Clean but small early

Posted by: on December 17th, 2018

A little more activity this morning at 0650

Quiet looking at No Mans 0650

Hello Friends,

As of 0650 wind was coming from the NW at 4 kts. It’s due to come up this morning from the N-NE, but it could stay offshore so we might have good surface conditions all morning. There’s a chance it’ll go around to the south late in the day. There were a number of people in the water at the Dee Why end of the beach, but it looked weak and mostly on the small end of the waist to chest range. A couple of SUPsters were poking around at the point, but I didn’t see anything catchable come through for them.
The MHL buoy was seeing 1.7 metres of 8 sec ENE wind bump as of 0400. Tide is dropping to the low at 1035 and then coming back into a 1.35m high at 1635.
We’re supposed to get a swing to the SW in the wind regime tomorrow. The models don’t indicate much change in the swell energy settings. That looks like continuing all week, but by Wednesday the wind is expected to be more SE. Beyond that, the models are projecting more or less the same wave energy for the rest of the work week (ie marginal, knee to waist from the southern quarters with south winds)
Looking ahead at the long range models for next week currently suggests we’re in for smaller to near flat surf conditions.
Have a great Monday everyone and stay happy!

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is moving over the southern New South Wales coast, while a high near New New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern coast. This trough will shift to central waters later today, bringing a weak southerly change, before stalling and gradually decaying around the Hunter coast. A more vigorous southerly change is forecast to affect most coastal areas at the end of the week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the morning. Winds possibly turning southerly 10 to 15 knots inshore later in the day.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres in the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 18 December
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southeasterly in the afternoon.
1 to 1.5 metres.
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 19 December
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

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