Posts in At large

Might be a wave

Posted on December 6th, 2018 in At large.

Longy Weds arvo maybe again today?

Hello Friends,
Wave energy looks to have faded overnight, but there should still be some soft waist plus wind bumps around at places with easterly exposure. The MHL data for Sydney hasn’t updated since yesterday but late in the afternoon when I walked down for a look (busted clavicle means no driving or pushie riding) there were actually fun looking little things at Longy. It was scrappy and weak, but rideable, and looking at the cam for Curly, I can believe there might be something again.
Tide is deep again – 1.77 m – at 0825. So, expect fatness along with the weakness. Wind was light east early but it will swing NE and pick up into the 15-25 kt range this afternoon.
Outlook is for short period wind bump from the NE for the next week at least. Typical summer conditions really.
Have a good Thursday and keep on smilin’

Weather Situation

A high centred over eastern Bass Strait directs south to southeast winds along the coast. As the high shifts east into the Tasman Sea over the next day or so winds will tend north to northeasterly and become fresh to strong as a trough approaches from the west.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning and reaching up to 25 knots at times this afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 7 December

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 8 December

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

 


Not too appetizing

Posted on December 5th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

As of 0800 we had  8-13 kts of ESE wind at North Head. The MHL buoy off Sydney was detecting 2.2 metres of dead south swell at 11 seconds. So, there should be something at south magnets, but the onshore conditions and a deep 1.7 m high tide at 0740 will mean lumpy, bumpy waist and a bit sets with the odd (maybe) bigger one. Skies are cloudy as I write this and there’s a 40% chance of a shower inland and 20% out along the coast. UV is 12, so hats and sunscreen on from now until 1700. Beachwatch says water is 19.

Today’s swell modelling is not all that exciting for our part of the world. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models project a change in swell regime from south to east around Thursday, but while the size at sea is predicted to hang around the metre mark, the periods are expected to be in the 5-7 second range (ie chop).

Oh well. It is summer after all.

Have a great Wednesday everyone!

Weather Situation

A high centred over eastern Bass Strait directs south to southeast winds along the coast. As the high shifts east into the Tasman Sea over the next day or so winds will tend north to northeasterly before increasing fresh to strong on Friday and Saturday as a trough approaches from the west.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy morning, mostly sunny afternoon.

Thursday 6 December

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 7 December

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Bike helmets are good

Posted on December 4th, 2018 in At large.

My helmet almost certainly prevented a very serious head injury…

Hello Friends,

Missed yesterday’s report thanks to some unplesantness involving my pushie.

On Sunday morning I crashed. According to my Strava app, I was doing 40 kph coming down a hill in Harbord – and then  I abruptly wasn’t. I have no memory of the crash. But my body and helmet tell the story. Along with a concussion, I removed myself from the lineup for a couple of months thanks to a busted clavicle. When I came to, I was near the beach parking lot adjacent to Pilu. There was nobody with me as I had apparently climbed back on my bike after the crash and wobbled a good block or so before starting to store memories again. Yikes. Anyway, got a chance to see the new Northern Beaches Hospital from inside. Lovely staff scanned and assessed your sorry correspondent and then sent me home with my dud right arm in a sling. Actually the arm’s just fine, it’s  the clavicle that limits movement.

Anyway, I guess the main point is: wear your helmet.

I haven’t quite figured out the picture  taking aspect of filing my reports and I’m not permitted to climb up to the crows nest atm, so I can’t give you an eyeball report on today’s conditions. But I can still check all the other data for ya.

As I laboriously tap these words outthere’s 10-12 kts of ESE wind showing at North Head, but according to the MHL data from 0700 there’s less than a metre of 7-sec south bump. So, we’re not missing anything.

Sadly, the swell models are not showing anything of interest for the next week. If they’re right, you’re in for short period and tiny wind bump at spots that like east.

Catchya again tomorrow and keep on smilin’!

 

Weather Situation

A ridge lies over the northern coast of New South Wales while a trough and associated south to southeasterly change have moved through the southern half of the coast. The change will extend along the remainder of the coast during today. Winds will tend northeasterly later Wednesday and during Thursday as a high centre, currently near Adelaide, drifts east over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning. Winds shifting southeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 5 December

Winds
Southeasterly below 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy.

Thursday 6 December

Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Fast fading but still there early

Posted on December 1st, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

The early session still had the odd shoulder high bomb at magnets, but it was pretty inconsistent for the keen types on it by 0630 when I checked conditions. The wind was stil light, however as the forecast below notes, we can expect the SE breeze to pick up ahead of a NE’ly this afternoon. As expected, the swell continued fading overnight and as of 0400 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.6 metres of 10 second swell from 152-154° (SSE). While surface conditions were smooth at 0630, wave quality was somewhat mediocre (beach breaks were sectiony and shutting down for the most part).
Tide is low at 1000 and then back to a 1.56 m high at 1600 – when the NE’r will be doing its thing. At the same time the swell energy will continue to gradually dissapate and by tomorrow we’re likely to be seeing knee to waist high conditions – which is probably a good thing because we’re heading to a 35C high and everybody will want to be at the beach.
The week ahead doesn’t look too exciting I have to say. That said there is some variation among the models that at least offers a little hope. Monday might be fun early for instance and, depending on the wind, Wednesday morning could be a possibility…
Here’s hoping!

Northy looking inconsistent and weak

Shutdy-downy on sets at sth Narra

Sth Narra 0625

No Mans chest-ish on sets at 0630

More shutdowns than not toward Kiddies

Busy at the point 0630

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge lying over New South Wales will shift east over the Tasman Sea today with winds along the coast gradually tending north to northeasterly and increasing as a cold front approaches from the west. This front is forecast to bring a vigorous southerly change to the south coast on Sunday afternoon, extending northward to the remainder of the coast during Sunday evening and early Monday. A brief return to northeasterly winds on Monday will precede a second southerly change late Monday or Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Sunday 2 December
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, tending westerly 15 to 25 knots inshore during the afternoon, ahead of a southerly change 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 3 December
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Wednesday report

Posted on November 28th, 2018 in At large.

 

Thunderstorms, heavy rain, onshore wind… so

No

No

No

That’s all


Saturday surf report

Posted on November 24th, 2018 in At large.
The strong westerly winds that were blowing for the last couple of days basically flattened the surf yesterday, but it’s come up a bit today… But only at places open to the South.
The MHL buoy is showing 2.4 – 3.6 metres of dead South swell going up the coast… most of that size is heading straight past Sydney because of the swell direction
Surf is around the middle of the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots..with not much elsewhere.
Wind is W at around 30ks..not as bad as yesterday and the Bureau expects it to ease later and turn SE.
Water temp’s around 19.
The Bureau has a ‘large and powerful surf’ warning for tomorrow and Monday, but TG thinks that tomorrow the surf will be pretty similar to today and depend on what direction the beach faces as the swell will still be dead South.  Bigger Monday.
Have a good one.

Offshore but micro for Friday morning plus postcards

Posted on November 23rd, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looking pretty small in Sydney this morning and as of 0630 the WNW wind was already into the 15-25 kt range. It’s gonna blow like this all day according to the Bureau. There’s just under a metre of 11-sec south swell out at sea, but I’m guessing it’ll be hard to find much of anything in the surfable range. Tide’s coming into a 1.74 m high around 0815 – so that’ll be working against you as well.
Should be a niceish day otherwise.

0530 and looking very tiny at sth Narrabeen – WRL cam

Meanwhile your correspondent is enjoying the Thanksgiving holiday here in the US. The rellies are hard at work on feast prep as I write this. California has just had a little rain too, so the smoky skies have cleared away. I’m inland and remaining so into next week, but out at the beach the swell has perked. Went by Trestles on the train yesterday evening and grabbed a postcard for you. (Yep, the tracks run that close to the beach!)
I may or may not be able to post anything for the next 4-5 days – and then I’m headed home to dear old Sydney, whereupon normal service will resume.
Have a great Friday!

Trestles evening session from the train

Weather Situation
A low pressure system near Tasmania and southeastern Victoria is deepening in response to a cold front. This is generating storm force west to southwesterly winds along the far southern waters with vigorous westerly winds over remaining coastal areas today and tomorrow. On Saturday this low is forecast to weaken and slowly move east, resulting in winds shifting more southerly and easing.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Saturday 24 November
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon. Winds turning southerly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 25 November
Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Marginal Monday in Sydney and a postcard or two from Cali

Posted on November 19th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Light wind early and according to the Bureau it will only come up a touch in the middle of the day. As of 0600 there was a combo of 1.6 metre 10-sec SSE and some smaller NNE swell getting in. Looked to be in the waist-ish range. Next tide’s a low at 1125 and weather outlook is for a mild 23C and partly cloudy. According to Beachwatch the water temp has dropped slightly to 19C.

Today’s surf prospects look better than tomorrow’s for Sydney, but Wednesday could see some improvement for north corners.

Here in California the little NW pulse has faded to tiny again for my region. Santa Barbara is pretty much flat, but there are long boardable things in Ventura and way up north in Santa Cruz they’re seeing lumpy shoulder to head high.

Steamer Lane, Santa Cruz. Small crew for a Sunday SURFLINE pic

Leadbetter point, Santa Barbara – ankle high on sets SUFLINE pic

Ventura Fairgrounds looking fun for longboards and not insanely crowded for a Sunday. SURFLINE pic

Have yourself a top old Monday!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. East to southeasterly winds will gradually tend north to northeasterly and freshen over the next day or two as the ridge moves offshore and the next cold front approaches. This front is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern waters on Wednesday. Another front and is expected to cross southern and central parts of the coast during Thursday as a low forms over the southwestern Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
East to northeasterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 20 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 21 November

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Saturday surf report

Posted on November 17th, 2018 in At large.

There are waves around ..bit choppy and of variable quality.  MHL buoy is showing 1.2 – 1.9 metres from SSE.  Tide is going out with Low at 10.40 am.

Conditions aren’t great with a light Southerly blowing and expected to freshen later. There are a lot of people are out getting wet already.  I suspect many are kids letting off stem after the HSC.

Water temp is around 20.


Down in a little in Sydney – Up a little in Cali

Posted on November 17th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At 0700 wind was still lightly from the SW, but the forecast has it going around to the SE by midday. The MHL buoy was showing 1.2 metres at 8 seconds from 155 degrees (SE) and the WRL snap from first light showed it was probably in the knee to waist-ish range on sets at more exposed locations. Tide is dropping to a low at about 1020. By the time it’s back to the 1.48m high at 1630, the wind should be chewing things up. Water’s around 20C.
Waves have come up a touch today in SoCal, so I might go for a surf hunt this afternoon. Hoping the swell direction is favourable to Santa Barbara (don’t want to drive an hour south to the crowded, sideshore conditions in Ventura).
Have a great Saturday!

More of a line for a growing C-street crowd late morning

WRL cam 0530 pic

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure over northern parts of the coast will move slowly north today as a high pressure system in the Bight moves east and strengthens a ridge along the New South Wales coast. Freshening south to southeasterly winds are expected to extend along the Waters during this afternoon and evening. The high centre moves into the Tasman Sea on Monday with winds tending east to northeasterly. Winds freshen and tend north to northeasterly Tuesday ahead of the next change expected along southern parts of the coast during Wednesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning until early evening.
Sunday 18 November
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 19 November
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


 

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