Posts in At large

Saturday surfin’

Posted on August 1st, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Beautiful, if chilly morning out there with some fun waves to be had. Swell was focusing near Surfrider Gardens on the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch and there were lots of folks on it too. But there should be waves most everywhere this morning. The Dee Why to Longy stretch had knots of surfers dotted along the beach from from the life guard hut at Longy to the point. As the pictures show, sets were in the chest to shoulder plus range. Out at sea swell was 1.6 metres at 11 seconds from the east. Wind was out of the west as of 0720 at 6-7 kts. It should stay at about that intensity and direction all day. Tide was high at 0630 and will be back to low a little after noon. We’re going to a high of 19C today and Beachwatch reports the water is currently 17C.
Go well, have fun and mask up when you go into enclosed public spaces. I know it’s not the law (yet) or anything, but you don’t have to be ordered to protect others do you?

Tucked into a little barrel at the point

Kiddies

No Mans

The Pole

Surfrider Gardens

Far north Collaroy


 

Weather Situation
A low pressure system over the Tasman Sea continues to decay as it slowly moves further east. Meanwhile, a ridge of high pressure is pushing across inland New South Wales from the west. Fresh southerly winds will ease by the weekend as the high moves across and becomes established in the Tasman Sea by Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots becoming northerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 2 August
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots becoming west to southwesterly around dawn then becoming north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 3 August
Winds
North to northwesterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Messy, rainy and smaller but not small

Posted on July 28th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

0900: Swell definitely smaller but set wave faces at South Steyne and the Bower were still head and a bit

Water looked suss but surface conditions were relatively smooth. The low tide was making it crunchy and shuttydowny but that wasn’t deterring folks.

The MHL buoy off Sydney reported 3.8 metres at 10 seconds mainly from the south (168°). Wind was 13-21 kts SSW as of 0730. Tide hits low at 0820 and will be back to high at 1450. Weather should see the showers backing off across the day as we head to a high of 18C. Beaches north from Long Reef were rated as ‘pollution likely’ by Beachwatch yesterday.

Prospects look a little more hopeful for tomorrow and Friday morning as the weather clears up and the swell drops back into the more approachable range. For today, I’d be skipping it.

South Steyne

Queenscliff barrel

South Steyne

Bower set

Weather Situation
A low pressure system off the coast is bringing gale force southerly winds and large, powerful surf along the southern and central parts of the coast. The winds are expected to ease below gale force during the later part of today as the low gradually weakens and moves east, but fresh to strong southerly winds will remain along parts of the coast through to Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 29 July
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning southerly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 30 July
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southerly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Little but rideable

Posted on July 25th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

The quiet before the storm this morning. Not much change to surf options since yesterday. It looked inconsistent and around knee to maybe waist high at Narrabeen and along the Longy-Dee Why stretch. So a good morning to go for a paddle if you’re a beginner. The clouds and rain are due later, as is the NE sea breeze, so earlier is better if you can manage it. Water is 17C, so not bad in a steamer.

As of 0400, the MHL buoy was showing 1.1 metres at 11.8 sec from 158°. Tide was low at 0545 and will be back to high at noon.

Current outlook is for the swell to gradually start building tomorrow as it heads to a peak in the 3 metre range Tuesday afternoon. Right now the wind looks like being southerly across Sun-Mon but as the swell peaks, it could be a fairly stiff  20+kts from the SW with showery weather. Wednesday is currently predicted to be partly cloudy with swell dropping into the 2 metre range. Could be the go…

Take care, mask up when you go into shared internal spaces and keep washing those hands!

Kiddies set

Lone hunter near the Pole

Surfrider Gardens peak

Good morning Saturday

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the southern Tasman Sea, while a low pressure trough is deepening off the northern New South Wales coast. This trough is forecast to deepen to a low pressure system from late Saturday or early Sunday before heading south. Depending on its position, strong winds and large surf to some coastal areas are possible from the later part of the weekend into early next week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning.
Sunday 26 July
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 30 to 45 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Monday 27 July
Winds
Southerly 30 to 40 knots turning southwesterly 30 to 40 knots during the morning.
Seas
3 to 5 metres.
1st Swell
Below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Forecast for the rest of Saturday

Summary
Max 19
A few showers developing.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning. Light winds becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 26 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Rain. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 40 to 60 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southwesterly 35 to 55 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 27 July

Summary
Min 13
Max 18
Showers. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 35 to 55 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]


Tiny Tuesday

Posted on July 21st, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

The swell may be a bit bigger compared to yesterday, but it was flat as a tack at Collaroy-Narrabeen at 0730 and only marginally bigger around at the better exposed Dee Why to Longy stretch. There were a couple of hopefuls near the lagoon entrance (which is shut following the swell), but it looked pretty junky, weak and sad. Down the beach at Kiddies it looks as though you could get the odd ankle to knee high bump. With luck it’ll come up a bit more during the day and maybe your favourite south magnet will have something to mess around in. I’d say you’d be doing well to find something in the waist high range.

Outlook is for tomorrow to be down a bit from whatever peak we get to swell-wise today. The ECM model is showing the remainder of the work week being small to near flat, while the Wavewatch 3 model is, as usual, a little more hopeful for tomorrow and Thursday morning, but then also predicts tiny after that.  Wavewatch’s long range outlook currently is showing another burst of south energy on Monday-Tuesday. If they’re right, it’ll be very windy from the southerly quarters… so not getting too excited just yet.

For what it’s worth, swell at sea was around 2 metres at 10 seconds from 155° (SSE) and wind was out of the west at 9-10 kts with an air temp of 10C as of 0710. We should have a mostly sunny day with a high of 17C. First tide of the day is a high at 0840.

Have a great day and mask up!

Up and riding at Kiddies 0745

Not really surfable looking at the Lugga

No takers for sideshore Longy

Eroded beachfront and no more waves for now

Micro Collaroy

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge across New South Wales, while a trough moves away to the east. This high pressure system will remain the dominant feature in the region for the coming days as it gradually drifts east to reach the Tasman Sea by Friday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 22 July
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable below 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 23 July
Winds
West to northwesterly below 10 knots becoming easterly during the day.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Late afternoon beach check

Posted on July 19th, 2020 in At large.

Went for a late afternoon bikeride and took the camera along. This morning’s swell has faded, but there were still a few shoulder to head high plus sets in the mix. Looked at Surfrider Gardens to Narrabeen stretch first and found there were still a reasonable number of people in the water, but the sets were less frequent. Still, they looked to be worth waiting for.

Fun size sets still on tap at dusk at Narrabeen

Little cover at Narraberen

Checked Long Reef next and while there were plenty of folk in the water, it was looking smaller and less consistent than Narrabeen.

Looking fun near the lugga…

Wandered down to the Dee Why end as the last rays of sun were doing their thing spotlight style on the waves at the south end. It was a bigger and more consistent than up the beach and, there seems to be something of a bank just north of the club. Saw some fattish but fun looking lefts come through.

Bright section at the point

That’s you in the spotlight…


Still big for the early

Posted on July 18th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Still 3-4 metres and 12-13 seconds apart from the SE at daybreak. Tide hit high at 0625 high and will be back to low at noon. Wind early was out of the NW at 5-6 kts. Surface conditions were relatively smooth along the Narrabeen stretch and swell was focusing at several points. It looked to be in the 2x overhead range and the only people in the water at daybreak were a couple of tow teams near Surfrider Gardens. Around the corner along the Dee Why to Longy stretch, the only surfers I saw were at the point chasing what looked to be 1.5x overhead sets. Surface conditions weren’t as clean as Narrabeen, but it was definitely surfable if you were fit and keen.

I’m planning to get out with the camera later this morning, so I’ll post snaps if I get anything worth sharing.

Not a morning for beginners or even many intermediates. Maybe wait a day or so…

Tiny rider towing near Surfrider Gardens at daybreak

A bit too lumpy to attract any takers at Dee Why beach as of 0700

Solid sets at Dee Why

Tow-in

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure is developing over southeast Australia today, while a low over the northern Tasman Sea continues to bring a large swell to the New South Wales coast. Winds are forecast to increase on Sunday ahead of a cold front, which will deliver a vigorous southwesterly change early Monday. Behind this, a new high is expected to drift across from the west, and should remain the dominant feature in the region for the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers, mainly offshore.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Sunday 19 July
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to northwesterly during the morning, reaching 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 20 July
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning west to southwesterly during the morning, becoming southwesterly in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Friday evening snaps

Posted on July 17th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Went out for a ride late afternoon on Friday…

The Kick at Collaroy

Just north of the pipe at Collaroy

Near Collaroy

Collaroy shorey

Bummer. Collaroy.

Narrabeen too big for paddleouts

Weird bombie south Narrabeen

Going in to pick up the rider at Narrabeen

Narrabeen cavern

Narrabeen


Posted on July 11th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At daybreak it was raining lightly but steadily along the beaches. Wind was out of the west at 4 kts and the offshore buoys were seeing a metre of 10-second swell from the SE-SSE. Tide was close to the 0645 low. It’ll be back to high at 1255. The forecast tells us to expect the showers to clear as the morning goes along and for us to get to a high of 21C. The sea temp is sitting on 18C.

Pretty much as expected, waves were in the ankle to knee high range for the most part. Northy was showing little bumps, but from there south to Collaroy was flat. Over at Dee Why to Longy, the best focus appeared to be at Kiddies but if you had a long board and a keen attitude, there were ultra-tiny glassy bumps offering weak slides…

Tucking in to a tiny barrel at Dee Why 0700

Not much energy at the Pole

Cute little empty near the lugga

South Narra puny looking

Knee high at Northy in the early morning gloom

Outlook is for the surf to stay in the marginal zone into Monday. Right now the predictions are showing swell kicking into gear overnight Monday and by Tuesday it should start to build rapidly into the overhead to well overhead range.  ECM is saying 3-4m on Tuesday and 4-5m Wednesday, while Wavewatch shows 2-4m Tuesday and 5+ Wednesday. Both models show 20-40kt southerly wind smashing it from day break Tuesday onward. Oh, and it should be pelting with rain too…

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will give way to a cold front and low pressure trough moving up the New South Wales coast over the weekend, before a low pressure system deepens off the coast at the start of next week. This low is expected to linger off the coast through the first half of next week with potential for heavy rain, strong winds and large waves along parts of the coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Sunday 12 July

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming west to southwesterly below 10 knots in the late morning then turning east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 13 July

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming westerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres .
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Clean lines but small

Posted on June 25th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Tiny but cute knee to waist high mal waves at Queensie this morning.

Out at sea the swell was 1.3 metres from 150° at 8-9 seconds apart as of 0700. Beachwatch ways the water’s good most everywhere and still a balmy 19C. Tide was low at 0520 and will be back to a moderate 1.37 m high at 1125. Weather should stay sunny all day, winds will be light SW in the morning and then settle to the S in the afternoon as they pick up into the 15-20 kt range.
Outlook seems to be about where it’s been for the last few days, namely that there should be an uptick from the south from tomorrow. I await the Goat’s thoughts with interest…

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, while a high pressure system is approaching the state from the west. This pattern will maintain south to southwesterly winds over New South Wales waters for the coming days. A weak cold front is forecast to briefly strengthen winds in the south on Friday as it moves away to the southeast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 26 June
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Saturday 27 June
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Posted on June 20th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At daybreak the buoy data showed 0.9 metres of 9-second swell from the ESE. There was a faint 2-3 kt north breeze and skies were mostly clear. Tide was just about at the 0730 high and the ocean was 19C. Waves were in the ankle to knee high range at spots that were doing anything with the low energy bump. Take your longest, floatiest surf toy and your most kick-backed attitude and you’ll be good.

Outlook is for conditions to be about the same as they are now through to about midweek when we might have a change to some blowy but a bit bigger south conditions…

Go well!

Sinking out at No Mans 0700

Kiddies action

Had it to himself at Gardens

Northy crew getting knee high bumps at daybreak

Winter morning sky

Low power Longy

Weather Situation
A weakening high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales north coast, directing a generally northerly airstream over the coastal waters. This ridge will weaken further over the weekend as a cold front crosses the mainland. The front will bring a west to southwesterly change to coastal areas on Sunday, tending more southerly early in the new week as a low pressure system develops offshore.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 21 June
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Possible hail in the late afternoon and evening.
Monday 22 June
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.