"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

TG’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Friday 20 Novemebr 2015:

Eight day outlook for Sydney:

The southerly change overnight will bring the swell up a little but a strong accompanying wind will just make it messy at exposed beaches tomorrow, while sheltered spots won’t be getting much of the dead South swell.. Similar for Sunday but down a bit then gradually getting smaller thru to next weekend..

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range dead South places only

Sunday: down a little

Monday: around 1 + metres South

Tuesday: around 1 metre South

Wednesday, Thursday: 1 metre or less

Friday, Saturday: less than 1 metre.

But hey you can always have fun in the surf with the right equipment… So Have Fun!

Water temp is around 21, 22 on the beach..23 offshore on the MHL buoy…

 

 

 

 

 

image

And with today’s max temp reaching 41, timely to remind ourselves – This is Australia  🙂

The following observations of Sydney’s climate were written at the time of first European settlement…

Watkin Tench 1793:

“….Horticulture has been attended in some places with tolerable success… Nor will this surprise, if the genial influence of the climate be considered. Placed in a latitude where the beams of the sun in the dreariest season are sufficiently powerful for many hours of the day to dispense warmth and nutrition, the progress of vegetation never is at a stand. The different temperatures of Rose Hill (near Parramatta) and Sydney in winter, though only twelve miles apart, afford, however, curious matter of speculation.

… Again, the heats of summer are more violent at the former place than at the latter, and the variations incomparably quicker. The thermometer has been known to alter at Rose Hill, in the course of nine hours, more than 50 degrees (Fahrenheit = 10 degrees Celsius) ; standing a little before sunrise at 50 degrees, and between one and two at more than 100 degrees (= 38 degrees Celsius). To convey an idea of the climate in summer, I shall transcribe from my meteorological journal, accounts of two particular days which were the hottest we ever suffered under at Sydney.

…December 27th 1790. Wind NNW; it felt like the blast of a heated oven, and in proportion as it increased the heat was found to be more intense, the sky hazy, the sun gleaming through at intervals.

At 9 a.m. 85 degrees. At noon 104. Half past twelve 107 ½. From one p.m. until 20 minutes past two 108 ½. At 20 minutes past two 109 (= 42 degrees Celsius). At Sunset 89. At 11 p.m. 78 1/2

[By a large Thermometer made by Ramsden, and graduated on Fahrenheits scale.]

December 28th 1790.

At 8 a.m. 86 10 a.m. 93 11 a.m. 101 At noon 103 1/2 Half an hour past noon 104 1/2 At one p.m. 102 At 5 p.m. 73 At sunset 69 1/2

[At a quarter past one, it stood at only 89 degrees, having, from a sudden shift of wind, fallen 13 degrees in 15 minutes.]

My observations on this extreme heat, succeeded by so rapid a change, were that of all animals, man seemed to bear it best. Our dogs, pigs and fowls, lay panting in the shade, or were rushing into the water.

But even this heat was judged to be far exceeded in the latter end of the following February, when the north-west wind again set in, and blew with great violence for three days. At Sydney, it fell short by one degree of what I have just recorded: but at Rose Hill, it was allowed, by every person, to surpass all that they had before felt, either there or in any other part of the world. Unluckily they had no thermometer to ascertain its precise height. It must, however, have been intense, from the effects it produced. An immense flight of bats driven before the wind, covered all the trees around the settlement, whence they every moment dropped dead or in a dying state, unable longer to endure the burning state of the atmosphere. Nor did the perroquettes, though tropical birds, bear it better. The ground was strewn with them in the same condition as the bats.

Were I asked the cause of this intolerable heat, I should not hesitate to pronounce that it was occasioned by the wind blowing over immense deserts, which, I doubt not, exist in a north-west direction from Port Jackson, and not from fires kindled by the natives. This remark I feel necessary, as there were methods used by some persons in the colony, both for estimating the degree of heat and for ascertaining the cause of its production, which I deem equally unfair and unphilosophical. The thermometer, whence my observations were constantly made, was hung in the open air in a southern aspect, never reached by the rays of the sun, at the distance of several feet above the ground.

My other remarks on the climate will be short. It is changeable beyond any other I ever heard of; but no phenomena sufficiently accurate to reckon upon, are found to indicate the approach of alteration. Indeed, for the first eighteen months that we lived in the country, changes were supposed to take place more commonly at the quartering of the moon than at other times. But lunar empire afterwards lost its credit. For the last two years and a half of our residing at Port Jackson, its influence was unperceived. Three days together seldom passed without a necessity occurring for lighting a fire in an evening. A habit dete, or a habit de demi saison, would be in the highest degree absurd. Clouds, storms and sunshine pass in rapid succession. Of rain, we found in general not a sufficiency, but torrents of water sometimes fall. Thunder storms, in summer, are common and very tremendous, but they have ceased to alarm, from rarely causing mischief. Sometimes they happen in winter. I have often seen large hailstones fall. Frequent strong breezes from the westward purge the air. These are almost invariably attended with a hard clear sky. The easterly winds, by setting in from the sea, bring thick weather and rain, except in summer, when they become regular sea-breezes.

To sum up: notwithstanding the inconveniences which I have enumerated, I will venture to assert in few words, that no climate hitherto known is more generally salubrious, or affords more days on which those pleasures which depend on the state of the atmosphere can be enjoyed, than that of New South Wales. The winter season is particularly delightful.”

Extract from A Complete Account of the Settlement at Port Jackson, in New South Wales, Including an Accurate Description of the Situation of the Colony; and of its Natural Productions; Taken on the Spot (London, 1793; German and Swedish translations) Watkin Tench.

More on Watkin Tench here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Watkin_Tench

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Squally evening change.
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Very hot. Clear. Winds northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h ahead of cool southerly change 35 to 45 km/h in the evening, squally and reaching up to 65 km/h near the coast.

Saturday 21 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h tending southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming south to southeasterly and light in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

UV Alert from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Around Sydney

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Cloudy. Sydney 19 23
Possible shower. Penrith 19 24
Possible shower. Liverpool 18 24
Possible shower. Terrey Hills 18 22
Possible shower. Richmond 19 24
Possible shower. Parramatta 18 24
Possible shower. Campbelltown 17 24
Cloudy. Bondi 19 21

Marketing

Sunday 22 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds.

Monday 23 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Tuesday 24 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 25 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 32
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 26 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h during the morning.

Friday 27 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 24
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming no

Wind is here:

https://www.windyty.com/?-32.101,150.601,5

Tides are here:

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2015-16.pdf