Articles tagged with "S-3m-8s"

Better get in ahead of the wind

Posted by: on July 22nd, 2012

Hello Friends, Swell has tidied up a little overnight, but it’s still pretty lumpy and bumpy looking as of 0730. The problem is that the Bureau tells us we can expect the wind to be 20-25 kts from the south today and to be around to the SE this evening. It looks from their forecast as though we should start to see cleaner conditions from Tuesday afternoon with the swell still sticking around in the shoulder to head high range. Swell is out of the south at 8 seconds apart with an average height at sea of 3 metres. That ought to translate into chest to a bit overhead at those semi-exposed where the chop isn’t too ridiculous. Have yourself a great Sunday everybody. H @1020, L @1605

Weather Situation A slow-moving low is situated over northern Tasman Sea, while a strengthening high near Adelaide extends a ridge to the east. Between these systems, a vigorous southerly airstream is affecting much of the New South Wales coast. Winds will ease from the south during the next few days as the high drifts slowly overhead. Forecast for Sunday until midnight Winds Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening. Seas 2 metres. Swell Southeasterly 2 metres. Monday 23 July Winds South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 2 metres. Swell Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres. Tuesday 24 July Winds Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southeasterly 2 metres.

Sticky: Gloomy Saturday morning

Posted by: on July 21st, 2012


Hello Friends,

A great morning to have stayed in bed. When I first checked it before 0700, there were intermittent showers, lowering skies and the ocean was a mass of white horses from the horizon to the beach at Dee Why. Swell had jumped from under 2 metres to over three during the night hours, but with an average period of less than 8 seconds and a southerly direction it was looking unlikely to make it into the really protected corners with any substantial size. There were a few catchable ones getting into the point for the hardy specimens on ’em. Inshore the wind was still SW, so it wasn’t as beat up as I’d expect it to be later when the wind settles into the southerly direction.

From the buoy data, it is clear that the brunt of the energy is hitting well north of us. Coffs and Byron buoys are showing 4 metres at around 10 seconds, so I should imagine places such as Arrawarra and the Pass will be firing up.

But here in Sydney, well, you’ll need to be keener than a really keen person to brave the icy wind for the stormy offerings Huey’s set before us.

The southerly is set to ease gradually over the next 2-3 days, and this morning’s swell model interpretations are generally agreeing that Sydney should have some better quality wave options by Tues-Weds. The average period is forecast to get into the 10 second range tomorrow, so the really protected south corners may look a little better.

TIDES: H @0940, L @1620

Weather Situation

A slow-moving low is situated over the central Tasman Sea, while a strengthening high near Adelaide extends a ridge to the east. Between these systems, a vigorous southerly airstream is affecting much of the New South Wales coast. Winds will ease from the south during the next few days as the high drifts slowly overhead.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots inshore at first. Elsewhere southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.

Sunday 22 July

Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.

Monday 23 July

Winds

South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.

Seas

1 to 2 metres.

Swell

Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres.

Wintry morning

Posted by: on April 10th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Waist high waves were on offer for early risers at Dee Why this morning. And Sydney style cold too. Wind was out of the SW to WSW, so the surface conditions looked pretty good. Tide was low at 0500 and will hit the high at 1100. This morning’s marine forecast tells us that the wind should let up slightly as the day goes along. But it’s not going to glass off.

Surf outlook isn’t too special. Along with another three days of southerly winds, it looks from this morning’s swell forecast modelling efforts as though it won’t get much above waist high. It looks to me as though a strong high will be deflecting away the bulk of any swell coming out of the southern ocean.

Have yourself a top old day!

Weather Situation
A cold front crossed the southern and central coast yesterday and overnight and will move along the northern NSW coast this morning with a strong southerly change associated. Winds will remain vigorous southerly along the whole coast today as a strong high south of the Bight extends a ridge to western NSW. The high will move slowly east over the next few days with winds gradually easing along the NSW coast.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots, easing to 20 to 30 knots later.
Seas
3 to 4 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms this morning.
Wednesday 11 April
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Thursday 12 April
Winds
Southerly 10 to 20 knots decreasing to variable below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.

Sticky: How cold was it this morning?

Posted by: on July 22nd, 2010

Hello Friends,

7 degrees at 0800 said the radio. Add in a steady westerly and it feels even colder. The bitter conditions haven’t put people off getting in the water at Dee Why point. Those tough customers are scoring the odd fun if not too powerful looking set waves for their trouble.

Swell at sea has jumped up to 3 metres. It still coming from the south and the average period is around the 8 second mark. According to the MHL data, the Sydney region seems to be getting the best of the available energy. With luck the models will be right and the swell will push up a touch more through tomorrow. But it looks like the wind is set to be southerly with it, so that in itself will limit the number of options.

The latest long range outlook is showing a gradual decline toward small to flat for the Sydney region as we head into next week. That pesky high over the continent is sitting down pretty low and it’s deflecting the southern ocean swell makers away from the east coast’s swell window. Worse, it looks as though the high is going to move over the lower Tasman sea in the next few days. Not a good thing for our prospects over the next 7-10 days sadly. Hope I’m wrong…

Go well with your day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: Southerly 20 to 25 knots.Sea: 2 metres.Swell: Southerly 2 metres.
Friday: Wind: Southerly 10 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots around dawn then increasing to 10 to 20 knots during the morning. Winds 10 to 15 knots around midday.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres.
Saturday: Wind: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the evening.

Sticky: Blustery morning in Sydney

Posted by: on March 11th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Not too flash out there this morning. SSE wind is pushing along at a surf destroying 20-30 knots. The outlook is for it to slack off this afternoon and to go more SE, so who knows, maybe some of the south corners will come into play. But you’d have to say it’s not exactly looking like being all time. Swell at sea off Sydney is averaging around the 3 metre mark from the south. It’s coming in at around 8 seconds apart, so there isn’t a lot of power. Waves are messy and unattractive – to put it mildly – and as a consequence, I wasn’t surprised not to see anyone in the water.

I’m intrigued to see the Eden buoy showing an average period of around 11 seconds. There’s no guarantee we’ll see that make its way this far north, but the latest run of the wave forecast models is calling for our average period to jump into a similar range this afternoon. Should that happen, we might get a little more energy getting into the corners.

The Bureau says we’re set to have SE wind into Saturday, so the best hope for a wave will probably be the early (when the tide, sadly, is full).

Ah well, Huey will come to the party eventually, so keep on smilin’ and go well with today’s adventures.

 

 

 

TIDES: H @0620, L @1300
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Thursday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 20/30 knots, easing to SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon. Sea: 2 to 3 metres, abating to 1.5 to 2 metres in the afternoon. Swell: S increasing to 2 to 3 metres.
Friday: Wind: S/SE 15/20 knots. Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: S/SE 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Saturday: Wind: SE 10/20 knots.

Afternoon update: you didn’t miss much

Posted by: on July 17th, 2009

Hello Friends,

Had a look at Curly and Dee Why a little after 4pm. Not great it has to be said, although there were sort of waves if you were keen. I’d call it 4 out of 10. The latest MHL data shows that the swell is still dead south. Average size is creeping toward the three metre mark, but the period is a fairly anemic 8 seconds. At Curly the biggest sets were maybe head high on take off, but they were pretty soft and weak looking to me. Not many people in the water, but then again it’s been chilly all day and it was cloudy and breezy when I checked it.

Over the hill at Dee Why the average size was smaller – maybe chest high on the biggest ones. Mostly though they’re more in the waist high range. It was more protected from the wind, but just as cold of course.

I’d expect the waves to stick around at roughly this size through tomorrow morning. One of the forecast models is calling for the average period to increase by a couple seconds or so. It if does, then the distinctly ordinary options of this afternoon could be replaced by something more tempting for Saturday morning.

Here’s the Bureau’s call:

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: S/SW 20/25 knots, easing to 15/20 knots in the evening.Sea: 2 to 3 metres, abating to 1 to 2 metres later.Swell: S/SE increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Isolated early thunderstorms.
Saturday: Wind: S/SW 10/15 knots, tending N/NW 8/13 knots in the afternoon/evening. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres, abating to less than 1 metre later. Swell: S/SE 1 to 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: W/NW 10/15 knots.
Monday: Wind: NW 10/20 knots.

Not terribly exciting, nor terribly crowded late this afternoon.

Not terribly exciting, nor terribly crowded late this afternoon.

Nevermind, that'll buff right out...

Nevermind, that'll buff right out...

One of the bigger ones at mid Curly late this afternoon.

One of the bigger ones at mid Curly late this afternoon.

Gardens on high tide

Posted by: on July 7th, 2009

Stopped by south Narra to see how it was faring at around 0830. Skies were mostly heavily overcast, but there were some photographically interesting patches of light on the sea. Naturally I had the camera with me, so I grabbed a few shots to share.

The surf conditions were clean, but the tide was just on high so they were mostly floppy and hard to get into for the crew of two or three in the water. Wind was okay as well, but at that point it was still out of the SW. Once it comes more around to the predicted S-SE those smooth faces will probably be a lot less so. However, the Bureau does say the wind should back off a little in the afternoon.

Swell is due to stick around at about the present size, but the period is still averaging a less than amazing 8 seconds – with some 10sec component.

Have yourself a top old day.

Hunting sections at high tide Gardens.

Hunting sections at high tide Gardens.

Silvery sea and surfer at Gardens.

Silvery sea and surfer at Gardens.

Gull running before a Gardens shutdown.

Gull running before a Gardens shutdown.

Afternoon update: southerly well into it, but…

Posted by: on April 4th, 2009

A little afternoon update from the wheelhouse. Climbed up into the crow’s nest to see how things were shaking down at Dee Why around 4pm. Did not look a picture I have to say. The wind was out of the SE at about 20 kts and while that means it has dropped back a bit, the chop was pretty bad right into the corner at Dee Why (never mind up the beach). Even so, the now mainly south swell is up into the 3 metre range on a period of about 8 seconds. The point and the beachy were rather crowded which, given the messy, choppy conditions and slate grey skies, might seem kinda strange. But on closer observation it was evident that folks were getting some okay rides. The swell has a little push and it was carrying those skilled enough to negotiate the lumps a fair old way.

Here’s the latest marine forecast:

Saturday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 15/20 knots, easing to 10/15 knots overnight.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres, abating to 1 to 1.5 metres overnight. Swell: SE 2 to 3 metres.
Sunday: Wind: SW/SE 5/15 knots, tending E/NE in the afternoon. Sea: about 1 metre. Swell: E/SE about 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: NW/SW 5/15 knots before a S’ly change 20/30 knots.
[models predict S-3m-6s]
Tuesday: Wind: S/SE 15/25 knots.

[models predict SE-2.5m-10s]

Could be some fun ones around tomorrow morning, and then maybe a few to be had in the north corners in the afternoon…

Dee Why around 1600

Dee Why around 1600

It may be a chop fest, but it's a well-attended chop fest.

It may be a chop fest, but it's a well-attended chop fest.

They're sectioning and lumpy and junky, but there's some speed to play with.

They're sectioning and lumpy and junky, but there's some speed to play with.

Sticky: Southerly morning

Posted by: on October 28th, 2008

Afternoon update:

Cloudy skies and fun waves at the Bower late morning.

Cloudy skies and fun waves at the Bower late morning.

Sorry. Owe you a bit of an apology. As the Goat says to me often, “don’t always judge the surf by Dee Why!”. Well I didn’t heed his advice did I? When I went out to do some errands this morning, I chucked the board in the car on the off chance. At one point I swung by the beach near Marquesas and I was gob-smacked. What is this?? Head high plus sets with a ton of east in ’em? Yikes! End of errand running, time to look for waves. I scoped Northy from afar. Looked like a few out, but not the sort of crowd to make me think it was much chop.

How could you not enjoy a wave like that?

How could you not enjoy a wave like that?

Pointed the creaky old subaru southward and did the drive by at Dee Why (fallback option 1), over the hill to Curly, nothing too attractive (what is it with the banks there at the moment?), but looking down toward north head, I could see white water exploding along the base of the cliffs. Ah, hah! Just as I thought, there should definitely be something at the south end of Manly and at the Bower. 10 minutes later, I’m going by Dripping Wet and doing the goggle through the cars at North Steyene. Pull over? Naw… onward… Swell is definitely bigger as you head south along the beach and there are lots of dots in the water at the Bower (gee, whattasurprise). Okay, that’s the plan then, make like a dot.

Many went unridden at the Bower, including this one...

Many went unridden at the Bower, including this one...

Jumped off the rocks and paddled across. Sets look good fun size, maybe 2-3 metres of face. And it’s pretty consistent too. Call me surgio partner, ’cause that’s where I like to hang looking for a fun one to rifle inside on. Happily I have my little Olympus 725 SW, so I grab you all a few stills and then shoot some stutter cam video (haven’t looked at that yet). Get a few waves in the near glassy conditions. Too bad the sky’s overcast. No pretty colours for the piccies. Oh well.

See a few folks I know out there too. Vibe is good because it’s so consistent. Water is cool (from the NE’r I bet). But it’s all good.

And here’s this morning’s report…

Hello Friends,

0730: as long as you can live with a bit of chop, there could be a little one.

0730: as long as you can live with a bit of chop, there could be a little one.

Wind’s gone around to the south, the temp has dropped back and at around midnight, Huey kicked the swell rudder hard over to the SSW. It’s looking pretty messy and sideshore down at Dee Why, but there are a few bods in hunting for likely sections. Size is in the chest high range on the bigger ones. That’s down to the fact that the windswell has popped up to 3 metres at about 8 seconds apart. The hopeful thing is that there seems to be some 9 sec stuff in there as well, so I’d say your fave south corner options are worthy of consideration.

You may want to get on it earlier rather than later because the Bureau is calling for the current 20 kts of southerly to go SE as the day unfolds. And they say the swell will be dropping back at the same time.

Tomorrow is set down to have 10-15 kts of SE early, building to 15-20 kts ESE later. Not too appetizing sounding. Oh, and there’ll be a shower or two just for good measure. Over all it appears that we’re in for short period, junky, conditions right into the Friday. Happily though, it seems that we might have a fun size south pulse for the weekend. There’s a bit of variety in the interpretations though… wetsand.com predicts only a short pulse, while stormsurf is being more optimistic.

Have yourself a top old day, and if you’ve come across a site you think worthy of inclusion in my next Editor’s Picks, please use the form below to tell me about it.

Sticky: Blustery and very cold morning

Posted by: on October 23rd, 2008

Arvo update:

Dee Why point, mid-morning.

Dee Why point, mid-morning.

Went for a dip this morning at the point. When PB and I paddled out there were only half a dozen in the water. Quality wasn’t outstanding and the wind was cold, but we did get some fun ones, including a few into the shoulder high range. Conditions were fairly lumpy and sectiony, so not every wave was interesting, but there were some moments of amusement to be had.

mid-morning, Dee Why point

mid-morning, Dee Why point

As the tide dropped, more folk paddled out and the waves started standing up a bit better at first rock. At the same time the wind seemed to get a touch more east to it and the showers turned up again. Anyway, here are few snaps for your amusement…

Dee Why point this morning

Dee Why point this morning

And here is what I wrote earlier today…

0740: that wind is damn cold, but there are waves at Dee Why beach.

0740: that wind is damn cold, but there are waves at Dee Why beach.

Hello Friends,

Brrr… cold start to proceedings this morning. However, there are a few waves around, despite the stupid amount of wind. Swell peaked around midday yesterday, but it really only started to fill in during the afternoon. At the moment it’s around the 3 metre mark on average out at the MHL buoy. Huey’s got the power setting on about 8 seconds and of course it’s dead south. The defining feature of this morning is the 20 kts of SW wind. Not quite sure what sort of windchill that translates into, but I can tell you it wasn’t warm when I grabbed the snap.

The swell doesn’t seem to be wrapping into Dee Why point all that much, but it’s head high and a bit along the beach.

Pretty obviously, you’re going to be confined to the south corners this morning.

0840: bit of something going on at far north Collaroy

0840: bit of something going on at far north Collaroy

Had to run out on an errand, grabbed a couple pics whilst I was about it. Generally, looks like you need to get some exposure to the swell direction to get a wave. If you’re in a super protected corner such as Collaroy, it’s near flat. But if you head north along the beach there are waves coming ashore that aren’t too badly affected by the freezing cold southerly wind. The Bureau says it should slacken today, but not by an awful lot. And tomorrow looks like still being breezy from the S-SW (15-20 kts) in the morning before the wind swings NE and starts knocking down the already declining swell. Pretty narrow windows of opportunity around the place, I’d say.

0840: far north Collaroy showing something.

0840: far north Collaroy showing something.

The good news is that the Goat reckons we should have waves for the next four days. And that’s a very fine thing. I’m going to go out soon to see if I can jag something. If anything comes of it, you can expect a few pics up here later. In the meantime, here’s a thought: how ’bout pointing me at one or two of your fave surf related sites? If I like ’em, they’ll get into the next editor’s picks. All you need to do is scroll down a little bit to the submission form and fill in the details for me.

In the meantime, have yourself a top old day!

 

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