Articles tagged with "SSE-2m-11s"

Gloomy, cool and fading swell

Posted by: on May 26th, 2016

Hello Friends.

Wintery feel to Thursday morning and yesterday’s big and raw swell has subsided into the chest to head high range on the sets at Dee Why. There was a healthy crew in the water from early as folks tried to grab a little of the energy before it fades out. Wind is NNW at 8-10 kts as I write this and the Bureau says it’ll get up to 15-20 kts soon. At 0600 the MHL buoy was showing 2 metres of 11 second SSE swell offshore. Tide was coming in by then and will hit high at 1120.

It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat has to say this evening, but from the look of the models, tomorrow morning could be a low point in the energy settings, but by the afternoon the Bureau says we could again be seeing up to 3 metres of south swell and strong west to SW wind. Saturday is currently forecast to be strongly offshore with 2-3 metres of south swell. Next week looks like being well supplied with south energy but the models are showing southerly wind right across the week, so maybe not too many surf options. By the way, one of the very long range models is currently predicting extremely large south swell and blasting onshores toward the end of the first week of June. Highly speculative at the moment – obviously!

Have yourself a great Thursday and get up to some good where you can!

dy point surfer

Set wave at the point 0720

dy point surfers

The crowd and a set at 0725


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Weather Situation
A front near Tasmania and western Victoria is moving east, and is expected to move over the western Tasman Sea during Thursday afternoon. Northwesterly winds will strengthen over New South Wales waters ahead of the front, and shift southwesterly over southern waters on later today and over the remainder of the coast during Friday in the wake of the front. Winds will turn northwesterly on Saturday before shifting southwesterly as the next front moves through.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening. Winds turning westerly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this evening.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 27 May
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning, then increasing to 3 to 4 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Saturday 28 May
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Swell day two: smaller but still fun looking

Posted by: on July 29th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Two good things to report this morning. First, the southerly wasn’t blowing it out at 0700 and second, although it’s dropped about a metre, it’s still 2 metres at 11 seconds and better, it’s coming from the SSE rather than the S by SSW. There was quite a crowd on the point again (it was around the 30 mark yesterday morning), but now there look to be a few more options along the beach.

Wind is light offshore as I write this, but the Bureau is sticking by it’s call for southerlies this morning and light and variable this afternoon. Tide is coming off the 0620 high and will be back to low at noon. Should be a pretty nice day too, with sunny skies and a high of 18.

Swell is set to decline steadily through the day as it heads back into marginal territory for tomorrow and beyond. Today’s models are still projecting our next pulse to fill in mid- to late next week.

Have yourself a top old Wednesday and stay happy!

dy beach surfing

Dropping swell opening up a few options along the beach at 0700

dy point set

A set rolls through the 0700 crowd at the point

Looking good this morning

Posted by: on July 2nd, 2014

Hello Friends,

A couple of metres of 10 sec period SSE swell and lightish mainly westerly wind are playing nice with Dee Why point (on the sets). Tide’s heading to high at 1130. The beachy seems to just be lined up shutdowns. Could be better up the Longy end… wave faces at the point are ranging from waist high between sets, and shoulder plus when they arrive.

The Bureau says that as we get toward midday, the wind is going to go more southerly. The swell looks like holding through the day and with luck should still be surfable (although smaller) first thing tomorrow.

My plan is to get out there because the eye doc told me she might not let me back in the water with my new lens for a month from tomorrow. I tried to explain that it was historically the best month of the year for surf, but for some reason this didn’t alter her advice. Oh well, guess I’ll be taking pictures of you all instead of getting in your way.

Have a good one and keep on smilin’!

Sole taker gets caught inside

Sole taker gets caught inside

Messing about on the little ones during the lull.

Messing about on the little ones during the lull.

Point lights up @0745

Point lights up @0745

Sets don't escape being ridden

Sets don’t escape being ridden

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies over South Australia and is directing a generally southwesterly airstream over New South Wales. The high pressure system will move slowly east to be centred over New South Wales by Wednesday night. The high will weaken late in the week, and a low will move to the vicinity of Bass Strait by Friday, with an associated frontal system expected to cross New South Wales during Friday and Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.

Thursday 3 July

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

Friday 4 July

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.

Sunday delivering

Posted by: on April 20th, 2014

Hello Friends,

The Bureau says the swell will be dropping away as the day unfolds, but it shouldn’t be flat or anything. As of 0700 there were solid overhead wave faces along the beach at Dee Why with maybe a touch smaller at the point. Wind is set to be light across the day too. Swell is out of the SSE at 2 metres with an average period of about 11 seconds. At 0600 the MHL data from Eden was showing slightly smaller numbers, so I’d say that means energy all day.

Tide was low at 0605 and will be high at 1205.

Should be sunny all day and getting up to 24. Not bad.

By tomorrow the swell will be just about gone, but I’m hoping the morning sesh will offer an option or two. Thereafter it’s shaping to be near flat to flat until maybe next Friday (according to at least one model monger). So get in and have fun asap because our long run of swell won’t last much longer.

Stay happy!

That left seems to be showing up every now and again.

That left seems to be showing up every now and again.

That looks fun

That looks fun

I'll go mine... 0715 Dee Why

I’ll go mine… 0715 Dee Why

Point ticking over

He didn't get much further

He didn’t get much further

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near Adelaide is extending a ridge into western New South Wales in the wake of a cold front. This ridge is forecast to remain the dominant feature in the region during the next couple of days, until a weak trough moves across the state Tuesday and Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to around 1.5 metres by evening.
Monday 21 April
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots offshore in the morning, becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday 22 April
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Sticky: Grey old day with junky south swell

Posted by: on January 7th, 2014

El junko

Keenman
Hello Friends,

Well harumph is all I can say. Swell did come up overnight as predicted, but unfortunately, they were right about the wind as well and at 0600 it was blowing 10-20 kts from the south across the Sydney region. Might be a plan to head south though, because, at least when I was writing this, wind direction is showing as SW from about Wattamolla southward to Ulladulla.

Dee Why was looking pretty bleak when I first spied it from the RealSurf crow’s nest this morning. Grey skies, the odd passing shower, relentless southerly and lumpy, bumpy torn up chest to shoulder high stuff heaving about along the beach. A few bods were trying their hand at the point, but it too was really messy and ‘orrible looking. Betcha there’ll be a lot’ve surfers fetched up in the cafes this morning.

Wind is supposed to ease back as the day goes along and by tomorrow the call is for about 10 kts SE. There should still be some swell about so maybe we’ll get a bit luckier than this morning…

Long range models are projecting a steady supply of generally south to SE swell over the remainder of the week. The big problem will be the onshores. At this stage Wed-Fri looks as though they might be marginal to okay for the early…

Have yourself a great Tuesday one and all!

Tide low at 0745 and high at 1350

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight extends a ridge into New South Wales, while a low over the Tasman Sea links with a trough in Queensland. The high will move slowly eastwards during the next few days, strengthening a ridge along the New South Wales coast as a trough deepens over the state’s west. By Thursday the high is expected to be over the Tasman Sea, where it should remain through to the weekend. This should push the inland trough steadily west until it is collected by a passing cold front during Saturday and shifts to the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots easing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Wednesday 8 January
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Thursday 9 January
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the morning then increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Looking clean and fun

Posted by: on July 25th, 2013

Lovely

Smaller than the beach

Hello Friends,

Good settings for fun conditions this morning – although pretty cold. The MHL data is showing the swell has dropped back to about 2 metres at 11 seconds apart and the direction has moved a touch more to the SSE. Tide is racing in to a high at 1010 this morning, so the clean shoulder to head high sets coming through for the hardy daybreak crew won’t last forever. The swell is due to weaken further over the next 24 hours, but there should still be something of interest this afternoon because there shouldn’t be too much wind as the tide drops again.

Longer term outlook according to this morning’s swell prediction models is for something or other in the waist to chest range (tide and spot depending) as the swell goes more east but holds around the metre plus range. Be interesting to see what the Goat’s take is on this.

Have a great Thursday!

Tides: H @1010, L @1600

Forecast issued at 4:51 am EST on Thursday 25 July 2013.
Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over southeast Australia is gradually drifting east. By Saturday it is expected to be centred above the Tasman Sea, while maintaining a ridge into northern New South Wales. The next cold front is expected to reach the state’s western border during Sunday, continuing across to the coast on Monday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the afternoon then becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Friday 26 July
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around dawn, then tending easterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Saturday 27 July
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Another morning of waves at south spots

Posted by: on May 21st, 2013

The peaks keep on keeping on

Hello Friends,

Swell peaked yesterday, but there’s still some fun to be had. It’s a touch under 2 metres from the SSE at 11 seconds. The complex of mainly left peaks at the Dee Why end of the beach are firing up again and the numbers are upon them. It’s been extremely crowded out there during this swell and I think, from looking elsewhere, that it’s largely due to the fact that there other places nearby aren’t offering quite the same standard of wave.

Tide will be low at @1045 and then back to the high at @1710.

Weather should be a bit warmer and partly cloudy in the morning, but clouding up later ahead of a week of grey skies and rain.

And it looks as though our swell will fade out today (if the Bureau and the models are right). And then we shift into marginal for a few days before a major SE blow kicks up at the end of the week. With any luck, we’ll be back to passable surf conditions by the weekend. Some of the modelling is showing quite good conditions for Sunday into Monday at south spots… the surf season seems to be revving up.

Go well with your plans one and all!

ps: I went shooting yesterday and ended up at Dee Why for the morning and afternoon sessions. They’re now in the process of becoming galleries, so stay tuned…

Weather Situation
A deep low pressure system over the southeastern Tasman Sea is moving towards New Zealand and a high pressure ridge over the northern Tasman Sea is weakening. Later on Thursday a low pressure trough will cross New South Wales coast and a low is expected to develop off the central coast by early Friday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots turning south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around dawn.
Wednesday 22 May
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots before dawn.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Thursday 23 May
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.

PICS by Don: Thursday afternoon 7/7, Dee Why beach

Posted by: on July 8th, 2011

Swell toyed with us in Sydney on Thursday and then, finally, right on dark, it started to come up noticeably at Dee Why. I went shooting from about 1615 to dark, so if you were in the water, it might be worth a look through the pics to see if I captured any of your startling stylings. As always I was focusing on the regular folks at their peak moments.

Just click on the pic below to be jump over to the gallery.

Evening post

Posted by: on May 11th, 2009

Hello Friends,

A brief Monday evening update for you. Went out and about this afternoon with the intention of getting in the water. But the swell was still settling in and nothing really took my fancy. I’m sure you know the drill – you drive around looking, but you just can’t get enthused, or you run out of time or both.

Dee Why point was one of the better options in my view, but the folks I saw in the water at Curly and Manly as well may have begged to disagree. The wind was lightly onshore, so it kind of gave everything that slightly lumpy, unkempt look. Swell angle is SSE at the moment. It’s a touch over two metres at 11 seconds apart.

This afternoon, the period was mostly shorter than that, so it was farily setty. PB and I went down to Manly to see if the wind was a little less onshore. Wasn’t really much less affected than Dee Why. Went out to the Bower and watched a little group of bodyboarders playing around at Winki. Nothing much was getting around into the Bower, but every now and then someone would jag a waist high thing.

Another crunchy one courtesy of Huey.

Another crunchy one courtesy of Huey.

Not exactly all time winki, but there were a few moments for the bodyboarders on it.

Not exactly all time winki, but there were a few moments for the bodyboarders on it.

After tiring of watching and shooting at the Bower, we went back to Dee Why point. As I was walking down the steps for a better angle, I saw RealSurf forum identity Coops take off on a pretty reasonable one.

Fin man flying through another fin test.

Fin man flying through another fin test.

Solid looking set wave gets ready to do the slab thing.

Solid looking set wave gets ready to do the slab thing.

Fun cutty at the point.

Fun cutty at the point.

Want waves? We have waves.

Posted by: on May 1st, 2009
...and the crowd cries out for more...

...and the crowd cries out for more...

Hello Friends,

Very crowded at the super peak in Dee Why this morning. After relenting a bit over the last couple days, the crowd is back for more. Around 40 people chasing head high to overhead sets before 0700. Swell is out of the SSE at a couple metres with a very useful juice setting of 11 seconds. Wind is out of the WNW at around the 10 kt mark to begin with but, if anything, it should weaken as the day goes along.

We’re approaching a low tide at 0750 which will then rise only a bit until 1353. I reckon that should mean fun waves all day at all the spots that have been working over the last few days. If anything there could be a few more options around because the dominant direction seems to have a touch more east to it.

Here’s the Bureau’s call

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: NW/NE 5/10 knots. Sea: less than 1 metre. Swell: S 1.5 to 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: W/SW around 10 knots, turning S 10/15 knots during the afternoon, S 15/20 knots at times during the evening.Sea: about 1 metre, rising to 1.5 to 2 metres later. Swell: S/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: SW/SE 10/15 knots.

 

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