"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Gloomy morning but clean ones to be had in the corners

 

 

Hello Friends,

Swell is out of the south at an average height of 4 metres (+ seas to 6m). Period is averaging 9 seconds but there is some 11 sec component in the mix too. Wind was SSW at 12-15kts. Both the wind and swell are set to decrease during the day, with the Bureau calling for the latter to be down to about 2m by dark. There’s a 60% chance of a shower and it’ll be cloudy all day.

 

Despite the numbers, the average set wave face I saw at Dee Why when I checked at around 0720 was in the shoulder to head high range. I’d be very surprised if there weren’t some bigger ones every now and then though. Relatively clean in the protected corners too. Had a look at the Collaroy to Narra stretch and spotted some attractive little walls  near Marquesas but while I watched they all shut down unmakeably. Great patience required I’d say.

Outlook for the coming week is not too encouraging from this run of the wave forecast models. Basically we’re looking at onshores and grey skies with a steady supply of shortish period windswell. There is the prospect of an intense east coast low spinning up off the north coast and by mid-week some of the models reckon we could be looking at a peak of up to 5 metres of east swell. ECL’s aren’t all that predictable, so there’s probably an even money chance of it not getting to anything like that big. If it does though, the models show it being essentially unsurfable due to howling onshores – although you might get a wave at one of the inner harbour spots I suppose…

Go well with your Saturday!

Tides: L @0945, H @1620, Water @ 19C