Posts in At large

Really tiny but every now and then a bump arrives

Posted on August 12th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

As of 0600 the MHL buoy was showing less than a metre of 10-sec south swell. An hour later at North Narrabeen it looked to be around the knee high mark and quite inconsistent for the handful of keen folk in the water. Around at the Long Reef to Dee Why stretch everybody was scattered along the little peaks north from about the Pole to the lifeguard hut. Again, waves were infrequent and struggling to make the waist high mark. Lots of folk in the water too.
Tide is running into the 1.5m high at 1125. Wind was light NW and should stay out of the westerly quarters all day. Swell prospects don’t look too red hot for the rest of the weekend. It might possibly come up a touch tomorrow, but only a touch. The week ahead is shaping to be pretty quiet as well – according to the models.
So enjoy what we have and have a great Saturday!

Just part of the goodly crew between the Pole and Longy at 0655

Four wave hunters awaiting knee high lines at Northy 0645

Momentary wave at 0655 near the Pole

Weather Situation
A cold front is currently moving through the New South Wales coast, causing north to northwesterly winds to shift fresh to strong southwesterly in its wake. By mid-morning today, the eastward-moving front will have cleared the coast as a high pressure system moves over inland New South Wales coast, causing winds to ease. The high is expected to be centred over the northwestern Tasman Sea by the end of the weekend.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 13 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds decreasing to below 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 14 August
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the day then tending west to northwesterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.


Curly and Dee Why on high tide

Posted on August 9th, 2017 in At large.

At 0900 tide was getting close to high and it wasn’t helping the waves at Curl Curl. Yes the faces were up to chest high or better but they were so fat people just couldn’t get into em. The action shot below was taken just off the sand where for a few seconds it briefly stood up…

Burger at Curly south

At Dee Why you could with a fair amount of hard paddling get into the slow fat but pretty offshore sets. Maybe in another few hours…


Look around to find a little something

Posted on August 5th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Clear skies, winter chill, light NW wind and a tiny, sub-1 metre 12-sec SE swell coming in as the Saturday got started. Tide was a 1.3 metre high at 0640 and is now dropping to the low at 1220. It was too small to surf from Collaroy to North Narrabeen, although there was a little knee high peak trying to happen for a couple of keen punters at the alley. Along the Dee Why to Longy stretch the only surfable waves were the waist high specimens appearing from about No Mans to just north of the Lugga. They were pretty fat and slow looking, so the plan would be to take the mal – or your nearest equivalent.
Should be sunny all day and the wind is expected to ramp up from the W-NW – which probably won’t do the tiny swell any favours…
From the shape of this morning’s run of the models, it looks as though we’re in for nearly flat today followed by a couple of days of flatness before, potentially, a south pulse on Tuesday. But it looks like the energy will stay offshore on the Bureau’s modelling. Still, with any luck we’ll have at least a little something mid week…
Have a top old Saturday everyone!

Jagging one north of the Pole at 0645

Flat along most of the Collaroy-Narra stretch, but tiny peak at Northy

Near the lugga it was a mal fest at 0645

Bomb set stands up for a sec near the lugga

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies to the north as a cold front passes over southern waters today and another on Monday. These systems will direct a northwest to southwest flow over New South Wales waters, vigorous at times over southern and central parts.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 6 August
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 7 August
Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 25 knots tending west to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.


Curly and Dee Why flat too

Posted on July 31st, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends
You can write off surfing this morning. It’s flat everywhere – and choppy.
The SW’ly should kick in this afternoon and by tomorrow be going strongly. At the same time this morning’s forecast from the Bureau confirms what the models have been saying for awhile now, namely that we should see a south pulse fill in tonight and be obvious tomorrow. It looks like being just short period stuff, so only the magnets are likely to see anything of interest — and they have to be friendly to the strong SW wind as well. The models show the swell staying around the 2 metre mark through Friday, but the average period doesn’t look likely to improve significantly. A mixed bag really and I’m not expecting all time conditions anywhere – just hoping it’ll be somewhat surfable somewhere.
Have a great Monday everyone!

Massive set wave at south Curly 0745


Weather Situation
As a cold front moves off the New South Wales coast today, a low pressure system will develop over the southwestern Tasman Sea. This low is expected to deepen later today before moving rapidly east away from the coast tonight and through Tuesday. A vigorous south to southwesterly change will extend along the coast as the low moves offshore. Winds will gradually ease later on Tuesday and through Wednesday as a weak high pressure system briefly develops across the state. An inland trough and low pressure system are forecast to move across the state on Thursday, reaching coastal waters by Thursday evening.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning. Winds shifting wets to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon, and reaching up to 35 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning.
Tuesday 1 August
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the morning, then tending south to southeasterly 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere.
Wednesday 2 August
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.


Dialled up

Posted on July 22nd, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
At daybreak the wind was coming from the west at a steady 10 kts and temp was about 8 degrees under mostly clear skies. Swell is out of the SSE at 13 seconds and out at sea it’s 3 metres. Along the beaches it’s probably 3 metres on faces at exposed spots, maybe even a bit bigger than that on the bombs. Dee Why and Collaroy were really the only surf options I saw this morning on my radio report run. Both were intensely crowded at 0700 but Collaroy was around waist high while Dee Why was solidly overhead on the bigger ones.
Outlook is for the swell to peak this morning but to remain solid for another 24 hours at least. Wind should be offshore too. Know your limits!
Tide was a 1.46m high at 0710 and is now dropping to the 0.36m low at 1250.
Have a great Saturday everyone and I’ll try to grab a few pics of the action to share later.

Pocketed at the point 0700

Late take off not ending well at the point

Empty up the beach

No surfing at Northy this morning


Weather Situation
The combination of a deep low pressure system near New Zealand and a high over southeast Australia is directing fresh southerly winds along the New South Wales coast today. The high will move to the state’s northeast later today, with most coastal areas returning to light to moderate winds. On Sunday winds are expected to freshen and shift westerly as a cold front skims across the south, easing again on Monday as the high across the north reasserts its dominance. A more significant cold front is forecast to affect the region mid-week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning northwesterly during the morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 3 metres, tending southeasterly 3 to 4 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 23 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending westerly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 24 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, reaching 2 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


It’s a lake

Posted on July 19th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Minimal swell plus days of offshores has delivered us near perfect flatness this morning. At 0700 there was no way you’d catch anything, anywhere along the beaches. There was less than half a metre of 3-second north breeze bump.
The good news? This should be the nadir of the flatness according to the Bureau. Energy levels should gradually increase slightly by the end of the day and then overnight a south pulse should start to fill in and tomorrow morning the call is for 2-3 metres of swell with strong SW wind. And the models are still showing the 10-12 sec south to SSE swell staying above the 2 metre mark into Sunday.
But for now, it’s flat as a tack.
Enjoy your Wednesday everyone!

Weather Situation
A deepening, slow moving low in the Tasman will direct a vigorous cool southwesterly airstream over New South Wales on Wednesday and Thursday. As a low stalls near New Zealand, a high will expand from the west to be centred over the state on Friday and Saturday with winds becoming light by the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots turning southwesterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon and evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Below 0.5 metres, tending south to southwesterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Thursday 20 July
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the morning then becoming southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 50% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Friday 21 July
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southerly during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 0.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


Not quite completely flat

Posted on July 8th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Less than a metre of 13-sec SSE swell trickling into the beaches this morning saw only a few people in the water chasing the ankle to knee and a bit high bumps. Tide’s a 1.3m high at 0745, which is no doubt decreasing the already limited number of surf options. As the pictures show, conditions were glassy for the early, but we should see the westerly spring up soon. Unfortunately there’s no prospect of the waves picking up today.
Outlook for the coming week is not exciting. Some of the models are showing it staying flat through to Friday-Saturday, but there are a couple saying we might might see something surfable midweek at south spots. That’s where I’m pinning my hopes!
Have a great Saturday everyone

No waves at the point

Solitary set wave arrives at No Mans

South Narrabeen microness

Knee high for the crew at Northy

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over Western Australia is moving east strengthening a ridge towards the east while series of cold fronts are crossing the southern Tasman Sea. Westerly winds are expected along the New South Wales coast until about Tuesday when the high is expected to be near Tasmania, turning winds more southerly.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Sunday 9 July
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
South to southwesterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 10 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Surf flicks on Northern Beaches

Posted on June 30th, 2017 in At large, Top stories.

HiltonAlves, NazarePortugal

Tim Bonython’s wrapping up his ASMF Big Wave Project show with a final swing through the Northern Beaches and he’s got a pair of tickets to give away.

To be in with a chance, use the form below to send me a picture of any of the northern beaches (that’s the skill part) and I’ll pick the best pic to get the tickets to the show of your choice. Be sure to use the text box to tell me which show you want tickets for.
I will pick a winner Tuesday evening, 4th of July.

(Uploading pics from mobile devices may be a challenge! I tried from my android phone and I needed to select the documents option to choose a picture. Your mileage may vary!)

PRIVACY NOTE: Email addresses will ONLY be used for purposes of this contest. They will not be supplied to third parties.

THE SHOWS

  • Thursday 6th of July 8pm The Collaroy
  • Friday 7th at The Balgowlah RSL
  • Saturday 8th at Club Palm Beach.

Watch the trailer

And website
www.ASMF.net.au


Fading fast

Posted on June 24th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Swell has really backed off overnight. Conditions otherwise are really pretty good. Wind is lightly offshore early and the ocean is smooth. As of 0500 the MHL buoy was picking up a metre of mainly SE swell with a period of around 12 seconds. At Northy it was delivering waist high rollers at the Alley, but nowhere else along the beach south from there. The biggest waves on the Longy to Dee Why stretch were in the No Mans to Pole zone. The point was keeping a few keen types entertained with the odd knee to waist high set. Tide hits a 1.5m high at 0815 and then drops back to a lowish 0.37 m at 2pm.
The Bureau has hoisted a strong wind warning for 15-25 kt SW wind this morning. It’s then supposed to fade back in the afternoon. The swell models generally predict small conditions but not flat across the front half of the week, then a lull Weds-Thurs-ish before a rather interesting sustained pulse for the weekend.
Here’s hoping!

How Saturday started

Boom!

Not exactly huge at the point as of 0645

Kiddies

No Mans

Out for a paddle at south Narrabeen

Northy at 0645


Weather Situation
A high pressure system over northeast New South Wales remains the dominant synoptic feature in the region, promoting light to moderate winds along most of the coast. A fairly weak cold front will arrive on the weekend as the the high decays, bringing a fresh west to southwesterly change. Following this, a new ridge is expected to extend across from the west at the start of next week, with winds again becoming light to moderate over New South Wales waters.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre later in the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore from late this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Sunday 25 June
Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 26 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.


Pics from Manly with a couple of DY too

Posted on June 21st, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,
A few snaps taken between 0900 and 0930 Wednesday morning.
Wind 8-10 west, swell east 2 metres at 12 seconds, tide heading to low at 1120. By 0930 tide was getting too low for the point with these swell settings. Manly had a very high percentage of shutdowns, but some beautiful take offs to be had and a few that ran of course.
Turning southerly by midday and staying that way through tomorrow.

Will he get around it?

Open face ahead

South Steyne peak

Manly

Manly north Steyne

Manly

Manly

Manly

Manly

Set outside of the crowd at the Bower 0900

South Steyne pocket 0900

Weather Situation
A low pressure system lies well offshore over the central Tasman Sea while a large ridge of high pressure extends across southern New South Wales. The combination of these systems is directing southwest to southeasterly winds across New South Wales Waters. The high pressure ridge is expected to persist until the end of the week.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of light showers.
Thursday 22 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of light showers.
Friday 23 June
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.


 

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