light shower First tide of the day is a high at 0840.

Did the Manly run this morning, so herewith the story in pictures…

Exercise at Queenscliff

Thundering comber sweeps rider to shore at Queenscliff

South Curly

(Above) popping an air in tiny South Curly shorey

Dee Why point ridden

Weather Situation
Predominantly easterly winds are expected about the Waters today as a high pressure system moves near to the east of Bass Strait. This high will strengthen and move over the central Tasman Sea by Saturday, and remain in the region through the weekend, with northerly winds strengthening as a low pressure trough approaches from the west.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.
Saturday 19 September
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 20 September
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots turning northerly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.