Saturday kicked off with light winds, clear skies and a couple of metres of 10-sec south swell showing on the MHL buoy off Sydney. High tide was at 0500 and low at 1050. Around the beaches this morning it was lined up and shutting down from Northy to Collaroy. You coulda had it to yourself. The Longy to Dee Why stretch was producing waist to shoulder-head wave faces. The point was at the bottom end of the range and way more inconsistent than the beach. Pretty lined up, but there were definitely a few quick and fun looking sections if you were in the spot. Longy inside bombies were doing the usual whack-a-mole thing with no two waves breaking in the same place. Keeps the crowd spread out I guess. Looks like there should be waves all day and again tomorrow when the Bureau has hoisted a deceptively powerful surf warning. And next week is shaping to be pretty close to the Goat’s call. Have yourself a great day one and all!
No one at Northy
No one at Southy
Plausible little shutdowns at sth Narrabeen
Little runner along the beach at DY
Sorta fat but do-able at No Man’s
Trimming right next to the rocks at the point this morning
Near the lugga this morning at 0635
No takers at White rock
All over the place but pockets of power at Long Reef
One turn wonder wave at Longy this morning
. . . . . . . . . . .
A high pressure system moving over southeast Australia is expected to be the dominant synoptic feature for the next few days, blocking the progress of approaching cold fronts. As cold fronts skim the south of the state, a vigorous west to southwesterly flow will persist across far southern New South Wales waters early this morning. The next significant frontal system to impact New South Wales is expected early next week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Below 1 metre.
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Sunday 31 July
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning and early afternoon. Turning west to southwesterly in the afternoon.
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 1 August
West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell perked up yesterday afternoon and this morning sees very fun looking conditions thanks to 2 metres of 10-sec period south swell. The beach was more consistent and bigger than the point, with average sets looking to be in the chest plus range, while at the point, waist high plus would be closer to the mark.
Wind was light SW when I checked for the first time this morning. The Bureau says it’ll be SW 10-15 kts later before becoming light and variable this afternoon.
Next tide is a high 1410.
The good news is that the forecasts are calling for favourable winds for the early over the next three days. And Saturday is still looking like being the peak day as swell ramps into (potentially) double plus overhead range. Should be waves for Sunday as well.
Pretty good for spring time!
Go well with your Thursday and stay happy!
Through the trees, DY beach
Typical set wave at 0630
Long waits for small waves
A high pressure system south of the Bight is extending a ridge into western New South Wales in the wake of a cold front, and will gradually drift east during the next few days. During Thursday and Friday a trough is forecast to affect central and northern parts of the coast as another cold front passes to the south. At the same time, a deep low well south of Tasmania will start to generate a swell which is likely to reach the New South Wales coast at the end of the week. By Saturday, the high is expected to reach the Tasman Sea, bringing a return to generally northerly winds for the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Friday 3 October
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting east to northeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Around 1 metre.
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 4 October
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly during the evening.
At 0600 the MHL buoy was showing close to 2 metres of south swell at just under 10 seconds. A couple of hours later this was translating into chest to shoulder plus set wave faces up the beach at Dee Why. The swell appeared to be missing the point though (no one in the water, no obvious sets). Not super crowded either and there should be waves at lots of south swell spots.
Wind was light and SW and should pick up into the 15-20kt range later, while the swell is predicted to increase during the morning.
Tide is low at 0940 and back to high at 1610. It should be sunny all day.
Gotta run, so have yourself a top day and check back later because I may get a few more pics.
Bit of a wait, but fun ones around
No punters, no waves
A complex low pressure system with multiple centres is situated over the southern Tasman Sea, while a high is centred to the south of Adelaide. Between these systems, a vigorous south to southwesterly airstream will affect the New south Wales coast today. Winds are expected to gradually ease as the low moves away and loses influence, although a decent southerly swell will linger in its wake. During the next few days the high is forecast to become the dominant feature in the region as it drifts slowly east, extending a ridge along the New South Wales coast from Friday onwards and promoting a return to a lighter wind regime.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly in the afternoon.
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Friday 19 September
Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
1 to 1.5 metres.
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Saturday 20 September
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
If the breeze is coming from the southerly quarters in the early morning hours – and there’s swell – you can hear all the way up the valley to RealSurf HQ on Collaroy Plateau. I could hear it this morning, so I’m not surprised to be telling you that we have some south energy. Early risers beat the incoming tide to get the odd shoulder high set along the beach at Dee Why. There wasn’t much wind early, but as the tide comes in to the high at 0940 the Bureau tells us to expect up to 20kts of southerly at exposed locations. However, it’s then supposed to become variable in the afternoon before going NE in the evening – as the swell fades back.
Looks like a fun one coming up.
Outlook is for the wind to turn offshore tomorrow and for the swell to still be around, albeit at around a metre. Saturday looks smaller again, but the predictions of a solid pulse arriving Sunday are still showing on the various models. Timing is the question as always and there it looks like the betting is running toward late Sunday with the main intensity hitting on Monday. Predictions are all saying dead south, with swell size estimates ranging from about a metre from Sun lunch to a peak on Monday morning of up to 3.5 metres. It looks as though periods will be in the 10-12 second range, so if the high end estimates are right, we’re looking at shoulder to head plus by close of play Sunday, and double-overhead on Monday. Tuesday shapes as being smaller as the swell rolls off to small for Weds.
More pics for you later! Have a good one! Taken between 0845-0900
Curly fun @0950
Taken at 0730
Since there’s no one at the point, it must be a total fluke…
0735 clean one for kneelo
Like the size, hate the closeout at 0735
Weather Situation A weak ridge of high pressure has developed across New South Wales in the wake of a cold front which affected the region yesterday. The presence of this ridge will be short-lived, however, as the next frontal system is rapidly approaching from the Southern Ocean. This system is expected to reach western parts of the state early Friday, with a complex low developing on the front as it approaches the southern coast later Friday. Vigorous winds are likely to affect most of the coast through the weekend as the deepening low gradually moves away to the east. Forecast for Thursday until midnight Winds Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots early in the morning, becoming variable about 10 knots in the afternoon then northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Seas 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning. Swell Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening. Friday 2 May Winds Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the morning. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell Southerly around 1 metre. Saturday 3 May Winds Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending westerly 30 to 35 knots during the day. Seas 1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the morning. Swell South to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening. Weather Isolated thunderstorms offshore in the afternoon and evening.
Wind was working it over pretty thoroughly as the day got started in Sydney. We had a couple of metres of 10 sec period south swell, so had the conditions been better, you’d have found a wave. But instead, it’s trashed and unappetizing in the extreme.
Weirdly, the wind is WSW down in the Illawarra and up along the Macquarie coast. So, it’s just Sydney suffering from the blahs.
Swell energy is set to fade over the next 24 hours and tomorrow looks to be onshore again – although maybe it’ll be light enough for the early to contemplate water time. By Friday we’re supposed to be back to standard NE conditions, so again, perhaps there’ll be something…
The long range models have gone all quiet on us again. No big systems brewing up for us from the look of things.
Ah well, we’re another day closer to the magic months of autumn and early winter…
Keep on smilin’!
Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Wednesday 8 January 2014. Weather Situation A high pressure system centred near Tasmania extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast, while a low pressure trough deepens over the state’s west. The high will move slowly eastwards during the next few days, weakening on the weekend as it drifts across the Tasman Sea. This will allow the next trough and cold front from the Southern Ocean to pass across southeastern Australia. Forecast for Wednesday until midnight Winds Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres. Thursday 9 January Winds East to southeasterly about 10 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by evening. Friday 10 January Winds Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Had a quick look around before 0700 and I can report the 2 metre 10 sec period south swell is still rolling in to the south magnets. Dee Why seemed to be not quite as consistent as yesterday arvo, but the size looked to be similar – ie, shoulder to head high on the bigger sets. Around at the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch, there were waves from about Wetherill Street north to the end of the beach. As with Dee Why, there were already a fair number of surfers in the water before 0730. Sets were smaller at Colla-Narra, but there would be a few in the chest high range and there seemed to be lots and lots of peaks.
Swell should push along at roughly the current size all day. And the wind will play nice too at most places because it’s set to continue out of the SW.
Outlook is for the energy to be with us through to about Tuesday morning, so get out and have fun. BTW, I’m planning to get out and about with the camera today, so wave hi if ya see me, and remember, if I’m shooting and you get a wave, well chances are I’ll catch your stylings!
Tides: Low @0815 High @1435
Weather Situation A low pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea is associated with fresh to strong southwesterly winds over the southern and central NSW coasts today. The low is expected to move slowly east during the next couple of days, maintaining a southwesterly airstream over NSW coast with strong winds persisting in the far south. Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell Southerly 2 metres. Sunday 19 May Winds West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell Southerly 2 metres. Monday 20 May Winds Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 10 to 15 knots during the evening. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning. Swell Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Used the excuse of needing to test the new Olympus TG-810 tough waterproof camera to jump in at Dee Why point this morning before the clouds came over. When I pulled up there were some nice solid looking lines coming in. I thought I might be a bit under-gunned by the end of the session due to the forecast dramatic swell increase. At that stage the MHL Sydney buoy was showing more than 2 metres of 10-12 sec south swell.
But it all changed when I got in the water.
Maybe it was the SW wind, maybe it was just Huey being contrary, but whatever the explanation, the swell immediately began to back off. The sets weren’t as big and the lulls were getting longer. By the time I gave up on it an hour and half later, the crowd had dropped from a dozen to only two or three and nothing over waist high had turned up in the previous half hour. Still, I managed to jag a few waves and a few snaps while I was about it.
As I changed in the carpark, the sky began to cloud over per the BoM’s prediction.
By 1400 the ocean was a mass of white horses, the swell was a dribbly looking metre or so at Dee Why and the MHL buoy was showing 2 metres of 8-11 sec south swell. Very disappointing. I’d hoped we might get something quite a bit better than that…
That’s odd. The MHL Sydney buoy was showing a couple metres of south swell at 10 seconds apart. But sets at Dee Why were struggling to reach the chest high mark. We have a 1.5 m high tide at around 0900, so that’s obviously a factor, but I would’ve thought it’d be a bit more obvious. Surfer proposes, Huey disposes I guess.
Wind should be good for the exposed south spots this morning, but it is set to go around to the SE later on. At the same time the swell pulse showing on the buoy is due to fade. So, it’s a case of go early for the best shot.
Absent the Goat’s thoughts, my take on the outlook for tomorrow is that it’s shaping up to be a grey and south east sort of day. Swell forecast has it still being small early, but then as the day goes along, the wind should bring in some more size from the south. However, the models reckon the average period could be in the 8-9 sec range, so the protected south corners may not be all that special. Figure kinda messy, kinda weak and waist to chest high plus…
Anyway, have yourself a fabulous Friday!
TIDES: H @0900 L @1515
Weather Situation A trough of low pressure extends through northeastern New South Wales, resulting in unsettled conditions there. A cold front is expected to affect the coast on Friday. A high pressure system south of the Bight is expected to move east in the wake of the front and should be centred near Tasmania Saturday night before moving to the Tasman Sea on Sunday, and remaining there for several days.
Forecast for Friday until midnight Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre late this evening.
Forecast for Saturday Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly about 1 metre increasing to 2 metres in the afternoon and evening.
Forecast for Sunday Winds: Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.
Saturday morning saw a couple metres of south swell with a period of about 10 seconds lighting up beaches around Sydney. South Narrabeen was looking tasty early with offshore conditions. I ended up shooting until the wind started to hack it up at mid-morning. As always, I tried to get shots of anyone who caught a wave – and to make them look good doing it! And as usual, all pic sales go to my lens and camera upgrade fund – so I can take even better pictures in future!