Junky and bumpy but not flat

Posted by: on December 16th, 2018

Hello Friends,

Another rather murky start to the day at Dee Why. Surf conditions weren’t too imteresting, but if you’re keen, there are junky waist plus bumps to be found. Yesterday’s rain has made water quality dicey from Bungan to Manly according to Beachwatch, so if you have any fresh cuts or scratches, you might want to avoid exposure to the now abundant microbes for what is really pretty marginal surf.
As of 0800 wind was NNE 8-13 kts at North Head. Local weather stations at Collaroy were showing closer to 20kts NNE. The MHL buoy report from 0500 showed a 2.1 metre combo of NE and S south swell with a period of about 7 seconds. It should bump up a little once the wind gets into the 20-30 kt range from the NE this afternoon. But quality… and water… yeah, not the best.
Looking at this morning’s run of the swell models, outlook is for a gradual decline in size into the waist minus range as the week unfolds. The most optimistic model was predicting pretty good conditions for Friday at spots that like dead south. Out beyond that, the speculations about the Christmas week currently are thinking we’ll have windy conditions with short period and small waves.
Have yourself a good Sunday and keep on smilin’!

One hopeful at No Mans 0745

Set at Kiddies 0745

A little activity

Weather Situation
A broad trough of low pressure lies over inland New South Wales, while a high is situated near New New Zealand, directing fresh to strong northeasterly winds along most coastal areas. Later today the low the trough is expected to cross southern parts of the coast, before continuing to central areas on Monday. This trough is likely to linger about central waters for the following day or two, while a high over the Tasman Sea maintains a ridge towards the northern coast.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Northerly 20 to 30 knots turning northeasterly during the afternoon.
2 to 3 metres.
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 17 December
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore in the morning. Winds turning northeasterly in the afternoon.
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 18 December
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Northeasterly aroun

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