Articles tagged with "S-2m-8/9s"

Sticky: Dribbly morning

Posted by: on October 22nd, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

The southerly hadn’t kicked in when I first looked at the ocean around 0700. But it should be along soon and we’ll be looking at 25-33 kts. We’re set to have a bit of rain later too. Swell was looking pretty feeble at Dee Why. It’s a couple metres from the south, but the average period is around 8 seconds, so the people in the water at Dee Why were struggling to get into knee to waist high sets. From the shape of the forecast, we’re not in for much of interest tomorrow, but maybe on Wednesday we’ll see a SE swell-NE window combo worth the effort.

Outlook for later in the week is more stuff in the so-so category, but there should be at least a little something in the mornings if you’re keen enough.

Have yourself a top old Monday!

TIDES: L @0720, H @1350

Weather Situation
A cold front from the Southern Ocean will pass over New South Wales during Monday, ahead of a high pressure system to be established over the state by Tuesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 25 to 33 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning then increasing to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 23 October
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots turning east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning then decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.
Wednesday 24 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres tending easterly 1.5 metres during the evening.

Dial in modest expectations and it should work out

Posted by: on September 25th, 2012


Hello Friends,
Light WNW winds are making Dee Why a little choppy, but there are small mal-able waves thanks to a couple metres at 8 seconds. Tide was high around 0420 and will be low at 1000. Possibility of a few showers about apparently, but as I tap this out there doesn’t seem to be an immediate prospect of any precipitation around the Northern Beaches.

The call from the Bureau is for the wind to go around to the NE but to stay in the seabreeze 10-15kt range this afternoon. If the swell forecast is right, the current waist to chest sets should still be in evidence.

I’m not too impressed with this morning’s swell outlook though. Really looking as though we’ll be lucky to have much of anything for the middle of the week, and only a marginal improvement in prospect for next weekend along the east coast.

So it goes for springtime, eh?

Keep on smilin’ and go well with your Tuesday!

Weather Situation
A high will develop off the NSW coast on Tuesday in a wake of the recent trough and direct south to southeasterly winds across the state. A weak trough will affect southwestern NSW on Wednesday and Thursday, before a stronger cold front sweeps across the state on Friday and Saturday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.
Wednesday 26 September
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.
Thursday 27 September
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots turning northerly 25 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.

Sticky: Here we go…

Posted by: on May 5th, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

The swell has begun to fill in this morning. At 0630 it was starting to light up numerous peaks along the North Narrabeen to Collaroy stretch and it was making itself felt from No Man’s to Dee Why point as well. But there will be waves everywhere in Sydney this morning.

Wind was picking up from the SW as per the forecast and the swell seemed to me to still be fairly inconsistent. There were lots of nice looking lines, but folk were sitting out the back at many places and that tells me that there are a few bigger ones in the mix – but that they aren’t all that frequent – yet.

Primary swell direction was dead south according to the MHL data this morning. Average size at sea is around the 2 metre mark and average period is a touch over 8 seconds. Wind is set to go southerly and pick up this morning before going SW later. At first light it was out of the WNW, so the early risers may well have the best of the surface conditions.

Swell should build slowly over the next 24 hours as we get a mix of east and south swell coming in. I’m expecting head high plus regularly tonight and overhead to 1.5x overhead on sets tomorrow and Monday – with the odd bomb bigger than that at optimally exposed locations.

Seeya out there!

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning and turning southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Sunday 6 May

Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing below 1.5 metres around dawn.
1st Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Monday 7 May

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Tide’s high at 07110 and low at 1310.

Sticky: Small bumps sighted

Posted by: on October 18th, 2011

Hello Friends,

A small number of early risers were flopping around in the small and weak but glassy conditions at Dee Why beach this morning. Swell is out of the south. It’s around 2 metres at sea with an average period of around 8 seconds. What that means is that every now and then you get a set into the waist high range. It’s an improvement over the last week or so, but only just barely.

If you’ve got a hole in the schedule, your best plan pretty obviously is to head for your favourite south swell magnet. That short period means we can’t expect much refraction (as evidenced by the little things at the point), so a good, dead south exposure is the best bet.

Wind is currently light and offshore but the Bureau says we’ll have a E to NE breeze later.

Surf outlook is marginal for as far ahead as the models project. There’s activity in the southern ocean, but frustratingly it is being directed away from our swell window by a succession of high pressure systems. Your best hope is to head for west exposed locations in Vicco or to Margaret River et al. Might be something fun on the NW coast of NZ’s north island.

Keep on smilin’!

TIDES: H @1145, L @1840

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies just off the southern NSW coast and is expected to remain over the Tasman Sea until at least Saturday. A southerly change will affect southern and central parts of the coast Friday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to northeasterly at 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre rising to 1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 19 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northerly around dawn then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds increasing to north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Thursday 20 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing up to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

 

 

 

Sticky: Sunny Sunday with a little swell in the morning

Posted by: on April 3rd, 2011

Hello Friends,

Well, that’s nice. The swell’s gone south, bumped up to two metres and picked up a little more energy. The models show it weakening a tiny bit later, but the wind is supposed to be light until close of play. It could be a fun day to sit around and wait for a little something to come your way. At Dee Why the sets were in the chest high range at around 0830 and the crowd was pretty much what you’d expect for a beautiful, mild and sunny Sunday morning. Wherever you find a wave today, you won’t be Robinson Crusoe. So head off to your favourite south swell spot and get in the water!

I’ll try to file an update later today. I’m toying with the idea of doing a little shooting as well, so if you happen to see me down there, say hi.

 

TIDES: H @0800, L @1400

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system south of the Bight is extending a along the New South Wales coast. The high is expected to move very slowly east over the next few days maintaining the ridge to the north coast.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Monday

Winds: Southerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the morning. Seas: to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly 2 to 3 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: to 2 metres. Swell: Southerly 2 metres.

 

 

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin