Articles tagged with "S-1.5m-6s"

Sticky: Southerly and small

Posted by: on October 7th, 2013

0630 situation
Hello Friends,
Had to be on deck early for a stint on 702 ABC with Simon Marnie, so grabbed a snap of the beach as soon as there was enough light. Wind is blowing pretty steadily from the SSW at 15-20 kts and the 1.5 metre swell is coming from the SSW at just 6 seconds apart. The consequence is as you see from the pic, namely where there’s enough exposure, a small knee to waist high line is showing, but the better the exposure, the stronger the wind.

According to the Bureau, the wind will gradually go around to the SE by late in the day and while it’ll back off a little, it won’t be much. Looking at the Meteye page, it seems as though we might possibly have a few options at the semi-protected south corners around midday when the lower tide and slight change in swell direction could possibly deliver a modest improvement on the present paltry offering.

Not much on offer in this morning’s swell forecasts models. If they have it right, we’ll be scratching for a scraps until Friday at the earliest, when we might get another short-lived south pulse (and wind).

Another good week for working coming up it would seem.

Before I go, I just wanted to acknowledge all you fine folk who’ve pledged toward the crowdfunding goal. We’re getting within sight of the target now. As you can’t have failed to notice, the page is surrounded by Perfect Waves now. That’s because in addition to their continuing ad support, they’re going to kick in a serious pledge as well. So, here’s a thought for all of you folks who’ve been meaning to get around to it, why not make today the day that you add your pledge to the mix?

Have yourself a great Monday and go well with your plans.

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Monday 7 October 2013.
Weather Situation
A gusty southerly change is moving along New South Wales far south coast and it is expected to reach the central coast later in the evening and the far north coast on Monday morning. Behind the change a high pressure pressure ridge will develop over the Tasman Sea on Tuesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Monday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots late in the day/evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Tuesday 8 October
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Wednesday 9 October
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.

Grey skies, grey seas, little grey waves

Posted by: on December 27th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Not exactly firing on all cylinders this morning in the old Sydney. We have a steady southerly of around 10-15kts and gloomy grey skies dancing accompaniment to a turgid waist high south wind swell with a power setting of just 6 seconds. Not too red hot it has to be said. But there are a few tough guys in the water challenging their immune systems and amping on the odd catchable lump. The peak intensity is of course to be found at the most exposed spots, but that’s where the wind’s freshest too. Such keeness! An inspiring sight to be sure.

Outlook is for the southerly to pretty much go all day but then to slack off overnight and swing around to the NE for tomorrow morning when – if luck is with us – the little south swell will still be around.

Long range outlook is pretty much par for the summer course. There’s energy in the southern ocean, but the highs keep deflecting it away from the east coast swell window. This morning’s run of the models is pretty downbeat for the next week, so here’s hoping something comes along soon to change the outlook. With luck it won’t fade back to complete and utter flatness, but I don’t think you can be too hopeful of seeing much quality in the Sydney region for another 7 days at least.

Oh well, Huey will return – as he always does.

Have yourself a top old day!

 

 

Weather Situation
A trough brings a southerly change to northern parts of the New South Wales coast today, with conditions easing by Tuesday as the next high moves over the region from the west. Next southerly change may affect NSW coast on Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds: Southerly 20 to 30 knots. Seas: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: Northeast to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northerly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly up to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.

Sticky: Yep, pretty much still in a holding pattern

Posted by: on December 17th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Cloudy with isolated showers this morning but it should clear up a bit as the day goes along. Meanwhile, out at sea off Sydney, the MHL buoy is recording almost two metres of straight south wind swell at about 6 seconds apart. Nothing like two metres showing at the beaches from Narrabeen to Dee Why. Faces of a metre on the bombs if you’re lucky.  The good news as the Goat noted yesterday is that the water temp is going up. The latest reading shows it sitting at a positively summery 21 C offshore. The inshore temp will likely be different, but there’s no way a four degree increase in as many days can’t be a good thing!

If you’re very keen, I’d be heading to my favourite south swell magnet and waiting very patiently on my most floaty surf tool.

Tide was high at 0500, the low will be at 1130 and then on to the last high of the day at 1710.

I’m with the Goat on the outlook for this weekend. The latest run of the models is suggesting that today is probably about as good as it gets until the 21st or thereabouts when the models are still showing an interesting south bump of a day or two’s duration. As usual, as we’ve come closer to the day, the forecast models have toned down their estimates of the wave size. This morning the super computers reckon we’ll have a two to two and a bit metres of 10 sec south swell from overnight Monday into maybe Wednesday morning or even, if we’re real lucky

Go well with your day, and stay happy.

Weather Situation

A low pressure trough remains over the northern coast although weakening. A deep low to the south of Tasmania is expected to bring a westerly change to much of the coast by early Saturday, increasing on Sunday ahead of a cold front.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming light around midday then tending north to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: West to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.

Sticky: What’s with the gloomy skies?

Posted by: on October 19th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Your correspondent is just emerging from jetlag land, so apologies in advance. Came in yesterday morning to a beautiful, if cool spring day with some small but surfable south swell. And then this morning rolls around… all heavy grey clouds, showers and SE wind. What’s worse is that the metre plus of SSE swell has weakened from an average period of nearly 10 seconds yesterday afternoon, to a ghastly and gutless 6-7 seconds this morning. Blergh!

Some of the models are calling for a very brief (less that 12 hours) south pulse to hit us later today, but looking at the energy levels reporting in from the buoys off to the south of Sydney, I can’t see any evidence of it. And, since the wind is set to stay se to southerly all day, you’d have to be pretty hopeful to think you might score something later. After three weeks of southern California microness, I’m hanging out for something surfable, but, sadly, I can’t see anything much in our immediate future. Just more spring dolodrums.

About the best near term hope for Sydney surfers could be tomorrow morning when the greyness should lift and the winds could back off enough to leave us some possibly catchable little items at south facing spots.

It’s great to be back home once more and though it’s not too inspiring right now, by the end of Tuesday, we’ll be a day closer to when Huey next slings us something fun! Go well.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near the Bight is slowly moving east extending a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea.A weak cold front will move across the southern Tasman Sea during Tuesday bringing a south to southwest change along the New South Wales coast. The high is expected to move over the western Tasman Sea on Wednesday and then to move slowly towards New Zealand.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds: Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots around midday. Winds increasing to east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Thursday

Winds: North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then increasing to 10 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.

The gloomy old gloom back again

Posted by: on January 27th, 2010

Hello Friends,

10-15 kts of southerly, slate grey skies and choppy seas with no visible swell. What can ya say? Not happening this morning in Sydney. When will it change? Hmmm…

…well, not today, that’s for sure. The wind will stay onshore and the weak 6 sec period southerly windswell is highly unlikely to bump up today.

From the latest run of the swell models, it would seem that Sydney will be just about flat for at least the next three days. But then the data starts to look a bit more hopeful.

If things unfold the way the forecast supercomputer is currently calculating, we could see the development of a broad easterly swell front hitting the coast from around Sunday onward. Indeed, at the outer extremity of the predicitions a very long fetch is shown developing from well to the NE of NZ and into the Tasman Sea. If this happens, we should see some pretty solid east swell for early next week.

Good to see something hopeful like that on the cards…

Have yourself a top old day and keep on smilin’!

Tides: H @0815, L @1310
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: S 15/20 knots, easing to E/SE 10/15 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: NE/SE about 1 metre. Possible thunderstorms.
Thursday: Wind: Variable 5/10 knots, becoming SE/NE 10/15 knots. Sea: to 1 metre. Swell: SE 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: Variable 5/10 knots, becoming S/SE 10/20 knots.

Grey again, but getting hot

Posted by: on December 8th, 2009
The scene of many a triumph is currently on standby.

The scene of many a triumph is currently on standby.

 

Hello Friends,

We’re in for a hot one today but it doesn’t look as though Huey will be supplying much in the way of diversions for refugees from the heat.

The problem is that we only have about 1.5 metres of 6 sec period south windswell. So, even if you’re at a beach with straight south exposure, you’ll be doing very well to find anything much above waist high. Anywhere else and you’re looking at swimming and snorkeling.

We’re due for a late southerly change which should give us an increase in wave energy by tomorrow morning. Unfortunately, it promises to be blowing pretty hard from the south as well. The period is likely to be pretty short, so I wouldn’t expect to see too much getting into the protected south corners. By tomorrow afternoon, the wind is set to drop a bit and swing around to the more easterly quarters. Not helpful Huey. Sounds like a recipe for junky conditions to me.

No real sign of much beyond knee to waist high windswell for the next week. However, as always, Huey will have the last word!

Go well with your day and stay happy.

H @1251, [email protected] 1933
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: SW/SE 10/15 knots at first, becoming N/NE 15/20 knots late morning, then increasing to 20/30 knots ahead of a S change 25/33 knots early evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres at first, rising to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon, reaching 3.5 metres later with the change.Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres. Chance afternoon thunderstorms.
Wednesday: Wind: S 20/30 knots at first, easing in the morning then becoming SE/NE 15/20 knots in the afternoon/evening.Sea: 2 to 3 metres, abating to 1 to 2 metres later. Swell: NE/SE 1 to 2 metres.
Thursday: Wind: N/NE 15/25 knots.

[starratingmulti id=1 tpl=12]

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin