Hello Friends,

Well, what can ya say? Sorry not to get around to a report earlier, but I was actually away from a computer this morning. But not because I was surfing, sadly. There were some very small waves around when I finally had a good look around midday. However, you’d really need to be keen because the biggest sets were struggling to make the waist high mark at Longy and Northy wehre I checked. And the dribbly onshore wasn’t improving the attraction quotient either.

Never mind! The models are continuing to hold out hopes of a significant pulse arriving in the Sydney region from around about Thursday. If it plays out in the way the latest run suggest it might, we could see head high plus by Thursday afternoon and then a steady ramp into the really big range across Friday and into Saturday (could get to 3x overhead at exposed spots). The very long range call is showing solid swell continuing into early next week.

The good thing is that the Bureau’s calling for winds out of the westerly quarters and mostly sunny conditions for Thr-Fri with cloud and light winds for Saturday.

On that note, have yourself a good Sunday arvo!

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge is centred over coastal New South Wales maintaining generally light winds early, before turning northeasterly and increasing in the afternoon. A trough is expected to cross the state during Monday and Tuesday as the high moves away, before a low deepens off the southern coast later on Tuesday. Winds during this time are likely to increase, with the direction dependant on the development and position of the low.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds: Light winds tending north to northeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then becoming northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon and evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly around 1 metre.

Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending westerly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then tending west to northwesterly up to 10 knots around midday. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly to northeasterly up to 1 metre.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeast to southeasterly during the morning then tending northerly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 0.5 metres tending south to southeasterly 1.5 metres from midday.

Hello Friends,

Another chilly start for Sydney this morning. According to the MHL data we have about a metre of SSW 6 second windswell. But as the pictures show, there was a small but well defined line making its way in at Dee Why. No one was in the water, save a lone kayaker, so we can perhaps take that as evidence of minimal surfing options.

While there doesn’t seem to be much showing on the other MHL buoys as Friday kicks off, the forecast model interpretations, or at least some of them, are still showing the swell picking up as the day goes along as it builds toward a peak sometime over the next 24 hours. If it plays out as expected there could be some fun sets on offer from about lunch time onward at south swell spots. But… the wind will be an issue, because the forecast has it picking up from the SW then swinging to the south later. So it could be one of those days when there’s just a little window of opprotunity for the best conditions.

The latest outlook is for us to have generally small but not flat south windswell conditions over the next 72 hours or so.

Have yourself a top day and keep on smilin!

TIDES: L @1000, H @1650
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots during the morning then tending southerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Saturday: Wind: South to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending south to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: Southerly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning.

Hello Friends,

I guess the good news is that it’s not quite dire enough to be absolutely unsurfable. There were a few bods in at Dee Why for the early. It’s struggling to get to waist high, so you need to be extra keen. Just to add to the picture, the wind call is for SE early followed by a gradual change to light easterlies. Blergh. Good for getting work done I guess.

The low energy settings that have been showing in the forecasts for some time now are still there. The next 5-6 days (still) look pretty ordinary for the east coast. This morning’s run of the WAMs shows what seems to be an east coast low developing late in the weekend. That’s a big call at this stage though. I guess it’s the usual story with these forecasts – it’s something to watch for now, but it’s too early to make plans.

Have yourself a great day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending easterly by early evening and northeasterly at night. West to southwesterly winds to 10 knots inshore at first.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: Northwest to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres decreasing below 1 metre by the evening.
Thursday: Wind: Northerly 10 to 20 knots.

Hello Friends,

Well, there may be a metre of SSE swell out at sea, but with an average period of around 8 seconds, there’s nothing much showing. No bods were in the water at Dee Why that I could see when I checked it out this morning. There were some people at North Narrabeen for some reason that wasn’t instantly obvious. I’d say the biggest sets were struggling to get into the waist high range.

Latest run of the models is less than inspiring. Basically it looks like small, short period mainly south swell across the next week for the Sydney region. Indeed, it seems that the whole east coast faces this baleful regime of smallness. I hope this doesn’t mean that spring is arriving early…

There are still some big systems in the southern ocean, but they just aren’t getting to us. You’d have a better chance across the Tasman. Mahia looks good Wed-Thr…

Oh well, keep on smilin’!

Sydney Closed Waters, Pittwater, Port Jackson and Botany Bay:
Monday until midnight: Wind:West to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending south to southwesterly during the morning then tending south to southeasterly around midday. Winds light later in the evening. Waters:Smooth.
Tuesday: Wind:Light winds tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots later in the evening. Waters:Smooth.
Wednesday: Wind: Light winds tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Is your voter rego up to date? You’ve got until 8pm tonight to get your signed rego in. Here’s the AEC link. I liked the person on the radio who said, enroll to vote or your parents will decide who should run the country. Not sure if your rego is up to date? Check it here.

Okay, important stuff out of the way, now some more important stuff. My first morning back on the northern beaches, so I had a bit of a drive around to see what was what.

First stop was Warriewood. No one in the water there because the swell is just too weak and small. There were a few bods in the water at Cooks and another few up at Mona. In both cases the quality was okay, but it was struggling to make waist high. The sort of waves you go for when there’s pretty much nothing else on the to do list and you fancy getting wet for the exercise.

Next stop was over the hill at Northy. A touch better than the previous two, but nothing extraordinary as the small crowd confirmed.

Last stop was Longy where I got a snap of a couple standups messing about near the lagoon entrance and spotted a cute empty set wave down toward No Mans. There were maybe half a dozen bods between there and Dee Why, but as with elsewhere this morning, it’s inconsistent and bumping along at just above flatness.

If they have it right, the latest run of surf forecasts call for on again-off again 1-2 metre south swell. Nothing too great though because a lot of it is going to be short period stuff. Tomorrow arvo looks the best shot for south spots atm…

Have a great day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Monday until midnight: Wind: West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots inshore reaching 20 knots offshore, tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds freshening to southerly 15 to 25 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1.5 metres rising up to 2.5 metres offshore in the evening.Swell: East to southeast to 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms possible.
Tuesday: Wind: South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 3 metres.Swell: Southeasterly to 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres in the evening.
Wednesday: Wind: South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, possibly reaching 30 knots in the afternoon.

Hello Friends,

Sunday was a good morning to stay in bed for Sydney surfers. At 0730 the skies were clouded over, the ocean was an unappetising grey, and worse, what paltry little swell we had on Saturday was pretty much gone. I say pretty much because people were in the water having a go at the knee to waist high dribblers which would appear every now and then at Dee Why beach. However, the east windswell is struggling to be a metre at sea and the average period is down around the 6-7 second mark. Weak and gutless perhaps overstates the power on offer.

The models continue to show this rather abject lack of surf situation prevailing into about midweek for Sydney. Right now if you had to pick a day for a surf, I’d be leaning toward Wednesday…

Ah well.

Have yourself a great day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: Easterly about 2 metres. Chance evening thunderstorms.
Monday: Wind: West to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then tending south to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Winds light later in the evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening.Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: Northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending northerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Winds 15 to 25 knots during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Very cold start this morning. In fact it was so cold that I actually spotted some frost on the sand at south Narrabeen. Yikes! Waves are much smaller now. Places that were surfable yesterday were just about flat this morning. There were a few bods giving the shorey and the point a go at Dee Why, but the one metre SE swell just wasn’t doing anything.

The latest run of the swell forecast models this morning continues to show flatness for the next three days.

A long period (15 sec) pulse of an estimated duration of around 12 hours is currently showing up for Friday night – Saturday morning. If it develops as expected, south swell spots could be into the chest high range (with the odd bigger one of course). On current reckoning it seems we might still have some little ones around on Sunday, but it appears we’re then headed back into a day or two of very small. In the “I’ll believe it when I see it” department, one interpretation of the long range data has us getting another very long period pulse on Tuesday. The numbers are pretty stupid though (20 sec at around 1.5 metres) so I’d be taking that with many grains of salt at this stage.

Have yourself a top old Wednesday one and all!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending westerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre rising 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.Swell: Southerly below 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: Westerly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots around midday.Sea: Below 1 metre, rising up to 2 metres offshore during the morning.Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending easterly during the evening.
Friday: Wind: West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.

Hello Friends,

There is some energy about this morning, but gee it’s not too lovely looking. The wind’s out of the ENE at 10-15kts, so it’s solidly onshore at Dee Why. The swell is a couple metres out at sea and coming from the SE, but Huey’s got the power setting at an anemic 7 seconds or so. Throw in cloudy skies with the odd shower or two and you couldn’t say it has the makings of a classic winter’s day (from a surf perspective that is).

Latest news from the wonderful world of the wave forecast models is a curate’s egg of sorts. Mostly not a great egg it has to be said, but the best bit currently looks like possibly being around Friday when there might be SE pulse into the waist to chest high range at the better spots.

The prospect of something more substantial for early next week has disappeared from the latest run of the models. So, if they’re right, we’re in for more of these marginal conditions.

Oh well, I know what you could do, you could keep on smilin’!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots by early evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later.Swell: Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing below 10 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly by evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening.Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: Northerly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Extremely messy at Dee Why this morning but it didn’t stop a few hardy specimens from giving it a go. The Bureau expects the 15-20 kts of SE to moderate and swing south later. However, you’d have to say it’s not looking especially promising for most of Sydney’s beaches today. South corners could be a possibility later, but if Dee Why’s any guide, you shouldn’t expect it to be very clean.

Tomorrow could be good though as the Bureau says the wind could be around to the NE and the swell should still be hanging in there at a fun couple metres from the SE.

Have yourself a good one!

TIDES: H @0740, L @1320
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: Southeasterly 20 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending southerly 10 to 15 knots by early evening.Sea: 2 to 2.5 metres abating 1 to 2 metres during the morning and decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Friday: Wind: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening.Sea: to 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.

Hello Friends,

Wow. That’s an impressive decline. 48 hours ago Dee Why point was pumping but at 0730 this morning it was just about flat. The combination of an incoming tide and only a metre of 8 second SSE swell are adding up to not very much at all where Dee Why’s concerned.

The Bureau and the models agree that we’re now in for a stretch of small to flat conditions in the Sydney region. Only the most exposed stretches will be showing anything surfable and around Friday-Saturday the models are currently showing it going flat. Here’s hoping they haven’t got it right this time…

Go well with your Monday!

TIDES: H @1040, L @1615
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.Sea: less than 1 metre. Swell: South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Wind: Southerly 5 to 15 knots.Sea: to 1 metre. Swell: South to southeasterly about 1 metre.
Wednesday: Wind: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the evening.