Posts in At large

Clean and tiny Saturday

Posted on September 22nd, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful morning along the beaches. Skies are clear, winds were light and offshore at 0630 and there is a tiny south wind swell delivering the odd waist high wave face at magnet spots. Water’s around the 18C mark,. Tide was high at 0635, which probably didn’t help much, but as the pictures show, with the right equipment at the right spot, you could get one – just don’t expect to rack up a big wave count.

Wind is set to go around to the NE at 15-20 kts later this morning, so getting in early is the plan.

The MHL buoy was showing 0.9 m from the south (160-164°) at 8 seconds apart as of 0500. It should stay at those settings today. Tomorrow Huey swings the wind to the south and dials in a 60% chance of shower. As the wind ramps, the swell will follow. Some models are predicting a noticeable bump in the afternoon, but others are not so hopeful. The consensus seems to be that Sunday-Tuesday will be dominated by south wind and 1.5-2m of 8-10 sec straight south swell.

Happily, prospects for Weds-Fri are interesting. If the predictions are right, we’re looking at around 1.5 metres of longish period (13-17 sec) south swell. Wind could be offshore in the mornings too.

Here’s hoping!

Have a top old Saturday one and all.

In a quiet corner of the lagoon

 

No Mans

 

SUPs the go in the soft high tide conditions

 

Putting their backs into it off Collaroy

 

Waiting for something catchable

 

Behind you!

 

A few folk in the water at Northy 0630

Weather Situation

A high pressure system drifting slowly across southeast Australia is expected to be over the Tasman Sea today. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 23 September

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the evening.

Monday 24 September

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Surf report from Kijkduin Den Haag

Posted on September 20th, 2018 in At large.
7pm howling sideshore whipping up small waves and they’re off to the beach!

Little wind swell bumps

Posted on September 19th, 2018 in At large, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Back from my adventures talking to pollies in Canberra about climate bipartisanship (hey, one can dream). Surf situation has not improved in my absence. Stopped by Collaroy for a look and then wandered past Long Reef before heading back to the RealSurf wheelhouse to check in. As the pictures show, there are only soft little windswell bumps coming in from the NE. Collaroy had no takers, although I think if you were really keen, you could have a splash with a bodyboard maybe. Definitely more activity around the corner at Longy where a dozen or so folks were picking up very soft and slow waist high bumps just north of the lugga. There were a few more down at Kiddies, but they didn’t seem to be finding much.

To put some numbers on the situation, as of 0600, the MHL buoy was seeing about 7-sec, 2 metre bump from 60° (NE). As of 0720, North Head was detecting 5-7 kts from the north. Tide was dropping to the 0.7 low at 0940. By the time the it’s back to the 1.4 m high at 1620, the southerly could be with us.

Tomorrow’s shaping to be southerly and – unlike today – cloudy. Swell could come up a little, but the models show periods in the windswell range, so I’m not expecting much of interest in spots out of the wind. That said, the Bureau predicts a mix of swell, including some bump out of the NE. We could have more favourable winds for Friday morning, but the swell settings are not encouraging. I’m hoping for some mal-able bumps.

Have a top old Wednesday!

Very quiet at Kiddies this morning

Moseying along on a soft one at Longy 0800

Crew enjoying the slo-mo conditions at Longy

Bomb set wall at Longy 0800

Not too exciting looking north from Collaroy

Fluffy little windswell bump at Collaroy 0750

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east as a cold front approaches the coast from the west. Fresh to strong northerly winds will continue over the New South Wales coast ahead of the front. A southerly change is forecast with the passage of the front today up to the Mid North Coast and early Thursday in the far north. Winds will then gradually shift northerly on Friday or Saturday ahead of the next front.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 20 September

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon.

Friday 21 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Far from a flat sea

Posted on September 17th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Your correspondent has fetched up in our nation’s capital to join in some Citizen lobbying, so I’m utterly reliant on remote sensing data for news of the beach today in Sydney. Looking at the WRL pic from earlier this morning, it’s obvious there’s nothing going on at east to NE spots. And the North Bondi RSL cam shows nothing coming from the south.

The MHL buoy is showing 1.8 metres of 160 degree swell at 11 seconds… so, maybe it’s not hooking into nth Bondi and going past south Narra altogether… and there are in fact waist high waves at south magnets… could be…

Wind is now SE 5-7 kts, but the Bureau’s call (see below) is for it to be NE this afternoon.

Outlook is for not much to happen on the surf front for the rest of the week. That’s in line with modelling over the last few days, so I’m thinking ankle to knee high with the odd bomb in the waist high range at magnets in the next 48 hours, fading to less than that as we get up to the weekend. Of course I hope to be proven spectacularly wrong as I’m really keen to get wet again soon!

Go well with your Monday!

 

WRL cam view from 0930 Monday morning – lookin’ micro

North Bondi view uninspiring

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is moving across New South Wales. South to southwesterly winds are expected to tend more northerly today and Tuesday as the high moves overhead and out over the Tasman Sea. The next cold front is expected to bring a southerly change to New South Wales waters on Wednesday and Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 18 September

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 19 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon and increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

How keen are ya

Posted on September 15th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends

Down in Canberra this morning but I can see that the 1.5 metres of 6-8 sec north-NE wind swell is producing knee to waist plus at magnets. Water’s a chilly 16C and the light early morning north breeze is going to ramp up into the 15-25 kt range as the day warms. Late this evening the wind should be still going as hard, but it’ll be SW.

Tide’s currently running into the lunchtime high.

Outlook is for some south energy tomorrow but with strong SW wind. With luck the swell energy (I’m hoping on your behalf for shoulder plus sets) will stick around into Monday morning. Looks like we have a midweek fade to near flat, but with a slight hope for an uptick on Thursday-Friday…

Have a great day!

WRL’s 0630 pic shows the short period swell pushing in


Postcard: Nice beach day in the Netherlands

Posted on September 10th, 2018 in At large.
Not a lot happening surf wise at Den Haag Zuidstrand. .The Hague South Beach. .but a few tried hard.
Lots of people having fun at the beach. The entire cafe on the sand is dismantled every year before the Winter storms.
TG

Beautiful day in NL


The Goat sends a postcard from Newquay

Posted on September 7th, 2018 in At large.

7pm ..onshore ..cold for an Aussie..and there’s a surf school on!

TG

Lovely Newquay, UK


Postcard from the Isle of Wight

Posted on September 4th, 2018 in At large.

No surf at the main surfing beach. Lovely day though.
TG


Smooth, glassy and little bumps for the early

Posted on September 1st, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Really tiny as this morning got started along the beaches. There’s a weak but clean little NE bump making itself felt at various places thanks to a metre or so of  6-8 second NE windswell along with a hint of south component. Sets at magnets were knee to waistish and it really looked like the floaty your equipment the better. Tide was low at 0540 and will be back to a 1.5 m high at noon. There was just a breath of NW wind.

There’s a strong wind warning for 15-25 kts of westerly later today. Swell doesn’t look like coming up at all today, so the plan is to hit it now before the westerlies and high tide knock it about.

Father’s Day is shaping to be southerly, cloudy and with a chance of showers. The Bureau says the southerly swell should pick up, but the wind will limit surf options pretty severely. Sorry about that fellow fathers!

The rest of the week is not currently looking too exciting. Basically onshores and small to medium size south swell. At this stage, Thursday morning looks about the best option.

Have a great Saturday everyone!

Longy, 0630: Struggled mightily to get into it, but couldn’t

 

Early morning Dee Why lagoon

 

A tiny slow moving little glassy peak at Kiddies 0625

 

Maybe with a bodyboard… tiny south Narrabeen 0620

 

Too small to surf at Gardens

 

NE lines in a coppery sea

 

Pretty little peak perking briefly at Northy, 0620

Weather Situation

Fresh to strong and gusty westerly winds expected over NSW coastal waters today in the wake of a cold front. A secondary cold front will see winds tend southerly during the weekend as a high develops to the west. Winds will then tend east to southeasterly in the new week as the high centre shifts into the Tasman Sea. A coastal trough is expected to form about the northern coast on Monday and linger on Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning. Winds turning southwesterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 2 September

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Monday 3 September

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Marginal morning along the beaches

Posted on August 25th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

A steady NE wind, overcast skies dropping the occasional drop of rain but only a feeble and scrappy little SSE-NE combo swell making itself felt along the beaches this morning. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.7 m at 10 seconds, but I didn’t see too many wave faces in that range when I checked conditions around 0730. Tide wasn’t a big issue as the 0740 peak is a modest 1.3 m. It’ll be back to a lowish 0.48 m at 1315. Water temp has dropped to 16°C.

Wind should pick up later in the day, while the swell seems unlikely to improve in any respect.

According to most of the models, outlook for the week ahead is not red hot for Sun-Tue but Weds-Thr looks hopeful on a couple of the predictions.

Have a top old Saturday!

Rainy day coming up

 

Soft little peak briefly stands up at No Mans 0640

 

Long Reef shories for the keen

 

Kiddies set at 0640

 

Northy flickering iweakly at 0635

 

South Narrabeen unoccupied

 

Fishing maybe the better plan

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies over the western Tasman Sea whilst a low pressure system and associated trough lie over the far northwest of the state. North to northeasterly winds will freshen as the low moves east this weekend. Late on Sunday winds are forecast to turn southerly along the southern half as the trough moves into the Tasman Sea. Southerly winds are then expected to extend along the coast during Monday as a complex low pressure system forms over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sunday 26 August

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late morning. Winds shifting west to southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.

Monday 27 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

 

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