Posts in Surf Reports

SW early, SE later

Posted on February 22nd, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,
As of 0720 the wind was lightish and from the SW, but it won’t last long. Pretty soon the wind will be coming from the SE, just like the showers wafting in from that direction. Not a nice morning and while it’s getting crazy up north from the Oma energy, Sydney is currently seeing 2.7 metres from the SSE at 8 seconds. From the cams it looks pretty lumpy and disorganised with size in the shoulder-head high range at magnets. As for the week ahead, well, it looks like a complicated story. The Goat has ruminated upon the prospects and yesterday offered his take on the possibility of our seeing something vaguely reasonable from all the storm energy boiling around off the east coast.

As for California, it’s still flat to micro everywhere from Santa Cruz to San Diego. But here are a couple of Surfline cam sourced postcards for your amusement…

above the view north from Jalama State Park in Santa Barbara county

You could have had Malibu to yourself…

Weather Situation

A strengthening high pressure system to the west of Tasmania will move slowly east over the next couple of days, establishing south to southeasterly winds through most coastal areas. Winds and seas in the north increase today and through the weekend due to the presence of Tropical Cyclone Oma in the region.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 23 February

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Sunday 24 February

Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres, tending southerly 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 22nd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

TC Oma is up north but is affecting the weather and surf outlook depending on where she decides to go and the interaction with a High and a Low down south. At the moment she’s tracking here

  1. She can always change her mind but based on the present situation the surf outlook for here (it’ll be bigger and messier up north, but could get nasty in  a lot of places) … The weather here has that tropical feel to it but Note the direction of the main swell for us in Sydney.. mainly from the south/east south east than coming down from Oma up north. Interesting days ahead:

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places and starting to come up from the south during the day

Saturday: 1-2 metres, 2ish metres and increasing through the day East South East

Sunday: 2-3, 3-4 metres at dead South places

Note the BoM warning: Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing. Surf Life Saving NSW recommends only swimming at patrolled beaches and between the red and yellow flags. (That’s if they’re up!)

Monday: 3-4 metres East South East

Tuesday: 2-3 metres East South East

Wednesday: 2-3 metres East North East, with sets

Thursday: 2-2+ metres East North East

ALL SUBJECT TO CHANGE as the spinning tops move around

Take care. Stay safe.

TG

Up in the Sky

Latest Colour Mean Sea-Level Pressure Analysis and Infrared Greyscale Satellite

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.444,151.327,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22

image

Tides: Highs are high with that full moon and if we get a storm surge it’ll be worse

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 21 February 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Showers.
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 22 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Saturday 23 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southeast to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming southeasterly 30 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day then tending southerly 30 to 45 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 24 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing. Surf Life Saving NSW recommends only swimming at patrolled beaches and between the red and yellow flags.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 25 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 26 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 27 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 28 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


Yeah, naw

Posted on February 21st, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

The numbers tell the story for Sydney this morning. At 0600 North Head was seeing 13-19 kts of SSE wind. At 0300 the MHL buoy was detecting 2.3 metres of 7-sec SSE wind swell. The weather radar at Terry Hills was picking up showers off to the NE. So, I’d say you can write this one off and then check back later to see what the Goat has to say about prospects for next week (maybe mid-week?)

No better here in Santa Barbara, or most of the rest of California. The only place I spotted a wave on the cams was at Pismo Beach (about 2 hours north of where I am) which was offering feeble waist plusses. Santa Cruz was flat and so was Windandsea in San Diego… you’re missing nada!

Grey and cold but tiny lines for the keen at Pismo Beach, California – Surfline shot

Windandsea’s famous peak and thatched shelter. Surfline cam

Campus extra super micro on a swampy high tide


Light SW early but small to tiny swell

Posted on February 20th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At daybreak the wind was lightly SW. Unfortuately the Bureau tells us it’ll soon swing around to the SE as it picks up to be 15-20 kts later. The Sydney MHL buoy was seeing just under 2 metres at 9 seconds from the SSE – so there may be a few dribbly sideshore bumps around for the keen. Water may not be all that good given the rain of the last 24 hours. As I was tapping these words out, the radar was showing another band of showers headed toward the Northern Beaches – so not the most delightful conditions.

I’m not too excited about the surf prospects for Sydney over the coming week. It’ll be interesting to see The Goat’s take tomorrow afternoon, but from my reading of the different models, it looks as though you’ll see the swell come up from the NE but at the same time the wind’ll be steady and fresh from the southerly quarters. There won’t be many surf options around, so the rare good places are likely to be mobbed. If you had to pick a day, it might be Monday morning for the early…maybe…

California continues to be small to near flat from Santa Cruz to San Diego county. It’s really micro here in the Santa Barbara area, and very small up north too, but there were some waist plus lumps for the crew at southside Huntington Beach pier…

Steamer Lane, one person chasing the tinies breaking along the rocks. Surfline cam

HB pier southside one of the better spots in the State today. Surfline cam.

Ventura tiny lines were just barely catchable with a mal or SUP. surfline shot

Campus Point on a sparkling day when the Channel Islands look close enough for a paddle.

 

Weather Situation

A high will strengthen south of the Bight over the next few days establishing south to southeasterly winds through most coastal areas. Winds and seas in the north are likely to increase near the end of the week due to the presence of Tropical Cyclone Oma in the region, although there is currently a fair level of uncertainty regarding its movement and intensity.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Thursday 21 February

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres around midday, then tending northeasterly 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Friday 22 February

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tiny today but long range outlook interesting

Posted on February 19th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Yay. The Sydney MHL buoy is back. But it’s only showing 1.5 m of 6-second east bump for you this morning. Count yourself lucky if you find anything I’d say. Not that there would be many surf options anyway given that wind was out of the ENE at 10 kts just before first light. And by mid morning it could be around to the south as a change develops. It’s set to stay southerly/SE’ly for the next three days.

TC Oma being a TC may or may not deliver anything of interesting to the Sydney region late in the week, but this morning’s swell forecast models are pretty optimistic about the outlook for the weekend. Yeah, we have to be cautious about how it’ll work out, but surfing is powered by dreams, so why not hope that predictions of NE cyclone energy (not big) come true for Friday-Saturday. And while we’re wishing, we may as well add one for mellow winds early because the current predictions are showing southerly conditions into next week…

While Southern California has received welcome rains over the last few weeks, the usually reliable winter swells haven’t turned up to any great extent. And unlike in Oz, the long range swell models are painting a fairly bleak picture – particularly in the Santa Barbara area. Today is small to tiny from Santa Cruz to LA, and knee to waist way down south toward San Diego county (see Trestles).

Holiday Monday and hardly anyone in the water at usually busy California Street, Ventura thanks to the knee high at best sets.

Fun size and amazingly unbusy at Lower Trestles on a sunny morning

Ankle to knee high teaser lines at Campus Point

Weather Situation

A trough is extending a southerly change along the coast this morning and is expected to continue through central parts during the day before stalling and weakening on the Macquarie Coast, leaving a weakening northerly flow in the north. Behind this trough, a high is expected to strengthen south of the Bight during the second half of the week, pushing a ridge along the New South Wales coast and maintaining south to southeasterly winds in most areas. Winds and seas in the north may increase at the end of the week due to the presence of Tropical Cyclone Oma in the region, although there is currently a fair level of uncertainty regarding its movement and intensity.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm inshore during this afternoon and early evening.

Wednesday 20 February

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Thursday 21 February

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Small Sunday but if you’re keen should be something

Posted on February 17th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

A deep 1.7 m high tide at 0700 means everywhere was swamped for the early. There looks to still be some waist-ish weak little wind bump wafting in, so it’s not totally hopeless. Plus it’s going to be 29 C later, so finding a park at the beach will be a challenge. Wind wasn’t too significant as Sunday got started but those light northerly breezes will swing around to the NE and by this afternoon they’ll be into the 15-25 ktl range. The Sydney buoy is still offline, but looking at the Pt Kembla and Crowdy Head data, you’d have to guess Sydney was seeing around a metre of 8-9 sec mainly east bump.

Tomorrow is shaping to be windy earlier but there could be a combo south + NE swell situation that might produce some modestly fun ones at points of focus…

Southern California is basking under sunny skies today, but the post-frontal W-NW wind and paltry swell, is taking most spots off the menu. Plus that water still looks utterly foul. Checking the Surfline cams, I grabbed a few representative shots from north and south of where I am…

Windy outside, but relatively clean at Steamer Lane in Santa Cruz

Gutless, tiny and empty at Trestles on a breezy winter morning

Brown water and sideshore little dribblers adds up to empty conditions on Saturday morning at California Street in Ventura

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east and extending a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast. This system will promote northeast to southeasterly for the remainder of this weekend. Later Monday a southerly change enters the far southern waters, and moves to central parts during Tuesday before stalling over the Hunter coast Tuesday evening then weakening during Wednesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 18 February

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday 19 February

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.

Bankable this morning

Posted on February 16th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a nice morning for a little surf session – as long as you can find a bank. Swell seems pretty straight and in the 8-10 sec range for period. Wave faces should be in the waist to even shoulder high range on the biggest ones. Wind is light for the early. Tide’s dropping from the 1.7 m high at 0600 to the low at 1250. Should be a mostly sunny and warm day with the wind gradually picking up from the N-NE toward midday. Ocean’s on 21C.

Postcards from Cali

Nobody foolhardy enough to brave the swill at California Street, even though there were waves…

Murky and mucky looking at near-empty Steamer Lane in Santa Cruz

One person paddling out at Lower Trestles this am

Local mad people coming ashore at Campus on another dire looking morning

Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast: Broken Bay to Port Hacking

No warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Saturday 16 February 2019.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system centred over Tasmania is slowly moving east, and will drift across the southern Tasman Sea for the next few days while extending a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast. This system will promote generally northeast to southeasterly winds until late Monday, when a trough brings a southerly change up south coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 17 February

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 18 February

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Waist plusses to be found if you look around

Posted on February 15th, 2019 in At large.

s

There are waves around this morning with some places getting into the chest high range or even a bit bigger. Surface conditions were smooth for the early risers, but as with yesterday, the swell is kinda lumpy and disorganised. The MHL Sydney buoy’s been offline for a few days now, so I can’t give you solid numbers this morning. If I had to guess, I’d say east-ish, 1-2 m and 9-10 sec apart. As of 0630 the wind was west 4-5 kts. It’s set to go around to the east later. Tide was high a little before 0500 and will back to low at 1145 as it warms to the 27C high this afternoon. Getting in early is/was the plan.

As for the outlook, well, may I commend to you as always, the mighty Goat.

California is seeing rain and onshore wind pretty much from north to south and surf prospects are minimal thanks to the sloppy, cold, windy and generally horrible conditions. There’s more rain on the way this weekend – which is a good thing, but yours truly won’t be braving the dodgy water anytime soon.

bleak and rainy with onshores at Campus point – and everywhere else in California today

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southeastern Australia is slowly moving east, and will drift across the Tasman Sea for the next few days while extending a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast. This system will promote generally northeast to southeasterly winds until late Monday, when a trough brings a southerly change up south coast.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Easterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 16 February

Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 17 February

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 14th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

While you’ve been enjoying? warm weather in Sydney I’ve been enduring cold winds coming up from Antarctica. To make matters worse the winds didn’t even bring up any surf where I’ve been.

Between the cold air, the cold water, and the .. surf… I haven’t seen any reason to take my board off the car, so far.  Maybe tomorrow?

But you don’t care about that do you?

And hey… In Victoria I’ve seen so many Goat’s Cheese this, Goat’s Cafe that, Goat’s Meat !!??!!… thank goodness I’m back in NSW !(?)

So in Sydney, I don’t think I’ve missed much surf from what I’ve been told.

Friday: easing back into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Saturday:around 1 metre or so or possibly less South East

Sunday: 1 metre or so East

Monday:coming up a little in the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Tuesday: coming up at places open the dead South after a change, say in the 1-2 metre range at those places

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: down to around 1 metre or so East South East.

Have a good one!

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 14 10:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 14 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.369,150.538,5,i:pressure,m:cNpakoE

Down in the Sea

Water temp in Sydney is around say 22ish.

Where I’ve been… mostly greenish.. see below… which just isn’t right for Summertime surfing…not that I’ve seen any surf.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast updated at 8:16 pm EDT on Thursday 14 February 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 15 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 16 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 17 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 18 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 19 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 20 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 21 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day


Lumpy and bumpy for the early

Posted on February 14th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a mostly overcast start to the day in Sydney, but there are still a few waves to be had around the place thanks to the 2 metres or so of mainly south 9 second swell. Still some nort. . component in the mix, so conditions are floppy and bumpy with sets at best exposures getting into the shoulder high range. Tide is dropping to the  low at 1030 and then will be back to high at 1620. As of 0700 wind was light from the W-SW. It should go around to the SE then move to NE later.

The Goat should drop a forecast later today, so as always I’ll be interested to see his call. A quick glance at the models says it could be small and marginal through to late Sunday early Monday, but then you might see a little uptick into the fun range.

From Ventura north to Santa Cruz conditions are too junky and messy for surfing. But way down south in southern Orange county, it’s still rideable looking…

SW wind destroying an already weak and choppy NW bump at Campus point, Goleta this morning.

The stormy conditions haven’t smashed Trestles yet. Only 6 people in the water and there are shoulder high sets!!!

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Bight will slowly move east and strengthen during the next couple of days, extending a ridge to the coast. By late Friday the high centre will have shifted into the southern Tasman Sea and direct northeast to southeasterly winds along the coast during the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 15 February

Winds
Easterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 16 February

Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin