Hello Friends,
The forecast says we should have 2-2.5 metres of south swell today and out at sea the swell height is 1.6 m at 11 seconds from 178° (ie, dead south) – but, as the picture shows, there’s nothing happening at Dee Why. In fact a group of bathers were jumping in the water from the rock-off spot at the point. A quick check of the cams reveals that better exposures are at least seeing some softish knee to waist high wave faces.
First tide of the daylight hours was a 1.6m high at 0750. Weather should be partly cloudy with a high of 22C and the ocean is still on 20C.
It’s probably worth keeping an eye on things, as the swell is set to come up a bit more toward midday. It looks like the wind’s beginning to bump up the surface and the forecast tells us to expect 10-15 kt from the easterly quarters.
Outlook is for the energy levels to fade back again and be back to short period but more easterly wind swell as we head into the weekend. Beyond that, the modelling isn’t looking too exciting. The most optimistic of the long range predictions is showing the possibility of a bump up in energy levels toward the end of next week.
Have a great Wednesday everybody!
Weather Situation
A high pressure system has led to an easing of the winds and a more easterly flow. By Thursday the high will reach the Tasman Sea and direct a strengthening northerly flow along the coast. The next change is forecast to affect the southern half on Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
- Winds
- Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable below 10 knots in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
Thursday 18 November
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
Friday 19 November
- Winds
- Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then shifting south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
- Swell
- Northeasterly around 1 metre.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
