Posts in Surf Reports

Another micro day

Posted on August 16th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Only a faint zephyr stirring the ocean surface at Dee Why as the sun came over the horizon this morning. Skies are clear and the air temp was comparatively mild. But, as the pictures show, there is no swell. The MHL Sydney buoy hasn’t checked in since yesterday evening, but looking at the data from other stations, I’d guess there’s maybe half a metre from the S-SSE at 13-14 seconds.

If you’re interested, Tide was low at 05:55 and will be back to a 1.53 m high at 1215.

Weather should be sunny all day and the wind will be from the SW. Water is about 16°C.

The Goat will be along later with his week-ahead outlook, so I’ll be keen to see his take on our prospects for a memorable Monday….

Have a top Thursday!

Nice morning for a paddle on the SUP

Little tiny trickle of a line at 0650

Weather Situation

Vigorous west to northwest winds ahead of a cold front are expected to ease today and shift south to southwesterly as the front clears the northeast corner of New South Wales and a high pressure ridge builds in its wake. Another strong cold front looks set to arrive on the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 17 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 18 August

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

 


Dialled back to near flat

Posted on August 15th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Swell faded away overnight and this morning sees conditions back to where they were on Monday, ie near flat. At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.2 metres of 10-second SSE swell. If yesterday is any guide, there could be waves at better aligned stretches, but I’d be surprised if there was anything above knee to waist high. Wind was out of the NW at 10-15 kts as of 0715 and it’s expected to pick up enough for the Bureau to have hoisted the strong wind pennant.
Tide was low at 0510 and will be back to 1.55 m high at 1120. Water temp is 16°C.
The models are uniformly predicting flat to near flat conditions through to Friday. But thereafter continues to look interesting. If they have it right, we could see energy levels beginning to improve late Saturday at spots that pick up dead south swell. By Monday there may be 3-4 metres of 10-ish second straight south with strong SSW wind. Current predictions say Tuesday should be similar. Here’s hoping!
Have a great Wednesday everyone and keep on smilin’.
 

Hint of a line, but no takers at 0700

 

Almost flat at Dee Why 0700


 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over New South Wales will shift to the Tasman Sea tonight as a cold front approaches from the west. Vigorous winds will affect many coastal areas today as this front crosses the region, with a new high developing in its wake on Thursday and Friday. Another strong cold front looks set to arrive on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 16 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 17 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

PM piccies from Curly and Dee Why

Posted on August 14th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Went for a surf at Curly around 1300 and can report we were seeing waves faces into the head and a bit range on the biggest sets. Quality was only so-so as most waves were fat to really fat. But at least we have waves!

Long Reef knee plusses

No Mans at 1440

Set at South Curly 1420

Kiddies

North Curly launch

South Curly 1415


Small waves to be had

Posted on August 14th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

We seem to have a little swell this morning. It’s not big enough to kick the point into action, but despite the incoming tide (there’s a 1.57 m high at 1030), waves looked to be into the waist high range at No Mans. Wind was WNW at 10 kts when I grabbed the snaps, but like the tide, it’s going to come up soon. into the 15-20 kt range.

The MHL buoy was detecting 1.3 m of 10-sec SSE swell as of 0500. Water temp should be around the 16° mark.

From the look of the models, the current energy levels should last through the day as we head to a high of 22° under sunny skies. I’m definitely going to be out and about, so possibly more pictures and words later…

Speaking to the models, I’m liking the look of Monday’s prospects. Predictions range from 2-3 metres with periods in the 10-12 sec range from the south. Wind call is for westerlies and sunny conditions. The more pessimistic projections say it’ll tail away over the rest of the week, but the hopeful ones say it could be fun for a few days. Here’s hoping the latter prove closest to the mark,

Have a great Tuesday one and all, and check back later in case I update!

0710 and small lines just showing at the point – but no takers

Surfer tries to get into a waist high bump at No Mans

Weather Situation

Vigorous west to southwesterly winds are expected to slowly ease this evening and early tomorrow as a high pressure system slowly moves across the state. On Wednesday, fresh northwesterly winds are forecast to develop ahead of a cold front that will slip across the south, bringing a west to southwesterly change to southern parts of the coast on Wednesday and central parts during Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then tending northerly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 15 August

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 16 August

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Nothing doing at Dee Why

Posted on August 13th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not a skerrick, not a scrap, not a hope of a wave this morning at Dee Why. From the look of the MHL data for the NSW coast, it would seem that Sydney’s 0.75m of swell is bested in the flatness contest only by B Batemans Bay’s 0.5 m. Everywhere else is bigger and from around Coffs north, it actually looks quite interesting (2 m of ESE at 9 seconds).
Apart from the surf and a morning high tide, conditions would be perfect – if only we had swell.
The Bureau tells us we should have 1.5-2 metres of south swell, so the models predicting something arriving this afternoon may come to pass…
I’ll keep an eye on it and will update if there’s any significant change.
In the meantime, have a great day!

Not a hint of activity 0655

Zippo 0655

Weather Situation
Vigorous west to southwesterly winds are expected to slowly ease over the next few days as a high pressure system slowly moves across the state. The next cold front is forecast to slip across the south on Wednesday, turning winds northwesterly ahead of it.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon then becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 14 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 15 August
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.


Curly & Northy

Posted on August 12th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Went out this morning and had a chance to check in on north Curly. As the picture shows, it was very small and there were only a couple of folks in the water (although a surf school was lugging boards down that way). Waves looked pretty soft and it was a wait between the knee high sets (which pretty much broke just a few metres off the sand).

Very tiny at North Curly 0940

Went up to Northy for a look as well. Wind was straight offshore and very chilly but there were more people in the water than at Curly and the little peak just off the beach was looking soft but do-able. Again lulls were a thing.

What will we find…?

Miniature A-frame

Clean, weak, tiny at 1000


Back to micro

Posted on August 12th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Well, that didn’t amount to much. I checked it at intervals on Saturday, hoping the swell would bump up as the tide dropped. But it didn’t cross the threshold for me. Best and biggest waves I saw yesterday were soft, crowded and maybe waist to chest at Northy. Dee Why was smaller and weaker.

This morning sees a metre or so of 11 sec bump from 166° out at sea as of 0600. Unfortunately the 9-10 Kt NW’r seems to be pushing it away from Dee Why. There was just nothing going on when I grabbed this morning’s pics.

First tide of the daylight hours was a 1.5m high at 0850. It’ll be back to a (very) low 0.27 m at 1440. By then the wind should be W-SW at 20-25 kts and… just maybe… the swell should come up at south magnets. Eden was 1.5 m at 8 seconds from 190° as of 0600, so that could mean that swell won’t really get into our region (because of the short period and the angle).

Anyway, I for one will be keeping an eye on it.  16° water or not, I’m keen to get wet.

Outlook on this morning’s models ranges from flat all next week to maybe an uptick on Tuesday into the fun range, then flat again until Friday. Some of the very long range models for next week are currently looking quite hopeful though (2-3 metres of SSE energy with SSW wind…), so there is that.

Have a great Sunday and check back in case I’ve spotted something worth bringing to your attention!

 

Slumbering peacefully on Sunday morning

Not a hint of a line at No Mans 0800


Tiny but catchable at magnets

Posted on August 11th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Very small, but at least there were a few little waves at magnets as Saturday got started. Waves looked to be in the knee to maybe waistish on the best sets. Speaking of which, there seemed to be long gaps between sets as well.

Tide was coming into the  1.5 m high at 0800 when I grabbed the snaps around 0630-0645. Wind hadn’t ramped up but was already 8-9 kts from the north.

The 0500 MHL observations showed 1.6 m of 13-sec stuff from the south, plus a weaker, shorter period component from the NNE. Water’s a chilly (for Sydney) 16C.

 

Little line at Longy 0645

Missing the point

Longy bombies, no takers, but maybe…

Mushroom sunrise

No Mans 0640

South Narra probably not

North Narrabeen showing a little activity

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, whilst a strong cold front is crossing South Australia. This front will move east and bring a vigorous west to southwesterly change to the southern half of the coast today, extending throughout early Sunday. Conditions should gradually ease later Sunday and Monday as a new high approaches from the west.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 25 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 12 August

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Monday 13 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 10th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Friday 10 August 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Hi folks

Surf outlook continues to be mostly smallish, but there should be the occasional nice little wave at some places at right tides etc..

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range North East

Sunday: down in the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Monday: down more 1-1+metres only at places open to dead South

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: down again, small to flat

Thursday: ditto

Friday: there might be a small increase at South facing beaches.

I was at a celebration of life yesterday for surfboat legend and fellow Life Member of ABSLSC Rick Millar who passed away last weekend.  He had  battled problems with the Big C for some years – not that you would have known it, as he not only continued sweeping boats in several Aussie Titles after treatment, but won a Gold Medal at the last one in April in WA!  That is determination.

He used to joke that the P in his name was silent, but again you wouldn’t know that from hearing the positive comments from the many younger club members who said he had changed their lives for the better – an outstanding achievement in anyone’s life.  I will miss him. He can now give Midget an exclusive earbashing about the surf and boats, more than he used to. Midget will love that.. haha. RIP both of them.

TG

The Big Dry continues… 100% of the State is in drought.  Help out if you can, and watch how much water we use in the city

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-08-08/nsw-government-says-entire-state-is-now-in-drought/10088628

… where the rain don’t fall…

Up in the Sky

Barely a cloud to be seen…

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Aug 10 03:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Fri Aug 10 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a coolish 17

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 1:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Mostly sunny.Sydney23
Mostly sunny.Penrith24
Mostly sunny.Liverpool23
Mostly sunny.Terrey Hills21
Mostly sunny.Richmond24
Mostly sunny.Parramatta23
Mostly sunny.Campbelltown23
Mostly sunny.Bondi21

 

Saturday 11 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny, just some some high cloud at times. Winds northerly 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning westerly in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 1:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 12 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 40 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 13 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Tuesday 14 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 15 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 16 August

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

 


Tiny lines

Posted on August 10th, 2018 in Dee Why, North Narrabeen.

Out for a ride and can report there is more energy than this morning. Best waves were at Northy but there were close to 20 in the water chasing the very occasional sets. Biggest waves were around the chest high range maybe a touch bigger. Looked a bit sectiony too.

At Dee Why there were only a few in the water. Wind was more sideshow and waves both smaller and less consistent.

The point was maybe mal- able but no one was trying it.

Beautiful afternoon and looks like it might come up a little more…


 

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