Posts in Surf Reports

Pretty but tiny Monday morning

Posted on September 23rd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Stunner of a morning, but it looks like you’d be doing well to catch something with a thigh-high wave face. The point might possibly work (on the bomb sets) if you have a rescue board or something similar. But really, for all practical purposes, it’s flat. If you’re really hanging out to get wet, I’d be checking up toward Longy or around at Curly on the off chance. The Sydney MHL buoy was seeing 1.1 metres of 7-second dribble the SE as of 0600. Wind was out of the west at 6-7 kts around 0740.

Weather call is for partly cloudy and a high of 22 along the coast. Ocean is still on the cool side at 17C but water’s clean.

Both the Wavewatch and ECMWF WAF models are showing tiny conditions today and tomorrow, but while the latter isn’t predicting anything exciting, Wavewatch shows a little south influx of 1.3 metre, 9 second stuff (waist plusses at good exposures). But apart from that, the long range outlook is a very Spring like, ie weak and tiny dribble in the ankle to knee high range.

Have a top old Monday everyone!

Monday 0730 – too small to surf at the point, maybe knee high along the beach

Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast: Broken Bay to Port Hacking
View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Monday 23 September 2019.

Weather Situation
A southerly change that reached the Macquarie Waters overnight will continue moving north today, reaching the Far North Waters this evening. Meanwhile, fresh and gusty west to southwesterly winds will affect southern parts of the coast today as a cold front clips the state’s southeast. A high pressure system is then set to become predominant over the region Tuesday onwards.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 24 September
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 25 September
Winds
West to southwesterly below 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Scrappy Sunday surf

Posted on September 22nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NW breeze chopping up a small SE wind swell this morning at Dee Why. Sadly the period is just 7 seconds, so along with the gloomy grey skies and lackluster surface conditions, the waves were looking very weak. Nevertheless, there were a few keen types scattered along the beach north from the point (where there were a couple of hopefuls sitting patitently). If you want a bit more size, I’d try better exposures up the beach or around at Curly.
Water quality has been given the tick by Beachwatch which also reports an ocean temperature of 17C (thanks to the NEr for the last couple of days no doubt).
Outlook is for the energy levels to drop a bit more in the next 24 hours – and then to hang around the metre level with short periods through most of the coming week. That said, one of the more optimistic modelers reckons it could actually be fun on Thursday at south magnet spots.
We shall see…

Knee to waist high and weak at 0740

Weather Situation
A strong and slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards New South Wales, bringing northeasterly winds to most of the coastal waters. A cold front is currently bringing a southerly change to the southern coast, and this will reach central parts of the coast today before stalling. A second front will follow on Monday, pushing the change to the Queensland border by Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds then shifting southeast to southwesterly later in the morning then tending northeast to southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 23 September
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Mostly sunny day.
Tuesday 24 September
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Clean NE wind swell early

Posted on September 21st, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

After blowing hard into the late evening hours, the NEr had backed off to be NNE 10-12 kts by daybreak. It’ll kick back up again soon, so for the cleanest surface conditions, you want to hit it sooner rather than later. Size on sets at the best exposures were into the shoulder high range. You had to pick ’em though because although size at sea is 2 metres, the period is a weak 7 seconds. Tide was low at 0615 and will hit the high at 1250. Yesterday’s sunshine and minimal runoff saw Beachwatch declaring all but a few lagoon exit zones declared pollution free.

Outlook for the coming week appears to be for a steady decline to barely surfable by around Tuesday. Tomorrow will probably be in the waist high range and Monday it’s probably going to be closer to knee high at the better exposures. Some of the models show a bump up from the south around Thursday, so here’s hoping!

Have a top

 

Little bumps at Kiddies 0645

Longy picking up more than Dee Why 0645

Fun looking at Northy 0630


Weather Situation

A strong and slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards New South Wales, bringing a return to northeasterly winds to all coastal waters. These winds will be fresh to strong today ahead of a cold front, which will bring a southerly change to the southern coast later today and to central parts on Sunday before stalling. A second front will follow on Monday, pushing the change to the Queensland border by Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm this evening.
Sunday 22 September
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting east to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn then decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
Monday 23 September
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Little waves, big climate strike

Posted on September 20th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A mild breezy start to the global #ClimateStrike day. Yours truly is getting ready to bus it into the Domain with family and friends, so I’ll be passing on this morning’s soft knee to waist high wind swell bumps at Dee Why. Wind was already 8-10 kts NE as of 0800. Swell was 1.6 metres at a gutless 8 seconds from the SE. By this afternoon the Bureau tells us the wind will be belting along from the NE. That’s a summery set of numbers, so if you’re keen, there might be a windswell bump in the waist plus range at semi-protected summer wind swell spots. An extra day of mostly sunny conditions should also help to knock down the run-off induced pathogen load a bit too. No use risking getting crook for 2 star surf conditions.
My plan is to take a few pics of #ClimateStrike to share via my socials. They’ll be tagged #RealSurf #ClimateStrike

Plausible for a fat fishy or a mal at 0800

Little bump gets caught at Kiddies 0800

Weather Situation
A strong and slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards New South Wales, and is bringing a gradual return to northeasterly winds to all coastal waters. Winds are forecast to increase on today ahead of a cold front, which will bring a southerly change to the southern coast later Saturday and to central parts on Sunday before stalling. A second front will follow on Monday, pushing the change to the Queensland border by Tuesday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending east to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 21 September
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 22 September
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then becoming east to southeast 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 19th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

TG’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 September 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Still some size there today, though a bit ordinary in places.  Size is easing back today and should be fun size tomorrow morning, then build a little through the day with the Noreaster behind it. Lots of runoff in the ocean from the rains.  Could be a few more showers from time to time over the next few days ~~~~~~

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East North East at first, then building a little through the day with the wind pushing it along

Saturday: around 2 metres or so from the East North East

Sunday: 1-2 metre range North East

Monday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range North East

Tuesday: similar size from the East South East

Wednesday: around 1 metre or so at dead South spots

Thursday: less than 1 metre dead South

TG is back on deck!

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 19 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 19 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18ish

image

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 20 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning, chiefly in the west. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing to 25 to 35 km/h near the coast in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 15 23
Partly cloudy. Penrith 13 27
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 13 25
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 14 21
Partly cloudy. Richmond 11 26
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 12 24
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 12 24
Partly cloudy. Bondi 16 21

Saturday 21 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon or evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Sunday 22 September

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 23 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 24 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 25 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 26 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds


Join the Strike 4 Climate FRI 20 September

Posted on September 19th, 2019 in At large, Top stories.

Join us at the Domain!

-Don

Click to visit schoolstrike4climate.com

We are in the thick of the climate crisis.

Yet we just elected a Government that wants to open the

floodgates to new coal, oil and gas projects that put all of us at risk.

We are already hurting from the impacts of climate change.

If we don’t act now to transition fairly and swiftly away from coal,

oil & gas to 100% renewable energy for all, this will only get worse.

But it’s going to take all of us working together to succeed.

Join us on September 20 – three days out from the UN’s Emergency Climate Summit — by taking the day off school, uni or work to show our politicians that we’re serious about climate action.

The world isn’t waiting so neither are we.

SchoolStrikeForClimate on Facebook


More rain keeping the water woofy

Posted on September 19th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
It was a Pollution Possible day at every surf spot from Little Bay to Palm Beach yesterday afternoon. And it’s raining again as I write this a little before 0800 on Thursday morning. As the picture shows, there is swell and there were a few devil-may-care surfers in the water at Dee Why point. However, the quality was unimpressive. Swell was 2 metres out at sea as of 0600 this morning. It was coming from the SSE, but the period was just 8 seconds so it looked pretty gutless. Wind was out of the ENE at 5-6 kts. Tide will peak at 1115, but it’s a 1.5 m high, so kinda typical rather than super swampy.
The Goat should be along with his weekly outlook later today, so I’m hoping he’ll spy something interesting in what looks to me like a rather ho-hum, will-I won’t-I set of indicators. So check back for that and of course, have a great day!

You’d want to be keen – and indifferent to dodgy water quality

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to Bass Straight while a trough lies over New South Wales waters. This trough will dissipate later today while the high remains firm, gradually bringing north to northeasterly winds along the entire New South Wales coast. Winds are forecast to increase on Friday ahead of a cold front, which will bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast during the weekend. A second front will soon follow on Monday, pushing the change to the Queensland border by Tuesday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 20 September
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the morning.
Saturday 21 September
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Wild and rainy morning

Posted on September 18th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

20-25 kts of southerly and rain this morning along the beaches. As of 0600 the MHL buoy was seeing 4.5 metres of SE swell at 10 seconds apart. That’s more than sufficient to wrap around Longy into the Collaroy surf zone as the WRL cam image from 0700 shows below. But, if you were thinking of going for surf, I’d reconsider. Warriewood STC had a bypass event yesterday evening and all the run-off has lead to Beachwatch issuing ‘Pollution likely’ warnings for pretty much all of the northern beaches and eastern suburbs spots.

It looks as though we’re likely to have rainy weather through tomorrow with maybe a break on Friday and then more showery weather into early next week. Wind is set to shift from the southerly quarters around to the north too. On current modelling it looks as though we’re in for stiff N-NE wind through to Saturday night.

Stay dry and have a great Wednesday!

WRL cam view of Collaroy at 0700

Weather Situation
A cold front that move through most of New south Wales yesterday is continuing to linger as a low pressure trough in the states northeast this afternoon. A low pressure system is currently developing within this trough, offshore near to Port Stephens. This will reinforce a vigorous southerly flow along much of the coast during the next 24 hours, with likely gales about central parts of the coast. The low should weaken during Wednesday and Thursday as a high pressure system becomes dominant over the Tasman Sea, pushing a ridge into New South Wales, and bringing a gradual return to northeasterly winds. Another cold front looks set to arrive on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds turning easterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 2 to 3 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 19 September
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the evening then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 20 September
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly below 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.


Not happening this morning

Posted on September 14th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Caught the early bus from Collaroy this morning and grabbed a snap of the non- action. Swell has faded to nothing but the forecast says we could get a little perk into the waist high range after lunch. Wind will probably be bumping it up in the south corners.

Outlook is for ordinary conditions tomorrow but later in the week some models are showing a gradual build toward the waist to chest range.

Have a great Saturday!


Rest day

Posted on September 13th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Wind was SSE 10-15 kts inshore by 0700 on Friday morning. Yesterday’s surprisingly punchy swell seems to have vanished – in line with expectations. It was about a metre at 11 seconds from the SSE out at sea, but as the picture shows it was closer to ankle to knee high at Dee Why. According to the Bureau, the southerly wind should drop back a bit as the day goes along and the swell should perk back up a bit. Whether it gets into your idea of a surfable range remains to be seen.

Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing conditions staying micro tomorrow but possibly perking a tiny bit on Sunday before stumbling back into marginal for the front half of next week.

Have a top old Friday everyone!

 

0630 micro again

Weather Situation
A cold front moving through Victoria and southern New South Wales has brought a fresh southerly change to the south and central coasts overnight and will reach the far north coast around midday. A high will move across New South Wales in its wake, and should move to the Tasman Sea on Sunday. Another cold front is expected to affect the southern half of the coast later on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 14 September
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly early in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 15 September
Winds
North to northwesterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.