Was hoping for a slightly better set of conditions this morning. But the SE wind hasn’t pushed up too much. High tide was making it all pretty fat and full though, so maybe when it runs out, we’ll see something more of the two metres of SE windswell. It’s only 8 seconds apart, so I wouldn’t expect to see anything much above the chest high mark on the biggest ones at the most exposed spots.
Cloudy with a shower or two is the forecast, so I guess that means it’s likely to be grey all day.
Down at Dee Why it looks as though there might possibly be a little tiny one in the corner when the tide drops. The same could be the case up along the northern extent of the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch.
Have yourself a great day!
Tides H @0834, L @1517 Sydney Coastal Waters,Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Thursday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 15/20 knots. Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Friday: Wind: SW/SE 10/15 knots. Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Saturday: Wind: SE/NE 10/20 knots, tending N/NE 15/25 knots later.
Went for a snorkle at Northy (not very good though) and when I came in on the beach, I hung around to see if I could get a pic of one of the contestents. Amazingly they were getting little waves.
The conditions could hardly be better. Sparkling day after yesterday’s grey and rain. But if you’re looking for a wave, you’ll be needing something pretty floaty. There’s only a tiny E- ESE windswell showing along the beaches of Sydney. The most exposed spots are just barely producing waist high sets. And there are long stretches of smooth water in every direction.
There were only two or three folks in the water between the pole and Dee Why, a little clutch up toward Marquesas and the usual contingent at Northy.
Wind is set to go around to the SE this afternoon. It’s due to be into the 20-25 kt range, so just maybe it’ll push some junky little things in for us by around lunch time tomorrow. I’d be hoping for waist high or a touch bigger at low tide at south-east facing spots.
Tides: H @1042 L @1725
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: NW/SW 10/15 knots increasing to S/SE 20/25 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 metre, rising to 2 to 2.5 metres later.Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: E/SE 13/18 knots, tending E/NE 13/18 knots later in the day. Sea: about 1.5 metres Swell: S/SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: N/NE 10/15 knots, freshening to 15/25 knots
Looks like another good day for the office or school. There are some messy little waves trying to get into Dee Why. I’m still waiting for the light to improve a bit before grabbing a snap, but I can tell you there were a few folks in the water having a go in the very marginal conditions.
The biggest ones looked to be in the chest high range (briefly) but the 10-15 kts of SE wind that’s occasionally delivering those sets is also really working over the surface conditions. I’m filled with admiration for the obvious stoke levels that got this morning’s participants into the water. Inspiring stuff!
According to the Bureau, the wind will swing around to the NE this afternoon, so just maybe the situation will improve in the north corners a bit. Fingers crossed for that one.
Outlook for the remainder of the week is, sadly, not terribly good for the east coast. The overall trend on the models is toward flatness and onshores. There may possibly a little pulse of low, long period south swell at directly south facing stretches around about Thursday. I wouldn’t be marking it in my diary though. A real long shot for Sydney from the look of the data.
Sydney Coastal Waters,Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Tuesday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 15/20 knots at first, becoming E/NE 10/15 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres, abating to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the day. Swell: SE 1 to 2 metres. Wednesday: Wind: NE/NW 5/10 knots at first, tending NE 10/15 knots during the afternoon and increasing to 15/20 knots later.Sea: to 1 metre, rising to 1 to 2 metres later. Swell: E/SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Thursday: Wind: NW/NE 10/15 knots, strengthening to NE 20/30 knots.
Hello Friends,
Sunny, mild and altogether beautiful spring weather in Sydney this morning. The only problem from a surf perspective is that there’s really not much of anything resembling a surfable wave at Dee Why this morning. Judging from PB’s snaps of the Narra stretch, it’s not appreciably better at stretches of beach with good exposure to the prevailing easterly windswell direction. The MHL buoy is showing a period of 7 seconds, so if you’re patient and keen, I bet you’d get the occasional catchable bigger one (by bigger, I mean waist high).
From the look of the models, we’re not in for much of anything over the next week along our stretch of the east coast. We’re facing a week-long run of small (1 metre or less), short period and generally east to NE windswell.
I’d say it’ll be good for a swim maybe, a wander along the beach possibly, or if you haven’t yet had a go, an opportunity to mess about with a SUP.
The southerly swell generating systems are being pushed well to the south of us by the slow moving high pressure areas that typically appear this time of year. As well, those lows are generally weaker and less extensive, so it can be a long time between drinks for south swell spots. It’s still too early for the tropics to get going either, so we’re stuck with these long stretches of weak, locally generated windswell.
There doesn’t seem to be anything particularly noteworthy on the long range forecasts, but there might possibly be a bit of weak southish energy early next week… guess we’ll see…
Tides: L @0707, H @1419
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 10/15 knots freshening to 15/20 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: E/NE about 1 metre.
Wednesday: Wind: N/NW about 5 knots early, turning N/NE and increasing to 10/15 knots in the afternoon.Sea: to about 1 metre. Swell: East about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: NW/NE 10/20 knots ahead of a late S’ly change 10/20 knots.
A few sweeps of the paddle and you're gliding (slowly) to shore on knee high burbler at kiddies.
More murk folks. And 10-15kts of E to ESE winds too. As foretold by the oracles, the swell’s faded overnight and is now maybe knee to waist high with the odd slightly bigger one – at exposed spots.
General outlook is for much the same conditions to prevail through the day and to hold into tomorrow. In fact it looks from the models as though things may bump along more or less at the same pace (possibly picking up a bit tomorrow afternoon as the NE ramps up).
Hope you like grey skies… weather is going to be more of the same through the weekend apparently. Ah well, at least there should be something vaguely wavelike for the Manly Festival of Surfing.
Speaking of which, yours truly and co-conspirator Shari will be hanging around in our very own tent all day Saturday at the Festival. We’re gonna be waving the flag for RealSurf and Surfrider Northern Beaches, so stop by and say hi. BTW, we plan to have a few RealSurf t-shirts from fundraisers past which we’ll be offering at below cost. I’m also scheming to do a bit of blogging and tweeting (networks willing) through the day.
Tides: H @1016, L @1706 What the Bureau says…
Synoptic Situation
A High lies over the Coral Sea with another High over the Bight. A trough between these systems lies over northern New South Wales and is expected to persist there until about Saturday, with an upper low developing and re-enforcing the surface system. A small low should form offshore late Thursday or Friday morning with this trough, bringing strong east to southeast winds along coasts to its immediate south. The High in the Bight will move east of Bass Strait during Thursday, bringing northeasterly winds to southern parts of the coast.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots, increasing to 15/20 knots.Sea: mostly 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: E/NE 15/20 knotsSea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: SE about 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.
Dull day, but he's having fun between the long waits.
A little group of people on very buoyant equipment actually standing for a moment or two as a little line carried them shoreward at Dee Why. Not bad considering that the average swell height at sea is less than a metre. It’s mainly coming from the east at a windswelly 7 seconds apart. However, the MHL Sydney buoy is also showing some 11 second component. That’s likely to be the reason people are catching anything at all.
I’m with the Goat on the outlook for surf over the next week in our part of the world. It’s dire.
Oh well, we’re getting into the season to catch up on things I guess.
Have yourself a top old day!
...but it was all over two seconds later...
Synoptic Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea drifting slowly east, maintaining generally weak winds along the coast. The next frontal system is expected to reach the coast on Friday with strong winds expected along the coast ahead and behind this system. A high pressure system will dominate through the Tasman from later on Saturday until a low pressure system comes through later on Monday.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning.
Friday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 15/20 knots increasing to 20/30 knots in the afternoon ahead of a W/SW change of similar strength overnight. Sea: rising 2 to 3 metres. Swell: E about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: W/SW 20/30 knots easing to 15/20 knots early and tending W/NW 10/15 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 3 metres abating about 1 metre in the afternoon. Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres tending S/SE.
Sunday: Wind: NW/NE 10/20 knots.
Before the wind gets up, a dedicated rider grabs a few at Dee Why.
Looks as though Huey’s about to re-arrange the furniture. A strong SW change is due to rattle through the place this afternoon and in its wake we should see some change to the micro conditions.
Right now the dominant swell direction is out of the east, but the average period is only 6 seconds, so the best ones are struggling to make knee high at Dee Why.
So, looks like a good day to square a few obligations away as we look forward to seeing what Huey serves up for us in the next few days.
Go well!
Sydney Coastal Waters,Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Gale Warning. Friday until midnight: Wind: NW 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots at times ahead of SW change 25/33 knots in late afternoon, reaching 34/40 at times, chiefly offshore.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres, rising to 3 to 4 metres in the afternoon and evening. Swell: E about 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms near the change. Saturday: Wind: S/SW 25/35 knots easing to 20/25 knots by the evening. .Sea: about 3 metres abating to about 2 metres in the evening.Swell: E/SE 1.5 to 2 metres decreasing. Sunday: Wind: W/SW 10/20 knots, easing.
Pool renovation works are in full swing at Dee Why.
Ultra tiny but you could jag one if you were patient.
Hello Friends,
Last night when I checked the MHL data for Sydney I was stoked to see that some 12 second component in the mix. Might there be something in the surfable range this morning? Well, Huey likes his little jokes and this morning finds the latest run of data showing us back into the 7-8 sec range. The windswell’s still out of the south at a metre.
There were a few bods up the beach from the DY SLSC waiting patiently for something to come in. Sets were not frequent and when they arrived the rides appeared to be very brief (maybe 2-4 sec). Size was around the waist high mark.
Outlook is for conditions to stay like this through the day but overnight the models are showing the period increasing dramatically (to around 15 sec), so with luck, tomorrow will actually see something in the surfable range. My hope is for sets into the chest high plus range.
If the forecast plays out, Friday should be smaller than Thursday but Saturday should be back up a bit.
Have yourself a top old day!
Low tide was at 0735 and high’s at 1416.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: W/SW 13/18 knots, tending SE/NE to 10 knots inshore during the afternoon..Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: S/SW about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: W/SW 8/13 knots tending 13/18 knots offshore overnight.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: S 1 to 1.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: W/SW winds 10/20 knots.
Late last night just before clocking off for the day, I got a surprise when I checked the MHL data for Sydney. The average period had zoomed to 11 sec (from 5 sec at daybreak) and there was some 18 sec peak component as well. So, I thought, contrary to the models, we might actually have something this morning. Sadly, apart from a rather distinct but very small line, there’s nothing really showing at Dee Why this morning. The average period has dropped back to 9 seconds and the swell is still a lowly metre from the south.
We might possibly have something just barely into the catchable range at south spots. But you’ll want a kayak or similar if Dee Why is any sort of guide. The models suggest we might get a little uptick this afternoon, but I can’t see any terribly hopeful signs in the MHL data from down the coast, so I wouldn’t be too hopeful for an improvement until later this afternoon. The Bureau is calling for it to happen, so I hope to be proved too pessimistic.
Long lines but not much else... so far...
However, fun size conditions are not out of the question for tomorrow.
Longer range outlook has improved a bit. It now seems possible that we could get a big system swinging around from the Bight and into the Sydney swell block hole toward the middle of next week.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning.
Thursday until midnight: Wind: W/SW 15/20 knots inshore, 20/25 knots offshore during the morning. Winds increasing to S/SW 20/30 knots during the evening, chiefly offshore.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres, rising to 2 to 3 metres during the evening.Swell: E/NE about 1 metre, increasing to S 1.5 to 2 metres later in the day.
Friday: Wind: S/SW 15/20 knots early, easing to SW/SE 10/15 knots during the morning and 5/10 knots later. Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres abating to about 1 metre. Swell: S/SE about 1,5 metres
Saturday: Wind: NW/NE 5/15 knots increasing to 15/20 knots later.
