Light SSW wind for the early, so surface conditions were comparatively smooth. But the wind’ll swing southerly soon and that, combined with a 0735 high tide, means the 1.5 metres or so of 8 sec SSE wind swell won’t be producing much of interest. If you were out early, before the wind kicked in, there were some waist plus options about, but for the most part it was more like knee to waist and rather weak. Surf outlook isn’t too red hot for the next couple of days but the models are pretty much all showing the energy levels coming back up into the solid range from Tuesday onward. Some of the long range predictions are currently projecting swell through next weekend. So, yowza! Have yourself a top old weekend and rack up those brownie points with family and friends because you just may need them after Tuesday…
Messing about at Gardens 0630
Out in front of the club
Risking fin damage along the rocks
Not super fabulous for the early
Weather Situation A high pressure system south of Western Australia extends a ridge across southern and eastern New South Wales, while a low pressure system slips away to the southeast in the Tasman Sea. A southerly change will stall about central parts of the coast this morning. A high pressure system will become established over the Tasman Sea later in the weekend, turning winds east to southeasterly as it extends a ridge to the northern coast. Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots inshore until mid morning. Seas Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning. 1st Swell Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon. 2nd Swell Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore. Weather Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Sunday 21 February Winds Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Seas 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning. 1st Swell Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres. 2nd Swell Easterly around 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the day. Monday 22 February Winds East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. 1st Swell Southerly around 1 metre. 2nd Swell Easterly around 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower. Please be aware Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Nearby Coastal Waters
The NE’r was making itself felt at 0700, but there were shoulder plus waves to be had if you were in the right spot at the right time. The combo of 9sec 2.4 metre SE and a similar size NE wind swell was providing ample energy. That said, when I checked the Dee Why to Longy stretch, it seemed that people were struggling to get into them and the shut down percentage was very high. As you might expect, it was pretty busy too. The Bureau tells us that the NEr will be 15-25 kts before long. The swell should hang in there, but obviously the options will be narrowing down to just the NE spots. Speaking of which, North Narrabeen looked about the best of the bunch at 0700, but although there was size and power, south Narrabeen was just an unending series of shutdowns. Tomorrow sees the arrival of potentially gale force southerlies and it’ll still be strong but SE on Monday. Looks like this morning is the pick. The week ahead looks kind of so-so. Not horrible and hopeless, but small to marginal across the front half of the week, with a slight uptick toward next weekend. Have yourself a top old Boxing Day one and all!
South Narrabeen was shutdown city at 0700
Northy looking the pick of the bunch at 0700
No Man’s walls into the shoulder plus range at 0710
Long Reef charger at 0710
A high pressure system over the southeastern Tasman Sea with a ridge to the northwest is moving east directing north to northeasterly winds along New South Wales coast. Northerly winds will increase during Saturday ahead of a vigorous southerly change associated with a strong cold front crossing the Tasman Sea developing on the south coast in the afternoon. The change will reach Illawarra Waters Saturday evening, Sydney Waters overnight and the far north coast Sunday afternoon. Winds are expected to gradually ease from the south later on Sunday and during Monday as a high pressure system moves near the Bass Strait extending a ridge to north.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Becoming cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 27 December
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening. Winds may reach up to 35 knots at times in the morning.
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Monday 28 December
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Went shooting on Sunday morning at Dee Why beach. It was just too busy for me to contemplate. Conditions were pretty good, but the shutdown factor was a problem and despite the reasonable 2 metre, 12-sec SE swell, a lot of the waves seemed kinda fat. But not all of them. I saw three broken boards in the 90 minutes or so I was at the beach, so definitely some snap to some of ’em. Anyway, here are a few piccies from the gallery that should be accessible by Monday morning. As always, I was looking for regular surfers having fun, rather than hot shots trying to make surf mag covers. Over 300 from the shooting session that went from around 0930 to 1100. I was shooting folks from about the pole to the point. Go see all the pictures!
Not as big as the beachy, but some fun ones for the healthy crowd at the point
Another fun section for the lucky one of 40-odd in the water
Throwing spray just up the beach from the SLSC
A few bombs in the mix at No Man’s around 1000
Not always makeable, but some pretty fun sections to be had
I envy you if you were able to get in the water this morning. Conditions weren’t all time by any stretch of the imagination, but that said, they weren’t dire either. I’d call it 6/10 for being clean, waist to chest on sets but somewhat flabby thanks to an average period of around 7.5 seconds and a high tide at 0935.
As with yesterday, you’ll need to pick your peak with care because the energy focus tends to be brief.
Swell is supposed to pick up this morning as the wind goes around to the SE and gets up to 15-25kts. The Bureau’s even issued a hazardous surf warning – although there doesn’t seem to be much showing on the buoys for now. Tomorrow’s shaping to be southerly all day, so surf options are likely to be severely limited. Oh, and there’s going to be the odd shower too.
Don’t miss it!
Speaking of tomorrow, I’m hoping all of you have grabbed your tix for what promises to be a huge night at the Diggers for International Surfing Day and Surfrider Foundation. It all gets going at 4pm and your ticket covers off food and drinks. All sorts of famous surfers will be there along with other worthies. Yours truly will be pitching in too, so come up and say hi when you see me. This is Surfrider Foundation’s major fundraiser for the year, so help us continue protecting the waves and beaches we all love so dearly!
Swell’s cogged down another touch since yesterday, so the best early risers could expect were knee to waist high wave faces at magnet spots. Northy was picking up a little, but not the rest of the beach down to Collaroy. There were small, clean mal/SUP-able little lines from Longy to about the SLSC, but the bombies and the point were zippo. The MHL buoy was detecting a shade under a metre of 11-sec ESE swell as of 0500.
Wind is set to stay out of the north to northwest today and tide was high at 0740 with a low coming along at 1350. Swell will likely burble along at the current intensity this morning, but weaken as the period decreases later in the day.
Looking ahead, tomorrow is shaping to be pretty tiny thanks to a small short-period NE windswell.
But from Monday things should go nuts as the anticipated East Coast Low spins up. Swell could be massive but the wind will be howling SE pretty much the whole week. So apart from really protected corners, the main benefit is the potential rearrangement of our ordinary banks.
Batten down the hatches, it could be a wild week along the coast.
Have yourself a top old Saturday!
Quiet at The Gardens
Northy picking up a little swell
No Man’s wave at 0630
Dee Why beach peak
Long Reef cruiser
Weather Situation A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is maintaining a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, while a trough lies over inland NSW. A cold front will reach the South Coast tonight then move a long the remainder of the coast Sunday with strong south to southwest winds extending over southern and central waters. A low pressure system is likely to form off the Mid North Coast on Monday with further strong to gale-force winds along much of the coast and increasing swell. Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the evening. Winds tending northwesterly in the late evening. Seas 1 to 2 metres. Swell Below 0.5 metres, tending east to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending northeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon. Weather Partly cloudy. 60% chance of rain this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening. Sunday 19 April Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast Winds Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the morning. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon. 1st Swell Southeasterly below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. 2nd Swell Northeasterly around 1 metre. Weather Cloudy. 80% chance of rain. Monday 20 April Winds Southerly 25 to 35 knots. Seas 2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the afternoon. Swell Southerly 2 to 4 metres, tending southeasterly 4 metres during the evening. Weather Cloudy. 90% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Caution Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
We have another morning with a little wave activity. It’s south spots only though because the 1.5 metre SSE swell is only about 8 seconds apart on average, so it’s pretty directional. Places not optimally positioned will be tiny to flat (looking at you Collaroy), or only marginal (say hi to Gardens and Northy). Wind was light and offshore for the early and skies were pretty much clear from horizon to horizon. Next tide’s a high at 0915. Low will be along at 1530.
According to the Bureau, the wind will become variable around lunch time and the swell should could come up a touch more. That sounds like a recipe for waves of some sort pretty much all day – at south spots.
Sunday looks like going steadily smaller and more marginal as the little south pulse subsides across the day. Wind should be okay though.
A little shout out to you weekend warriors: we’re almost to the halfway point in our crowdfunding campaign and we’ve still got quite a bit to raise. How ’bout you make your pledge today? 🙂
Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Saturday 21 September 2013. Weather Situation A high currently centred over western NSW will drift slowly east with winds becoming light during the weekend for most of the coast. Winds will turn northerly at the start of the new week as the high shifts to the Tasman Sea, increasing ahead of troughs during Tuesday and Wednesday. Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning. Swell Easterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1.5 metres during the morning. Sunday 22 September Winds Variable about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning. Monday 23 September Winds North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening. Swell South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weekend warriors weren’t put off by the somewhat junky conditions mid-morning at No Mans and Long Reef on Sunday 29 August. Sets were into the shoulder high range and there were lots of people having a go. I set up just south of the Dee Why lagoon entrance and grabbed a few shots of people catching the softish but occasionally fun waves on offer before the wind became too much.